Wednesday , 30 September 2026

FC Bayern München vs FC St. Pauli 1910, Bundesliga 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Bundesliga · 2025-26
Sat 29 Nov 2025 · 14:30 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

FC Bayern München vs FC St. Pauli 1910 — Bundesliga .

Match Details

  • Referee Felix Zwayer
10 games this season 🟨 4.3/game ⚽ 13.5 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
29 Nov FC St. Pauli 1910 H 3–1 W
26 Nov Arsenal FC A 1–3 L
22 Nov SC Freiburg H 6–2 W
08 Nov 1. FC Union Berlin A 2–2 D
04 Nov Paris Saint-Germain FC A 2–1 W
01 Nov Bayer 04 Leverkusen H 3–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
29 Nov FC Bayern München A 1–3 L
23 Nov 1. FC Union Berlin H 0–1 L
09 Nov SC Freiburg A 1–2 L
01 Nov Borussia Mönchengladbach H 0–4 L
28 Oct TSG 1899 Hoffenheim H 10–9 W
25 Oct Eintracht Frankfurt A 0–2 L

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
75% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
50% Clean Sheets
FC Bayern München this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

FC Bayern München
0-15
–/–
16-30
3/–
31-45
2/–
46-60
2/1
61-75
3/1
76+
3/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

FC Bayern München
Michael Olise 4 G 1 A
Harry Kane 3 G
Aleksandar Pavlovic 1 G 1 A
Dayot Upamecano 1 G
Luis Diaz 1 G

Events

Match Events

Lineups

FC Bayern München Lineups

FC St. Pauli 1910 Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
2.15 FC Bayern München xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.03 FC St. Pauli 1910 xG
I would bet for: FC Bayern München to win 63% + Over 2.5 goals 61%

Match Result

✓ Correct
FC Bayern München63% Draw21% FC St. Pauli 191016%
Actual: FC Bayern München win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes57% 0% No43%
Avg goals/match: 3.18
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 94%
6%
± 1.5 82%
18%
± 2.5 61%
39%
± 3.5 39%
61%
± 4.5 22%
78%

Double Chance

FC Bayern München or Draw
84%
Draw or FC St. Pauli 1910
37%
FC Bayern München or FC St. Pauli 1910
79%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
FC Bayern München44% Draw41% FC St. Pauli 191015%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
10%
2 – 1
9.5%
2 – 0
9.5%
1 – 0
8.4%
3 – 1
Actual
3 – 0
6.6%
0 – 0
5.7%
2 – 2
4.9%
1 – 2
4.6%
4 – 1
3.7%
0 – 1
3.6%
3 – 2
3.6%

Asian Handicap — FC Bayern München

Handicap FC Bayern München covers Push FC St. Pauli 1910 covers
-2.5 20% — 80%
-2 20% 19% 61%
-1.5 39% — 61%
-1 39% 22% 39%
-0.5 61% — 39%
+0.5 84% — 16%
+1 84% 10% 6%
+1.5 94% — 6%
+2 94% 4% 2%
+2.5 98% — 2%

Clean Sheet

FC Bayern München keeps clean sheet
36% ✓
FC St. Pauli 1910 keeps clean sheet
13% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.