Wednesday , 30 September 2026

FC St. Pauli 1910 vs FC Bayern München, Bundesliga 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Bundesliga · 2024-25
Sat 9 Nov 2024 · 14:30 UTC Millerntor-Stadion 29,546 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 22' Jamal Musiala

Overview

Match Preview

FC St. Pauli 1910 vs FC Bayern München — Bundesliga at Millerntor-Stadion.

Match Details

  • Referee Timo Gerach
  • Assistant 1 Florian Heft
  • Assistant 2 Marcel Unger

Head-to-Head

4
FC St. Pauli 1910 4 games · Avg 3.8 goals FC Bayern München

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
09 Nov FC Bayern München H 0–1 L
02 Nov TSG 1899 Hoffenheim A 2–0 W
29 Oct RB Leipzig A 2–4 L
26 Oct VfL Wolfsburg H 0–0 D
18 Oct Borussia Dortmund A 1–2 L
05 Oct 1. FSV Mainz 05 H 0–3 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
09 Nov FC St. Pauli 1910 A 1–0 W
06 Nov Sport Lisboa e Benfica H 1–0 W
02 Nov 1. FC Union Berlin H 3–0 W
30 Oct 1. FSV Mainz 05 A 4–0 W
27 Oct VfL Bochum 1848 A 5–0 W
23 Oct FC Barcelona A 1–4 L

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
75% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
50% Clean Sheets
FC Bayern München this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

FC Bayern München
0-15
–/–
16-30
3/–
31-45
2/–
46-60
2/1
61-75
3/1
76+
3/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

FC Bayern München
Michael Olise 4 G 1 A
Harry Kane 3 G
Aleksandar Pavlovic 1 G 1 A
Dayot Upamecano 1 G
Luis Diaz 1 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Welcome to Millerntor-Stadion that hosts another battle between FC St. Pauli 1910 and FC Bayern Munchen.
  • 5' FC St. Pauli 1910 are deployed in a 3-4-2-1 today, looking to exploit space against FC Bayern Munchen's 4-2-3-1 shape.
  • 10' A quiet spell here at Millerntor-Stadion. FC St. Pauli 1910 seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
  • 15' The travelling FC Bayern Munchen supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 20' Joshua Kimmich, a Germany , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
  • 22' Jamal Musiala makes no mistake. The score reads 0-1 and FC Bayern Munchen are in front.
  • 27' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Min-Jae Kim made 195 appearances and scored 6 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 32' It is a cagey affair so far. FC St. Pauli 1910 in their 3-4-2-1 trying to find a way past FC Bayern Munchen's compact 4-2-3-1.
  • 37' Hauke Finn Wahl has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
  • 42' Supporters expect more eagerness from Harry Kane, as he is very good at scoring at Millerntor-Stadion with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
  • 47' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 52' The energy levels are beginning to show. Alexander Blessin might look to freshen things up shortly.
  • 57' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 62' The home supporters are growing impatient. FC St. Pauli 1910 must find a spark to ignite this game.
  • 64' The referee shows FC St. Pauli 1910 player a card on 64.
  • 66' It’s a booking for FC Bayern Munchen player. Min-Jae Kim gets a card.
  • 67' A meaty challenge results in booking for Manolis Saliakas on 67.
  • 70' The FC Bayern Munchen bench stirs into life. Raphael Guerreiro is withdrawn and Konrad Laimer gets his opportunity.
  • 74' Another change for FC St. Pauli 1910 made on 74 minute. Oladapo Afolayan leaves to be changed by Robert Wagner.
  • 79' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 80' Another substitution for FC St. Pauli 1910 to replace Johannes Eggestein by Andreas Albers on 80 minute.
  • 82' It is a substitution in FC Bayern Munchen team. Leon Goretzka is replaced by Joao Palhinha on 82 minute.
  • 87' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 89' Adam Dzwigala has so much to prove this time. He replaces Eric Smith on 89 minute.
  • 90' The referee has no hesitation. Konrad Laimer is booked for FC Bayern Munchen — card on 90.
  • 90' Thomas Muller gets the nod from FC Bayern Munchen. He replaces Jamal Musiala and will look to change the dynamic.
  • That’s it! Another goalless match for FC St. Pauli 1910 and FC Bayern Munchen (для сухой ничьи).

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
0.76 FC St. Pauli 1910 xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.32 FC Bayern München xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 66% + Under — clean sheet likely 60%

Match Result

✓ Correct
FC St. Pauli 191023% Draw30% FC Bayern München47%
Actual: FC Bayern München win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes40% 0% No60%
Avg goals/match: 2.08
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 85%
15%
± 1.5 62%
38%
± 2.5 34%
66%
± 3.5 16%
84%
± 4.5 7%
93%

Double Chance

FC St. Pauli 1910 or Draw
53%
Draw or FC Bayern München
77%
FC St. Pauli 1910 or FC Bayern München
70%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
FC St. Pauli 191015% Draw53% FC Bayern München32%
Actual: FC Bayern München win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 1
Actual
0 – 0
14.8%
1 – 1
13.4%
0 – 2
10.4%
1 – 0
8.2%
1 – 2
8.1%
2 – 1
4.6%
0 – 3
4.5%
1 – 3
3.6%
2 – 0
3.4%
2 – 2
3.2%
0 – 4
1.5%

Asian Handicap — FC St. Pauli 1910

Handicap FC St. Pauli 1910 covers Push FC Bayern München covers
-2.5 1% — 99%
-2 1% 5% 94%
-1.5 6% — 94%
-1 6% 14% 80%
-0.5 20% — 80%
+0.5 52% — 48%
+1 52% 25% 23%
+1.5 77% — 23%
+2 77% 15% 9%
+2.5 91% — 9%

Clean Sheet

FC St. Pauli 1910 keeps clean sheet
28% ✓
FC Bayern München keeps clean sheet
47% ✗

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.