Saturday , 14 November 2026

FC St. Pauli 1910 vs FC Bayern München, Bundesliga 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Bundesliga · 2024-25
Sat 9 Nov 2024 · 14:30 UTC Millerntor-Stadion 29,546 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 22' Jamal Musiala

Overview

Match Preview

FC St. Pauli 1910 vs FC Bayern München — Bundesliga at Millerntor-Stadion.

Match Details

  • Referee Timo Gerach
  • Assistant 1 Florian Heft
  • Assistant 2 Marcel Unger
4 games this season 🟨 4.8/game ⚽ 9.5 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Head-to-Head

4
FC St. Pauli 1910 4 games · Avg 3.8 goals FC Bayern München

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
09 Nov FC Bayern München H 0–1 L
02 Nov TSG 1899 Hoffenheim A 2–0 W
29 Oct RB Leipzig A 2–4 L
26 Oct VfL Wolfsburg H 0–0 D
18 Oct Borussia Dortmund A 1–2 L
05 Oct 1. FSV Mainz 05 H 0–3 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
09 Nov FC St. Pauli 1910 A 1–0 W
06 Nov Sport Lisboa e Benfica H 1–0 W
02 Nov 1. FC Union Berlin H 3–0 W
30 Oct 1. FSV Mainz 05 A 4–0 W
27 Oct VfL Bochum 1848 A 5–0 W
23 Oct FC Barcelona A 1–4 L

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
75% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
22% Clean Sheets
FC Bayern München this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

FC Bayern München
0-15
2/1
16-30
5/–
31-45
5/–
46-60
6/2
61-75
5/2
76+
5/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

FC Bayern München
Michael Olise 6 G 3 A
Harry Kane 4 G 7 A
Luis Diaz 4 G 1 A
Dayot Upamecano 3 G
Ismael Saibari 2 G 3 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The wait is over. FC St. Pauli 1910 get us underway at Millerntor-Stadion.
  • 5' FC St. Pauli 1910 are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined FC Bayern Munchen backline.
  • 10' FC Bayern Munchen are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
  • 15' It’s high time Vincent Kompany made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 20' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. FC St. Pauli 1910 needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 22' GOAL! Jamal Musiala fires home to make it 0-1!
  • 27' Leon Goretzka has been relatively quiet despite scoring 52 goals in his last 555 appearances.
  • 32' Joao Palhinha is a natural midfielder and has been asked to do a very specific job for FC Bayern Munchen tonight.
  • 37' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
  • 42' With 0 assists to his name this season, Nikola Vasilj is clearly more than just a goal scorer for FC St. Pauli 1910.
  • 47' FC Bayern Munchen seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 52' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • 57' FC Bayern Munchen come into this ranked 1 in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
  • 62' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 64' It’s gonna be a card for Morgan Guilavogui.
  • 66' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Min-Jae Kim on 66 minutes.
  • 67' Poor challenge from Manolis Saliakas. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
  • 70' The FC Bayern Munchen bench stirs into life. Raphael Guerreiro is withdrawn and Konrad Laimer gets his opportunity.
  • 74' FC St. Pauli 1910 make a change. Oladapo Afolayan trudges off to be replaced by Robert Wagner on 74 minutes.
  • 79' The energy levels are beginning to show. Alexander Blessin might look to freshen things up shortly.
  • 80' FC St. Pauli 1910 make a change. Johannes Eggestein trudges off to be replaced by Andreas Albers on 80 minutes.
  • 82' Time for substitution for FC Bayern Munchen. Leon Goretzka is replaced by Joao Palhinha.
  • 87' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 89' Adam Dzwigala has so much to prove this time. He replaces Eric Smith on 89 minute.
  • 90' A moment of madness from Konrad Laimer on 90 minutes earns him a card. FC Bayern Munchen will be frustrated.
  • 90' Thomas Muller gets the nod from FC Bayern Munchen. He replaces Jamal Musiala and will look to change the dynamic.
  • Time to leave. No sensation happened. Another win for FC Bayern Munchen players.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
0.76 FC St. Pauli 1910 xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.32 FC Bayern München xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 66% + Under — clean sheet likely 60%

Match Result

✓ Correct
FC St. Pauli 191023% Draw30% FC Bayern München47%
Actual: FC Bayern München win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes40% 0% No60%
Avg goals/match: 2.08
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 85%
15%
± 1.5 62%
38%
± 2.5 34%
66%
± 3.5 16%
84%
± 4.5 7%
93%

Double Chance

FC St. Pauli 1910 or Draw
53%
Draw or FC Bayern München
77%
FC St. Pauli 1910 or FC Bayern München
70%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
FC St. Pauli 191015% Draw53% FC Bayern München32%
Actual: FC Bayern München win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 1
Actual
0 – 0
14.8%
1 – 1
13.4%
0 – 2
10.4%
1 – 0
8.2%
1 – 2
8.1%
2 – 1
4.6%
0 – 3
4.5%
1 – 3
3.6%
2 – 0
3.4%
2 – 2
3.2%
0 – 4
1.5%

Asian Handicap — FC St. Pauli 1910

Handicap FC St. Pauli 1910 covers Push FC Bayern München covers
-2.5 1% — 99%
-2 1% 5% 94%
-1.5 6% — 94%
-1 6% 14% 80%
-0.5 20% — 80%
+0.5 52% — 48%
+1 52% 25% 23%
+1.5 77% — 23%
+2 77% 15% 9%
+2.5 91% — 9%

Clean Sheet

FC St. Pauli 1910 keeps clean sheet
28% ✓
FC Bayern München keeps clean sheet
47% ✗

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.