Thursday , 2 July 2026

FC St. Pauli 1910 vs FC Bayern München, Bundesliga 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Bundesliga · 2024-25
Sat 9 Nov 2024 · 14:30 UTC Millerntor-Stadion 29,546 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 22' Jamal Musiala

Overview

Match Preview

FC St. Pauli 1910 vs FC Bayern MünchenBundesliga at Millerntor-Stadion.

Match Details

  • Referee Timo Gerach
  • Assistant 1 Florian Heft
  • Assistant 2 Marcel Unger
15 games this season 🟨 1.1/game 5.7 goals/game

Head-to-Head

4
FC St. Pauli 1910 4 games · Avg 3.8 goals FC Bayern München

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
09 Nov FC Bayern München H 0–1 L
02 Nov TSG 1899 Hoffenheim A 2–0 W
29 Oct RB Leipzig A 2–4 L
26 Oct VfL Wolfsburg H 0–0 D
18 Oct Borussia Dortmund A 1–2 L
05 Oct 1. FSV Mainz 05 H 0–3 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
09 Nov FC St. Pauli 1910 A 1–0 W
06 Nov Sport Lisboa e Benfica H 1–0 W
02 Nov 1. FC Union Berlin H 3–0 W
30 Oct 1. FSV Mainz 05 A 4–0 W
27 Oct VfL Bochum 1848 A 5–0 W
23 Oct FC Barcelona A 1–4 L

Season Stats

FC St. Pauli 1910 FC Bayern München
#18 Position #1
26 Points 89
34 Played 34
6 / 8 / 20 W / D / L 28 / 5 / 1
29 Scored 122
60 Conceded 36
-31 GD +86
0.76 PPG 2.62
18% Win % 82%

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
75% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
15% Clean Sheets
FC St. Pauli 1910 this season
35% Clean Sheets
FC Bayern München this season

FC St. Pauli 1910 are 18th (26 pts). FC Bayern München are 1st (89 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

FC St. Pauli 1910
0-15
/3
16-30
1/
31-45
/3
46-60
1/4
61-75
1/1
76+
2/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded
FC Bayern München
0-15
3/1
16-30
1/4
31-45
4/2
46-60
6/1
61-75
3/1
76+
8/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

  • 0' It’s Showtime! The match between FC St. Pauli 1910 and FC Bayern München is underway.
  • 5' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 10' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
  • 15' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 20' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Leon Goretzka suffering a number of foals already.
  • 22' Against the run of play, Jamal Musiala has scored! This game has turned on its head.
  • 27' Dayot Upamecano is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for FC St. Pauli 1910 so far.
  • 32' FC St. Pauli 1910 are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
  • 37' FC St. Pauli 1910 started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 37.
  • 42' FC St. Pauli 1910 are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
  • 47' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 52' Manolis Saliakas has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
  • 57' FC St. Pauli 1910 are deployed in a 3-4-2-1 today, looking to exploit space against FC Bayern München's 4-2-3-1 shape.
  • 62' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His FC St. Pauli 1910 side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
  • 64' Morgan Guilavogui has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 64.
  • 66' FC Bayern Munchen receives a card for a hard tackle on 66.
  • 67' A moment of madness from Manolis Saliakas on 67 minutes earns him a card. FC St. Pauli 1910 will be frustrated.
  • 70' Konrad Laimer has so much to prove this time. He replaces Raphael Guerreiro on 70 minute.
  • 74' Time for substitution for FC St. Pauli 1910. Oladapo Afolayan is replaced by Robert Wagner.
  • 79' With 0 assists to his name this season, Manuel Neuer is clearly more than just a goal scorer for FC Bayern München.
  • 80' The whistle greets Johannes Eggestein as he departs to be replaced by Andreas Albers.
  • 82' Joao Palhinha is ready to make an impact after coming on for Leon Goretzka at the 82 minute mark.
  • 87' France international Michael Olise has been a key figure this campaign — 9 goals and 9 assists in the Array this season.
  • 89' The whistle greets Eric Smith as he departs to be replaced by Adam Dzwigala.
  • 90' The referee has no hesitation. Konrad Laimer is booked for FC Bayern Munchen — card on 90.
  • 90' FC Bayern Munchen manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Thomas Muller is hanging Jamal Musiala on the field on 90 minute.
  • It finishes all square. FC St. Pauli 1910 and FC Bayern München share the spoils 0-1.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
0.44 FC St. Pauli 1910 xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.67 FC Bayern München xG
I would bet for: FC Bayern München to win 71% + Under — clean sheet likely 67%

Match Result

✓ Correct
FC St. Pauli 191011% Draw17% FC Bayern München72%
Actual: FC Bayern München win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes33% 0% No67%
Avg goals/match: 3.11
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 94%
6%
± 1.5 80%
20%
± 2.5 58%
42%
± 3.5 37%
63%
± 4.5 20%
80%

Double Chance

FC St. Pauli 1910 or Draw
29%
Draw or FC Bayern München
89%
FC St. Pauli 1910 or FC Bayern München
83%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
FC St. Pauli 19104% Draw34% FC Bayern München62%
Actual: FC Bayern München win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 2
16%
0 – 3
13.8%
0 – 1
Actual
0 – 4
9.1%
1 – 2
6.7%
1 – 3
6%
0 – 0
5.8%
1 – 1
5.6%
0 – 5
4.9%
1 – 4
4.1%
1 – 5
2.3%
0 – 6
2.3%

Asian Handicap — FC St. Pauli 1910

Handicap FC St. Pauli 1910 covers Push FC Bayern München covers
-2.5 0% 100%
-2 0% 1% 99%
-1.5 1% 99%
-1 1% 3% 96%
-0.5 4% 96%
+0.5 17% 83%
+1 17% 20% 63%
+1.5 37% 63%
+2 37% 23% 40%
+2.5 60% 40%

Clean Sheet

FC St. Pauli 1910 keeps clean sheet
8%
FC Bayern München keeps clean sheet
65%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.