Sunday , 16 August 2026

PFK Sochi vs FK Lokomotiv Moskva, RFPL 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

RFPL · 2025-26
Sun 7 Dec 2025 · 13:30 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
07 Dec FK Lokomotiv Moskva H 2–4 L
01 Dec FK Dinamo Makhachkala H 0–0 D
21 Nov FK Akron Tolyatti A 2–3 L
08 Nov FK Rostov H 0–1 L
02 Nov FK Orenburg A 1–3 L
27 Oct RFK Akhmat Grozny A 4–2 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
07 Dec PFK Sochi A 4–2 W
30 Nov FK Rostov A 3–1 W
23 Nov FK Krasnodar H 1–1 D
09 Nov FK Orenburg H 1–0 W
01 Nov FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg A 0–2 L
26 Oct FK Akron Tolyatti A 1–1 D

Season Stats

PFK Sochi FK Lokomotiv Moskva
#16 Position #3
22 Points 53
30 Played 30
6 / 4 / 20 W / D / L 14 / 11 / 5
29 Scored 54
60 Conceded 39
-31 GD +15
0.73 PPG 1.77
20% Win % 47%

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (12 games)
75% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

PFK Sochi are 16th (22 pts). FK Lokomotiv Moskva are 3rd (53 pts).

Events

Match Events

Lineups

PFK Sochi Lineups

FK Lokomotiv Moskva Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.1 PFK Sochi xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.57 FK Lokomotiv Moskva xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 70% + Both teams to score 61%

Match Result

✓ Correct
PFK Sochi18% Draw21% FK Lokomotiv Moskva61%
Actual: FK Lokomotiv Moskva win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes61% 0% No39%
Avg goals/match: 3.67
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 96%
4%
± 1.5 88%
12%
± 2.5 70%
30%
± 3.5 49%
51%
± 4.5 30%
70%

Double Chance

PFK Sochi or Draw
39%
Draw or FK Lokomotiv Moskva
82%
PFK Sochi or FK Lokomotiv Moskva
79%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
PFK Sochi14% Draw36% FK Lokomotiv Moskva50%
Actual: FK Lokomotiv Moskva win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 2–4 not predicted
2 – 4
Actual
1 – 2
9%
0 – 2
8.5%
1 – 1
8%
1 – 3
7.6%
0 – 3
7%
0 – 1
6.2%
1 – 4
4.9%
2 – 2
4.9%
0 – 4
4.5%
2 – 3
4.2%
2 – 1
3.9%
0 – 0
3.7%

Asian Handicap — PFK Sochi

Handicap PFK Sochi covers Push FK Lokomotiv Moskva covers
-2.5 2% 98%
-2 2% 4% 95%
-1.5 5% 95%
-1 5% 9% 86%
-0.5 14% 86%
+0.5 32% 68%
+1 32% 21% 47%
+1.5 53% 47%
+2 53% 20% 27%
+2.5 73% 27%

Clean Sheet

PFK Sochi keeps clean sheet
9%
FK Lokomotiv Moskva keeps clean sheet
34%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.