SE Palmeiras vs Fortaleza EC, Serie A 2025 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
SE Palmeiras vs Fortaleza EC — Serie A at Allianz Parque.
- SE Palmeiras 23 games · 48 pts (2026/26)
- Fortaleza EC 0 games · 0 pts (2026/26)
Match Details
- Referee Alex Gomes Stefano (Brazil)
4 games this season
🟨 1.3/game
⚽ 4.0 goals/game
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SE Palmeiras | 23 | 48 |
| 2 | CR Flamengo | 21 | 42 |
| 3 | CA Paranaense | 23 | 41 |
| 4 | Fluminense FC | 23 | 38 |
| 5 | EC Bahia | 22 | 33 |
| 6 | Cruzeiro EC | 22 | 33 |
| 7 | RB Bragantino | 22 | 32 |
| 8 | SC Corinthians Paulista | 22 | 32 |
| 9 | Coritiba FBC | 23 | 31 |
| 10 | Botafogo FR | 21 | 30 |
| 11 | CA Mineiro | 21 | 29 |
| 12 | Sao Paulo FC | 22 | 27 |
| 13 | EC Vitoria | 22 | 26 |
| 14 | Gremio FBPA | 21 | 25 |
| 15 | SC Internacional | 22 | 23 |
| 16 | Mirassol FC | 21 | 23 |
| 17 | Santos FC | 21 | 22 |
| 18 | CR Vasco da Gama | 21 | 22 |
| 19 | Clube do Remo | 22 | 22 |
| 20 | Chapecoense AF | 21 | 10 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep | Fortaleza EC | H | 4–1 | W |
| 13 Sep | SC Internacional | H | 4–1 | W |
| 31 Aug | SC Corinthians Paulista | A | 1–1 | D |
| 25 Aug | SC Recife | H | 3–0 | W |
| 17 Aug | Botafogo FR | A | 1–0 | W |
| 10 Aug | Ceará SC | H | 2–1 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep | SE Palmeiras | A | 1–4 | L |
| 13 Sep | EC Vitoria | H | 2–0 | W |
| 31 Aug | SC Internacional | A | 1–2 | L |
| 24 Aug | Mirassol FC | H | 0–1 | L |
| 16 Aug | Fluminense FC | A | 1–2 | L |
| 09 Aug | Botafogo FR | H | 0–5 | L |
Key Stats
43%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (14 games)
H2H (14 games)
71%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
39%
Clean Sheets
SE Palmeiras this season
SE Palmeiras this season
Goal Timing (This Season)
SE Palmeiras
0-15
3/2
16-30
4/1
31-45
4/1
46-60
1/3
61-75
5/1
76+
3/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
SE Palmeiras
| Jose Manuel Lopez | 6 G | 3 A |
| Ramon Sosa | 4 G | 2 A |
| Allan | 4 G | 2 A |
| Mauricio | 4 G | 1 A |
| Jhon Arias | 4 G | 1 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' Temperatures are rising at Allianz Parque as SE Palmeiras face off against Fortaleza EC in what promises to be a fascinating contest.
- 5' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
- 10' Goal! Raphael Veiga scores his 69 goal in 375 matches.
- 15' SE Palmeiras is showing some good football. However, SE Palmeiras are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
- 20' Fortaleza EC fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
- 23' Lucas Crispim adds to his 0 season tally! Fortaleza EC lead 1-1 — and this changes everything.
- 28' SE Palmeiras is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- 33' The energy levels are beginning to show. might look to freshen things up shortly.
- 38' Both keepers have barely been tested. SE Palmeiras and Fortaleza EC are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
- 43' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
- 48' Fortaleza EC seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
- 53' Over 53 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
- 57' Ramon Sosa makes no mistake. The score reads 2-1 and SE Palmeiras are in front.
- 58' The supporters are chanting for Deyverson. He replaces Juan Lucero on 58 minute.
- 59' Lucas Crispim makes way for Rodrigo at the 59 minute mark. A tactical switch from Fortaleza EC.
- 64' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering SE Palmeiras that had 388 games and scored 580 goals.
- 69' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
- 70' Time for substitution for SE Palmeiras. Mauricio is replaced by Vitor Roque.
- 71' The whistle greets Allan as he departs to be replaced by Lucas Evangelista.
- 74' The SE Palmeiras manager makes a substitution. Facundo Torres Perez departs to be replaced by Andreas Pereira.
- 75' A change in the SE Palmeiras ranks — Ramon Sosa exits the field as Felipe Anderson enters on 75.
- 80' Brazil international Micael has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
- 82' A goal from the Brazil international Andreas Pereira! He fires home on 82 to make it 3-1!
- 86' It’s gonna be a card for Micael.
- 86' Another substitution for Fortaleza EC to replace Matheus Pereira by Adam Bareiro on 86 minute.
- 90' Andreas Pereira does the damage! The net is bulging and SE Palmeiras surge ahead!
- 90' A meaty challenge results in booking for Emanuel Britez on 90.
- Both sets of fans can go home satisfied — a 4-1 draw is a fair result on the day.
Lineups
SE Palmeiras Lineups
Starting XI
- 188
- 21
- 3
-
18
Mauricio ↓ Vitor Roque 70'
- 17
- 32
- 13
-
19
Ramon Sosa ↓ Felipe Anderson 75'
- 4
- 6
-
40
Allan ↓ Lucas Evangelista 71'
Bench
- 15
-
8
Andreas Pereira ↑ 74'
-
7
Felipe Anderson ↑ 75'
-
30
Lucas Evangelista ↑ 71'
- 5
- 1
- 11
-
42
Jose Manuel Lopez ↑ 70'
- 26
- 22
-
9
Vitor Roque ↑ 70'
- 52
Fortaleza EC Lineups
Starting XI
-
22
Yago Pikachu ↓ Marinho 74'
- 6
- 23
- 88
- 33
-
5
Matheus Pereira ↓ Adam Bareiro 86'
-
9
Juan Lucero ↓ Deyverson 58'
- 3
-
26
Breno Lopes ↓ Tomas Pochettino 74'
-
91
Lucas Crispim ↓ Rodrigo 59'
- 14
Bench
-
11
Marinho ↑ 74'
- 20
- 16
-
18
Deyverson ↑ 58'
-
7
Tomas Pochettino ↑ 74'
-
27
Adam Bareiro ↑ 86'
- 30
- 34
- 12
-
29
Rodrigo ↑ 59'
- 38
- 28
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Raphael Veiga | 4 |
| Roni | 3 |
| Juan Lucero | 3 |
| Ze Rafael | 3 |
| Endrick | 2 |
| Andreas Pereira | 2 |
| Robson | 2 |
| Willian | 2 |
Head to Head
SE Palmeiras Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
2.06
SE Palmeiras xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.17
Fortaleza EC xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 62% + Both teams to score 60%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: SE Palmeiras win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.23
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 95% |
|
5% |
| ± 1.5 | 83% |
|
17% |
| ± 2.5 | 62% |
|
38% |
| ± 3.5 | 40% |
|
60% |
| ± 4.5 | 23% |
|
77% |
Double Chance
SE Palmeiras or Draw
81%
Draw or Fortaleza EC
41%
SE Palmeiras or Fortaleza EC
78%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
10.4%
2 – 1
9.5%
2 – 0
8.3%
1 – 0
7.5%
3 – 1
6.5%
3 – 0
5.6%
2 – 2
5.5%
0 – 0
5.5%
1 – 2
5.4%
0 – 1
3.9%
3 – 2
3.9%
4 – 1
Actual
Asian Handicap — SE Palmeiras
| Handicap | SE Palmeiras covers | Push | Fortaleza EC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 17% | — | 83% |
| -2 | 17% | 17% | 65% |
| -1.5 | 35% | — | 65% |
| -1 | 35% | 22% | 44% |
| -0.5 | 56% | — | 44% |
| +0.5 | 80% | — | 20% |
| +1 | 80% | 12% | 8% |
| +1.5 | 92% | — | 8% |
| +2 | 92% | 6% | 3% |
| +2.5 | 97% | — | 3% |
Clean Sheet
SE Palmeiras keeps clean sheet
32%
✓
Fortaleza EC keeps clean sheet
14%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

