Thursday , 2 July 2026

PFK Sochi vs FK Spartak Moskva, RFPL 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

RFPL · 2025-26
Mon 2 Mar 2026 · 12:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

PFK Sochi vs FK Spartak MoskvaRFPL .

Match Details

  • Referee Evgeniy Bulanov (Russia)
5 games this season 🟨 1.6/game 3.2 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
02 Mar FK Spartak Moskva H 2–3 L
07 Dec FK Lokomotiv Moskva H 2–4 L
01 Dec FK Dinamo Makhachkala H 0–0 D
21 Nov FK Akron Tolyatti A 2–3 L
08 Nov FK Rostov H 0–1 L
02 Nov FK Orenburg A 1–3 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
02 Mar PFK Sochi A 3–2 W
06 Dec FK Dinamo Moskva H 1–1 D
29 Nov FK Baltika Kaliningrad A 0–1 L
22 Nov PFC CSKA Moskva H 1–0 W
09 Nov RFK Akhmat Grozny A 2–1 W
02 Nov FK Krasnodar A 1–2 L

Season Stats

PFK Sochi FK Spartak Moskva
#16 Position #4
22 Points 52
30 Played 30
6 / 4 / 20 W / D / L 15 / 7 / 8
29 Scored 47
60 Conceded 39
-31 GD +8
0.73 PPG 1.73
20% Win % 50%

Key Stats

45% Both Teams to Score
H2H (11 games)
45% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
13% Clean Sheets
PFK Sochi this season
23% Clean Sheets
FK Spartak Moskva this season

PFK Sochi are 16th (22 pts). FK Spartak Moskva are 4th (52 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

PFK Sochi
0-15
2/1
16-30
/2
31-45
2/
46-60
1/2
61-75
1/1
76+
3/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
FK Spartak Moskva
0-15
2/1
16-30
2/2
31-45
3/3
46-60
1/
61-75
3/
76+
1/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

Lineups

PFK Sochi Lineups

FK Spartak Moskva Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.2 PFK Sochi xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.09 FK Spartak Moskva xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 63% + Both teams to score 61%

Match Result

✓ Correct
PFK Sochi23% Draw24% FK Spartak Moskva53%
Actual: FK Spartak Moskva win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes61% 0% No39%
Avg goals/match: 3.29
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 95%
5%
± 1.5 84%
16%
± 2.5 63%
37%
± 3.5 41%
59%
± 4.5 24%
76%

Double Chance

PFK Sochi or Draw
47%
Draw or FK Spartak Moskva
77%
PFK Sochi or FK Spartak Moskva
76%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
PFK Sochi18% Draw41% FK Spartak Moskva41%
Actual: FK Spartak Moskva win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
10.2%
1 – 2
9.4%
0 – 2
8.1%
0 – 1
7.2%
1 – 3
6.5%
2 – 2
5.6%
0 – 3
5.5%
2 – 1
5.5%
0 – 0
5.2%
2 – 3
Actual
1 – 0
3.8%
1 – 4
3.4%

Asian Handicap — PFK Sochi

Handicap PFK Sochi covers Push FK Spartak Moskva covers
-2.5 3% 97%
-2 3% 6% 91%
-1.5 9% 91%
-1 9% 12% 79%
-0.5 21% 79%
+0.5 44% 56%
+1 44% 22% 35%
+1.5 65% 35%
+2 65% 17% 17%
+2.5 83% 17%

Clean Sheet

PFK Sochi keeps clean sheet
13%
FK Spartak Moskva keeps clean sheet
31%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.