Sao Paulo FC vs Fortaleza EC, Serie A 2023 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Sao Paulo FC vs Fortaleza EC — Serie A at Morumbi.
- Sao Paulo FC 18 games · 25 pts (2026/26)
- Fortaleza EC 0 games · 0 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SE Palmeiras | 18 | 41 |
| 2 | CR Flamengo | 17 | 34 |
| 3 | Fluminense FC | 18 | 31 |
| 4 | CA Paranaense | 18 | 30 |
| 5 | RB Bragantino | 18 | 29 |
| 6 | EC Bahia | 17 | 26 |
| 7 | Coritiba FBC | 18 | 26 |
| 8 | Sao Paulo FC | 18 | 25 |
| 9 | CA Mineiro | 18 | 24 |
| 10 | SC Corinthians Paulista | 18 | 24 |
| 11 | Cruzeiro EC | 18 | 24 |
| 12 | Botafogo FR | 17 | 22 |
| 13 | EC Vitoria | 17 | 22 |
| 14 | SC Internacional | 18 | 21 |
| 15 | Santos FC | 18 | 21 |
| 16 | Grêmio FBPA | 18 | 21 |
| 17 | CR Vasco da Gama | 18 | 20 |
| 18 | Clube do Remo | 18 | 18 |
| 19 | Mirassol FC | 17 | 16 |
| 20 | Chapecoense AF | 17 | 9 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep | Fortaleza EC | H | 1–2 | L |
| 14 Sep | SC Internacional | A | 1–2 | L |
| 27 Aug | America FC | A | 1–2 | L |
| 19 Aug | Botafogo FR | H | 0–0 | D |
| 13 Aug | CR Flamengo | A | 1–1 | D |
| 06 Aug | CA Mineiro | H | 0–2 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep | Sao Paulo FC | A | 2–1 | W |
| 14 Sep | SC Corinthians Paulista | H | 2–1 | W |
| 03 Sep | Fluminense FC | A | 0–1 | L |
| 27 Aug | Coritiba FBC | H | 3–1 | W |
| 19 Aug | SC Internacional | A | 1–0 | W |
| 13 Aug | Santos FC | H | 4–0 | W |
Key Stats
43%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (14 games)
H2H (14 games)
29%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
28%
Clean Sheets
Sao Paulo FC this season
Sao Paulo FC this season
Goal Timing (This Season)
Sao Paulo FC
0-15
3/–
16-30
2/3
31-45
1/2
46-60
–/3
61-75
2/2
76+
4/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Sao Paulo FC
| Luciano | 6 G | 1 A |
| Jonathan Calleri | 6 G | 1 A |
| Ferreira | 4 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' KICK OFF: Fortaleza EC gets underway.
- 5' Bruno Pacheco is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Fortaleza EC so far.
- 10' Emanuel Britez needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Yellow cards this season.
- 15' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
- 16' What a strike from Jose Welison! The score is 0-1.
- 18' That looks like a foul for a Yellow card for Titi.
- 23' It looks like no one’s ball. Sao Paulo FC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
- 27' Jose Welison picks up a Yellow card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
- 32' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
- 37' A quiet spell here at Morumbi. Sao Paulo FC seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
- 42' The 29-year-old Gonzalo Escobar has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 1 assists is a remarkable return.
- 47' Sao Paulo FC are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Fortaleza EC backline.
- 52' Michel Araujo has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
- 53' The referee shows Sao Paulo FC player a Yellow card on 53.
- 53' Juan Lucero makes no mistake. The score reads 0-2 and Fortaleza EC are in front.
- 58' Fortaleza EC are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
- 60' Joao Ricardo catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. Yellow card on 60.
- 65' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
- 66' It’s a booking for Sao Paulo FC player. Nathan gets a Yellow card.
- 69' The referee has no hesitation. Marinho is booked for Fortaleza EC — Yellow card on 69.
- 71' Pedrinho is replacing Michel Araujo for the Sao Paulo FC side.
- 73' Fortaleza EC ring the changes. Tomas Pochettino has done his job and it is now time for Pedro Augusto to step up.
- 74' Thiago Galhardo gets the nod from Fortaleza EC. He replaces Juan Lucero and will look to change the dynamic.
- 79' James Rodriguez does the damage! The net is bulging and Sao Paulo FC surge ahead!
- 80' Talles Costa has so much to prove this time. He replaces Juan Santos on 80 minute.
- 82' It is a substitution in Fortaleza EC team. Jose Welison is replaced by Lucas Sasha on 82 minute.
- 87' Supporters expect more eagerness from Jandrei, as he is very good at scoring at Morumbi with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
- 88' The referee does not hesitate — a Yellow card for Rodrigo Huendra on 88 minutes.
- 89' Fortaleza EC ring the changes. Bruno Pacheco has done his job and it is now time for Gonzalo Escobar to step up.
- 90' Thiago Galhardo catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. Yellow card on 90.
- Game over. The scoreline of 1-2 tells the full story of an entertaining encounter.
Lineups
Sao Paulo FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 10
- 93
- 8
- 19
- 28
- 6
- 15
- 4
- 20
- 45
- 31
Bench
- 22
- 21
- 3
- 12
- 43
- 37
- 47
- 23
- 18
- 44
- 34
- –
Coach
Dorival Júnior
Fortaleza EC Lineups
Starting XI
-
12
Marinho ↓ Yago Pikachu 73'
- 1
-
6
Bruno Pacheco ↓ Gonzalo Escobar 89'
- 7
- 19
-
9
Juan Lucero ↓ Thiago Galhardo 74'
- 2
- 8
- 4
-
17
Jose Welison ↓ Lucas Sasha 82'
- 29
Bench
-
22
Yago Pikachu ↑ 73'
-
91
Thiago Galhardo ↑ 74'
- 16
- 3
- 20
-
45
Gonzalo Escobar ↑ 89'
-
88
Lucas Sasha ↑ 82'
- 18
- 39
- 10
- 5
-
21
Pedro Augusto ↑ 73'
Coach
Juan Vojvoda
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Luciano | 3 |
| Robson | 3 |
| Wellington Paulista | 2 |
| Juan Lucero | 2 |
| David | 2 |
| Renato Kayzer | 1 |
| Vitor Bueno | 1 |
| Gonzalo Tapia | 1 |
Head to Head
Sao Paulo FC Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
0.97
Sao Paulo FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.13
Fortaleza EC xG
I would bet for:
Fortaleza EC or Draw 71% + Under 2.5 goals 65%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Fortaleza EC win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 2.1
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 85% |
|
15% |
| ± 1.5 | 62% |
|
38% |
| ± 2.5 | 35% |
|
65% |
| ± 3.5 | 17% |
|
83% |
| ± 4.5 | 7% |
|
93% |
Double Chance
Sao Paulo FC or Draw
60%
Draw or Fortaleza EC
71%
Sao Paulo FC or Fortaleza EC
69%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Fortaleza EC win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
0 – 0
14.7%
1 – 1
14.4%
0 – 1
12.6%
1 – 0
10.6%
0 – 2
7.5%
1 – 2
Actual
2 – 1
6.3%
2 – 0
5.5%
2 – 2
3.7%
1 – 3
2.8%
0 – 3
2.8%
3 – 1
2.1%
Asian Handicap — Sao Paulo FC
| Handicap | Sao Paulo FC covers | Push | Fortaleza EC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 3% | — | 97% |
| -2 | 3% | 8% | 89% |
| -1.5 | 11% | — | 89% |
| -1 | 11% | 18% | 71% |
| -0.5 | 29% | — | 71% |
| +0.5 | 62% | — | 38% |
| +1 | 62% | 22% | 16% |
| +1.5 | 84% | — | 16% |
| +2 | 84% | 11% | 5% |
| +2.5 | 95% | — | 5% |
Clean Sheet
Sao Paulo FC keeps clean sheet
33%
✓
Fortaleza EC keeps clean sheet
39%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

