RB Leipzig vs FC Bayern München, Bundesliga 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

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Bundesliga · 2025-26

RB Leipzig

1 – 5

Full Time

FC Bayern München

Sat 17 Jan 2026 · 17:30 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

RB Leipzig vs FC Bayern München — Bundesliga .

RB Leipzig 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)
FC Bayern München 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)

Match Details

Referee Sascha Stegemann

3 games this season 🟨 0.0/game ⚽ 2.3 goals/game

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	VfL Wolfsburg	34	29
2	1. FC Heidenheim 1846	34	26
3	FC St. Pauli 1910	34	26
4	FC Schalke 04	0	0
5	SC Paderborn 07	0	0
6	SV 07 Elversberg	0	0
7	FC Bayern München	0	0
8	Borussia Dortmund	0	0
9	RB Leipzig	0	0
10	VfB Stuttgart	0	0
11	TSG 1899 Hoffenheim	0	0
12	Bayer 04 Leverkusen	0	0
13	SC Freiburg	0	0
14	Eintracht Frankfurt	0	0
15	FC Augsburg	0	0
16	1. FSV Mainz 05	0	0
17	1. FC Union Berlin	0	0
18	Borussia Mönchengladbach	0	0
19	Hamburger SV	0	0
20	1. FC Köln	0	0
21	SV Werder Bremen	0	0

Head-to-Head

RB Leipzig 18 games · Avg 3.4 goals FC Bayern München

Last 5 meetings

2026-01-17 RB Leipzig 1–5 FC Bayern München 2025-08-22 FC Bayern München 6–0 RB Leipzig 2025-05-03 RB Leipzig 3–3 FC Bayern München 2024-12-20 FC Bayern München 5–1 RB Leipzig 2024-02-24 FC Bayern München 2–1 RB Leipzig

Recent Form

RB Leipzig

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
17 Jan	FC Bayern München	H	1–5	L
14 Jan	SC Freiburg	H	2–0	W
20 Dec	Bayer 04 Leverkusen	H	1–3	L
12 Dec	1. FC Union Berlin	A	1–3	L
06 Dec	Eintracht Frankfurt	H	6–0	W
02 Dec	1. FC Magdeburg	H	3–1	W

FC Bayern München

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
17 Jan	RB Leipzig	A	5–1	W
14 Jan	1. FC Köln	A	3–1	W
11 Jan	VfL Wolfsburg	H	8–1	W
21 Dec	1. FC Heidenheim 1846	A	4–0	W
14 Dec	1. FSV Mainz 05	H	2–2	D
09 Dec	Sporting Clube de Portugal	H	3–1	W

Season Stats

RB Leipzig		FC Bayern München
#9	Position	#7
0	Points	0
0	Played	0
0 / 0 / 0	W / D / L	0 / 0 / 0
0	Scored	0
0	Conceded	0
+0	GD	+0
–	PPG	–
–	Win %	–

Key Stats

61% Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)

61% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

RB Leipzig are 9th (0 pts). FC Bayern München are 7th (0 pts).

Events

Match Events

0' Temperatures are rising at as RB Leipzig face off against FC Bayern München in what promises to be a fascinating contest.
With this win, FC Bayern München is likely to improve its situation in the overall team standings.

Lineups

RB Leipzig Lineups

FC Bayern München Lineups

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Robert Lewandowski	5
Thomas Muller	4
Leroy Sane	4
Jamal Musiala	3
Christopher Nkunku	3
Harry Kane	3
Benjamin Sesko	3
Maxim Choupo-Moting	3

Head to Head

RB Leipzig Form

2026-01-17 RB Leipzig 1–5 FC Bayern München L 2026-01-14 RB Leipzig 2–0 SC Freiburg W 2025-12-20 RB Leipzig 1–3 Bayer 04 Leverkusen L 2025-12-12 1. FC Union Berlin 3–1 RB Leipzig L 2025-12-06 RB Leipzig 6–0 Eintracht Frankfurt W 2025-12-02 RB Leipzig 3–1 1. FC Magdeburg W

FC Bayern München Form

2026-01-17 RB Leipzig 1–5 FC Bayern München W 2026-01-14 1. FC Köln 1–3 FC Bayern München W 2026-01-11 FC Bayern München 8–1 VfL Wolfsburg W 2025-12-21 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 0–4 FC Bayern München W 2025-12-14 FC Bayern München 2–2 1. FSV Mainz 05 D 2025-12-09 FC Bayern München 3–1 Sporting Clube de Portugal W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

1 / 4

0.72 RB Leipzig xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.83 FC Bayern München xG

I would bet for: FC Bayern München to win 58% + Under — clean sheet likely 56%

Match Result

✓ Correct

RB Leipzig17% Draw25% FC Bayern München58%

Actual: FC Bayern München win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong

Yes44% 0% No56%

Avg goals/match: 2.55

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	90%	10%
± 1.5	72%	28%
± 2.5	46%	54%
± 3.5	26%	74%
± 4.5	12%	88%

Double Chance

RB Leipzig or Draw

42%

Draw or FC Bayern München

83%

RB Leipzig or FC Bayern München

75%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

RB Leipzig11% Draw46% FC Bayern München43%

Actual: RB Leipzig win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 1–5 not predicted

1 – 5

Actual

0 – 1

13.6%

0 – 2

12.8%

1 – 1

11%

0 – 0

9.7%

1 – 2

9.1%

0 – 3

7.6%

1 – 3

5.6%

1 – 0

4.7%

2 – 1

3.5%

0 – 4

3.5%

2 – 2

3.3%

1 – 4

2.7%

Asian Handicap — RB Leipzig

Handicap	RB Leipzig covers	Push	FC Bayern München covers
-2.5	1%	—	99%
-2	1%	3%	96%
-1.5	4%	—	96%
-1	4%	9%	87%
-0.5	13%	—	87%
+0.5	38%	—	62%
+1	38%	25%	37%
+1.5	63%	—	37%
+2	63%	20%	18%
+2.5	82%	—	18%

Clean Sheet

RB Leipzig keeps clean sheet

17% ✓

FC Bayern München keeps clean sheet

49% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.