SE Palmeiras vs Fortaleza EC, Serie A 2025 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
SE Palmeiras vs Fortaleza EC — Serie A at Allianz Parque.
- SE Palmeiras 18 games · 41 pts (2026/26)
- Fortaleza EC 0 games · 0 pts (2026/26)
Match Details
- Referee Alex Gomes Stefano (Brazil)
4 games this season
🟨 1.3/game
⚽ 4.0 goals/game
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SE Palmeiras | 18 | 41 |
| 2 | CR Flamengo | 17 | 34 |
| 3 | Fluminense FC | 18 | 31 |
| 4 | CA Paranaense | 18 | 30 |
| 5 | RB Bragantino | 18 | 29 |
| 6 | EC Bahia | 17 | 26 |
| 7 | Coritiba FBC | 18 | 26 |
| 8 | Sao Paulo FC | 18 | 25 |
| 9 | CA Mineiro | 18 | 24 |
| 10 | SC Corinthians Paulista | 18 | 24 |
| 11 | Cruzeiro EC | 18 | 24 |
| 12 | Botafogo FR | 17 | 22 |
| 13 | EC Vitoria | 17 | 22 |
| 14 | SC Internacional | 18 | 21 |
| 15 | Santos FC | 18 | 21 |
| 16 | Grêmio FBPA | 18 | 21 |
| 17 | CR Vasco da Gama | 18 | 20 |
| 18 | Clube do Remo | 18 | 18 |
| 19 | Mirassol FC | 17 | 16 |
| 20 | Chapecoense AF | 17 | 9 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep | Fortaleza EC | H | 4–1 | W |
| 13 Sep | SC Internacional | H | 4–1 | W |
| 31 Aug | SC Corinthians Paulista | A | 1–1 | D |
| 25 Aug | SC Recife | H | 3–0 | W |
| 17 Aug | Botafogo FR | A | 1–0 | W |
| 10 Aug | Ceará SC | H | 2–1 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep | SE Palmeiras | A | 1–4 | L |
| 13 Sep | EC Vitoria | H | 2–0 | W |
| 31 Aug | SC Internacional | A | 1–2 | L |
| 24 Aug | Mirassol FC | H | 0–1 | L |
| 16 Aug | Fluminense FC | A | 1–2 | L |
| 09 Aug | Botafogo FR | H | 0–5 | L |
Key Stats
43%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (14 games)
H2H (14 games)
71%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
39%
Clean Sheets
SE Palmeiras this season
SE Palmeiras this season
Goal Timing (This Season)
SE Palmeiras
0-15
1/2
16-30
3/1
31-45
3/–
46-60
1/2
61-75
2/–
76+
1/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
SE Palmeiras
| Jose Manuel Lopez | 6 G | 3 A |
| Allan | 4 G | 2 A |
| Gustavo Gomez | 3 G | |
| Jhon Arias | 3 G | |
| Vitor Roque | 3 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' We are underway at Allianz Parque. The crowd does wile while the referee lows the starting whistle.
- 5' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
- 10' What a strike from Raphael Veiga! The score is 1-0.
- 15' It’s high time made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
- 20' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Mauricio made 250 appearances and scored 24 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 23' What a strike from Lucas Crispim! The score is 1-1.
- 28' Supporters expect more eagerness from Allan, as he is very good at scoring at Allianz Parque with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
- 33' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering SE Palmeiras that had 386 games and scored 576 goals.
- 38' It looks like no one’s ball. SE Palmeiras is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
- 43' The travelling Fortaleza EC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
- 48' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Micael suffering a number of foals already.
- 53' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
- 57' Ramon Sosa puts SE Palmeiras on the lead.
- 58' Time for substitution for Fortaleza EC. Juan Lucero is replaced by Deyverson.
- 59' It is a substitution in Fortaleza EC team. Lucas Crispim is replaced by Rodrigo on 59 minute.
- 64' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. SE Palmeiras needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
- 69' Fortaleza EC is showing some good football. However, Fortaleza EC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
- 70' Vitor Roque is replacing Mauricio for the SE Palmeiras side.
- 71' Lucas Evangelista has so much to prove this time. He replaces Allan on 71 minute.
- 74' SE Palmeiras manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Andreas Pereira is hanging Facundo Torres Perez on the field on 74 minute.
- 75' The whistle greets Ramon Sosa as he departs to be replaced by Felipe Anderson.
- 80' Matheus Pereira needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
- 82' GOAL! Andreas Pereira scores on 82. Assisted by Felipe Anderson
- 86' SE Palmeiras player sees a card in front of him.
- 86' Fortaleza EC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Adam Bareiro is hanging Matheus Pereira on the field on 86 minute.
- 90' Goal! Andreas Pereira scores his 25 goal in 409 matches.
- 90' That looks like a foul for a card for Emanuel Britez.
- Hope, you loved the show. Another epic battle is over with the score 4-1.
Lineups
SE Palmeiras Lineups
Starting XI
- 188
- 21
- 3
-
18
Mauricio ↓ Vitor Roque 70'
- 17
- 32
- 13
-
19
Ramon Sosa ↓ Felipe Anderson 75'
- 4
- 6
-
40
Allan ↓ Lucas Evangelista 71'
Bench
- 15
-
8
Andreas Pereira ↑ 74'
-
7
Felipe Anderson ↑ 75'
-
30
Lucas Evangelista ↑ 71'
- 5
- 1
- 11
-
42
Jose Manuel Lopez ↑ 70'
- 26
- 22
-
9
Vitor Roque ↑ 70'
- 52
Fortaleza EC Lineups
Starting XI
-
22
Yago Pikachu ↓ Marinho 74'
- 6
- 23
- 88
- 33
-
5
Matheus Pereira ↓ Adam Bareiro 86'
-
9
Juan Lucero ↓ Deyverson 58'
- 3
-
26
Breno Lopes ↓ Tomas Pochettino 74'
-
91
Lucas Crispim ↓ Rodrigo 59'
- 14
Bench
-
11
Marinho ↑ 74'
- 20
- 16
-
18
Deyverson ↑ 58'
-
7
Tomas Pochettino ↑ 74'
-
27
Adam Bareiro ↑ 86'
- 30
- 34
- 12
-
29
Rodrigo ↑ 59'
- 38
- 28
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Raphael Veiga | 4 |
| Roni | 3 |
| Juan Lucero | 3 |
| Ze Rafael | 3 |
| Willian | 2 |
| David | 2 |
| Endrick | 2 |
| Andreas Pereira | 2 |
Head to Head
SE Palmeiras Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
2.06
SE Palmeiras xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.17
Fortaleza EC xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 62% + Both teams to score 60%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: SE Palmeiras win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.23
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 95% |
|
5% |
| ± 1.5 | 83% |
|
17% |
| ± 2.5 | 62% |
|
38% |
| ± 3.5 | 40% |
|
60% |
| ± 4.5 | 23% |
|
77% |
Double Chance
SE Palmeiras or Draw
81%
Draw or Fortaleza EC
41%
SE Palmeiras or Fortaleza EC
78%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
10.4%
2 – 1
9.5%
2 – 0
8.3%
1 – 0
7.5%
3 – 1
6.5%
3 – 0
5.6%
2 – 2
5.5%
0 – 0
5.5%
1 – 2
5.4%
0 – 1
3.9%
3 – 2
3.9%
4 – 1
Actual
Asian Handicap — SE Palmeiras
| Handicap | SE Palmeiras covers | Push | Fortaleza EC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 17% | — | 83% |
| -2 | 17% | 17% | 65% |
| -1.5 | 35% | — | 65% |
| -1 | 35% | 22% | 44% |
| -0.5 | 56% | — | 44% |
| +0.5 | 80% | — | 20% |
| +1 | 80% | 12% | 8% |
| +1.5 | 92% | — | 8% |
| +2 | 92% | 6% | 3% |
| +2.5 | 97% | — | 3% |
Clean Sheet
SE Palmeiras keeps clean sheet
32%
✓
Fortaleza EC keeps clean sheet
14%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

