Wednesday , 30 September 2026

PFK Sochi vs FK Lokomotiv Moskva, RFPL 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

RFPL · 2025-26
Sun 7 Dec 2025 · 13:30 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
07 Dec FK Lokomotiv Moskva H 2–4 L
01 Dec FK Dinamo Makhachkala H 0–0 D
21 Nov FK Akron Tolyatti A 2–3 L
08 Nov FK Rostov H 0–1 L
02 Nov FK Orenburg A 1–3 L
27 Oct RFK Akhmat Grozny A 4–2 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
07 Dec PFK Sochi A 4–2 W
30 Nov FK Rostov A 3–1 W
23 Nov FK Krasnodar H 1–1 D
09 Nov FK Orenburg H 1–0 W
01 Nov FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg A 0–2 L
26 Oct FK Akron Tolyatti A 1–1 D

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (12 games)
75% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
25% Clean Sheets
FK Lokomotiv Moskva this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

FK Lokomotiv Moskva
0-15
–/–
16-30
–/–
31-45
–/–
46-60
1/–
61-75
–/2
76+
1/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

FK Lokomotiv Moskva
Zelimkhan Bakaev 1 G 1 A
Sergey Pinyaev 1 G

Events

Match Events

Lineups

PFK Sochi Lineups

FK Lokomotiv Moskva Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.18 PFK Sochi xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.74 FK Lokomotiv Moskva xG
I would bet for: Both teams to score 57% + Over 2.5 goals 55%

Match Result

✓ Correct
PFK Sochi26% Draw26% FK Lokomotiv Moskva48%
Actual: FK Lokomotiv Moskva win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes57% 0% No43%
Avg goals/match: 2.92
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 93%
7%
± 1.5 79%
21%
± 2.5 55%
45%
± 3.5 33%
67%
± 4.5 18%
82%

Double Chance

PFK Sochi or Draw
52%
Draw or FK Lokomotiv Moskva
74%
PFK Sochi or FK Lokomotiv Moskva
74%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
PFK Sochi20% Draw44% FK Lokomotiv Moskva36%
Actual: FK Lokomotiv Moskva win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 2–4 not predicted
2 – 4
Actual
1 – 1
12%
1 – 2
9.3%
0 – 1
8.6%
0 – 2
8%
0 – 0
7.2%
2 – 1
6.3%
1 – 0
5.5%
2 – 2
5.5%
1 – 3
5.4%
0 – 3
4.6%
2 – 0
3.7%
2 – 3
3.3%

Asian Handicap — PFK Sochi

Handicap PFK Sochi covers Push FK Lokomotiv Moskva covers
-2.5 3% — 97%
-2 3% 7% 90%
-1.5 10% — 90%
-1 10% 15% 75%
-0.5 25% — 75%
+0.5 51% — 49%
+1 51% 22% 27%
+1.5 73% — 27%
+2 73% 15% 12%
+2.5 88% — 12%

Clean Sheet

PFK Sochi keeps clean sheet
18% ✓
FK Lokomotiv Moskva keeps clean sheet
31% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.