Thursday , 2 July 2026

Fortaleza EC vs SC Recife, Serie A 2025 REGULAR SEASON

1 0
Full Time
Sat 27 Sep 2025 · 19:00 UTC Castelao HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Fortaleza EC vs SC RecifeSerie A at Castelao.

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
27 Sep SC Recife H 1–0 W
21 Sep SE Palmeiras A 1–4 L
13 Sep EC Vitoria H 2–0 W
31 Aug SC Internacional A 1–2 L
24 Aug Mirassol FC H 0–1 L
16 Aug Fluminense FC A 1–2 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
27 Sep Fortaleza EC A 0–1 L
21 Sep SC Corinthians Paulista H 1–0 W
14 Sep RB Bragantino A 1–1 D
31 Aug CR Vasco da Gama H 2–3 L
25 Aug SE Palmeiras A 0–3 L
16 Aug Sao Paulo FC H 2–2 D

Key Stats

0% Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)
0% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The game is set. SC Recife kicks off things out of here…
  • 5' Fortaleza EC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 10' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Lucas Lima suffering a number of foals already.
  • 15' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 19' It’s gonna be a card for Eros Mancuso.
  • 24' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 29' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Fortaleza EC that had 266 games and scored 352 goals.
  • 34' Fortaleza EC receives a card for a hard tackle on 34.
  • 35' Derik Lacerda was booked on 35.
  • 40' Fortaleza EC is showing some good football. However, Fortaleza EC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 44' Fortaleza EC is taking the lead after the goal scored by Lucas Sasha on 44.
  • 46' Joao Silva is replacing Rafael Thyere for the SC Recife side.
  • 51' It looks surprising Fortaleza EC does not make any changes. Breno Lopes has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 56' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Matheusinho made 161 appearances and scored 7 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 58' The supporters are chanting for Hyoran. He replaces Lucas Kal on 58 minute.
  • 63' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 68' Fortaleza EC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Yeison Guzman is hanging Lucas Crispim on the field on 68 minute.
  • 72' That looks like a foul for a card for Luan Candido.
  • 77' Ramon has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 17 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 79' SC Recife manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Romarinho is hanging Lucas Lima on the field on 79 minute.
  • 82' Time for substitution for Fortaleza EC. Yago Pikachu is replaced by Benjamin Kuscevic.
  • 83' SC Recife receives a card for a hard tackle on 83.
  • 83' Another change for Fortaleza EC made on 83 minute. Deyverson leaves to be changed by Juan Lucero.
  • 84' SC Recife manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Ignacio Ramirez is hanging Matheusinho on the field on 84 minute.
  • 89' SC Recife seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • The final score is 1-0.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.18 Fortaleza EC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.66 SC Recife xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 72% + Under — clean sheet likely 65%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Fortaleza EC50% Draw31% SC Recife19%
Actual: Fortaleza EC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes35% 0% No65%
Avg goals/match: 1.84
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 82%
18%
± 1.5 55%
45%
± 2.5 28%
72%
± 3.5 12%
88%
± 4.5 5%
95%

Double Chance

Fortaleza EC or Draw
81%
Draw or SC Recife
50%
Fortaleza EC or SC Recife
69%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Fortaleza EC30% Draw56% SC Recife14%
Actual: Fortaleza EC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 0
18.4%
1 – 0
Actual
1 – 1
13.2%
2 – 0
10.5%
0 – 1
9.1%
2 – 1
7.2%
3 – 0
4.1%
1 – 2
3.9%
0 – 2
3.2%
3 – 1
2.9%
2 – 2
2.5%
4 – 0
1.2%

Asian Handicap — Fortaleza EC

Handicap Fortaleza EC covers Push SC Recife covers
-2.5 7% 93%
-2 7% 14% 79%
-1.5 21% 79%
-1 21% 26% 53%
-0.5 47% 53%
+0.5 81% 19%
+1 81% 14% 5%
+1.5 95% 5%
+2 95% 4% 1%
+2.5 99% 1%

Clean Sheet

Fortaleza EC keeps clean sheet
52%
SC Recife keeps clean sheet
32%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.