Fortaleza EC vs Sao Paulo FC, Serie A 2025 REGULAR SEASON
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Overview
Match Preview
Fortaleza EC vs Sao Paulo FC — Serie A at Castelao.
- Fortaleza EC 0 games · 0 pts (2026/26)
- Sao Paulo FC 17 games · 25 pts (2026/26)
Standings
# Team P Pts 1 SE Palmeiras 17 38 2 CR Flamengo 16 31 3 Fluminense FC 17 30 4 CA Paranaense 17 27 5 RB Bragantino 17 26 6 Coritiba FBC 17 26 7 Sao Paulo FC 17 25 8 EC Bahia 16 23 9 Cruzeiro EC 17 23 10 Botafogo FR 16 22 11 EC Vitoria 16 22 12 SC Internacional 17 21 13 Gremio FBPA 17 21 14 CA Mineiro 17 21 15 SC Corinthians Paulista 17 21 16 CR Vasco da Gama 17 20 17 Santos FC 17 18 18 Mirassol FC 16 16 19 Clube do Remo 17 15 20 Chapecoense AF 16 9 Head-to-Head
Recent Form
Date Opponent H/A Score Result 02 Oct Sao Paulo FC H 0–2 L 27 Sep SC Recife H 1–0 W 21 Sep SE Palmeiras A 1–4 L 13 Sep EC Vitoria H 2–0 W 31 Aug SC Internacional A 1–2 L 24 Aug Mirassol FC H 0–1 L Date Opponent H/A Score Result 02 Oct Fortaleza EC A 2–0 W 29 Sep Ceara SC H 0–1 L 21 Sep Santos FC A 0–1 L 14 Sep Botafogo FR H 1–0 W 31 Aug Cruzeiro EC A 0–1 L 24 Aug CA Mineiro H 2–0 W Key Stats
43% Both Teams to Score
H2H (14 games)29% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history28% Clean Sheets
Sao Paulo FC this seasonGoal Timing (This Season)
Sao Paulo FC0-153/–16-302/331-451/246-60–/361-752/276+4/4■ Scored ■ ConcededTop Scorers (This Season)
Sao Paulo FCLuciano 6 G 1 A Jonathan Calleri 6 G 1 A Ferreira 4 G -
Events
Match Events
- 0' In just a few seconds Castelao will turn into a battlefield for Fortaleza EC and Sao Paulo FC.
- 5' It’s high time made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
- 10' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
- 11' Gonzalo Tapia puts Sao Paulo FC on the lead.
- 16' Damian Bobadilla has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 4 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
- 21' Fortaleza EC is showing some good football. However, Fortaleza EC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
- 22' Emiliano Rigoni is having his name booked by the referee on 22.
- 27' It looks surprising Sao Paulo FC does not make any changes. Gaston Avila has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
- 32' Supporters expect more eagerness from Mailton dos Santos, as he is very good at scoring at Castelao with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
- 37' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
- 42' The travelling Sao Paulo FC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
- 45' The referee shows Fortaleza EC player a card on 45.
- 46' Another change for Sao Paulo FC made on 46 minute. Rodrigo Huendra leaves to be changed by Enzo Diaz.
- 51' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 51 minutes.
- 56' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
- 58' The referee shows Fortaleza EC player a card on 58.
- 61' Another change for Fortaleza EC made on 61 minute. Lucas Crispim leaves to be changed by Adam Bareiro.
- 62' Another change for Fortaleza EC made on 62 minute. Yago Pikachu leaves to be changed by Tomas Pochettino.
- 67' Sao Paulo FC seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
- 68' The supporters are chanting for Mailton dos Santos. He replaces Cedric on 68 minute.
- 73' Another change for Fortaleza EC made on 73 minute. Deyverson leaves to be changed by Marinho.
- 77' Luciano is replacing Gonzalo Tapia for the Sao Paulo FC side.
- 79' The whistle greets Wendell as he departs to be replaced by Alisson.
- 84' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Alisson suffering a number of foals already.
- 85' GOAL! Luciano scores on 85. Assisted by Enzo Diaz
- 87' A meaty challenge results in booking for Tomas Pochettino on 87.
- Another three points for Sao Paulo FC.
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Lineups
Fortaleza EC Lineups
Starting XI
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22
Yago Pikachu ↓ Tomas Pochettino 62'
- 16
- 18
- 88
- 33
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5
Matheus Pereira ↓ Yeison Guzman 46'
- 3
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91
Lucas Crispim ↓ Adam Bareiro 61'
- 34
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80
Jose Herrera ↓ Breno Lopes 46'
- 12
Bench
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11
Marinho ↑ 73'
- 20
- 23
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7
Tomas Pochettino ↑ 62'
- 13
- 9
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27
Adam Bareiro ↑ 61'
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26
Breno Lopes ↑ 46'
- 70
- 30
- 29
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10
Yeison Guzman ↑ 46'
Sao Paulo FC Lineups
Starting XI
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6
Cedric ↓ Mailton dos Santos 68'
- 16
- 18
- 77
- 35
- 29
- 23
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15
Rodrigo Huendra ↓ Enzo Diaz 46'
- 21
- 43
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14
Gonzalo Tapia ↓ Luciano 77'
Bench
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25
Alisson ↑ 79'
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10
Luciano ↑ 77'
- 20
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13
Enzo Diaz ↑ 46'
- 11
- 36
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22
Mailton dos Santos ↑ 68'
- 50
- 53
- 19
- 45
- 8
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22
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H2H
H2H Top Scorers
Player Goals Luciano 3 Robson 3 Juan Lucero 2 David 2 Wellington Paulista 2 Jose Welison 1 Gabriel 1 Andre Silva 1 Head to Head
Fortaleza EC Form
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Predictions
Prediction accuracy2 / 41.05 Fortaleza EC xGExpected GoalsDixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo0.96 Sao Paulo FC xGI would bet for: Fortaleza EC or Draw 69% + Under 2.5 goals 67%Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Sao Paulo FC winBoth Teams to Score
✓ CorrectAvg goals/match: 2.01Actual: No — clean sheetOver / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5Line Over Under ± 0.5 84% 16% ± 1.5 60% 40% ± 2.5 33% 67% ± 3.5 15% 85% ± 4.5 6% 94% Double Chance
Fortaleza EC or Draw 69%Draw or Sao Paulo FC 63%Fortaleza EC or Sao Paulo FC 68%Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Sao Paulo FC win at HTCorrect Score
✓ In top 120 – 0 15.8%1 – 1 14.5%1 – 0 12.7%0 – 1 11.5%2 – 0 7.1%2 – 1 6.9%1 – 2 6.3%0 – 2 Actual2 – 2 3.5%3 – 1 2.5%3 – 0 2.4%1 – 3 2.1%Asian Handicap — Fortaleza EC
Handicap Fortaleza EC covers Push Sao Paulo FC covers -2.5 4% — 96% -2 4% 10% 86% -1.5 14% — 86% -1 14% 21% 65% -0.5 35% — 65% +0.5 70% — 30% +1 70% 19% 11% +1.5 89% — 11% +2 89% 8% 3% +2.5 97% — 3% Clean Sheet
Fortaleza EC keeps clean sheet 39% ✓Sao Paulo FC keeps clean sheet 36% ✗Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.