Sunday , 16 August 2026

Borussia Dortmund vs FC St. Pauli 1910, Bundesliga 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Bundesliga · 2025-26
Sat 17 Jan 2026 · 14:30 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Borussia Dortmund vs FC St. Pauli 1910Bundesliga .

Match Details

  • Referee Harm Osmers
5 games this season 🟨 0.2/game 3.0 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
17 Jan FC St. Pauli 1910 H 3–2 W
13 Jan SV Werder Bremen H 3–0 W
09 Jan Eintracht Frankfurt A 3–3 D
19 Dec Borussia Mönchengladbach H 2–0 W
14 Dec SC Freiburg A 1–1 D
10 Dec FK Bodo/Glimt H 2–2 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
17 Jan Borussia Dortmund A 2–3 L
14 Jan VfL Wolfsburg A 1–2 L
21 Dec 1. FSV Mainz 05 A 0–0 D
13 Dec 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 H 2–1 W
06 Dec 1. FC Köln A 1–1 D
02 Dec Borussia Mönchengladbach A 2–1 W

Season Stats

Borussia Dortmund FC St. Pauli 1910
#8 Position #3
0 Points 26
0 Played 34
0 / 0 / 0 W / D / L 6 / 8 / 20
0 Scored 29
0 Conceded 60
+0 GD -31
PPG 0.76
Win % 18%

Key Stats

75% Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
75% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Borussia Dortmund are 8th (0 pts). FC St. Pauli 1910 are 3rd (26 pts).

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The match kicks off with home fans waiting with anticipation for Borussia Dortmund to score. At the same time, FC St. Pauli 1910 does not seem to pull back! Let’s get it on!
  • The final whistle goes. A composed, disciplined performance from Borussia Dortmund to claim maximum points.

Lineups

Borussia Dortmund Lineups

FC St. Pauli 1910 Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
1.17 Borussia Dortmund xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.65 FC St. Pauli 1910 xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 72% + Under — clean sheet likely 66%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Borussia Dortmund51% Draw30% FC St. Pauli 191019%
Actual: Borussia Dortmund win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes34% 0% No66%
Avg goals/match: 1.82
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 81%
19%
± 1.5 55%
45%
± 2.5 28%
72%
± 3.5 12%
88%
± 4.5 4%
96%

Double Chance

Borussia Dortmund or Draw
81%
Draw or FC St. Pauli 1910
49%
Borussia Dortmund or FC St. Pauli 1910
70%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Borussia Dortmund30% Draw56% FC St. Pauli 191014%
Actual: Borussia Dortmund win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 3–2 not predicted
3 – 2
Actual
0 – 0
18.6%
1 – 0
17.6%
1 – 1
13.2%
2 – 0
10.6%
0 – 1
9.1%
2 – 1
7.2%
3 – 0
4.1%
1 – 2
3.9%
0 – 2
3.2%
3 – 1
2.9%
2 – 2
2.5%
4 – 0
1.2%

Asian Handicap — Borussia Dortmund

Handicap Borussia Dortmund covers Push FC St. Pauli 1910 covers
-2.5 7% 93%
-2 7% 14% 79%
-1.5 21% 79%
-1 21% 26% 53%
-0.5 47% 53%
+0.5 81% 19%
+1 81% 14% 5%
+1.5 95% 5%
+2 95% 4% 1%
+2.5 99% 1%

Clean Sheet

Borussia Dortmund keeps clean sheet
52%
FC St. Pauli 1910 keeps clean sheet
32%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.