FC St. Pauli 1910 vs FC Bayern München, Bundesliga 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
FC St. Pauli 1910 vs FC Bayern München — Bundesliga at Millerntor-Stadion.
- FC St. Pauli 1910 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)
- FC Bayern München 9 games · 21 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Timo Gerach
- Assistant 1 Florian Heft
- Assistant 2 Marcel Unger
4 games this season
🟨 4.8/game
⚽ 9.5 goals/game
🟥 1 total
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Bayern München | 9 | 21 |
| 2 | Borussia Dortmund | 9 | 21 |
| 3 | SC Freiburg | 9 | 19 |
| 4 | RB Leipzig | 9 | 18 |
| 5 | Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 9 | 16 |
| 6 | SV Werder Bremen | 9 | 15 |
| 7 | SV 07 Elversberg | 9 | 13 |
| 8 | VfB Stuttgart | 9 | 12 |
| 9 | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim | 9 | 12 |
| 10 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 9 | 12 |
| 11 | Hamburger SV | 9 | 12 |
| 12 | 1. FSV Mainz 05 | 9 | 10 |
| 13 | SC Paderborn 07 | 9 | 10 |
| 14 | FC Augsburg | 9 | 9 |
| 15 | 1. FC Köln | 9 | 9 |
| 16 | 1. FC Union Berlin | 9 | 7 |
| 17 | FC Schalke 04 | 9 | 6 |
| 18 | Borussia Mönchengladbach | 9 | 4 |
Head-to-Head
Last 5 meetings
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov | FC Bayern München | H | 0–1 | L |
| 02 Nov | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim | A | 2–0 | W |
| 29 Oct | RB Leipzig | A | 2–4 | L |
| 26 Oct | VfL Wolfsburg | H | 0–0 | D |
| 18 Oct | Borussia Dortmund | A | 1–2 | L |
| 05 Oct | 1. FSV Mainz 05 | H | 0–3 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov | FC St. Pauli 1910 | A | 1–0 | W |
| 06 Nov | Sport Lisboa e Benfica | H | 1–0 | W |
| 02 Nov | 1. FC Union Berlin | H | 3–0 | W |
| 30 Oct | 1. FSV Mainz 05 | A | 4–0 | W |
| 27 Oct | VfL Bochum 1848 | A | 5–0 | W |
| 23 Oct | FC Barcelona | A | 1–4 | L |
Key Stats
50%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
H2H (4 games)
75%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
22%
Clean Sheets
FC Bayern München this season
FC Bayern München this season
Goal Timing (This Season)
FC Bayern München
0-15
2/1
16-30
5/–
31-45
5/–
46-60
6/2
61-75
5/2
76+
5/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
FC Bayern München
| Michael Olise | 6 G | 3 A |
| Harry Kane | 4 G | 7 A |
| Luis Diaz | 4 G | 1 A |
| Dayot Upamecano | 3 G | |
| Ismael Saibari | 2 G | 3 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' The wait is over. FC St. Pauli 1910 get us underway at Millerntor-Stadion.
- 5' FC St. Pauli 1910 are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined FC Bayern Munchen backline.
- 10' FC Bayern Munchen are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
- 15' It’s high time Vincent Kompany made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
- 20' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. FC St. Pauli 1910 needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
- 22' GOAL! Jamal Musiala fires home to make it 0-1!
- 27' Leon Goretzka has been relatively quiet despite scoring 52 goals in his last 555 appearances.
- 32' Joao Palhinha is a natural midfielder and has been asked to do a very specific job for FC Bayern Munchen tonight.
- 37' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
- 42' With 0 assists to his name this season, Nikola Vasilj is clearly more than just a goal scorer for FC St. Pauli 1910.
- 47' FC Bayern Munchen seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
- 52' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
- 57' FC Bayern Munchen come into this ranked 1 in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
- 62' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
- 64' It’s gonna be a card for Morgan Guilavogui.
- 66' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Min-Jae Kim on 66 minutes.
- 67' Poor challenge from Manolis Saliakas. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
- 70' The FC Bayern Munchen bench stirs into life. Raphael Guerreiro is withdrawn and Konrad Laimer gets his opportunity.
- 74' FC St. Pauli 1910 make a change. Oladapo Afolayan trudges off to be replaced by Robert Wagner on 74 minutes.
- 79' The energy levels are beginning to show. Alexander Blessin might look to freshen things up shortly.
- 80' FC St. Pauli 1910 make a change. Johannes Eggestein trudges off to be replaced by Andreas Albers on 80 minutes.
- 82' Time for substitution for FC Bayern Munchen. Leon Goretzka is replaced by Joao Palhinha.
- 87' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
- 89' Adam Dzwigala has so much to prove this time. He replaces Eric Smith on 89 minute.
- 90' A moment of madness from Konrad Laimer on 90 minutes earns him a card. FC Bayern Munchen will be frustrated.
- 90' Thomas Muller gets the nod from FC Bayern Munchen. He replaces Jamal Musiala and will look to change the dynamic.
- Time to leave. No sensation happened. Another win for FC Bayern Munchen players.
Lineups
FC St. Pauli 1910 Lineups
3-4-2-1Starting XI
- 11
- 5
- 3
- 7
- 21
-
8
Eric Smith ↓ Adam Dzwigala 89'
- 17
- 22
- 29
-
16
Carlo Boukhalfa ↓ Danel Sinani 89'
- 2
Bench
- 32
-
25
Adam Dzwigala ↑ 89'
-
10
Danel Sinani ↑ 89'
-
19
Andreas Albers ↑ 80'
- 4
-
39
Robert Wagner ↑ 74'
- 14
- 20
- 42
Coach
Alexander Blessin
FC Bayern München Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
-
10
Leroy Sane ↓ Michael Olise 82'
- 9
- 1
- 6
-
11
Kingsley Coman ↓ Serge Gnabry 70'
-
8
Leon Goretzka ↓ Joao Palhinha 82'
- 22
- 2
- 19
-
42
Jamal Musiala ↓ Thomas Muller 90'
- 3
Bench
- 15
-
7
Serge Gnabry ↑ 70'
-
25
Thomas Muller ↑ 90'
-
27
Konrad Laimer ↑ 70'
-
16
Joao Palhinha ↑ 82'
- 18
-
17
Michael Olise ↑ 82'
- 39
- 49
Coach
Vincent Kompany
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Jamal Musiala | 2 |
| Leroy Sane | 2 |
| Lars Ritzka | 1 |
| Elias Saad | 1 |
| Leon Goretzka | 1 |
| Raphael Guerreiro | 1 |
| Michael Olise | 1 |
| Nicolas Jackson | 1 |
Head to Head
FC St. Pauli 1910 Form
2024-11-09
FC St. Pauli 1910
0–1
FC Bayern München
L
2024-11-02
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
0–2
FC St. Pauli 1910
W
2024-10-29
RB Leipzig
4–2
FC St. Pauli 1910
L
2024-10-26
FC St. Pauli 1910
0–0
VfL Wolfsburg
D
2024-10-18
Borussia Dortmund
2–1
FC St. Pauli 1910
L
2024-10-05
FC St. Pauli 1910
0–3
1. FSV Mainz 05
L
FC Bayern München Form
2024-11-09
FC St. Pauli 1910
0–1
FC Bayern München
W
2024-11-06
FC Bayern München
1–0
Sport Lisboa e Benfica
W
2024-11-02
FC Bayern München
3–0
1. FC Union Berlin
W
2024-10-30
1. FSV Mainz 05
0–4
FC Bayern München
W
2024-10-27
VfL Bochum 1848
0–5
FC Bayern München
W
2024-10-23
FC Barcelona
4–1
FC Bayern München
L
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
0.76
FC St. Pauli 1910 xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.32
FC Bayern München xG
I would bet for:
Under 2.5 goals 66% + Under — clean sheet likely 60%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: FC Bayern München win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.08
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 85% |
|
15% |
| ± 1.5 | 62% |
|
38% |
| ± 2.5 | 34% |
|
66% |
| ± 3.5 | 16% |
|
84% |
| ± 4.5 | 7% |
|
93% |
Double Chance
FC St. Pauli 1910 or Draw
53%
Draw or FC Bayern München
77%
FC St. Pauli 1910 or FC Bayern München
70%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: FC Bayern München win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
0 – 1
Actual
0 – 0
14.8%
1 – 1
13.4%
0 – 2
10.4%
1 – 0
8.2%
1 – 2
8.1%
2 – 1
4.6%
0 – 3
4.5%
1 – 3
3.6%
2 – 0
3.4%
2 – 2
3.2%
0 – 4
1.5%
Asian Handicap — FC St. Pauli 1910
| Handicap | FC St. Pauli 1910 covers | Push | FC Bayern München covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 1% | — | 99% |
| -2 | 1% | 5% | 94% |
| -1.5 | 6% | — | 94% |
| -1 | 6% | 14% | 80% |
| -0.5 | 20% | — | 80% |
| +0.5 | 52% | — | 48% |
| +1 | 52% | 25% | 23% |
| +1.5 | 77% | — | 23% |
| +2 | 77% | 15% | 9% |
| +2.5 | 91% | — | 9% |
Clean Sheet
FC St. Pauli 1910 keeps clean sheet
28%
✓
FC Bayern München keeps clean sheet
47%
✗
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

