Thursday , 2 July 2026

PFK Sochi vs FK Krasnodar, RFPL 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

RFPL · 2025-26
1 2
Full Time
Sat 14 Mar 2026 · 10:45 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

PFK Sochi vs FK KrasnodarRFPL .

Match Details

  • Referee Andrey Prokopov (Russia)
4 games this season 🟨 2.8/game 7.5 goals/game 🟥 2 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
14 Mar FK Krasnodar H 1–2 L
07 Mar FK Nizhny Novgorod A 1–2 L
02 Mar FK Spartak Moskva H 2–3 L
07 Dec FK Lokomotiv Moskva H 2–4 L
01 Dec FK Dinamo Makhachkala H 0–0 D
21 Nov FK Akron Tolyatti A 2–3 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
14 Mar PFK Sochi A 2–1 W
08 Mar FK Rubin Kazan A 1–2 L
28 Feb FK Rostov H 2–1 W
07 Dec PFC CSKA Moskva H 3–2 W
30 Nov PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara H 5–0 W
23 Nov FK Lokomotiv Moskva A 1–1 D

Season Stats

PFK Sochi FK Krasnodar
#16 Position #2
22 Points 66
30 Played 30
6 / 4 / 20 W / D / L 20 / 6 / 4
29 Scored 60
60 Conceded 23
-31 GD +37
0.73 PPG 2.20
20% Win % 67%

Key Stats

55% Both Teams to Score
H2H (11 games)
64% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
13% Clean Sheets
PFK Sochi this season
43% Clean Sheets
FK Krasnodar this season

PFK Sochi are 16th (22 pts). FK Krasnodar are 2nd (66 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

PFK Sochi
0-15
2/1
16-30
/2
31-45
2/
46-60
1/2
61-75
1/1
76+
3/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
FK Krasnodar
0-15
1/
16-30
1/1
31-45
3/2
46-60
1/1
61-75
4/1
76+
4/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

Lineups

PFK Sochi Lineups

FK Krasnodar Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
0.92 PFK Sochi xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.67 FK Krasnodar xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 68% + FK Krasnodar to win 67%

Match Result

✓ Correct
PFK Sochi14% Draw19% FK Krasnodar67%
Actual: FK Krasnodar win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes56% 0% No44%
Avg goals/match: 3.59
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 96%
4%
± 1.5 87%
13%
± 2.5 68%
32%
± 3.5 47%
53%
± 4.5 29%
71%

Double Chance

PFK Sochi or Draw
33%
Draw or FK Krasnodar
86%
PFK Sochi or FK Krasnodar
81%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
PFK Sochi11% Draw35% FK Krasnodar54%
Actual: FK Krasnodar win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 2
9.9%
1 – 2
Actual
0 – 3
8.5%
1 – 3
7.7%
1 – 1
7.5%
0 – 1
7.2%
0 – 4
5.7%
1 – 4
5.2%
2 – 2
4%
0 – 0
4%
2 – 3
3.6%
2 – 1
3.1%

Asian Handicap — PFK Sochi

Handicap PFK Sochi covers Push FK Krasnodar covers
-2.5 1% 99%
-2 1% 3% 97%
-1.5 3% 97%
-1 3% 7% 90%
-0.5 10% 90%
+0.5 27% 73%
+1 27% 21% 53%
+1.5 47% 53%
+2 47% 21% 32%
+2.5 68% 32%

Clean Sheet

PFK Sochi keeps clean sheet
8%
FK Krasnodar keeps clean sheet
40%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.