SE Palmeiras vs Fortaleza EC, Serie A 2025 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
SE Palmeiras vs Fortaleza EC — Serie A at Allianz Parque.
- SE Palmeiras 34 games · 73 pts (2026/26)
- Fortaleza EC 0 games · 0 pts (2026/26)
Match Details
- Referee Alex Gomes Stefano (Brazil)
6 games this season
🟨 2.5/game
⚽ 6.0 goals/game
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CR Flamengo | 34 | 76 |
| 2 | SE Palmeiras | 34 | 73 |
| 3 | Cruzeiro EC | 34 | 60 |
| 4 | Fluminense FC | 34 | 57 |
| 5 | CA Paranaense | 34 | 54 |
| 6 | EC Bahia | 34 | 53 |
| 7 | CA Mineiro | 35 | 51 |
| 8 | RB Bragantino | 34 | 47 |
| 9 | Santos FC | 34 | 47 |
| 10 | Sao Paulo FC | 34 | 44 |
| 11 | Botafogo FR | 34 | 42 |
| 12 | Coritiba FBC | 34 | 42 |
| 13 | CR Vasco da Gama | 33 | 41 |
| 14 | Mirassol FC | 35 | 41 |
| 15 | SC Internacional | 34 | 38 |
| 16 | EC Vitoria | 34 | 38 |
| 17 | SC Corinthians Paulista | 34 | 37 |
| 18 | Gremio FBPA | 34 | 37 |
| 19 | Clube do Remo | 34 | 29 |
| 20 | Chapecoense AF | 33 | 21 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep | Fortaleza EC | H | 4–1 | W |
| 13 Sep | SC Internacional | H | 4–1 | W |
| 31 Aug | SC Corinthians Paulista | A | 1–1 | D |
| 25 Aug | SC Recife | H | 3–0 | W |
| 17 Aug | Botafogo FR | A | 1–0 | W |
| 10 Aug | Ceará SC | H | 2–1 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep | SE Palmeiras | A | 1–4 | L |
| 13 Sep | EC Vitoria | H | 2–0 | W |
| 31 Aug | SC Internacional | A | 1–2 | L |
| 24 Aug | Mirassol FC | H | 0–1 | L |
| 16 Aug | Fluminense FC | A | 1–2 | L |
| 09 Aug | Botafogo FR | H | 0–5 | L |
Key Stats
43%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (14 games)
H2H (14 games)
71%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
47%
Clean Sheets
SE Palmeiras this season
SE Palmeiras this season
Goal Timing (This Season)
SE Palmeiras
0-15
8/2
16-30
6/1
31-45
7/2
46-60
7/4
61-75
6/1
76+
6/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
SE Palmeiras
| Jose Manuel Lopez | 10 G | 7 A |
| Mauricio | 10 G | 1 A |
| Jhon Arias | 6 G | 3 A |
| Vitor Roque | 5 G | 1 A |
| Allan | 4 G | 3 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' The match kicks off with home fans waiting with anticipation for SE Palmeiras to score. At the same time, Fortaleza EC does not seem to pull back! Let’s get it on!
- 5' SE Palmeiras currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
- 10' Raphael Veiga adds to his 0 season tally! SE Palmeiras lead 1-0 — and this changes everything.
- 15' Fortaleza EC seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
- 20' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His SE Palmeiras side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
- 23' GOAL! Lucas Crispim fires home to make it 1-1!
- 28' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
- 33' Argentina international Agustin Giay has been a key figure this campaign — 3 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
- 38' Breno Lopes has been relatively quiet despite scoring 32 goals in his last 401 appearances.
- 43' Bruno Fuchs has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 33 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
- 48' SE Palmeiras are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
- 53' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. SE Palmeiras needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
- 57' SE Palmeiras is taking the lead after the goal scored by Ramon Sosa on 57.
- 58' The crowd applauds Juan Lucero as he leaves the pitch. Deyverson steps in for Fortaleza EC.
- 59' Fortaleza EC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Rodrigo is hanging Lucas Crispim on the field on 59 minute.
- 64' SE Palmeiras started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 64.
- 69' Supporters expect more eagerness from Jefte, as he is very good at scoring at Allianz Parque with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
- 70' The supporters are chanting for Vitor Roque. He replaces Mauricio on 70 minute.
- 71' The whistle greets Allan as he departs to be replaced by Lucas Evangelista.
- 74' A change in the SE Palmeiras ranks — Facundo Torres Perez exits the field as Andreas Pereira enters on 74.
- 75' SE Palmeiras make a change. Ramon Sosa trudges off to be replaced by Felipe Anderson on 75 minutes.
- 80' Adam Bareiro needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
- 82' GOAL! Andreas Pereira fires home to make it 3-1!
- 86' A meaty challenge results in booking for Micael on 86.
- 86' The whistle greets Matheus Pereira as he departs to be replaced by Adam Bareiro.
- 90' A goal from the Brazil international Andreas Pereira! He fires home on 90 to make it 4-1!
- 90' The referee shows Fortaleza EC player a card on 90.
- What a match! Full time at {STADIUM} — SE Palmeiras 4-1 Fortaleza EC.
Lineups
SE Palmeiras Lineups
Starting XI
- 188
- 21
- 3
-
18
Mauricio ↓ Vitor Roque 70'
- 17
- 32
- 13
-
19
Ramon Sosa ↓ Felipe Anderson 75'
- 4
- 6
-
40
Allan ↓ Lucas Evangelista 71'
Bench
- 15
-
8
Andreas Pereira ↑ 74'
-
7
Felipe Anderson ↑ 75'
-
30
Lucas Evangelista ↑ 71'
- 5
- 1
- 11
-
42
Jose Manuel Lopez ↑ 70'
- 26
- 22
-
9
Vitor Roque ↑ 70'
- 52
Fortaleza EC Lineups
Starting XI
-
22
Yago Pikachu ↓ Marinho 74'
- 6
- 23
- 88
- 33
-
5
Matheus Pereira ↓ Adam Bareiro 86'
-
9
Juan Lucero ↓ Deyverson 58'
- 3
-
26
Breno Lopes ↓ Tomas Pochettino 74'
-
91
Lucas Crispim ↓ Rodrigo 59'
- 14
Bench
-
11
Marinho ↑ 74'
- 20
- 16
-
18
Deyverson ↑ 58'
-
7
Tomas Pochettino ↑ 74'
-
27
Adam Bareiro ↑ 86'
- 30
- 34
- 12
-
29
Rodrigo ↑ 59'
- 38
- 28
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Raphael Veiga | 4 |
| Ze Rafael | 3 |
| Roni | 3 |
| Juan Lucero | 3 |
| Robson | 2 |
| Willian | 2 |
| David | 2 |
| Endrick | 2 |
Head to Head
SE Palmeiras Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
2.06
SE Palmeiras xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.17
Fortaleza EC xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 62% + Both teams to score 60%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: SE Palmeiras win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.23
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 95% |
|
5% |
| ± 1.5 | 83% |
|
17% |
| ± 2.5 | 62% |
|
38% |
| ± 3.5 | 40% |
|
60% |
| ± 4.5 | 23% |
|
77% |
Double Chance
SE Palmeiras or Draw
81%
Draw or Fortaleza EC
41%
SE Palmeiras or Fortaleza EC
78%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
10.4%
2 – 1
9.5%
2 – 0
8.3%
1 – 0
7.5%
3 – 1
6.5%
3 – 0
5.6%
2 – 2
5.5%
0 – 0
5.5%
1 – 2
5.4%
0 – 1
3.9%
3 – 2
3.9%
4 – 1
Actual
Asian Handicap — SE Palmeiras
| Handicap | SE Palmeiras covers | Push | Fortaleza EC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 17% | — | 83% |
| -2 | 17% | 17% | 65% |
| -1.5 | 35% | — | 65% |
| -1 | 35% | 22% | 44% |
| -0.5 | 56% | — | 44% |
| +0.5 | 80% | — | 20% |
| +1 | 80% | 12% | 8% |
| +1.5 | 92% | — | 8% |
| +2 | 92% | 6% | 3% |
| +2.5 | 97% | — | 3% |
Clean Sheet
SE Palmeiras keeps clean sheet
32%
✓
Fortaleza EC keeps clean sheet
14%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

