Sunday , 16 August 2026

FC Cincinnati vs Toronto FC, MLS 2024 REGULAR SEASON

MLS · 2024
Sun 25 Feb 2024 · 19:30 UTC TQL Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
25 Feb Toronto FC H 0–0 D
21 Oct Atlanta United FC H 2–2 D
07 Oct Internacional CF Miami A 1–0 W
04 Oct New York Red Bulls H 1–2 L
30 Sep Toronto FC A 3–2 W
23 Sep Charlotte FC H 3–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
25 Feb FC Cincinnati A 0–0 D
21 Oct Orlando City SC H 0–2 L
07 Oct New York Red Bulls A 0–3 L
04 Oct Charlotte FC A 0–3 L
30 Sep FC Cincinnati H 2–3 L
24 Sep New York City FC A 0–3 L

Season Stats

FC Cincinnati Toronto FC
#6 Position #12
26 Points 17
18 Played 18
7 / 5 / 6 W / D / L 3 / 8 / 7
45 Scored 24
44 Conceded 32
+1 GD -8
1.44 PPG 0.94
39% Win % 17%

Key Stats

44% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
44% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
21% Clean Sheets
FC Cincinnati this season
16% Clean Sheets
Toronto FC this season

FC Cincinnati are 6th (26 pts). Toronto FC are 12th (17 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

FC Cincinnati
0-15
3/2
16-30
4/7
31-45
9/5
46-60
4/7
61-75
2/1
76+
11/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Toronto FC
0-15
1/2
16-30
1/3
31-45
4/3
46-60
2/5
61-75
4/4
76+
6/7
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

FC Cincinnati
Evander 10 G 4 A
Kevin Denkey 10 G 1 A
Tom Barlow 5 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Packed stands, loud atmosphere — FC Cincinnati and Toronto FC get this one started.
  • 2' That is a card for Toronto FC. Jonathan Osorio will be fuming at that decision.
  • 7' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 12' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 12 minutes.
  • 17' Toronto FC is showing some good football. However, Toronto FC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 22' Toronto FC looks like a favorite considering 1 games won in last 2 matches with its main striker scoring 0 goals.
  • 27' It is a cagey affair so far. FC Cincinnati in their trying to find a way past Toronto FC's compact .
  • 32' With 0 assists to his name this season, Ayo Akinola is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Toronto FC.
  • 34' The referee calls foul for Raoul Petretta. He receives a card.
  • 39' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 2 times this season with Toronto FC winning 50% of all matches.
  • 44' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both FC Cincinnati and Toronto FC are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
  • 49' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. John Herdman will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 54' A meaty challenge results in booking for Shane O'Neill on 54.
  • 58' Aaron Boupendza gets the nod from FC Cincinnati. He replaces Sergio Santos and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 62' The Toronto FC manager makes a substitution. Lorenzo Insigne departs to be replaced by Jahkeele Marshall-Rutty.
  • 63' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Yuya Kubo on 63 minutes.
  • 68' It’s high time Pat Noonan made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 70' The supporters are chanting for Kobe Franklin. He replaces Richie Laryea on 70 minute.
  • 75' The 26-year-old Kipp Keller has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
  • 78' Alvas Powell is replacing Luca Orellano for the FC Cincinnati side.
  • 80' Fresh legs for Toronto FC! Sigurd Rosted comes on to replace Shane O'Neill.
  • 82' Sean Johnson has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 82.
  • 87' Alonso Coello Camarero has been relatively quiet despite scoring 2 goals in his last 284 appearances.
  • 90' Bret Halsey is ready to make an impact after coming on for Yuya Kubo at the 90 minute mark.
  • The final whistle goes. A composed, disciplined performance from to claim maximum points.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
0 / 4
2.51 FC Cincinnati xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.25 Toronto FC xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 71% + Both teams to score 65%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
FC Cincinnati64% Draw20% Toronto FC16%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes65% 0% No35%
Avg goals/match: 3.76
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 96%
4%
± 1.5 88%
12%
± 2.5 71%
29%
± 3.5 51%
49%
± 4.5 32%
68%

Double Chance

FC Cincinnati or Draw
83%
Draw or Toronto FC
36%
FC Cincinnati or Toronto FC
80%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
FC Cincinnati47% Draw37% Toronto FC16%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
2 – 1
8.9%
1 – 1
8.1%
2 – 0
7.4%
3 – 1
7.3%
3 – 0
6%
1 – 0
5.5%
2 – 2
5.5%
4 – 1
4.6%
3 – 2
4.6%
1 – 2
4.5%
4 – 0
3.7%
0 – 0
Actual

Asian Handicap — FC Cincinnati

Handicap FC Cincinnati covers Push Toronto FC covers
-2.5 24% 76%
-2 24% 18% 57%
-1.5 43% 57%
-1 43% 21% 37%
-0.5 63% 37%
+0.5 83% 17%
+1 83% 10% 7%
+1.5 93% 7%
+2 93% 5% 2%
+2.5 98% 2%

Clean Sheet

FC Cincinnati keeps clean sheet
29%
Toronto FC keeps clean sheet
9%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.