Thursday , 2 July 2026

Borussia Dortmund vs FC St. Pauli 1910, Bundesliga 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Bundesliga · 2025-26
Sat 17 Jan 2026 · 14:30 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Borussia Dortmund vs FC St. Pauli 1910Bundesliga .

Match Details

  • Referee Harm Osmers
19 games this season 🟨 0.9/game 5.2 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
17 Jan FC St. Pauli 1910 H 3–2 W
13 Jan SV Werder Bremen H 3–0 W
09 Jan Eintracht Frankfurt A 3–3 D
19 Dec Borussia Monchengladbach H 2–0 W
14 Dec SC Freiburg A 1–1 D
10 Dec FK Bodø/Glimt H 2–2 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
17 Jan Borussia Dortmund A 2–3 L
14 Jan VfL Wolfsburg A 1–2 L
21 Dec 1. FSV Mainz 05 A 0–0 D
13 Dec 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 H 2–1 W
06 Dec 1. FC Koln A 1–1 D
02 Dec Borussia Monchengladbach A 2–1 W

Season Stats

Borussia Dortmund FC St. Pauli 1910
#2 Position #18
73 Points 26
34 Played 34
22 / 7 / 5 W / D / L 6 / 8 / 20
70 Scored 29
34 Conceded 60
+36 GD -31
2.15 PPG 0.76
65% Win % 18%

Key Stats

75% Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
75% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
44% Clean Sheets
Borussia Dortmund this season
15% Clean Sheets
FC St. Pauli 1910 this season

Borussia Dortmund are 2nd (73 pts). FC St. Pauli 1910 are 18th (26 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Borussia Dortmund
0-15
2/1
16-30
/
31-45
3/2
46-60
1/
61-75
1/
76+
5/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
FC St. Pauli 1910
0-15
/3
16-30
1/
31-45
/3
46-60
1/4
61-75
1/1
76+
2/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The referee blows the starting whistle. The fans are roaring. The teams are ready for the match. Borussia Dortmund is hosting FC St. Pauli 1910 for another epic battle.
  • The final score is 3-2.

Lineups

Borussia Dortmund Lineups

FC St. Pauli 1910 Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
2.47 Borussia Dortmund xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.9 FC St. Pauli 1910 xG
I would bet for: Borussia Dortmund to win 67% + Over 2.5 goals 64%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Borussia Dortmund67% Draw19% FC St. Pauli 191014%
Actual: Borussia Dortmund win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes54% 0% No46%
Avg goals/match: 3.37
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 95%
5%
± 1.5 84%
16%
± 2.5 64%
36%
± 3.5 43%
57%
± 4.5 25%
75%

Double Chance

Borussia Dortmund or Draw
87%
Draw or FC St. Pauli 1910
33%
Borussia Dortmund or FC St. Pauli 1910
81%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Borussia Dortmund51% Draw37% FC St. Pauli 191012%
Actual: Borussia Dortmund win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
2 – 0
10.5%
2 – 1
9.1%
1 – 1
8.4%
3 – 0
8.3%
1 – 0
8.2%
3 – 1
7.5%
4 – 0
5.1%
0 – 0
4.8%
4 – 1
4.7%
2 – 2
4.1%
3 – 2
Actual
1 – 2
3.4%

Asian Handicap — Borussia Dortmund

Handicap Borussia Dortmund covers Push FC St. Pauli 1910 covers
-2.5 28% 72%
-2 28% 21% 51%
-1.5 49% 51%
-1 49% 22% 30%
-0.5 70% 30%
+0.5 89% 11%
+1 89% 7% 4%
+1.5 96% 4%
+2 96% 3% 1%
+2.5 99% 1%

Clean Sheet

Borussia Dortmund keeps clean sheet
41%
FC St. Pauli 1910 keeps clean sheet
9%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.