Wednesday , 30 September 2026

FC Cincinnati vs Toronto FC, MLS 2025 REGULAR SEASON

MLS · 2025
FC Cincinnati
2 – 0
Full Time
Toronto FC
Sun 9 Mar 2025 · 00:30 UTC TQL Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'
Y 50' Kosi Thompson
Evander 67' Y
Alvas Powell 90' Y

Overview

Match Preview

FC Cincinnati vs Toronto FC — MLS at TQL Stadium.

Standings

# Team P Pts
1 Nashville SC 27 60
2 Internacional CF Miami 27 46
3 New England Revolution 27 46
4 Charlotte FC 27 43
5 Chicago Fire FC 26 42
6 Philadelphia Union 27 39
7 Orlando City SC 27 34
8 New York City FC 27 33
9 FC Cincinnati 26 33
10 New York Red Bulls 26 33
11 D.C. United SC 26 30
12 Columbus Crew SC 27 29
13 Toronto FC 27 29
14 Atlanta United FC 27 27
15 Montreal Impact FC 27 24
16 Vancouver Whitecaps FC 26 50
17 FC Dallas 27 47
18 San Jose Earthquakes 27 45
19 St. Louis City 26 44
20 Houston Dynamo 27 44
21 Los Angeles FC 28 41
22 Colorado Rapids SC 27 36
23 Los Angeles Galaxy 28 36
24 Seattle Sounders FC 26 35
25 San Diego FC 27 32
26 Portland Timbers 27 32
27 Real Salt Lake 27 32
28 Austin FC 27 31
29 Minnesota United FC 27 29
30 Sporting Kansas City 26 21

Head-to-Head

9
2
5
FC Cincinnati 16 games · Avg 2.8 goals Toronto FC
Last 5 meetings
2025-03-09 FC Cincinnati 2–0 Toronto FC 2024-05-25 Toronto FC 3–4 FC Cincinnati 2024-02-25 FC Cincinnati 0–0 Toronto FC 2023-09-30 Toronto FC 2–3 FC Cincinnati 2023-06-21 FC Cincinnati 3–0 Toronto FC

Recent Form

FC Cincinnati
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
09 Mar Toronto FC H 2–0 W
02 Mar Philadelphia Union A 1–4 L
23 Feb New York Red Bulls H 1–0 W
19 Oct Philadelphia Union A 2–1 W
05 Oct Orlando City SC H 1–3 L
02 Oct New York City FC A 2–3 L
Toronto FC
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
09 Mar FC Cincinnati A 0–2 L
02 Mar Orlando City SC A 2–4 L
23 Feb D.C. United SC A 2–2 D
05 Oct Internacional CF Miami H 0–1 L
02 Oct New York Red Bulls H 1–4 L
29 Sep Chicago Fire FC A 1–1 D

Season Stats

FC Cincinnati Toronto FC
#9 Position #13
33 Points 29
26 Played 27
8 / 9 / 9 W / D / L 6 / 11 / 10
55 Scored 39
64 Conceded 51
-9 GD -12
1.27 PPG 1.07
31% Win % 22%

Key Stats

44% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
44% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
15% Clean Sheets
FC Cincinnati this season
11% Clean Sheets
Toronto FC this season

FC Cincinnati are 9th (33 pts). Toronto FC are 13th (29 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

FC Cincinnati
0-15
4/3
16-30
5/9
31-45
9/9
46-60
5/11
61-75
4/4
76+
13/7
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Toronto FC
0-15
1/3
16-30
2/5
31-45
5/6
46-60
4/7
61-75
7/6
76+
9/10
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

FC Cincinnati
Kevin Denkey 14 G 1 A
Evander 13 G 7 A
Tom Barlow 7 G 2 A
Pavel Bucha 6 G 3 A
Toronto FC
Daniel Salloi 7 G 5 A
Josh Sargent 7 G 2 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' It’s Showtime! The match between FC Cincinnati and Toronto FC is underway.
  • 5' The energy levels are beginning to show. Pat Noonan might look to freshen things up shortly.
  • 10' FC Cincinnati are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against Toronto FC's shape.
  • 15' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
  • 20' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both FC Cincinnati and Toronto FC are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
  • 25' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Pat Noonan will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 30' Corey Baird, a USA , has 22 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
  • 35' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Toronto FC that had 289 games and scored 381 goals.
  • 40' Jonathan Osorio has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
  • 45' Both keepers have barely been tested. FC Cincinnati and Toronto FC are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
  • 46' Toronto FC make a change. Ola Brynhildsen trudges off to be replaced by Deandre Kerr on 46 minutes.
  • 50' Kosi Thompson has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 50.
  • 55' Supporters expect more eagerness from Theo Corbeanu, as he is very good at scoring at TQL Stadium with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
  • 60' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 60 minutes.
  • 61' FC Cincinnati ring the changes. Luca Orellano has done his job and it is now time for Evander to step up.
  • 66' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 67' Evander catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 67.
  • 72' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 73' Kevin Denkey has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 73 minutes.
  • 74' Sergio Santos has so much to prove this time. He replaces Kevin Denkey on 74 minute.
  • 75' Theo Corbeanu gets the nod from Toronto FC. He replaces Nicksoen Gomis and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 80' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 84' Obinna Nwobodo has so much to prove this time. He replaces Zane Monlouis on 84 minute.
  • 88' A goal from the Japan international Yuya Kubo! He fires home on 88 to make it 2-0!
  • 90' FC Cincinnati receives a card for a hard tackle on 90.
  • Hope, you loved the show. Another epic battle is over with the score 2-0.

Lineups

FC Cincinnati Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Pat Noonan

Toronto FC Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Robin Fraser

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

PlayerGoals
Luciano Acosta 5
Ian Murphy 2
Marky Delgado 2
Jonathan Osorio 2
Patrick Mullins 2
Allan Cruz 2
Brandon Vazquez 2
Luca Orellano 2

Head to Head

2025-03-09 FC Cincinnati 2–0 Toronto FC 2024-05-25 Toronto FC 3–4 FC Cincinnati 2024-02-25 FC Cincinnati 0–0 Toronto FC 2023-09-30 Toronto FC 2–3 FC Cincinnati 2023-06-21 FC Cincinnati 3–0 Toronto FC

FC Cincinnati Form

2025-03-09 FC Cincinnati 2–0 Toronto FC W 2025-03-02 Philadelphia Union 4–1 FC Cincinnati L 2025-02-23 FC Cincinnati 1–0 New York Red Bulls W 2024-10-19 Philadelphia Union 1–2 FC Cincinnati W 2024-10-05 FC Cincinnati 1–3 Orlando City SC L 2024-10-02 New York City FC 3–2 FC Cincinnati L

Toronto FC Form

2025-03-09 FC Cincinnati 2–0 Toronto FC L 2025-03-02 Orlando City SC 4–2 Toronto FC L 2025-02-23 D.C. United SC 2–2 Toronto FC D 2024-10-05 Toronto FC 0–1 Internacional CF Miami L 2024-10-02 Toronto FC 1–4 New York Red Bulls L 2024-09-29 Chicago Fire FC 1–1 Toronto FC D

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
2.52 FC Cincinnati xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.57 Toronto FC xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 76% + Both teams to score 72%

Match Result

✓ Correct
FC Cincinnati59% Draw20% Toronto FC21%
Actual: FC Cincinnati win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes72% 0% No28%
Avg goals/match: 4.09
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 97%
3%
± 1.5 91%
9%
± 2.5 76%
24%
± 3.5 57%
43%
± 4.5 38%
62%

Double Chance

FC Cincinnati or Draw
79%
Draw or Toronto FC
41%
FC Cincinnati or Toronto FC
80%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
FC Cincinnati43% Draw36% Toronto FC21%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
2 – 1
8.2%
1 – 1
7.4%
3 – 1
6.7%
2 – 2
6.3%
2 – 0
Actual
3 – 2
5.2%
1 – 2
5.1%
3 – 0
4.5%
4 – 1
4.3%
1 – 0
3.9%
4 – 2
3.4%
2 – 3
3.3%

Asian Handicap — FC Cincinnati

Handicap FC Cincinnati covers Push Toronto FC covers
-2.5 21% — 79%
-2 21% 17% 62%
-1.5 38% — 62%
-1 38% 20% 43%
-0.5 57% — 43%
+0.5 77% — 23%
+1 77% 12% 11%
+1.5 89% — 11%
+2 89% 7% 4%
+2.5 96% — 4%

Clean Sheet

FC Cincinnati keeps clean sheet
22% ✗
Toronto FC keeps clean sheet
9% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.