Wednesday , 30 September 2026

FC St. Pauli 1910 vs FC Bayern München, Bundesliga 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Bundesliga · 2025-26
Sat 11 Apr 2026 · 16:30 UTC Millerntor-Stadion 29,546 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 9' Jamal Musiala
0–2 53' Leon Goretzka
0–3 54' Michael Olise
0–4 65' Nicolas Jackson
0–5 88' Raphael Guerreiro

Overview

Match Preview

FC St. Pauli 1910 vs FC Bayern München — Bundesliga at Millerntor-Stadion.

Match Details

  • Referee Tobias Stieler
  • Assistant 1 Lasse Koslowski
  • Assistant 2 Mark Borsch
3 games this season 🟨 5.7/game ⚽ 11.7 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
11 Apr FC Bayern München H 0–5 L
05 Apr 1. FC Union Berlin A 1–1 D
22 Mar SC Freiburg H 1–2 L
13 Mar Borussia Mönchengladbach A 0–2 L
08 Mar Eintracht Frankfurt H 0–0 D
28 Feb TSG 1899 Hoffenheim A 1–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
11 Apr FC St. Pauli 1910 A 5–0 W
07 Apr Real Madrid CF A 2–1 W
04 Apr SC Freiburg A 3–2 W
21 Mar 1. FC Union Berlin H 4–0 W
18 Mar Atalanta BC H 4–1 W
14 Mar Bayer 04 Leverkusen A 1–1 D

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
75% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
50% Clean Sheets
FC Bayern München this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

FC Bayern München
0-15
–/–
16-30
3/–
31-45
2/–
46-60
2/1
61-75
3/1
76+
3/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

FC Bayern München
Michael Olise 4 G 1 A
Harry Kane 3 G
Aleksandar Pavlovic 1 G 1 A
Dayot Upamecano 1 G
Luis Diaz 1 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' And we are off! FC St. Pauli 1910 vs FC Bayern Munchen — let the football do the talking.
  • 5' FC Bayern Munchen come into this ranked 1 in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
  • 9' Jamal Musiala makes no mistake. The score reads 0-1 and FC Bayern Munchen are in front.
  • 14' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both FC St. Pauli 1910 and FC Bayern Munchen are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
  • 19' Konrad Laimer picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
  • 24' Josip Stanisic has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
  • 29' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 34' With 1 assists to his name this season, Konrad Laimer is clearly more than just a goal scorer for FC Bayern Munchen.
  • 39' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
  • 44' The 24-year-old Andreas Hountondji has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
  • 49' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 52' That is a card for FC St. Pauli 1910. Joel Fujita will be fuming at that decision.
  • 53' Leon Goretzka adds to his 1 season tally! FC Bayern Munchen lead 0-2 — and this changes everything.
  • 54' GOAL! Michael Olise fires home to make it 0-3!
  • 58' Another change for FC Bayern Munchen made on 58 minute. Konrad Laimer leaves to be changed by Josip Stanisic.
  • 59' The crowd applauds Joshua Kimmich as he leaves the pitch. Alphonso Davies steps in for FC Bayern Munchen.
  • 64' Luis Diaz, a Colombia , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
  • 65' A stunning finish from Nicolas Jackson — that came from absolutely nowhere!
  • 66' Time for substitution for FC St. Pauli 1910. Joel Fujita is replaced by Connor Metcalfe.
  • 67' Jonathan Tah is replacing Hiroki Ito for the FC Bayern Munchen side.
  • 72' Germany international Jonathan Tah has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 1 assists in the Array this season.
  • 77' The supporters are chanting for Martijn Kaars. He replaces Andreas Hountondji on 77 minute.
  • 82' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
  • 84' The FC Bayern Munchen bench stirs into life. Jamal Musiala is withdrawn and Bara Sapoko Ndiaye gets his opportunity.
  • 88' Goal! Raphael Guerreiro scores his 45 goal in 527 matches.
  • 88' Fresh legs for FC St. Pauli 1910! Taichi Hara comes on to replace Mathias Pereira Lage.
  • The referee brings this contest to a close. FC Bayern Munchen take all three points.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1 FC St. Pauli 1910 xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.07 FC Bayern München xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 58% + FC Bayern München to win 58%

Match Result

✓ Correct
FC St. Pauli 191019% Draw23% FC Bayern München58%
Actual: FC Bayern München win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes55% 0% No45%
Avg goals/match: 3.07
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 94%
6%
± 1.5 81%
19%
± 2.5 58%
42%
± 3.5 37%
63%
± 4.5 20%
80%

Double Chance

FC St. Pauli 1910 or Draw
42%
Draw or FC Bayern München
81%
FC St. Pauli 1910 or FC Bayern München
77%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
FC St. Pauli 191015% Draw42% FC Bayern München43%
Actual: FC Bayern München win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 0–5 not predicted
0 – 5
Actual
1 – 1
10.4%
0 – 2
9.9%
1 – 2
9.6%
0 – 1
9.1%
0 – 3
6.7%
1 – 3
6.6%
0 – 0
6.3%
2 – 2
4.8%
2 – 1
4.6%
1 – 0
3.9%
1 – 4
3.5%
0 – 4
3.4%

Asian Handicap — FC St. Pauli 1910

Handicap FC St. Pauli 1910 covers Push FC Bayern München covers
-2.5 2% — 98%
-2 2% 4% 94%
-1.5 6% — 94%
-1 6% 10% 84%
-0.5 16% — 84%
+0.5 39% — 61%
+1 39% 23% 38%
+1.5 62% — 38%
+2 62% 19% 19%
+2.5 81% — 19%

Clean Sheet

FC St. Pauli 1910 keeps clean sheet
14% ✓
FC Bayern München keeps clean sheet
37% ✗

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.