Thursday , 2 July 2026

FC Bayern München vs FC St. Pauli 1910, Bundesliga 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Bundesliga · 2025-26
Sat 29 Nov 2025 · 14:30 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

FC Bayern München vs FC St. Pauli 1910Bundesliga .

Match Details

  • Referee Felix Zwayer
35 games this season 🟨 1.6/game 7.2 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
29 Nov FC St. Pauli 1910 H 3–1 W
26 Nov Arsenal FC A 1–3 L
22 Nov SC Freiburg H 6–2 W
08 Nov 1. FC Union Berlin A 2–2 D
04 Nov Paris Saint-Germain FC A 2–1 W
01 Nov Bayer 04 Leverkusen H 3–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
29 Nov FC Bayern München A 1–3 L
23 Nov 1. FC Union Berlin H 0–1 L
09 Nov SC Freiburg A 1–2 L
01 Nov Borussia Monchengladbach H 0–4 L
28 Oct TSG 1899 Hoffenheim H 10–9 W
25 Oct Eintracht Frankfurt A 0–2 L

Season Stats

FC Bayern München FC St. Pauli 1910
#1 Position #18
89 Points 26
34 Played 34
28 / 5 / 1 W / D / L 6 / 8 / 20
122 Scored 29
36 Conceded 60
+86 GD -31
2.62 PPG 0.76
82% Win % 18%

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
75% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
35% Clean Sheets
FC Bayern München this season
15% Clean Sheets
FC St. Pauli 1910 this season

FC Bayern München are 1st (89 pts). FC St. Pauli 1910 are 18th (26 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

FC Bayern München
0-15
3/1
16-30
1/4
31-45
4/2
46-60
6/1
61-75
3/1
76+
8/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
FC St. Pauli 1910
0-15
/3
16-30
1/
31-45
/3
46-60
1/4
61-75
1/1
76+
2/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

Lineups

FC Bayern München Lineups

FC St. Pauli 1910 Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
3.75 FC Bayern München xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.77 FC St. Pauli 1910 xG
I would bet for: FC Bayern München to win 81% + Over 2.5 goals 81%

Match Result

✓ Correct
FC Bayern München81% Draw12% FC St. Pauli 19107%
Actual: FC Bayern München win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes52% 0% No48%
Avg goals/match: 4.52
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 98%
2%
± 1.5 93%
7%
± 2.5 81%
19%
± 3.5 63%
37%
± 4.5 44%
56%

Double Chance

FC Bayern München or Draw
93%
Draw or FC St. Pauli 1910
19%
FC Bayern München or FC St. Pauli 1910
88%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
FC Bayern München69% Draw25% FC St. Pauli 19106%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
3 – 0
9.8%
4 – 0
9%
2 – 0
8.3%
3 – 1
Actual
4 – 1
6.9%
5 – 0
6.7%
2 – 1
6.1%
5 – 1
5.2%
1 – 0
4.5%
6 – 0
4.2%
1 – 1
3.8%
6 – 1
3.3%

Asian Handicap — FC Bayern München

Handicap FC Bayern München covers Push FC St. Pauli 1910 covers
-2.5 54% 46%
-2 54% 19% 27%
-1.5 73% 27%
-1 73% 14% 13%
-0.5 87% 13%
+0.5 96% 4%
+1 96% 3% 1%
+1.5 99% 1%
+2 99% 1% 0%
+2.5 100% 0%

Clean Sheet

FC Bayern München keeps clean sheet
47%
FC St. Pauli 1910 keeps clean sheet
3%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.