RB Leipzig vs FC Bayern Munchen, Bundesliga 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

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Bundesliga · 2025-26

RB Leipzig

1 – 5

Full Time

FC Bayern Munchen

Sat 17 Jan 2026 · 17:30 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

RB Leipzig vs FC Bayern München — Bundesliga .

RB Leipzig 4 games · 6 pts (2026/27)
FC Bayern München 4 games · 10 pts (2026/27)

Match Details

Referee Sascha Stegemann

3 games this season 🟨 2.0/game ⚽ 6.7 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Borussia Dortmund	4	12
2	FC Bayern Munchen	4	10
3	SC Freiburg	4	10
4	FC Augsburg	4	7
5	Bayer 04 Leverkusen	4	7
6	1. FSV Mainz 05	4	7
7	SV 07 Elversberg	4	7
8	SV Werder Bremen	4	7
9	RB Leipzig	4	6
10	Eintracht Frankfurt	4	5
11	FC Schalke 04	4	5
12	SC Paderborn 07	4	4
13	1. FC Koln	4	4
14	TSG 1899 Hoffenheim	4	3
15	VfB Stuttgart	4	3
16	Hamburger SV	4	3
17	1. FC Union Berlin	4	1
18	Borussia Monchengladbach	4	0

Head-to-Head

RB Leipzig 18 games · Avg 3.4 goals FC Bayern Munchen

Last 5 meetings

2026-01-17 RB Leipzig 1–5 FC Bayern Munchen 2025-08-22 FC Bayern Munchen 6–0 RB Leipzig 2025-05-03 RB Leipzig 3–3 FC Bayern Munchen 2024-12-20 FC Bayern Munchen 5–1 RB Leipzig 2024-02-24 FC Bayern Munchen 2–1 RB Leipzig

Recent Form

RB Leipzig

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
17 Jan	FC Bayern Munchen	H	1–5	L
14 Jan	SC Freiburg	H	2–0	W
20 Dec	Bayer 04 Leverkusen	H	1–3	L
12 Dec	1. FC Union Berlin	A	1–3	L
06 Dec	Eintracht Frankfurt	H	6–0	W
02 Dec	1. FC Magdeburg	H	3–1	W

FC Bayern Munchen

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
17 Jan	RB Leipzig	A	5–1	W
14 Jan	1. FC Koln	A	3–1	W
11 Jan	VfL Wolfsburg	H	8–1	W
21 Dec	1. FC Heidenheim 1846	A	4–0	W
14 Dec	1. FSV Mainz 05	H	2–2	D
09 Dec	Sporting Clube de Portugal	H	3–1	W

Season Stats

RB Leipzig		FC Bayern Munchen
#9	Position	#2
6	Points	10
4	Played	4
2 / 0 / 2	W / D / L	3 / 1 / 0
9	Scored	14
5	Conceded	2
+4	GD	+12
1.50	PPG	2.50
50%	Win %	75%

Key Stats

61% Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)

61% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

50% Clean Sheets
RB Leipzig this season

50% Clean Sheets
FC Bayern Munchen this season

RB Leipzig are 9th (6 pts). FC Bayern Munchen are 2nd (10 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

RB Leipzig

0-15

–/1

16-30

3/–

31-45

–/1

46-60

1/1

61-75

3/1

76+

2/1

■ Scored ■ Conceded

FC Bayern Munchen

0-15

–/–

16-30

3/–

31-45

2/–

46-60

2/1

61-75

3/1

76+

3/–

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

RB Leipzig

Antonio Nusa	2 G	2 A
Ridle Baku	2 G
Rocco Reitz	1 G

FC Bayern Munchen

Michael Olise	4 G	1 A
Harry Kane	3 G
Aleksandar Pavlovic	1 G	1 A
Dayot Upamecano	1 G
Luis Diaz	1 G

Events

Match Events

0' It’s Showtime! The match between RB Leipzig and FC Bayern Munchen is underway.
The points are shared — RB Leipzig 1-5 FC Bayern Munchen. Honours even.

Lineups

RB Leipzig Lineups

FC Bayern München Lineups

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Robert Lewandowski	5
Leroy Sane	4
Thomas Muller	4
Benjamin Sesko	3
Maxim Choupo-Moting	3
Jamal Musiala	3
Christopher Nkunku	3
Harry Kane	3

Head to Head

RB Leipzig Form

2026-01-17 RB Leipzig 1–5 FC Bayern Munchen L 2026-01-14 RB Leipzig 2–0 SC Freiburg W 2025-12-20 RB Leipzig 1–3 Bayer 04 Leverkusen L 2025-12-12 1. FC Union Berlin 3–1 RB Leipzig L 2025-12-06 RB Leipzig 6–0 Eintracht Frankfurt W 2025-12-02 RB Leipzig 3–1 1. FC Magdeburg W

FC Bayern München Form

2026-01-17 RB Leipzig 1–5 FC Bayern Munchen W 2026-01-14 1. FC Koln 1–3 FC Bayern Munchen W 2026-01-11 FC Bayern Munchen 8–1 VfL Wolfsburg L 2025-12-21 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 0–4 FC Bayern Munchen W 2025-12-14 FC Bayern Munchen 2–2 1. FSV Mainz 05 D 2025-12-09 FC Bayern Munchen 3–1 Sporting Clube de Portugal L

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

3 / 4

1.06 RB Leipzig xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

2.93 FC Bayern München xG

I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 74% + FC Bayern München to win 66%

Match Result

✓ Correct

RB Leipzig16% Draw18% FC Bayern München66%

Actual: FC Bayern München win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes61% 0% No39%

Avg goals/match: 3.99

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	97%	3%
± 1.5	90%	10%
± 2.5	74%	26%
± 3.5	55%	45%
± 4.5	36%	64%

Double Chance

RB Leipzig or Draw

34%

Draw or FC Bayern München

84%

RB Leipzig or FC Bayern München

82%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

RB Leipzig11% Draw33% FC Bayern München56%

Actual: RB Leipzig win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 2

8.3%

0 – 2

8.1%

1 – 3

7.9%

0 – 3

7.7%

1 – 1

6.5%

1 – 4

5.8%

0 – 4

5.5%

0 – 1

5.3%

2 – 2

4.3%

2 – 3

4.2%

1 – 5

Actual

0 – 5

3.3%

Asian Handicap — RB Leipzig

Handicap	RB Leipzig covers	Push	FC Bayern München covers
-2.5	1%	—	99%
-2	1%	3%	96%
-1.5	4%	—	96%
-1	4%	7%	89%
-0.5	11%	—	89%
+0.5	26%	—	74%
+1	26%	19%	55%
+1.5	45%	—	55%
+2	45%	20%	35%
+2.5	65%	—	35%

Clean Sheet

RB Leipzig keeps clean sheet

6% ✓

FC Bayern München keeps clean sheet

35% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.