Sunday , 16 August 2026

Fortaleza EC vs Sao Paulo FC, Serie A 2024 REGULAR SEASON

Campeonato Brasileiro Serie A · 2024
Fortaleza EC
1 – 0
Full Time
Sao Paulo FC
Sun 28 Jul 2024 · 00:30 UTC Castelao 41,322 HT 45' · FT 45'
Renato Kayzer pen 4' 1–0
Y 14' Luciano
Y 50' Rafinha
Y 57' Welington
Emanuel Britez 65' Y
Y 70' Damian Bobadilla
Kervin Andrade 80' Y
Hercules 90' Y
Hercules 90' R

Overview

Match Preview

Fortaleza EC vs Sao Paulo FC — Serie A at Castelao.

Standings

# Team P Pts
1 SE Palmeiras 23 48
2 CR Flamengo 21 42
3 CA Paranaense 23 41
4 Fluminense FC 23 38
5 EC Bahia 22 33
6 Cruzeiro EC 22 33
7 RB Bragantino 22 32
8 SC Corinthians Paulista 22 32
9 Coritiba FBC 23 31
10 Botafogo FR 21 30
11 CA Mineiro 21 29
12 Sao Paulo FC 22 27
13 EC Vitoria 22 26
14 Gremio FBPA 21 25
15 SC Internacional 22 23
16 Mirassol FC 21 23
17 Santos FC 21 22
18 CR Vasco da Gama 21 22
19 Clube do Remo 22 22
20 Chapecoense AF 21 10

Head-to-Head

5
4
5
Fortaleza EC 14 games · Avg 1.8 goals Sao Paulo FC
Last 5 meetings
2024-07-28 Fortaleza EC 1–0 Sao Paulo FC 2024-04-14 Sao Paulo FC 1–2 Fortaleza EC 2023-09-21 Sao Paulo FC 1–2 Fortaleza EC 2023-05-11 Fortaleza EC 0–0 Sao Paulo FC 2022-08-28 Sao Paulo FC 0–1 Fortaleza EC

Recent Form

Fortaleza EC
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
28 Jul Sao Paulo FC H 1–0 W
24 Jul Criciúma EC A 1–1 D
21 Jul AC Goianiense H 3–1 W
18 Jul EC Vitoria H 3–1 W
11 Jul CR Flamengo A 2–1 W
07 Jul Fluminense FC H 1–0 W
Sao Paulo FC
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
28 Jul Fortaleza EC A 0–1 L
24 Jul Botafogo FR H 2–2 D
21 Jul EC Juventude A 0–0 D
17 Jul Gremio FBPA H 1–0 W
12 Jul CA Mineiro A 1–2 L
06 Jul RB Bragantino H 2–0 W

Key Stats

43% Both Teams to Score
H2H (14 games)
29% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
23% Clean Sheets
Sao Paulo FC this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Sao Paulo FC
0-15
3/–
16-30
3/3
31-45
3/2
46-60
–/8
61-75
3/2
76+
4/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Sao Paulo FC
Jonathan Calleri 7 G 1 A
Luciano 6 G 1 A
Ferreira 4 G
Artur Guimaraes 3 G 1 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The match kicks off with home fans waiting with anticipation for Fortaleza EC to score. At the same time, Sao Paulo FC does not seem to pull back! Let’s get it on!
  • 4' Renato Kayzer has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 4 minutes.
  • 9' Both keepers have barely been tested. Fortaleza EC and Sao Paulo FC are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
  • 14' The referee calls foul for Luciano. He receives a card.
  • 19' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 24' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
  • 29' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 34' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Juan Vojvoda will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 39' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Tomas Cardona suffering a number of foals already.
  • 44' A quiet spell here at Castelao. Fortaleza EC seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
  • 49' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 50' The referee calls foul for Rafinha. He receives a card.
  • 55' Brazil international Hercules has been a key figure this campaign — 3 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
  • 57' That is a card for Sao Paulo FC. Welington will be fuming at that decision.
  • 58' Sao Paulo FC make a change. Rodrigo Nestor trudges off to be replaced by Ferreira on 58 minutes.
  • 63' Sao Paulo FC come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
  • 65' Emanuel Britez is having his name booked by the referee on 65.
  • 67' Fortaleza EC ring the changes. Breno Lopes has done his job and it is now time for Moises to step up.
  • 70' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Damian Bobadilla on 70 minutes.
  • 73' Juan Lucero gets the nod from Fortaleza EC. He replaces Renato Kayzer and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 74' The Sao Paulo FC manager makes a substitution. Damian Bobadilla departs to be replaced by Liziero.
  • 79' The 30-year-old Benjamin Kuscevic has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
  • 80' Poor challenge from Kervin Andrade. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
  • 84' A change in the Fortaleza EC ranks — Lucas Sasha exits the field as Pedro Augusto enters on 84.
  • 89' Igor Vinicius has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 20 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 90' Hercules catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 90.
  • The referee brings this contest to a close. Fortaleza EC take all three points.

Lineups

Fortaleza EC Lineups

4-2-3-1

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Juan Vojvoda

Sao Paulo FC Lineups

4-4-2

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Luis Zubeldía

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

PlayerGoals
Luciano 3
Robson 3
David 2
Wellington Paulista 2
Juan Lucero 2
Jose Welison 1
Gabriel 1
Andre Silva 1

Head to Head

2024-07-28 Fortaleza EC 1–0 Sao Paulo FC 2024-04-14 Sao Paulo FC 1–2 Fortaleza EC 2023-09-21 Sao Paulo FC 1–2 Fortaleza EC 2023-05-11 Fortaleza EC 0–0 Sao Paulo FC 2022-08-28 Sao Paulo FC 0–1 Fortaleza EC

Fortaleza EC Form

2024-07-28 Fortaleza EC 1–0 Sao Paulo FC W 2024-07-24 Criciúma EC 1–1 Fortaleza EC D 2024-07-21 Fortaleza EC 3–1 AC Goianiense W 2024-07-18 Fortaleza EC 3–1 EC Vitoria W 2024-07-11 CR Flamengo 1–2 Fortaleza EC W 2024-07-07 Fortaleza EC 1–0 Fluminense FC W

Sao Paulo FC Form

2024-07-28 Fortaleza EC 1–0 Sao Paulo FC L 2024-07-24 Sao Paulo FC 2–2 Botafogo FR D 2024-07-21 EC Juventude 0–0 Sao Paulo FC D 2024-07-17 Sao Paulo FC 1–0 Gremio FBPA W 2024-07-12 CA Mineiro 2–1 Sao Paulo FC L 2024-07-06 Sao Paulo FC 2–0 RB Bragantino W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.35 Fortaleza EC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.72 Sao Paulo FC xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 66% + Under — clean sheet likely 61%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Fortaleza EC55% Draw28% Sao Paulo FC17%
Actual: Fortaleza EC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes39% 0% No61%
Avg goals/match: 2.07
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 85%
15%
± 1.5 61%
39%
± 2.5 34%
66%
± 3.5 16%
84%
± 4.5 7%
93%

Double Chance

Fortaleza EC or Draw
83%
Draw or Sao Paulo FC
45%
Fortaleza EC or Sao Paulo FC
72%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Fortaleza EC33% Draw53% Sao Paulo FC14%
Actual: Fortaleza EC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 0
Actual
0 – 0
14.9%
1 – 1
13.1%
2 – 0
11%
2 – 1
8.1%
0 – 1
7.9%
3 – 0
4.9%
1 – 2
4.3%
3 – 1
3.7%
0 – 2
3.1%
2 – 2
3%
4 – 0
1.7%

Asian Handicap — Fortaleza EC

Handicap Fortaleza EC covers Push Sao Paulo FC covers
-2.5 9% — 91%
-2 9% 15% 75%
-1.5 25% — 75%
-1 25% 26% 50%
-0.5 50% — 50%
+0.5 82% — 18%
+1 82% 13% 5%
+1.5 95% — 5%
+2 95% 4% 1%
+2.5 99% — 1%

Clean Sheet

Fortaleza EC keeps clean sheet
49% ✗
Sao Paulo FC keeps clean sheet
27% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.