Wednesday , 30 September 2026

FC Bayern München vs FC St. Pauli 1910, Bundesliga 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Bundesliga · 2024-25
Sat 29 Mar 2025 · 14:30 UTC Allianz Arena 75,000 HT 45' · FT 45'
Harry Kane 17' 1–0
1–1 27' Elias Saad
Leroy Sane 53' 2–1
Leroy Sane 71' 3–1
3–2 90+3' Lars Ritzka

Overview

Match Preview

FC Bayern München vs FC St. Pauli 1910 — Bundesliga at Allianz Arena.

Match Details

  • Referee Florian Badstubner
  • Assistant 1 Markus Schuller
  • Assistant 2 Philipp Huwe
3 games this season 🟨 2.3/game ⚽ 10.3 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Head-to-Head

4
FC Bayern München 4 games · Avg 3.8 goals FC St. Pauli 1910

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
29 Mar FC St. Pauli 1910 H 3–2 W
15 Mar 1. FC Union Berlin A 1–1 D
11 Mar Bayer 04 Leverkusen A 2–0 W
08 Mar VfL Bochum 1848 H 2–3 L
05 Mar Bayer 04 Leverkusen H 3–0 W
28 Feb VfB Stuttgart A 3–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
29 Mar FC Bayern München A 2–3 L
14 Mar TSG 1899 Hoffenheim H 1–0 W
08 Mar VfL Wolfsburg A 1–1 D
01 Mar Borussia Dortmund H 0–2 L
22 Feb 1. FSV Mainz 05 A 0–2 L
15 Feb SC Freiburg H 0–1 L

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
75% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
50% Clean Sheets
FC Bayern München this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

FC Bayern München
0-15
–/–
16-30
3/–
31-45
2/–
46-60
2/1
61-75
3/1
76+
3/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

FC Bayern München
Michael Olise 4 G 1 A
Harry Kane 3 G
Aleksandar Pavlovic 1 G 1 A
Dayot Upamecano 1 G
Luis Diaz 1 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Packed stands, loud atmosphere — FC Bayern Munchen and FC St. Pauli 1910 get this one started.
  • 5' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 10' Eric Smith has been relatively quiet despite scoring 6 goals in his last 303 appearances.
  • 13' Raphael Guerreiro was booked on 13.
  • 17' Harry Kane is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 14 goals this season for the .
  • 22' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both FC Bayern Munchen and FC St. Pauli 1910 are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
  • 27' Brilliant from the forward! Elias Saad makes it 1-1 with a superb finish on 27.
  • 32' Michael Olise is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for FC Bayern Munchen so far.
  • 37' FC St. Pauli 1910 started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 37.
  • 42' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
  • 45' Michael Olise is having his name booked by the referee on 45.
  • 46' Leon Goretzka makes way for Joao Palhinha at the 46 minute mark. A tactical switch from FC Bayern Munchen.
  • 51' Joao Palhinha was booked on 51.
  • 53' Leroy Sane has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 53 minutes.
  • 58' FC Bayern Munchen make a change. Raphael Guerreiro trudges off to be replaced by Hiroki Ito on 58 minutes.
  • 59' Connor Metcalfe is ready to make an impact after coming on for Adam Dzwigala at the 59 minute mark.
  • 64' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 69' Both keepers have barely been tested. FC Bayern Munchen and FC St. Pauli 1910 are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
  • 71' GOAL! Leroy Sane fires home to make it 3-1!
  • 72' The supporters are chanting for Oladapo Afolayan. He replaces Elias Saad on 72 minute.
  • 77' FC Bayern Munchen are deployed in a 4-2-3-1 today, looking to exploit space against FC St. Pauli 1910's 3-4-3 shape.
  • 78' FC Bayern Munchen make a change. Jamal Musiala trudges off to be replaced by Serge Gnabry on 78 minutes.
  • 83' Lars Ritzka is replacing Manolis Saliakas for the FC St. Pauli 1910 side.
  • 85' Josip Stanisic has so much to prove this time. He replaces Konrad Laimer on 85 minute.
  • 90' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
  • The final whistle goes. A composed, disciplined performance from FC Bayern Munchen to claim maximum points.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.82 FC Bayern München xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.21 FC St. Pauli 1910 xG
I would bet for: Both teams to score 59% + Over 2.5 goals 57%

Match Result

✓ Correct
FC Bayern München55% Draw24% FC St. Pauli 191021%
Actual: FC Bayern München win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes59% 0% No41%
Avg goals/match: 3.03
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 93%
7%
± 1.5 80%
20%
± 2.5 57%
43%
± 3.5 36%
64%
± 4.5 19%
81%

Double Chance

FC Bayern München or Draw
78%
Draw or FC St. Pauli 1910
45%
FC Bayern München or FC St. Pauli 1910
76%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
FC Bayern München37% Draw43% FC St. Pauli 191020%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
11.5%
2 – 1
9.3%
1 – 0
8.1%
2 – 0
7.9%
0 – 0
6.6%
1 – 2
6.2%
3 – 1
5.6%
2 – 2
5.6%
0 – 1
5%
3 – 0
4.7%
0 – 2
3.5%
3 – 2
Actual

Asian Handicap — FC Bayern München

Handicap FC Bayern München covers Push FC St. Pauli 1910 covers
-2.5 13% — 87%
-2 13% 16% 71%
-1.5 29% — 71%
-1 29% 22% 50%
-0.5 50% — 50%
+0.5 76% — 24%
+1 76% 14% 10%
+1.5 90% — 10%
+2 90% 7% 3%
+2.5 97% — 3%

Clean Sheet

FC Bayern München keeps clean sheet
31% ✓
FC St. Pauli 1910 keeps clean sheet
17% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.