Wednesday , 30 September 2026

SBV Excelsior vs AZ, Eredivisie 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Eredivisie · 2025-26
1 – 2
Full Time
Sat 14 Feb 2026 · 17:45 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

SBV Excelsior vs AZ — Eredivisie .

Match Details

  • Referee Erwin Blank
3 games this season 🟨 2.3/game ⚽ 9.3 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
14 Feb AZ H 1–2 L
06 Feb NAC Breda A 2–0 W
01 Feb AFC Ajax H 2–2 D
24 Jan FC Twente '65 A 0–0 D
21 Jan AZ A 1–1 D
17 Jan Telstar 1963 H 2–2 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
14 Feb SBV Excelsior A 2–1 W
08 Feb AFC Ajax H 1–1 D
31 Jan NEC H 1–3 L
25 Jan Telstar 1963 A 1–0 W
21 Jan SBV Excelsior H 1–1 D
17 Jan PEC Zwolle A 1–3 L

Season Stats

SBV Excelsior AZ
#7 Position #1
11 Points 19
7 Played 7
3 / 2 / 2 W / D / L 6 / 1 / 0
15 Scored 18
9 Conceded 6
+6 GD +12
1.57 PPG 2.71
43% Win % 86%

Key Stats

75% Both Teams to Score
H2H (8 games)
75% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
29% Clean Sheets
SBV Excelsior this season
43% Clean Sheets
AZ this season

SBV Excelsior are 7th (11 pts). AZ are 1st (19 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

SBV Excelsior
0-15
1/2
16-30
2/–
31-45
5/2
46-60
1/2
61-75
3/1
76+
3/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
AZ
0-15
2/–
16-30
1/3
31-45
3/–
46-60
4/–
61-75
4/1
76+
4/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Events

Match Events

  • 0' In just a few seconds will turn into a battlefield for SBV Excelsior and AZ.
  • Both sets of fans can go home satisfied — a 1-2 draw is a fair result on the day.

Lineups

SBV Excelsior Lineups

AZ Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.11 SBV Excelsior xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.91 AZ xG
I would bet for: Both teams to score 57% + Over 2.5 goals 57%

Match Result

✓ Correct
SBV Excelsior25% Draw26% AZ49%
Actual: AZ win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes57% 0% No43%
Avg goals/match: 3.02
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 93%
7%
± 1.5 80%
20%
± 2.5 57%
43%
± 3.5 35%
65%
± 4.5 19%
81%

Double Chance

SBV Excelsior or Draw
51%
Draw or AZ
75%
SBV Excelsior or AZ
74%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
SBV Excelsior18% Draw43% AZ39%
Actual: SBV Excelsior win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
11.2%
1 – 2
Actual
0 – 2
8.8%
0 – 1
8.7%
0 – 0
6.6%
1 – 3
6%
2 – 1
5.5%
0 – 3
5.5%
2 – 2
5.3%
1 – 0
4.6%
2 – 3
3.4%
2 – 0
3%

Asian Handicap — SBV Excelsior

Handicap SBV Excelsior covers Push AZ covers
-2.5 2% — 98%
-2 2% 6% 92%
-1.5 8% — 92%
-1 8% 13% 79%
-0.5 21% — 79%
+0.5 45% — 55%
+1 45% 22% 32%
+1.5 68% — 32%
+2 68% 17% 15%
+2.5 85% — 15%

Clean Sheet

SBV Excelsior keeps clean sheet
16% ✓
AZ keeps clean sheet
34% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.