Sunday , 16 August 2026

FC Cincinnati vs Toronto FC, MLS 2025 REGULAR SEASON

MLS · 2025
FC Cincinnati
2 – 0
Full Time
Toronto FC
Sun 9 Mar 2025 · 00:30 UTC TQL Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'
Y 50' Kosi Thompson
Evander 67' Y
Alvas Powell 90' Y

Overview

Match Preview

FC Cincinnati vs Toronto FC — MLS at TQL Stadium.

Standings

# Team P Pts
1 Nashville SC 18 40
2 Internacional CF Miami 18 38
3 New England Revolution 18 30
4 Chicago Fire FC 17 29
5 New York City FC 18 26
6 FC Cincinnati 18 26
7 Charlotte FC 18 25
8 New York Red Bulls 18 25
9 D.C. United SC 18 23
10 Columbus Crew SC 18 20
11 Orlando City SC 18 20
12 Toronto FC 18 17
13 Philadelphia Union 18 16
14 Montreal Impact FC 18 16
15 Atlanta United FC 18 12
16 Vancouver Whitecaps FC 17 34
17 Los Angeles FC 19 34
18 San Jose Earthquakes 18 33
19 Houston Dynamo 18 32
20 FC Dallas 18 27
21 Real Salt Lake 17 27
22 St. Louis City 18 26
23 Portland Timbers 18 24
24 Seattle Sounders FC 17 24
25 Minnesota United FC 18 24
26 Colorado Rapids SC 18 22
27 Los Angeles Galaxy 19 22
28 San Diego FC 18 21
29 Austin FC 18 17
30 Sporting Kansas City 18 14

Head-to-Head

9
2
5
FC Cincinnati 16 games · Avg 2.8 goals Toronto FC
Last 5 meetings
2025-03-09 FC Cincinnati 2–0 Toronto FC 2024-05-25 Toronto FC 3–4 FC Cincinnati 2024-02-25 FC Cincinnati 0–0 Toronto FC 2023-09-30 Toronto FC 2–3 FC Cincinnati 2023-06-21 FC Cincinnati 3–0 Toronto FC

Recent Form

FC Cincinnati
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
09 Mar Toronto FC H 2–0 W
02 Mar Philadelphia Union A 1–4 L
23 Feb New York Red Bulls H 1–0 W
19 Oct Philadelphia Union A 2–1 W
05 Oct Orlando City SC H 1–3 L
02 Oct New York City FC A 2–3 L
Toronto FC
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
09 Mar FC Cincinnati A 0–2 L
02 Mar Orlando City SC A 2–4 L
23 Feb D.C. United SC A 2–2 D
05 Oct Internacional CF Miami H 0–1 L
02 Oct New York Red Bulls H 1–4 L
29 Sep Chicago Fire FC A 1–1 D

Season Stats

FC Cincinnati Toronto FC
#6 Position #12
26 Points 17
18 Played 18
7 / 5 / 6 W / D / L 3 / 8 / 7
45 Scored 24
44 Conceded 32
+1 GD -8
1.44 PPG 0.94
39% Win % 17%

Key Stats

44% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
44% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
21% Clean Sheets
FC Cincinnati this season
16% Clean Sheets
Toronto FC this season

FC Cincinnati are 6th (26 pts). Toronto FC are 12th (17 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

FC Cincinnati
0-15
3/2
16-30
4/7
31-45
9/5
46-60
4/7
61-75
2/1
76+
11/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Toronto FC
0-15
1/2
16-30
1/3
31-45
4/3
46-60
2/5
61-75
4/4
76+
6/7
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

FC Cincinnati
Evander 10 G 4 A
Kevin Denkey 10 G 1 A
Tom Barlow 5 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The match kicks off with home fans waiting with anticipation for FC Cincinnati to score. At the same time, Toronto FC does not seem to pull back! Let’s get it on!
  • 5' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 10' Deandre Kerr is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for FC Cincinnati so far.
  • 15' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 20' FC Cincinnati are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Toronto FC backline.
  • 25' named a earlier, and opted for a in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
  • 30' The home supporters are growing impatient. FC Cincinnati must find a spark to ignite this game.
  • 35' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Toronto FC that had 284 games and scored 371 goals.
  • 40' FC Cincinnati have won 361 goals from 248 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
  • 45' Theo Corbeanu needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Yellow cards this season.
  • 46' Deandre Kerr is replacing Ola Brynhildsen for the Toronto FC side.
  • 50' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Kosi Thompson on 50 minutes.
  • 55' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Pat Noonan will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 60' Supporters expect more eagerness from Tyrese Spicer, as he is very good at scoring at TQL Stadium with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
  • 61' Luca Orellano makes way for Evander at the 61 minute mark. A tactical switch from FC Cincinnati.
  • 66' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 67' It’s a booking for FC Cincinnati player. Evander gets a card.
  • 72' Toronto FC has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 1 of the last 2 meetings.
  • 73' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Kevin Denkey makes it 1-0.
  • 74' A tactical swap from FC Cincinnati — Sergio Santos on, Kevin Denkey off on 74 minutes.
  • 75' Theo Corbeanu gets the nod from Toronto FC. He replaces Nicksoen Gomis and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 80' It’s high time Pat Noonan made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 84' Zane Monlouis makes way for Obinna Nwobodo at the 84 minute mark. A tactical switch from FC Cincinnati.
  • 88' A goal from the Japan international Yuya Kubo! He fires home on 88 to make it 2-0!
  • 90' It’s gonna be a card for Alvas Powell.
  • Time to leave. No sensation happened. Another win for FC Cincinnati players.

Lineups

FC Cincinnati Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Pat Noonan

Toronto FC Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Robin Fraser

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

PlayerGoals
Luciano Acosta 5
Allan Cruz 2
Brandon Vazquez 2
Luca Orellano 2
Nick DeLeon 2
Emmanuel Ledesma 2
Kevin Denkey 2
Ian Murphy 2

Head to Head

2025-03-09 FC Cincinnati 2–0 Toronto FC 2024-05-25 Toronto FC 3–4 FC Cincinnati 2024-02-25 FC Cincinnati 0–0 Toronto FC 2023-09-30 Toronto FC 2–3 FC Cincinnati 2023-06-21 FC Cincinnati 3–0 Toronto FC

FC Cincinnati Form

2025-03-09 FC Cincinnati 2–0 Toronto FC W 2025-03-02 Philadelphia Union 4–1 FC Cincinnati L 2025-02-23 FC Cincinnati 1–0 New York Red Bulls W 2024-10-19 Philadelphia Union 1–2 FC Cincinnati W 2024-10-05 FC Cincinnati 1–3 Orlando City SC L 2024-10-02 New York City FC 3–2 FC Cincinnati L

Toronto FC Form

2025-03-09 FC Cincinnati 2–0 Toronto FC L 2025-03-02 Orlando City SC 4–2 Toronto FC L 2025-02-23 D.C. United SC 2–2 Toronto FC D 2024-10-05 Toronto FC 0–1 Internacional CF Miami L 2024-10-02 Toronto FC 1–4 New York Red Bulls L 2024-09-29 Chicago Fire FC 1–1 Toronto FC D

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
2.69 FC Cincinnati xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.48 Toronto FC xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 77% + Both teams to score 71%

Match Result

✓ Correct
FC Cincinnati63% Draw19% Toronto FC18%
Actual: FC Cincinnati win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes71% 0% No29%
Avg goals/match: 4.17
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 97%
3%
± 1.5 92%
8%
± 2.5 77%
23%
± 3.5 58%
42%
± 4.5 40%
60%

Double Chance

FC Cincinnati or Draw
82%
Draw or Toronto FC
37%
FC Cincinnati or Toronto FC
81%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
FC Cincinnati47% Draw35% Toronto FC18%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
2 – 1
8.1%
3 – 1
7.1%
1 – 1
7%
2 – 2
5.9%
2 – 0
Actual
3 – 2
5.2%
3 – 0
5%
4 – 1
4.8%
1 – 2
4.5%
1 – 0
3.9%
4 – 2
3.6%
4 – 0
3.3%

Asian Handicap — FC Cincinnati

Handicap FC Cincinnati covers Push Toronto FC covers
-2.5 25% — 75%
-2 25% 18% 58%
-1.5 42% — 58%
-1 42% 20% 38%
-0.5 62% — 38%
+0.5 81% — 19%
+1 81% 11% 9%
+1.5 91% — 9%
+2 91% 6% 3%
+2.5 97% — 3%

Clean Sheet

FC Cincinnati keeps clean sheet
24% ✗
Toronto FC keeps clean sheet
8% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.