Borussia Dortmund vs FC St. Pauli 1910, Bundesliga 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

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Bundesliga · 2025-26

Borussia Dortmund

3 – 2

Full Time

FC St. Pauli 1910

Sat 17 Jan 2026 · 14:30 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Borussia Dortmund vs FC St. Pauli 1910 — Bundesliga .

Borussia Dortmund 4 games · 12 pts (2026/27)
FC St. Pauli 1910 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)

Match Details

Referee Harm Osmers

5 games this season 🟨 3.4/game ⚽ 10.8 goals/game

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Borussia Dortmund	4	12
2	FC Bayern München	4	10
3	SC Freiburg	4	10
4	FC Augsburg	4	7
5	Bayer 04 Leverkusen	4	7
6	1. FSV Mainz 05	4	7
7	SV 07 Elversberg	4	7
8	SV Werder Bremen	4	7
9	RB Leipzig	4	6
10	Eintracht Frankfurt	4	5
11	FC Schalke 04	4	5
12	SC Paderborn 07	4	4
13	1. FC Köln	4	4
14	TSG 1899 Hoffenheim	4	3
15	VfB Stuttgart	4	3
16	Hamburger SV	4	3
17	1. FC Union Berlin	4	1
18	Borussia Mönchengladbach	4	0

Head-to-Head

Borussia Dortmund 4 games · Avg 4.0 goals FC St. Pauli 1910

Last 5 meetings

2026-01-17 Borussia Dortmund 3–2 FC St. Pauli 1910 2025-08-23 FC St. Pauli 1910 3–3 Borussia Dortmund 2025-03-01 FC St. Pauli 1910 0–2 Borussia Dortmund 2024-10-18 Borussia Dortmund 2–1 FC St. Pauli 1910

Recent Form

Borussia Dortmund

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
17 Jan	FC St. Pauli 1910	H	3–2	W
13 Jan	SV Werder Bremen	H	3–0	W
09 Jan	Eintracht Frankfurt	A	3–3	D
19 Dec	Borussia Mönchengladbach	H	2–0	W
14 Dec	SC Freiburg	A	1–1	D
10 Dec	FK Bodø/Glimt	H	2–2	D

FC St. Pauli 1910

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
17 Jan	Borussia Dortmund	A	2–3	L
14 Jan	VfL Wolfsburg	A	1–2	L
21 Dec	1. FSV Mainz 05	A	0–0	D
13 Dec	1. FC Heidenheim 1846	H	2–1	W
06 Dec	1. FC Köln	A	1–1	D
02 Dec	Borussia Mönchengladbach	A	2–1	W

Key Stats

75% Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)

75% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

75% Clean Sheets
Borussia Dortmund this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Borussia Dortmund

0-15

2/–

16-30

–/–

31-45

1/1

46-60

–/1

61-75

3/–

76+

2/–

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Borussia Dortmund

Sehrou Guirassy	2 G	2 A
Felix Kalu Nmecha	2 G
Fabio Silva	2 G
Ioannis Konstantelias	1 G

Events

Match Events

0' Here we go! The referee blows the whistle and Borussia Dortmund launch into their encounter with FC St. Pauli 1910.
Borussia Dortmund celebrates a vital win. Three points that could prove pivotal come season's end.

Lineups

Borussia Dortmund Lineups

FC St. Pauli 1910 Lineups

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Sehrou Guirassy	2
Ramy Bensebaini	1
Eric Smith	1
Karim Adeyemi	1

Head to Head

Borussia Dortmund Form

2026-01-17 Borussia Dortmund 3–2 FC St. Pauli 1910 W 2026-01-13 Borussia Dortmund 3–0 SV Werder Bremen W 2026-01-09 Eintracht Frankfurt 3–3 Borussia Dortmund D 2025-12-19 Borussia Dortmund 2–0 Borussia Mönchengladbach W 2025-12-14 SC Freiburg 1–1 Borussia Dortmund D 2025-12-10 Borussia Dortmund 2–2 FK Bodø/Glimt D

FC St. Pauli 1910 Form

2026-01-17 Borussia Dortmund 3–2 FC St. Pauli 1910 L 2026-01-14 VfL Wolfsburg 2–1 FC St. Pauli 1910 L 2025-12-21 1. FSV Mainz 05 0–0 FC St. Pauli 1910 D 2025-12-13 FC St. Pauli 1910 2–1 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 W 2025-12-06 1. FC Köln 1–1 FC St. Pauli 1910 D 2025-12-02 Borussia Mönchengladbach 1–2 FC St. Pauli 1910 W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

3 / 4

1.82 Borussia Dortmund xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.18 FC St. Pauli 1910 xG

I would bet for: Both teams to score 58% + Over 2.5 goals 57%

Match Result

✓ Correct

Borussia Dortmund54% Draw24% FC St. Pauli 191022%

Actual: Borussia Dortmund win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes58% 0% No42%

Avg goals/match: 3

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	93%	7%
± 1.5	80%	20%
± 2.5	57%	43%
± 3.5	35%	65%
± 4.5	19%	81%

Double Chance

Borussia Dortmund or Draw

78%

Draw or FC St. Pauli 1910

46%

Borussia Dortmund or FC St. Pauli 1910

76%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

Borussia Dortmund37% Draw44% FC St. Pauli 191019%

Actual: Borussia Dortmund win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

11.6%

2 – 1

9.4%

1 – 0

8.3%

2 – 0

8.1%

0 – 0

6.7%

1 – 2

6.1%

3 – 1

5.7%

2 – 2

5.5%

0 – 1

3 – 0

4.8%

0 – 2

3.4%

3 – 2

Actual

Asian Handicap — Borussia Dortmund

Handicap	Borussia Dortmund covers	Push	FC St. Pauli 1910 covers
-2.5	13%	—	87%
-2	13%	16%	71%
-1.5	29%	—	71%
-1	29%	22%	49%
-0.5	51%	—	49%
+0.5	76%	—	24%
+1	76%	14%	10%
+1.5	90%	—	10%
+2	90%	7%	3%
+2.5	97%	—	3%

Clean Sheet

Borussia Dortmund keeps clean sheet

31% ✓

FC St. Pauli 1910 keeps clean sheet

17% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.