Sunday , 16 August 2026

FC St. Pauli 1910 vs FC Bayern München, Bundesliga 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Bundesliga · 2024-25
Sat 9 Nov 2024 · 14:30 UTC Millerntor-Stadion 29,546 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 22' Jamal Musiala

Overview

Match Preview

FC St. Pauli 1910 vs FC Bayern MünchenBundesliga at Millerntor-Stadion.

Match Details

  • Referee Timo Gerach
  • Assistant 1 Florian Heft
  • Assistant 2 Marcel Unger

Head-to-Head

4
FC St. Pauli 1910 4 games · Avg 3.8 goals FC Bayern München

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
09 Nov FC Bayern München H 0–1 L
02 Nov TSG 1899 Hoffenheim A 2–0 W
29 Oct RB Leipzig A 2–4 L
26 Oct VfL Wolfsburg H 0–0 D
18 Oct Borussia Dortmund A 1–2 L
05 Oct 1. FSV Mainz 05 H 0–3 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
09 Nov FC St. Pauli 1910 A 1–0 W
06 Nov Sport Lisboa e Benfica H 1–0 W
02 Nov 1. FC Union Berlin H 3–0 W
30 Oct 1. FSV Mainz 05 A 4–0 W
27 Oct VfL Bochum 1848 A 5–0 W
23 Oct FC Barcelona A 1–4 L

Season Stats

FC St. Pauli 1910 FC Bayern München
#3 Position #7
26 Points 0
34 Played 0
6 / 8 / 20 W / D / L 0 / 0 / 0
29 Scored 0
60 Conceded 0
-31 GD +0
0.76 PPG
18% Win %

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
75% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

FC St. Pauli 1910 are 3rd (26 pts). FC Bayern München are 7th (0 pts).

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The game is set. FC Bayern München kicks off things out of here…
  • 5' FC St. Pauli 1910 have won 143 goals from 273 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
  • 10' FC Bayern München fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
  • 15' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 20' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
  • 22' with the perfectly-timed delivery and Jamal Musiala makes no mistake. 0-1!
  • 27' Germany international Leroy Sane has been a key figure this campaign — 1 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
  • 32' It looks surprising FC St. Pauli 1910 does not make any changes. Jackson Irvine has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 37' FC Bayern München are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
  • 42' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 47' Lars Ritzka, a Germany , has 4 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
  • 52' FC St. Pauli 1910 are deployed in a 3-4-2-1 today, looking to exploit space against FC Bayern München's 4-2-3-1 shape.
  • 57' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Alexander Blessin will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 62' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
  • 64' Morgan Guilavogui has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 64.
  • 66' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Min-Jae Kim on 66 minutes.
  • 67' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Manolis Saliakas on 67 minutes.
  • 70' FC Bayern Munchen ring the changes. Raphael Guerreiro has done his job and it is now time for Konrad Laimer to step up.
  • 74' The supporters are chanting for Robert Wagner. He replaces Oladapo Afolayan on 74 minute.
  • 79' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Konrad Laimer suffering a number of foals already.
  • 80' Time for substitution for FC St. Pauli 1910. Johannes Eggestein is replaced by Andreas Albers.
  • 82' It is a substitution in FC Bayern Munchen team. Leon Goretzka is replaced by Joao Palhinha on 82 minute.
  • 87' Supporters expect more eagerness from Leon Goretzka, as he is very good at scoring at Millerntor-Stadion with 1 goals in the last 1 games.
  • 89' Adam Dzwigala gets the nod from FC St. Pauli 1910. He replaces Eric Smith and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 90' FC Bayern Munchen player sees a card in front of him.
  • 90' Time for substitution for FC Bayern Munchen. Jamal Musiala is replaced by Thomas Muller.
  • Another three points for FC Bayern München.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
0.3 FC St. Pauli 1910 xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.79 FC Bayern München xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 89% + Under — clean sheet likely 84%

Match Result

✓ Correct
FC St. Pauli 191017% Draw40% FC Bayern München43%
Actual: FC Bayern München win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes16% 0% No84%
Avg goals/match: 1.09
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 64%
36%
± 1.5 30%
70%
± 2.5 11%
89%
± 3.5 3%
97%
± 4.5 1%
99%

Double Chance

FC St. Pauli 1910 or Draw
57%
Draw or FC Bayern München
83%
FC St. Pauli 1910 or FC Bayern München
60%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
FC St. Pauli 19106% Draw70% FC Bayern München24%
Actual: FC Bayern München win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 0
36.3%
0 – 1
Actual
0 – 2
9.7%
1 – 1
9%
1 – 0
8.2%
1 – 2
3.6%
0 – 3
2.5%
2 – 1
1.2%
2 – 0
1.2%
1 – 3
1%
2 – 2
0.7%
0 – 4
0.5%

Asian Handicap — FC St. Pauli 1910

Handicap FC St. Pauli 1910 covers Push FC Bayern München covers
-2.5 0% 100%
-2 0% 1% 99%
-1.5 1% 99%
-1 1% 10% 89%
-0.5 11% 89%
+0.5 57% 43%
+1 57% 29% 14%
+1.5 86% 14%
+2 86% 11% 3%
+2.5 97% 3%

Clean Sheet

FC St. Pauli 1910 keeps clean sheet
46%
FC Bayern München keeps clean sheet
74%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.