Thursday , 2 July 2026

FC Bayern München vs FC St. Pauli 1910, Bundesliga 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Bundesliga · 2024-25
Sat 29 Mar 2025 · 14:30 UTC Allianz Arena 75,000 HT 45' · FT 45'
Harry Kane 17' 1–0
1–1 27' Elias Saad
Leroy Sane 53' 2–1
Leroy Sane 71' 3–1
3–2 90+3' Lars Ritzka

Overview

Match Preview

FC Bayern München vs FC St. Pauli 1910Bundesliga at Allianz Arena.

Match Details

  • Referee Florian Badstubner
  • Assistant 1 Markus Schuller
  • Assistant 2 Philipp Huwe
18 games this season 🟨 0.8/game 4.5 goals/game

Head-to-Head

4
FC Bayern München 4 games · Avg 3.8 goals FC St. Pauli 1910

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
29 Mar FC St. Pauli 1910 H 3–2 W
15 Mar 1. FC Union Berlin A 1–1 D
11 Mar Bayer 04 Leverkusen A 2–0 W
08 Mar VfL Bochum 1848 H 2–3 L
05 Mar Bayer 04 Leverkusen H 3–0 W
28 Feb VfB Stuttgart A 3–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
29 Mar FC Bayern München A 2–3 L
14 Mar TSG 1899 Hoffenheim H 1–0 W
08 Mar VfL Wolfsburg A 1–1 D
01 Mar Borussia Dortmund H 0–2 L
22 Feb 1. FSV Mainz 05 A 0–2 L
15 Feb SC Freiburg H 0–1 L

Season Stats

FC Bayern München FC St. Pauli 1910
#1 Position #18
89 Points 26
34 Played 34
28 / 5 / 1 W / D / L 6 / 8 / 20
122 Scored 29
36 Conceded 60
+86 GD -31
2.62 PPG 0.76
82% Win % 18%

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
75% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
35% Clean Sheets
FC Bayern München this season
15% Clean Sheets
FC St. Pauli 1910 this season

FC Bayern München are 1st (89 pts). FC St. Pauli 1910 are 18th (26 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

FC Bayern München
0-15
3/1
16-30
1/4
31-45
4/2
46-60
6/1
61-75
3/1
76+
8/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
FC St. Pauli 1910
0-15
/3
16-30
1/
31-45
/3
46-60
1/4
61-75
1/1
76+
2/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Three points are at stake. FC Bayern München host FC St. Pauli 1910 — let the battle begin!
  • 5' It’s high time Alexander Blessin made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 10' Philipp Treu has been relatively quiet despite scoring 2 goals in his last 273 appearances.
  • 13' Raphael Guerreiro has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 13.
  • 17' The deadlock is broken! Harry Kane gets on the scoresheet on 17 minutes.
  • 22' FC St. Pauli 1910 come into this ranked 15 in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
  • 27' What a strike from Elias Saad! The score is 0-2.
  • 32' Supporters expect more eagerness from Connor Metcalfe, as he is very good at scoring at Allianz Arena with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
  • 37' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 2 times this season with FC Bayern München winning 100% of all matches.
  • 42' Konrad Laimer needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 58 Yellow cards this season.
  • 45' That is a card for FC Bayern Munchen. Michael Olise will be fuming at that decision.
  • 46' Joao Palhinha is replacing Leon Goretzka for the FC Bayern Munchen side.
  • 51' That looks like a foul for a card for Joao Palhinha.
  • 53' The Germany Leroy Sane breaks the deadlock on 53 minutes. 0-3!
  • 58' The FC Bayern Munchen bench stirs into life. Raphael Guerreiro is withdrawn and Hiroki Ito gets his opportunity.
  • 59' The whistle greets Adam Dzwigala as he departs to be replaced by Connor Metcalfe.
  • 64' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering FC Bayern München that had 540 games and scored 1057 goals.
  • 69' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 71' Leroy Sane does the damage! The net is bulging and FC Bayern Munchen surge ahead!
  • 72' It is a substitution in FC St. Pauli 1910 team. Elias Saad is replaced by Oladapo Afolayan on 72 minute.
  • 77' David Nemeth is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for FC St. Pauli 1910 so far.
  • 78' The FC Bayern Munchen manager makes a substitution. Jamal Musiala departs to be replaced by Serge Gnabry.
  • 83' The FC St. Pauli 1910 bench stirs into life. Manolis Saliakas is withdrawn and Lars Ritzka gets his opportunity.
  • 85' Josip Stanisic is ready to make an impact after coming on for Konrad Laimer at the 85 minute mark.
  • 90' Jonas Urbig has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
  • Hope, you loved the show. Another epic battle is over with the score 3-2.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
3.43 FC Bayern München xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.95 FC St. Pauli 1910 xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 79% + FC Bayern München to win 77%

Match Result

✓ Correct
FC Bayern München77% Draw14% FC St. Pauli 19109%
Actual: FC Bayern München win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes59% 0% No41%
Avg goals/match: 4.38
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 98%
2%
± 1.5 92%
8%
± 2.5 79%
21%
± 3.5 61%
39%
± 4.5 42%
58%

Double Chance

FC Bayern München or Draw
91%
Draw or FC St. Pauli 1910
23%
FC Bayern München or FC St. Pauli 1910
86%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
FC Bayern München63% Draw28% FC St. Pauli 19109%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
3 – 0
8.6%
3 – 1
7.9%
2 – 0
7.8%
4 – 0
7.2%
2 – 1
7.1%
4 – 1
6.7%
5 – 0
4.9%
1 – 1
4.8%
5 – 1
4.6%
1 – 0
4.5%
3 – 2
Actual
2 – 2
3.3%

Asian Handicap — FC Bayern München

Handicap FC Bayern München covers Push FC St. Pauli 1910 covers
-2.5 45% 55%
-2 45% 20% 35%
-1.5 65% 35%
-1 65% 17% 18%
-0.5 82% 18%
+0.5 93% 7%
+1 93% 4% 2%
+1.5 98% 2%
+2 98% 2% 1%
+2.5 99% 1%

Clean Sheet

FC Bayern München keeps clean sheet
39%
FC St. Pauli 1910 keeps clean sheet
4%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.