Thursday , 2 July 2026

PFK Sochi vs FK Lokomotiv Moskva, RFPL 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

RFPL · 2025-26
Sun 7 Dec 2025 · 13:30 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
07 Dec FK Lokomotiv Moskva H 2–4 L
01 Dec FK Dinamo Makhachkala H 0–0 D
21 Nov FK Akron Tolyatti A 2–3 L
08 Nov FK Rostov H 0–1 L
02 Nov FK Orenburg A 1–3 L
27 Oct RFK Akhmat Grozny A 4–2 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
07 Dec PFK Sochi A 4–2 W
30 Nov FK Rostov A 3–1 W
23 Nov FK Krasnodar H 1–1 D
09 Nov FK Orenburg H 1–0 W
01 Nov FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg A 0–2 L
26 Oct FK Akron Tolyatti A 1–1 D

Season Stats

PFK Sochi FK Lokomotiv Moskva
#16 Position #3
22 Points 53
30 Played 30
6 / 4 / 20 W / D / L 14 / 11 / 5
29 Scored 54
60 Conceded 39
-31 GD +15
0.73 PPG 1.77
20% Win % 47%

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (12 games)
75% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
13% Clean Sheets
PFK Sochi this season
23% Clean Sheets
FK Lokomotiv Moskva this season

PFK Sochi are 16th (22 pts). FK Lokomotiv Moskva are 3rd (53 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

PFK Sochi
0-15
2/1
16-30
/2
31-45
2/
46-60
1/2
61-75
1/1
76+
3/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
FK Lokomotiv Moskva
0-15
1/
16-30
1/1
31-45
/2
46-60
1/2
61-75
2/2
76+
1/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

Lineups

PFK Sochi Lineups

FK Lokomotiv Moskva Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.1 PFK Sochi xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.57 FK Lokomotiv Moskva xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 70% + Both teams to score 61%

Match Result

✓ Correct
PFK Sochi18% Draw21% FK Lokomotiv Moskva61%
Actual: FK Lokomotiv Moskva win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes61% 0% No39%
Avg goals/match: 3.67
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 96%
4%
± 1.5 88%
12%
± 2.5 70%
30%
± 3.5 49%
51%
± 4.5 30%
70%

Double Chance

PFK Sochi or Draw
39%
Draw or FK Lokomotiv Moskva
82%
PFK Sochi or FK Lokomotiv Moskva
79%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
PFK Sochi14% Draw36% FK Lokomotiv Moskva50%
Actual: FK Lokomotiv Moskva win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 2–4 not predicted
2 – 4
Actual
1 – 2
9%
0 – 2
8.5%
1 – 1
8%
1 – 3
7.6%
0 – 3
7%
0 – 1
6.2%
1 – 4
4.9%
2 – 2
4.9%
0 – 4
4.5%
2 – 3
4.2%
2 – 1
3.9%
0 – 0
3.7%

Asian Handicap — PFK Sochi

Handicap PFK Sochi covers Push FK Lokomotiv Moskva covers
-2.5 2% 98%
-2 2% 4% 95%
-1.5 5% 95%
-1 5% 9% 86%
-0.5 14% 86%
+0.5 32% 68%
+1 32% 21% 47%
+1.5 53% 47%
+2 53% 20% 27%
+2.5 73% 27%

Clean Sheet

PFK Sochi keeps clean sheet
9%
FK Lokomotiv Moskva keeps clean sheet
34%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.