Saturday , 14 November 2026

Fortaleza EC vs SC Recife, Serie A 2025 REGULAR SEASON

1 – 0
Full Time
Sat 27 Sep 2025 · 19:00 UTC Castelao HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Fortaleza EC vs SC Recife — Serie A at Castelao.

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
27 Sep SC Recife H 1–0 W
21 Sep SE Palmeiras A 1–4 L
13 Sep EC Vitoria H 2–0 W
31 Aug SC Internacional A 1–2 L
24 Aug Mirassol FC H 0–1 L
16 Aug Fluminense FC A 1–2 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
27 Sep Fortaleza EC A 0–1 L
21 Sep SC Corinthians Paulista H 1–0 W
14 Sep RB Bragantino A 1–1 D
31 Aug CR Vasco da Gama H 2–3 L
25 Aug SE Palmeiras A 0–3 L
16 Aug Sao Paulo FC H 2–2 D

Key Stats

0% Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)
0% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The wait is over. SC Recife get us underway at Castelao.
  • 5' Both keepers have barely been tested. Fortaleza EC and SC Recife are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
  • 10' Fortaleza EC seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 15' Supporters expect more eagerness from Lucas Gazal, as he is very good at scoring at Castelao with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
  • 19' The referee has no hesitation. Eros Mancuso is booked for Fortaleza EC — card on 19.
  • 24' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
  • 29' It looks surprising SC Recife does not make any changes. Eros Mancuso has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 34' Bruno Pacheco has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 34.
  • 35' The referee calls foul for Derik Lacerda. He receives a card.
  • 40' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
  • 44' A stunning finish from Lucas Sasha — that came from absolutely nowhere!
  • 46' The SC Recife manager makes a substitution. Rafael Thyere departs to be replaced by Joao Silva.
  • 51' Deyverson has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 33 cards already picked up this season.
  • 56' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Fortaleza EC side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
  • 58' It is a substitution in SC Recife team. Lucas Kal is replaced by Hyoran on 58 minute.
  • 63' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Fortaleza EC and SC Recife are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
  • 68' It is a substitution in Fortaleza EC team. Lucas Crispim is replaced by Yeison Guzman on 68 minute.
  • 72' The referee calls foul for Luan Candido. He receives a card.
  • 77' Fortaleza EC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 77.
  • 79' Time for substitution for SC Recife. Lucas Lima is replaced by Romarinho.
  • 82' Benjamin Kuscevic gets the nod from Fortaleza EC. He replaces Yago Pikachu and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 83' The referee shows SC Recife player a card on 83.
  • 83' Fortaleza EC make a change. Deyverson trudges off to be replaced by Juan Lucero on 83 minutes.
  • 84' Another substitution for SC Recife to replace Matheusinho by Ignacio Ramirez on 84 minute.
  • 89' Fortaleza EC currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • Hope, you loved the show. Another epic battle is over with the score 1-0.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.18 Fortaleza EC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.66 SC Recife xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 72% + Under — clean sheet likely 65%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Fortaleza EC50% Draw31% SC Recife19%
Actual: Fortaleza EC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes35% 0% No65%
Avg goals/match: 1.84
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 82%
18%
± 1.5 55%
45%
± 2.5 28%
72%
± 3.5 12%
88%
± 4.5 5%
95%

Double Chance

Fortaleza EC or Draw
81%
Draw or SC Recife
50%
Fortaleza EC or SC Recife
69%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Fortaleza EC30% Draw56% SC Recife14%
Actual: Fortaleza EC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 0
18.4%
1 – 0
Actual
1 – 1
13.2%
2 – 0
10.5%
0 – 1
9.1%
2 – 1
7.2%
3 – 0
4.1%
1 – 2
3.9%
0 – 2
3.2%
3 – 1
2.9%
2 – 2
2.5%
4 – 0
1.2%

Asian Handicap — Fortaleza EC

Handicap Fortaleza EC covers Push SC Recife covers
-2.5 7% — 93%
-2 7% 14% 79%
-1.5 21% — 79%
-1 21% 26% 53%
-0.5 47% — 53%
+0.5 81% — 19%
+1 81% 14% 5%
+1.5 95% — 5%
+2 95% 4% 1%
+2.5 99% — 1%

Clean Sheet

Fortaleza EC keeps clean sheet
52% ✓
SC Recife keeps clean sheet
32% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.