Saturday , 14 November 2026

FC Cincinnati vs Toronto FC, MLS 2025 REGULAR SEASON

MLS · 2025
FC Cincinnati
2 – 0
Full Time
Toronto FC
Sun 9 Mar 2025 · 00:30 UTC TQL Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'
Y 50' Kosi Thompson
Evander 67' Y
Alvas Powell 90' Y

Overview

Match Preview

FC Cincinnati vs Toronto FC — MLS at TQL Stadium.

Standings

# Team P Pts
1 Nashville SC 34 77
2 Internacional CF Miami 34 60
3 New England Revolution 34 58
4 Chicago Fire FC 34 55
5 Charlotte FC 34 54
6 Philadelphia Union 34 50
7 Columbus Crew SC 34 47
8 FC Cincinnati 34 46
9 Orlando City SC 34 46
10 New York City FC 34 42
11 New York Red Bulls 34 42
12 Toronto FC 34 39
13 Atlanta United FC 34 33
14 D.C. United SC 34 33
15 Montreal Impact FC 34 26
16 Vancouver Whitecaps FC 34 64
17 FC Dallas 34 58
18 St. Louis City 34 54
19 San Jose Earthquakes 34 52
20 Houston Dynamo 34 51
21 Los Angeles FC 34 47
22 Portland Timbers 34 46
23 Seattle Sounders FC 34 46
24 Real Salt Lake 34 45
25 Minnesota United FC 34 44
26 Los Angeles Galaxy 34 44
27 Colorado Rapids SC 34 43
28 San Diego FC 34 38
29 Austin FC 34 34
30 Sporting Kansas City 34 26

Head-to-Head

9
2
5
FC Cincinnati 16 games · Avg 2.8 goals Toronto FC
Last 5 meetings
2025-03-09 FC Cincinnati 2–0 Toronto FC 2024-05-25 Toronto FC 3–4 FC Cincinnati 2024-02-25 FC Cincinnati 0–0 Toronto FC 2023-09-30 Toronto FC 2–3 FC Cincinnati 2023-06-21 FC Cincinnati 3–0 Toronto FC

Recent Form

FC Cincinnati
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
09 Mar Toronto FC H 2–0 W
02 Mar Philadelphia Union A 1–4 L
23 Feb New York Red Bulls H 1–0 W
19 Oct Philadelphia Union A 2–1 W
05 Oct Orlando City SC H 1–3 L
02 Oct New York City FC A 2–3 L
Toronto FC
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
09 Mar FC Cincinnati A 0–2 L
02 Mar Orlando City SC A 2–4 L
23 Feb D.C. United SC A 2–2 D
05 Oct Internacional CF Miami H 0–1 L
02 Oct New York Red Bulls H 1–4 L
29 Sep Chicago Fire FC A 1–1 D

Season Stats

FC Cincinnati Toronto FC
#8 Position #12
46 Points 39
34 Played 34
12 / 10 / 12 W / D / L 9 / 12 / 13
67 Scored 52
75 Conceded 67
-8 GD -15
1.35 PPG 1.15
35% Win % 26%

Key Stats

44% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
44% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
18% Clean Sheets
FC Cincinnati this season
12% Clean Sheets
Toronto FC this season

FC Cincinnati are 8th (46 pts). Toronto FC are 12th (39 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

FC Cincinnati
0-15
6/3
16-30
5/11
31-45
10/11
46-60
8/13
61-75
6/7
76+
17/9
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Toronto FC
0-15
1/3
16-30
3/10
31-45
6/9
46-60
5/12
61-75
9/7
76+
16/12
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

FC Cincinnati
Kevin Denkey 17 G 2 A
Evander 14 G 13 A
Tom Barlow 10 G 4 A
Pavel Bucha 6 G 3 A
Toronto FC
Josh Sargent 10 G 4 A
Daniel Salloi 9 G 6 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Temperatures are rising at TQL Stadium as FC Cincinnati face off against Toronto FC in what promises to be a fascinating contest.
  • 5' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 10' FC Cincinnati are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
  • 15' Toronto FC come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
  • 20' Toronto FC have won 397 goals from 300 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
  • 25' FC Cincinnati are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Toronto FC backline.
  • 30' Luca Orellano is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for FC Cincinnati tonight.
  • 35' Toronto FC has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 1 of the last 2 meetings.
  • 40' Yuya Kubo has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 27 cards already picked up this season.
  • 45' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 46' Toronto FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Deandre Kerr is hanging Ola Brynhildsen on the field on 46 minute.
  • 50' Kosi Thompson is having his name booked by the referee on 50.
  • 55' FC Cincinnati started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 55.
  • 60' The travelling Toronto FC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 61' A tactical swap from FC Cincinnati — Evander on, Luca Orellano off on 61 minutes.
  • 66' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both FC Cincinnati and Toronto FC are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
  • 67' Evander has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 67.
  • 72' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 73' Kevin Denkey has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 73 minutes.
  • 74' Another change for FC Cincinnati made on 74 minute. Kevin Denkey leaves to be changed by Sergio Santos.
  • 75' The crowd applauds Nicksoen Gomis as he leaves the pitch. Theo Corbeanu steps in for Toronto FC.
  • 80' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 84' A change in the FC Cincinnati ranks — Zane Monlouis exits the field as Obinna Nwobodo enters on 84.
  • 88' Against the run of play, Yuya Kubo has scored! This game has turned on its head.
  • 90' It’s a booking for FC Cincinnati player. Alvas Powell gets a card.
  • Toronto FC will have plenty to reflect on. FC Cincinnati were simply the better side today.

Lineups

FC Cincinnati Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Pat Noonan

Toronto FC Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Robin Fraser

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

PlayerGoals
Luciano Acosta 5
Luca Orellano 2
Nick DeLeon 2
Emmanuel Ledesma 2
Kevin Denkey 2
Ian Murphy 2
Marky Delgado 2
Jonathan Osorio 2

Head to Head

2025-03-09 FC Cincinnati 2–0 Toronto FC 2024-05-25 Toronto FC 3–4 FC Cincinnati 2024-02-25 FC Cincinnati 0–0 Toronto FC 2023-09-30 Toronto FC 2–3 FC Cincinnati 2023-06-21 FC Cincinnati 3–0 Toronto FC

FC Cincinnati Form

2025-03-09 FC Cincinnati 2–0 Toronto FC W 2025-03-02 Philadelphia Union 4–1 FC Cincinnati L 2025-02-23 FC Cincinnati 1–0 New York Red Bulls W 2024-10-19 Philadelphia Union 1–2 FC Cincinnati W 2024-10-05 FC Cincinnati 1–3 Orlando City SC L 2024-10-02 New York City FC 3–2 FC Cincinnati L

Toronto FC Form

2025-03-09 FC Cincinnati 2–0 Toronto FC L 2025-03-02 Orlando City SC 4–2 Toronto FC L 2025-02-23 D.C. United SC 2–2 Toronto FC D 2024-10-05 Toronto FC 0–1 Internacional CF Miami L 2024-10-02 Toronto FC 1–4 New York Red Bulls L 2024-09-29 Chicago Fire FC 1–1 Toronto FC D

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
2.47 FC Cincinnati xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.5 Toronto FC xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 74% + Both teams to score 71%

Match Result

✓ Correct
FC Cincinnati60% Draw20% Toronto FC20%
Actual: FC Cincinnati win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes71% 0% No29%
Avg goals/match: 3.97
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 97%
3%
± 1.5 90%
10%
± 2.5 74%
26%
± 3.5 55%
45%
± 4.5 36%
64%

Double Chance

FC Cincinnati or Draw
80%
Draw or Toronto FC
40%
FC Cincinnati or Toronto FC
80%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
FC Cincinnati44% Draw37% Toronto FC19%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
2 – 1
8.4%
1 – 1
7.8%
3 – 1
6.8%
2 – 2
6.2%
2 – 0
Actual
1 – 2
5.2%
3 – 2
5.1%
3 – 0
4.7%
1 – 0
4.3%
4 – 1
4.2%
4 – 2
3.2%
2 – 3
3.1%

Asian Handicap — FC Cincinnati

Handicap FC Cincinnati covers Push Toronto FC covers
-2.5 21% — 79%
-2 21% 17% 62%
-1.5 38% — 62%
-1 38% 20% 42%
-0.5 58% — 42%
+0.5 78% — 22%
+1 78% 12% 10%
+1.5 90% — 10%
+2 90% 6% 4%
+2.5 96% — 4%

Clean Sheet

FC Cincinnati keeps clean sheet
23% ✗
Toronto FC keeps clean sheet
9% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.