Wednesday , 30 September 2026

PFK Sochi vs FK Krasnodar, RFPL 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

RFPL · 2025-26
1 – 2
Full Time
Sat 14 Mar 2026 · 10:45 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

PFK Sochi vs FK Krasnodar — RFPL .

Match Details

  • Referee Andrey Prokopov (Russia)

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
14 Mar FK Krasnodar H 1–2 L
07 Mar FK Nizhny Novgorod A 1–2 L
02 Mar FK Spartak Moskva H 2–3 L
07 Dec FK Lokomotiv Moskva H 2–4 L
01 Dec FK Dinamo Makhachkala H 0–0 D
21 Nov FK Akron Tolyatti A 2–3 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
14 Mar PFK Sochi A 2–1 W
08 Mar FK Rubin Kazan A 1–2 L
28 Feb FK Rostov H 2–1 W
07 Dec PFC CSKA Moskva H 3–2 W
30 Nov PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara H 5–0 W
23 Nov FK Lokomotiv Moskva A 1–1 D

Key Stats

55% Both Teams to Score
H2H (11 games)
64% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
50% Clean Sheets
FK Krasnodar this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

FK Krasnodar
0-15
1/1
16-30
2/–
31-45
–/–
46-60
–/1
61-75
–/–
76+
2/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

FK Krasnodar
Nikita Krivtsov 3 G 1 A
Jubal 3 G
Christian 2 G 2 A
Juan Boselli 2 G 1 A
Joao Batxi 2 G 1 A

Events

Match Events

Lineups

PFK Sochi Lineups

FK Krasnodar Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.23 PFK Sochi xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.69 FK Krasnodar xG
I would bet for: Both teams to score 58% + Over 2.5 goals 55%

Match Result

✓ Correct
PFK Sochi26% Draw25% FK Krasnodar49%
Actual: FK Krasnodar win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes58% 0% No42%
Avg goals/match: 2.92
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 93%
7%
± 1.5 79%
21%
± 2.5 55%
45%
± 3.5 33%
67%
± 4.5 18%
82%

Double Chance

PFK Sochi or Draw
51%
Draw or FK Krasnodar
74%
PFK Sochi or FK Krasnodar
75%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
PFK Sochi21% Draw45% FK Krasnodar34%
Actual: FK Krasnodar win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.1%
1 – 2
Actual
0 – 1
8.3%
0 – 2
7.6%
0 – 0
7.2%
2 – 1
6.6%
1 – 0
5.8%
2 – 2
5.6%
1 – 3
5.1%
0 – 3
4.2%
2 – 0
4.1%
2 – 3
3.2%

Asian Handicap — PFK Sochi

Handicap PFK Sochi covers Push FK Krasnodar covers
-2.5 4% — 96%
-2 4% 8% 88%
-1.5 12% — 88%
-1 12% 15% 73%
-0.5 27% — 73%
+0.5 53% — 47%
+1 53% 21% 25%
+1.5 75% — 25%
+2 75% 14% 11%
+2.5 89% — 11%

Clean Sheet

PFK Sochi keeps clean sheet
19% ✓
FK Krasnodar keeps clean sheet
30% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.