RB Leipzig vs FC Bayern München, Bundesliga 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

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Bundesliga · 2025-26

RB Leipzig

1 – 5

Full Time

FC Bayern München

Sat 17 Jan 2026 · 17:30 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

RB Leipzig vs FC Bayern München — Bundesliga .

RB Leipzig 9 games · 18 pts (2026/27)
FC Bayern München 9 games · 21 pts (2026/27)

Match Details

Referee Sascha Stegemann

6 games this season 🟨 3.0/game ⚽ 11.3 goals/game 🟥 2 total

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	FC Bayern München	9	21
2	Borussia Dortmund	9	21
3	SC Freiburg	9	19
4	RB Leipzig	9	18
5	Bayer 04 Leverkusen	9	16
6	SV Werder Bremen	9	15
7	SV 07 Elversberg	9	13
8	VfB Stuttgart	9	12
9	TSG 1899 Hoffenheim	9	12
10	Eintracht Frankfurt	9	12
11	Hamburger SV	9	12
12	1. FSV Mainz 05	9	10
13	SC Paderborn 07	9	10
14	FC Augsburg	9	9
15	1. FC Köln	9	9
16	1. FC Union Berlin	9	7
17	FC Schalke 04	9	6
18	Borussia Mönchengladbach	9	4

Head-to-Head

RB Leipzig 19 games · Avg 3.6 goals FC Bayern München

Last 5 meetings

2026-01-17 RB Leipzig 1–5 FC Bayern München 2025-08-22 FC Bayern München 6–0 RB Leipzig 2025-05-03 RB Leipzig 3–3 FC Bayern München 2024-12-20 FC Bayern München 5–1 RB Leipzig 2024-02-24 FC Bayern München 2–1 RB Leipzig

Recent Form

RB Leipzig

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
17 Jan	FC Bayern München	H	1–5	L
14 Jan	SC Freiburg	H	2–0	W
20 Dec	Bayer 04 Leverkusen	H	1–3	L
12 Dec	1. FC Union Berlin	A	1–3	L
06 Dec	Eintracht Frankfurt	H	6–0	W
02 Dec	1. FC Magdeburg	H	3–1	W

FC Bayern München

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
17 Jan	RB Leipzig	A	5–1	W
14 Jan	1. FC Köln	A	3–1	W
11 Jan	VfL Wolfsburg	H	8–1	W
21 Dec	1. FC Heidenheim 1846	A	4–0	W
14 Dec	1. FSV Mainz 05	H	2–2	D
09 Dec	Sporting Clube de Portugal	H	3–1	W

Season Stats

RB Leipzig		FC Bayern München
#4	Position	#1
18	Points	21
9	Played	9
6 / 0 / 3	W / D / L	6 / 3 / 0
27	Scored	29
13	Conceded	9
+14	GD	+20
2.00	PPG	2.33
67%	Win %	67%

Key Stats

63% Both Teams to Score
H2H (19 games)

63% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

56% Clean Sheets
RB Leipzig this season

22% Clean Sheets
FC Bayern München this season

RB Leipzig are 4th (18 pts). FC Bayern München are 1st (21 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

RB Leipzig

0-15

2/3

16-30

3/1

31-45

6/2

46-60

4/3

61-75

5/2

76+

7/2

■ Scored ■ Conceded

FC Bayern München

0-15

2/1

16-30

5/–

31-45

5/–

46-60

6/2

61-75

5/2

76+

5/3

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

RB Leipzig

Christopher Nkunku	5 G	2 A
Romulo Cruz	5 G
Antonio Nusa	4 G	7 A
Tidiam Gomis	3 G	2 A
Ridle Baku	2 G

FC Bayern München

Michael Olise	6 G	3 A
Harry Kane	4 G	7 A
Luis Diaz	4 G	1 A
Dayot Upamecano	3 G
Ismael Saibari	2 G	3 A

Events

Match Events

0' Welcome to that hosts another battle between RB Leipzig and FC Bayern Munchen.
The points are shared — RB Leipzig 1-5 FC Bayern Munchen. Honours even.

Lineups

RB Leipzig Lineups

FC Bayern München Lineups

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Robert Lewandowski	5
Harry Kane	4
Leroy Sane	4
Thomas Muller	4
Jamal Musiala	3
Christopher Nkunku	3
Luis Diaz	3
Benjamin Sesko	3

Head to Head

RB Leipzig Form

2026-01-17 RB Leipzig 1–5 FC Bayern München L 2026-01-14 RB Leipzig 2–0 SC Freiburg W 2025-12-20 RB Leipzig 1–3 Bayer 04 Leverkusen L 2025-12-12 1. FC Union Berlin 3–1 RB Leipzig L 2025-12-06 RB Leipzig 6–0 Eintracht Frankfurt W 2025-12-02 RB Leipzig 3–1 1. FC Magdeburg W

FC Bayern München Form

2026-01-17 RB Leipzig 1–5 FC Bayern München W 2026-01-14 1. FC Köln 1–3 FC Bayern München W 2026-01-11 FC Bayern München 8–1 VfL Wolfsburg W 2025-12-21 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 0–4 FC Bayern München W 2025-12-14 FC Bayern München 2–2 1. FSV Mainz 05 D 2025-12-09 FC Bayern München 3–1 Sporting Clube de Portugal W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

3 / 4

1.71 RB Leipzig xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

3.11 FC Bayern München xG

I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 84% + Both teams to score 77%

Match Result

✓ Correct

RB Leipzig22% Draw19% FC Bayern München59%

Actual: FC Bayern München win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes77% 0% No23%

Avg goals/match: 4.82

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	99%	1%
± 1.5	95%	5%
± 2.5	84%	16%
± 3.5	69%	31%
± 4.5	51%	49%

Double Chance

RB Leipzig or Draw

41%

Draw or FC Bayern München

78%

RB Leipzig or FC Bayern München

81%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

RB Leipzig18% Draw32% FC Bayern München50%

Actual: RB Leipzig win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 3

6.7%

1 – 2

6.7%

2 – 3

5.7%

2 – 2

5.6%

1 – 4

5.2%

1 – 1

2 – 4

4.4%

0 – 2

4.1%

0 – 3

4.1%

2 – 1

3.8%

1 – 5

Actual

3 – 3

3.3%

Asian Handicap — RB Leipzig

Handicap	RB Leipzig covers	Push	FC Bayern München covers
-2.5	4%	—	96%
-2	4%	6%	91%
-1.5	9%	—	91%
-1	9%	10%	81%
-0.5	19%	—	81%
+0.5	36%	—	64%
+1	36%	18%	46%
+1.5	54%	—	46%
+2	54%	17%	28%
+2.5	72%	—	28%

Clean Sheet

RB Leipzig keeps clean sheet

5% ✓

FC Bayern München keeps clean sheet

19% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.