Wednesday , 30 September 2026

SE Palmeiras vs Fortaleza EC, Serie A 2025 REGULAR SEASON

Sun 21 Sep 2025 · 00:00 UTC Allianz Parque HT 45' · FT 45'
Micael 86' Y

Overview

Match Preview

SE Palmeiras vs Fortaleza EC — Serie A at Allianz Parque.

Match Details

  • Referee Alex Gomes Stefano (Brazil)
4 games this season 🟨 1.3/game ⚽ 4.0 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
21 Sep Fortaleza EC H 4–1 W
13 Sep SC Internacional H 4–1 W
31 Aug SC Corinthians Paulista A 1–1 D
25 Aug SC Recife H 3–0 W
17 Aug Botafogo FR A 1–0 W
10 Aug Ceará SC H 2–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
21 Sep SE Palmeiras A 1–4 L
13 Sep EC Vitoria H 2–0 W
31 Aug SC Internacional A 1–2 L
24 Aug Mirassol FC H 0–1 L
16 Aug Fluminense FC A 1–2 L
09 Aug Botafogo FR H 0–5 L

Key Stats

43% Both Teams to Score
H2H (14 games)
71% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
43% Clean Sheets
SE Palmeiras this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

SE Palmeiras
0-15
3/2
16-30
4/1
31-45
5/1
46-60
5/4
61-75
6/1
76+
4/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

SE Palmeiras
Jose Manuel Lopez 8 G 4 A
Mauricio 7 G 1 A
Vitor Roque 5 G
Allan 4 G 3 A
Gustavo Gomez 4 G 2 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' SE Palmeiras have kicked off against Fortaleza EC. Both sides are eager to make an early statement.
  • 5' SE Palmeiras are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against Fortaleza EC's shape.
  • 10' Against the run of play, Raphael Veiga has scored! This game has turned on its head.
  • 15' Both keepers have barely been tested. SE Palmeiras and Fortaleza EC are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
  • 20' named a earlier, and opted for a in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
  • 23' Lucas Crispim doubles the advantage! 1-1 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
  • 28' SE Palmeiras seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 33' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 38' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both SE Palmeiras and Fortaleza EC are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
  • 43' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • 48' Fortaleza EC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 48.
  • 53' Bruno Pacheco has been relatively quiet despite scoring 8 goals in his last 183 appearances.
  • 57' Ramon Sosa is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 3 goals this season for the .
  • 58' A tactical swap from Fortaleza EC — Deyverson on, Juan Lucero off on 58 minutes.
  • 59' Rodrigo has so much to prove this time. He replaces Lucas Crispim on 59 minute.
  • 64' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His SE Palmeiras side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
  • 69' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 70' The supporters are chanting for Vitor Roque. He replaces Mauricio on 70 minute.
  • 71' Time for substitution for SE Palmeiras. Allan is replaced by Lucas Evangelista.
  • 74' Time for substitution for SE Palmeiras. Facundo Torres Perez is replaced by Andreas Pereira.
  • 75' SE Palmeiras make a change. Ramon Sosa trudges off to be replaced by Felipe Anderson on 75 minutes.
  • 80' With 0 assists to his name this season, Adam Bareiro is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Fortaleza EC.
  • 82' Against the run of play, Andreas Pereira has scored! This game has turned on its head.
  • 86' Micael has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 86.
  • 86' The supporters are chanting for Adam Bareiro. He replaces Matheus Pereira on 86 minute.
  • 90' Andreas Pereira doubles the advantage! 4-1 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
  • 90' The referee shows Fortaleza EC player a card on 90.
  • Another three points for SE Palmeiras.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
2.06 SE Palmeiras xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.17 Fortaleza EC xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 62% + Both teams to score 60%

Match Result

✓ Correct
SE Palmeiras59% Draw22% Fortaleza EC19%
Actual: SE Palmeiras win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes60% 0% No40%
Avg goals/match: 3.23
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 95%
5%
± 1.5 83%
17%
± 2.5 62%
38%
± 3.5 40%
60%
± 4.5 23%
77%

Double Chance

SE Palmeiras or Draw
81%
Draw or Fortaleza EC
41%
SE Palmeiras or Fortaleza EC
78%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
SE Palmeiras41% Draw41% Fortaleza EC18%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
10.4%
2 – 1
9.5%
2 – 0
8.3%
1 – 0
7.5%
3 – 1
6.5%
3 – 0
5.6%
2 – 2
5.5%
0 – 0
5.5%
1 – 2
5.4%
0 – 1
3.9%
3 – 2
3.9%
4 – 1
Actual

Asian Handicap — SE Palmeiras

Handicap SE Palmeiras covers Push Fortaleza EC covers
-2.5 17% — 83%
-2 17% 17% 65%
-1.5 35% — 65%
-1 35% 22% 44%
-0.5 56% — 44%
+0.5 80% — 20%
+1 80% 12% 8%
+1.5 92% — 8%
+2 92% 6% 3%
+2.5 97% — 3%

Clean Sheet

SE Palmeiras keeps clean sheet
32% ✓
Fortaleza EC keeps clean sheet
14% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.