Thursday , 2 July 2026

Fortaleza EC vs Sao Paulo FC, Serie A 2024 REGULAR SEASON

Campeonato Brasileiro Serie A · 2024
Fortaleza EC
1 – 0
Full Time
Sao Paulo FC
Sun 28 Jul 2024 · 00:30 UTC Castelao 41,322 HT 45' · FT 45'
Renato Kayzer pen 4' 1–0
Y 14' Luciano
Y 50' Rafinha
Y 57' Welington
Emanuel Britez 65' Y
Y 70' Damian Bobadilla
Kervin Andrade 80' Y
Hercules 90' Y
Hercules 90' R

Overview

Match Preview

Fortaleza EC vs Sao Paulo FC — Serie A at Castelao.

Standings

# Team P Pts
1 SE Palmeiras 18 41
2 CR Flamengo 17 34
3 Fluminense FC 18 31
4 CA Paranaense 18 30
5 RB Bragantino 18 29
6 EC Bahia 17 26
7 Coritiba FBC 18 26
8 Sao Paulo FC 18 25
9 CA Mineiro 18 24
10 SC Corinthians Paulista 18 24
11 Cruzeiro EC 18 24
12 Botafogo FR 17 22
13 EC Vitoria 17 22
14 SC Internacional 18 21
15 Santos FC 18 21
16 Grêmio FBPA 18 21
17 CR Vasco da Gama 18 20
18 Clube do Remo 18 18
19 Mirassol FC 17 16
20 Chapecoense AF 17 9

Head-to-Head

5
4
5
Fortaleza EC 14 games · Avg 1.8 goals Sao Paulo FC
Last 5 meetings
2024-07-28 Fortaleza EC 1–0 Sao Paulo FC 2024-04-14 Sao Paulo FC 1–2 Fortaleza EC 2023-09-21 Sao Paulo FC 1–2 Fortaleza EC 2023-05-11 Fortaleza EC 0–0 Sao Paulo FC 2022-08-28 Sao Paulo FC 0–1 Fortaleza EC

Recent Form

Fortaleza EC
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
28 Jul Sao Paulo FC H 1–0 W
24 Jul Criciúma EC A 1–1 D
21 Jul AC Goianiense H 3–1 W
18 Jul EC Vitoria H 3–1 W
11 Jul CR Flamengo A 2–1 W
07 Jul Fluminense FC H 1–0 W
Sao Paulo FC
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
28 Jul Fortaleza EC A 0–1 L
24 Jul Botafogo FR H 2–2 D
21 Jul EC Juventude A 0–0 D
17 Jul Grêmio FBPA H 1–0 W
12 Jul CA Mineiro A 1–2 L
06 Jul RB Bragantino H 2–0 W

Key Stats

43% Both Teams to Score
H2H (14 games)
29% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
28% Clean Sheets
Sao Paulo FC this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Sao Paulo FC
0-15
3/–
16-30
2/3
31-45
1/2
46-60
–/3
61-75
2/2
76+
4/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Sao Paulo FC
Luciano 6 G 1 A
Jonathan Calleri 6 G 1 A
Ferreira 4 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Here we go! The referee blows the whistle and Fortaleza EC launch into their encounter with Sao Paulo FC.
  • 4' What a strike from Renato Kayzer! The score is 1-0.
  • 9' Both keepers have barely been tested. Fortaleza EC and Sao Paulo FC are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
  • 14' The referee has no hesitation. Luciano is booked for Sao Paulo FC — card on 14.
  • 19' With 0 assists to his name this season, Igor Vinicius is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Sao Paulo FC.
  • 24' Sao Paulo FC is showing some good football. However, Sao Paulo FC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 29' Breno Lopes, a Brazil , has 17 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
  • 34' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 39' It looks surprising Sao Paulo FC does not make any changes. Joao Ricardo has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 44' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 49' Benjamin Kuscevic has been relatively quiet despite scoring 6 goals in his last 11 appearances.
  • 50' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Rafinha.
  • 55' It is a cagey affair so far. Fortaleza EC in their 4-2-3-1 trying to find a way past Sao Paulo FC's compact 4-4-2.
  • 57' Welington has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 57.
  • 58' Ferreira is replacing Rodrigo Nestor for the Sao Paulo FC side.
  • 63' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
  • 65' Poor challenge from Emanuel Britez. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
  • 67' Moises is ready to make an impact after coming on for Breno Lopes at the 67 minute mark.
  • 70' The referee calls foul for Damian Bobadilla. He receives a card.
  • 73' Fortaleza EC ring the changes. Renato Kayzer has done his job and it is now time for Juan Lucero to step up.
  • 74' A change in the Sao Paulo FC ranks — Damian Bobadilla exits the field as Liziero enters on 74.
  • 79' Matheus Rossetto has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
  • 80' The referee has no hesitation. Kervin Andrade is booked for Fortaleza EC — card on 80.
  • 84' Fortaleza EC ring the changes. Lucas Sasha has done his job and it is now time for Pedro Augusto to step up.
  • 89' Sao Paulo FC are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
  • 90' Hercules is having his name booked by the referee on 90.
  • The final whistle goes. A composed, disciplined performance from Fortaleza EC to claim maximum points.

Lineups

Fortaleza EC Lineups

4-2-3-1

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Juan Vojvoda

Sao Paulo FC Lineups

4-4-2

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Luis Zubeldía

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

PlayerGoals
Luciano 3
Robson 3
Wellington Paulista 2
Juan Lucero 2
David 2
Hernanes 1
Luciano Neves 1
Pablo Felipe 1

Head to Head

2024-07-28 Fortaleza EC 1–0 Sao Paulo FC 2024-04-14 Sao Paulo FC 1–2 Fortaleza EC 2023-09-21 Sao Paulo FC 1–2 Fortaleza EC 2023-05-11 Fortaleza EC 0–0 Sao Paulo FC 2022-08-28 Sao Paulo FC 0–1 Fortaleza EC

Fortaleza EC Form

2024-07-28 Fortaleza EC 1–0 Sao Paulo FC W 2024-07-24 Criciúma EC 1–1 Fortaleza EC D 2024-07-21 Fortaleza EC 3–1 AC Goianiense W 2024-07-18 Fortaleza EC 3–1 EC Vitoria W 2024-07-11 CR Flamengo 1–2 Fortaleza EC W 2024-07-07 Fortaleza EC 1–0 Fluminense FC W

Sao Paulo FC Form

2024-07-28 Fortaleza EC 1–0 Sao Paulo FC L 2024-07-24 Sao Paulo FC 2–2 Botafogo FR D 2024-07-21 EC Juventude 0–0 Sao Paulo FC D 2024-07-17 Sao Paulo FC 1–0 Grêmio FBPA W 2024-07-12 CA Mineiro 2–1 Sao Paulo FC L 2024-07-06 Sao Paulo FC 2–0 RB Bragantino W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.35 Fortaleza EC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.72 Sao Paulo FC xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 66% + Under — clean sheet likely 61%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Fortaleza EC55% Draw28% Sao Paulo FC17%
Actual: Fortaleza EC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes39% 0% No61%
Avg goals/match: 2.07
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 85%
15%
± 1.5 61%
39%
± 2.5 34%
66%
± 3.5 16%
84%
± 4.5 7%
93%

Double Chance

Fortaleza EC or Draw
83%
Draw or Sao Paulo FC
45%
Fortaleza EC or Sao Paulo FC
72%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Fortaleza EC33% Draw53% Sao Paulo FC14%
Actual: Fortaleza EC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 0
Actual
0 – 0
14.9%
1 – 1
13.1%
2 – 0
11%
2 – 1
8.1%
0 – 1
7.9%
3 – 0
4.9%
1 – 2
4.3%
3 – 1
3.7%
0 – 2
3.1%
2 – 2
3%
4 – 0
1.7%

Asian Handicap — Fortaleza EC

Handicap Fortaleza EC covers Push Sao Paulo FC covers
-2.5 9% — 91%
-2 9% 15% 75%
-1.5 25% — 75%
-1 25% 26% 50%
-0.5 50% — 50%
+0.5 82% — 18%
+1 82% 13% 5%
+1.5 95% — 5%
+2 95% 4% 1%
+2.5 99% — 1%

Clean Sheet

Fortaleza EC keeps clean sheet
49% ✗
Sao Paulo FC keeps clean sheet
27% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.