FC Cincinnati vs Toronto FC, MLS 2024 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
FC Cincinnati vs Toronto FC — MLS at TQL Stadium.
- FC Cincinnati 18 games · 26 pts (2026/26)
- Toronto FC 18 games · 17 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nashville SC | 18 | 40 |
| 2 | Internacional CF Miami | 18 | 38 |
| 3 | New England Revolution | 18 | 30 |
| 4 | Chicago Fire FC | 17 | 29 |
| 5 | New York City FC | 18 | 26 |
| 6 | FC Cincinnati | 18 | 26 |
| 7 | Charlotte FC | 18 | 25 |
| 8 | New York Red Bulls | 18 | 25 |
| 9 | D.C. United SC | 18 | 23 |
| 10 | Columbus Crew SC | 18 | 20 |
| 11 | Orlando City SC | 18 | 20 |
| 12 | Toronto FC | 18 | 17 |
| 13 | Philadelphia Union | 18 | 16 |
| 14 | Montreal Impact FC | 18 | 16 |
| 15 | Atlanta United FC | 18 | 12 |
| 16 | Vancouver Whitecaps FC | 17 | 34 |
| 17 | Los Angeles FC | 19 | 34 |
| 18 | San Jose Earthquakes | 18 | 33 |
| 19 | Houston Dynamo | 18 | 32 |
| 20 | FC Dallas | 18 | 27 |
| 21 | Real Salt Lake | 17 | 27 |
| 22 | St. Louis City | 18 | 26 |
| 23 | Portland Timbers | 18 | 24 |
| 24 | Seattle Sounders FC | 17 | 24 |
| 25 | Minnesota United FC | 18 | 24 |
| 26 | Colorado Rapids SC | 18 | 22 |
| 27 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 19 | 22 |
| 28 | San Diego FC | 18 | 21 |
| 29 | Austin FC | 18 | 17 |
| 30 | Sporting Kansas City | 18 | 14 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb | Toronto FC | H | 0–0 | D |
| 21 Oct | Atlanta United FC | H | 2–2 | D |
| 07 Oct | Internacional CF Miami | A | 1–0 | W |
| 04 Oct | New York Red Bulls | H | 1–2 | L |
| 30 Sep | Toronto FC | A | 3–2 | W |
| 23 Sep | Charlotte FC | H | 3–0 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb | FC Cincinnati | A | 0–0 | D |
| 21 Oct | Orlando City SC | H | 0–2 | L |
| 07 Oct | New York Red Bulls | A | 0–3 | L |
| 04 Oct | Charlotte FC | A | 0–3 | L |
| 30 Sep | FC Cincinnati | H | 2–3 | L |
| 24 Sep | New York City FC | A | 0–3 | L |
Season Stats
| FC Cincinnati | Toronto FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #6 | Position | #12 |
| 26 | Points | 17 |
| 18 | Played | 18 |
| 7 / 5 / 6 | W / D / L | 3 / 8 / 7 |
| 45 | Scored | 24 |
| 44 | Conceded | 32 |
| +1 | GD | -8 |
| 1.44 | PPG | 0.94 |
| 39% | Win % | 17% |
Key Stats
44%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
H2H (16 games)
44%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
21%
Clean Sheets
FC Cincinnati this season
FC Cincinnati this season
16%
Clean Sheets
Toronto FC this season
Toronto FC this season
FC Cincinnati are 6th (26 pts). Toronto FC are 12th (17 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
FC Cincinnati
0-15
3/2
16-30
4/7
31-45
9/5
46-60
4/7
61-75
2/1
76+
11/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Toronto FC
0-15
1/2
16-30
1/3
31-45
4/3
46-60
2/5
61-75
4/4
76+
6/7
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
FC Cincinnati
| Evander | 10 G | 4 A |
| Kevin Denkey | 10 G | 1 A |
| Tom Barlow | 5 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' Packed stands, loud atmosphere — FC Cincinnati and Toronto FC get this one started.
- 2' That is a card for Toronto FC. Jonathan Osorio will be fuming at that decision.
- 7' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
- 12' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 12 minutes.
- 17' Toronto FC is showing some good football. However, Toronto FC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
- 22' Toronto FC looks like a favorite considering 1 games won in last 2 matches with its main striker scoring 0 goals.
- 27' It is a cagey affair so far. FC Cincinnati in their trying to find a way past Toronto FC's compact .
- 32' With 0 assists to his name this season, Ayo Akinola is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Toronto FC.
- 34' The referee calls foul for Raoul Petretta. He receives a card.
- 39' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 2 times this season with Toronto FC winning 50% of all matches.
- 44' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both FC Cincinnati and Toronto FC are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
- 49' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. John Herdman will be considering his options from the bench.
- 54' A meaty challenge results in booking for Shane O'Neill on 54.
- 58' Aaron Boupendza gets the nod from FC Cincinnati. He replaces Sergio Santos and will look to change the dynamic.
- 62' The Toronto FC manager makes a substitution. Lorenzo Insigne departs to be replaced by Jahkeele Marshall-Rutty.
- 63' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Yuya Kubo on 63 minutes.
- 68' It’s high time Pat Noonan made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
- 70' The supporters are chanting for Kobe Franklin. He replaces Richie Laryea on 70 minute.
- 75' The 26-year-old Kipp Keller has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
- 78' Alvas Powell is replacing Luca Orellano for the FC Cincinnati side.
- 80' Fresh legs for Toronto FC! Sigurd Rosted comes on to replace Shane O'Neill.
- 82' Sean Johnson has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 82.
- 87' Alonso Coello Camarero has been relatively quiet despite scoring 2 goals in his last 284 appearances.
- 90' Bret Halsey is ready to make an impact after coming on for Yuya Kubo at the 90 minute mark.
- The final whistle goes. A composed, disciplined performance from to claim maximum points.
Lineups
FC Cincinnati Lineups
Starting XI
-
7
Yuya Kubo ↓ Bret Halsey 90'
- –
- 10
- –
-
–
Pavel Bucha ↓ Malik Pinto 90'
- 5
-
–
Luca Orellano ↓ Alvas Powell 78'
-
17
Sergio Santos ↓ Aaron Boupendza 58'
- 32
- 18
- –
Bench
-
9
Aaron Boupendza ↑ 58'
- 36
-
2
Alvas Powell ↑ 78'
- 29
-
42
Bret Halsey ↑ 90'
-
26
Malik Pinto ↑ 90'
- 33
-
58
Gerardo Valenzuela ↑ 78'
- 34
Coach
Pat Noonan
Toronto FC Lineups
Starting XI
- –
-
25
Prince-Osei Owusu ↓ Ayo Akinola 62'
- 10
- 24
- 21
- 28
- 1
-
27
Shane O'Neill ↓ Sigurd Rosted 80'
-
–
Richie Laryea ↓ Kobe Franklin 70'
- 52
- –
Bench
-
–
Ayo Akinola ↑ 62'
- 11
-
17
Sigurd Rosted ↑ 80'
-
7
Jahkeele Marshall-Rutty ↑ 62'
- 6
- 90
-
–
Kosi Thompson ↑ 70'
-
19
Kobe Franklin ↑ 70'
- 12
Coach
John Herdman
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Luciano Acosta | 5 |
| Nick DeLeon | 2 |
| Emmanuel Ledesma | 2 |
| Kevin Denkey | 2 |
| Ian Murphy | 2 |
| Marky Delgado | 2 |
| Jonathan Osorio | 2 |
| Patrick Mullins | 2 |
Head to Head
FC Cincinnati Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
0 / 4
2.51
FC Cincinnati xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.25
Toronto FC xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 71% + Both teams to score 65%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 3.76
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 96% |
|
4% |
| ± 1.5 | 88% |
|
12% |
| ± 2.5 | 71% |
|
29% |
| ± 3.5 | 51% |
|
49% |
| ± 4.5 | 32% |
|
68% |
Double Chance
FC Cincinnati or Draw
83%
Draw or Toronto FC
36%
FC Cincinnati or Toronto FC
80%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
2 – 1
8.9%
1 – 1
8.1%
2 – 0
7.4%
3 – 1
7.3%
3 – 0
6%
1 – 0
5.5%
2 – 2
5.5%
4 – 1
4.6%
3 – 2
4.6%
1 – 2
4.5%
4 – 0
3.7%
0 – 0
Actual
Asian Handicap — FC Cincinnati
| Handicap | FC Cincinnati covers | Push | Toronto FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 24% | — | 76% |
| -2 | 24% | 18% | 57% |
| -1.5 | 43% | — | 57% |
| -1 | 43% | 21% | 37% |
| -0.5 | 63% | — | 37% |
| +0.5 | 83% | — | 17% |
| +1 | 83% | 10% | 7% |
| +1.5 | 93% | — | 7% |
| +2 | 93% | 5% | 2% |
| +2.5 | 98% | — | 2% |
Clean Sheet
FC Cincinnati keeps clean sheet
29%
✗
Toronto FC keeps clean sheet
9%
✗
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

