Thursday , 2 July 2026

RB Leipzig vs FC Bayern München, Bundesliga 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Bundesliga · 2025-26
RB Leipzig
1 – 5
Full Time
FC Bayern München
Sat 17 Jan 2026 · 17:30 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

RB Leipzig vs FC Bayern München — Bundesliga .

Match Details

  • Referee Sascha Stegemann
19 games this season 🟨 0.7/game ⚽ 5.4 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Standings

# Team P Pts
1 FC Bayern München 34 89
2 Borussia Dortmund 34 73
3 RB Leipzig 34 65
4 VfB Stuttgart 34 62
5 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim 34 61
6 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 34 59
7 SC Freiburg 34 47
8 Eintracht Frankfurt 34 44
9 FC Augsburg 34 43
10 1. FSV Mainz 05 34 40
11 1. FC Union Berlin 34 39
12 Borussia Monchengladbach 34 38
13 Hamburger SV 34 38
14 1. FC Koln 34 32
15 SV Werder Bremen 34 32
16 VfL Wolfsburg 34 29
17 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 34 26
18 FC St. Pauli 1910 34 26

Head-to-Head

1
7
10
RB Leipzig 18 games · Avg 3.4 goals FC Bayern München
Last 5 meetings
2026-01-17 RB Leipzig 1–5 FC Bayern München 2025-08-22 FC Bayern München 6–0 RB Leipzig 2025-05-03 RB Leipzig 3–3 FC Bayern München 2024-12-20 FC Bayern München 5–1 RB Leipzig 2024-02-24 FC Bayern München 2–1 RB Leipzig

Recent Form

RB Leipzig
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
17 Jan FC Bayern München H 1–5 L
14 Jan SC Freiburg H 2–0 W
20 Dec Bayer 04 Leverkusen H 1–3 L
12 Dec 1. FC Union Berlin A 1–3 L
06 Dec Eintracht Frankfurt H 6–0 W
02 Dec 1. FC Magdeburg H 3–1 W
FC Bayern München
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
17 Jan RB Leipzig A 5–1 W
14 Jan 1. FC Koln A 3–1 W
11 Jan VfL Wolfsburg H 8–1 W
21 Dec 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 A 4–0 W
14 Dec 1. FSV Mainz 05 H 2–2 D
09 Dec Sporting Clube de Portugal H 3–1 W

Season Stats

RB Leipzig FC Bayern München
#3 Position #1
65 Points 89
34 Played 34
20 / 5 / 9 W / D / L 28 / 5 / 1
66 Scored 122
47 Conceded 36
+19 GD +86
1.91 PPG 2.62
59% Win % 82%

Key Stats

61% Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)
61% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
32% Clean Sheets
RB Leipzig this season
35% Clean Sheets
FC Bayern München this season

RB Leipzig are 3rd (65 pts). FC Bayern München are 1st (89 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

RB Leipzig
0-15
1/–
16-30
3/3
31-45
2/2
46-60
2/1
61-75
2/1
76+
3/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
FC Bayern München
0-15
3/1
16-30
1/4
31-45
4/2
46-60
6/1
61-75
3/1
76+
8/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The match kicks off with home fans waiting with anticipation for RB Leipzig to score. At the same time, FC Bayern München does not seem to pull back! Let’s get it on!
  • With this win, FC Bayern München is likely to improve its situation in the overall team standings.

Lineups

RB Leipzig Lineups

FC Bayern München Lineups

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

PlayerGoals
Robert Lewandowski 5
Leroy Sane 4
Thomas Muller 4
Jamal Musiala 3
Christopher Nkunku 3
Harry Kane 3
Benjamin Sesko 3
Maxim Choupo-Moting 3

Head to Head

2026-01-17 RB Leipzig 1–5 FC Bayern München 2025-08-22 FC Bayern München 6–0 RB Leipzig 2025-05-03 RB Leipzig 3–3 FC Bayern München 2024-12-20 FC Bayern München 5–1 RB Leipzig 2024-02-24 FC Bayern München 2–1 RB Leipzig

RB Leipzig Form

2026-01-17 RB Leipzig 1–5 FC Bayern München L 2026-01-14 RB Leipzig 2–0 SC Freiburg W 2025-12-20 RB Leipzig 1–3 Bayer 04 Leverkusen L 2025-12-12 1. FC Union Berlin 3–1 RB Leipzig L 2025-12-06 RB Leipzig 6–0 Eintracht Frankfurt W 2025-12-02 RB Leipzig 3–1 1. FC Magdeburg W

FC Bayern München Form

2026-01-17 RB Leipzig 1–5 FC Bayern München W 2026-01-14 1. FC Koln 1–3 FC Bayern München W 2026-01-11 FC Bayern München 8–1 VfL Wolfsburg W 2025-12-21 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 0–4 FC Bayern München W 2025-12-14 FC Bayern München 2–2 1. FSV Mainz 05 D 2025-12-09 FC Bayern München 3–1 Sporting Clube de Portugal W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.45 RB Leipzig xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
3.3 FC Bayern München xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 84% + Both teams to score 73%

Match Result

✓ Correct
RB Leipzig18% Draw18% FC Bayern München64%
Actual: FC Bayern München win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes73% 0% No27%
Avg goals/match: 4.75
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 98%
2%
± 1.5 95%
5%
± 2.5 84%
16%
± 3.5 68%
32%
± 4.5 50%
50%

Double Chance

RB Leipzig or Draw
36%
Draw or FC Bayern München
82%
RB Leipzig or FC Bayern München
82%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
RB Leipzig14% Draw31% FC Bayern München55%
Actual: RB Leipzig win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 3
7.4%
1 – 2
6.9%
1 – 4
6%
2 – 3
5.3%
0 – 3
5.3%
0 – 2
5%
2 – 2
4.9%
1 – 1
4.9%
2 – 4
4.4%
0 – 4
4.3%
1 – 5
Actual
2 – 1
3.1%

Asian Handicap — RB Leipzig

Handicap RB Leipzig covers Push FC Bayern München covers
-2.5 2% — 98%
-2 2% 4% 94%
-1.5 6% — 94%
-1 6% 8% 86%
-0.5 14% — 86%
+0.5 29% — 71%
+1 29% 18% 54%
+1.5 46% — 54%
+2 46% 19% 35%
+2.5 65% — 35%

Clean Sheet

RB Leipzig keeps clean sheet
4% ✓
FC Bayern München keeps clean sheet
24% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.