Sunday , 16 August 2026

SE Palmeiras vs Fortaleza EC, Serie A 2025 REGULAR SEASON

Sun 21 Sep 2025 · 00:00 UTC Allianz Parque HT 45' · FT 45'
Micael 86' Y

Overview

Match Preview

SE Palmeiras vs Fortaleza ECSerie A at Allianz Parque.

Match Details

  • Referee Alex Gomes Stefano (Brazil)
4 games this season 🟨 1.3/game 4.0 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
21 Sep Fortaleza EC H 4–1 W
13 Sep SC Internacional H 4–1 W
31 Aug SC Corinthians Paulista A 1–1 D
25 Aug SC Recife H 3–0 W
17 Aug Botafogo FR A 1–0 W
10 Aug Ceará SC H 2–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
21 Sep SE Palmeiras A 1–4 L
13 Sep EC Vitoria H 2–0 W
31 Aug SC Internacional A 1–2 L
24 Aug Mirassol FC H 0–1 L
16 Aug Fluminense FC A 1–2 L
09 Aug Botafogo FR H 0–5 L

Key Stats

43% Both Teams to Score
H2H (14 games)
71% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
39% Clean Sheets
SE Palmeiras this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

SE Palmeiras
0-15
3/2
16-30
4/1
31-45
4/1
46-60
1/3
61-75
5/1
76+
3/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

SE Palmeiras
Jose Manuel Lopez 6 G 3 A
Ramon Sosa 4 G 2 A
Allan 4 G 2 A
Mauricio 4 G 1 A
Jhon Arias 4 G 1 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Temperatures are rising at Allianz Parque as SE Palmeiras face off against Fortaleza EC in what promises to be a fascinating contest.
  • 5' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
  • 10' Goal! Raphael Veiga scores his 69 goal in 375 matches.
  • 15' SE Palmeiras is showing some good football. However, SE Palmeiras are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 20' Fortaleza EC fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
  • 23' Lucas Crispim adds to his 0 season tally! Fortaleza EC lead 1-1 — and this changes everything.
  • 28' SE Palmeiras is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 33' The energy levels are beginning to show. might look to freshen things up shortly.
  • 38' Both keepers have barely been tested. SE Palmeiras and Fortaleza EC are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
  • 43' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 48' Fortaleza EC seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 53' Over 53 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
  • 57' Ramon Sosa makes no mistake. The score reads 2-1 and SE Palmeiras are in front.
  • 58' The supporters are chanting for Deyverson. He replaces Juan Lucero on 58 minute.
  • 59' Lucas Crispim makes way for Rodrigo at the 59 minute mark. A tactical switch from Fortaleza EC.
  • 64' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering SE Palmeiras that had 388 games and scored 580 goals.
  • 69' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
  • 70' Time for substitution for SE Palmeiras. Mauricio is replaced by Vitor Roque.
  • 71' The whistle greets Allan as he departs to be replaced by Lucas Evangelista.
  • 74' The SE Palmeiras manager makes a substitution. Facundo Torres Perez departs to be replaced by Andreas Pereira.
  • 75' A change in the SE Palmeiras ranks — Ramon Sosa exits the field as Felipe Anderson enters on 75.
  • 80' Brazil international Micael has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
  • 82' A goal from the Brazil international Andreas Pereira! He fires home on 82 to make it 3-1!
  • 86' It’s gonna be a card for Micael.
  • 86' Another substitution for Fortaleza EC to replace Matheus Pereira by Adam Bareiro on 86 minute.
  • 90' Andreas Pereira does the damage! The net is bulging and SE Palmeiras surge ahead!
  • 90' A meaty challenge results in booking for Emanuel Britez on 90.
  • Both sets of fans can go home satisfied — a 4-1 draw is a fair result on the day.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
2.06 SE Palmeiras xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.17 Fortaleza EC xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 62% + Both teams to score 60%

Match Result

✓ Correct
SE Palmeiras59% Draw22% Fortaleza EC19%
Actual: SE Palmeiras win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes60% 0% No40%
Avg goals/match: 3.23
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 95%
5%
± 1.5 83%
17%
± 2.5 62%
38%
± 3.5 40%
60%
± 4.5 23%
77%

Double Chance

SE Palmeiras or Draw
81%
Draw or Fortaleza EC
41%
SE Palmeiras or Fortaleza EC
78%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
SE Palmeiras41% Draw41% Fortaleza EC18%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
10.4%
2 – 1
9.5%
2 – 0
8.3%
1 – 0
7.5%
3 – 1
6.5%
3 – 0
5.6%
2 – 2
5.5%
0 – 0
5.5%
1 – 2
5.4%
0 – 1
3.9%
3 – 2
3.9%
4 – 1
Actual

Asian Handicap — SE Palmeiras

Handicap SE Palmeiras covers Push Fortaleza EC covers
-2.5 17% 83%
-2 17% 17% 65%
-1.5 35% 65%
-1 35% 22% 44%
-0.5 56% 44%
+0.5 80% 20%
+1 80% 12% 8%
+1.5 92% 8%
+2 92% 6% 3%
+2.5 97% 3%

Clean Sheet

SE Palmeiras keeps clean sheet
32%
Fortaleza EC keeps clean sheet
14%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.