FC Cincinnati vs Toronto FC, MLS 2024 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
FC Cincinnati vs Toronto FC — MLS at TQL Stadium.
- FC Cincinnati 26 games · 33 pts (2026/26)
- Toronto FC 27 games · 29 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nashville SC | 27 | 60 |
| 2 | Internacional CF Miami | 27 | 46 |
| 3 | New England Revolution | 27 | 46 |
| 4 | Charlotte FC | 27 | 43 |
| 5 | Chicago Fire FC | 26 | 42 |
| 6 | Philadelphia Union | 27 | 39 |
| 7 | Orlando City SC | 27 | 34 |
| 8 | New York City FC | 27 | 33 |
| 9 | FC Cincinnati | 26 | 33 |
| 10 | New York Red Bulls | 26 | 33 |
| 11 | D.C. United SC | 26 | 30 |
| 12 | Columbus Crew SC | 27 | 29 |
| 13 | Toronto FC | 27 | 29 |
| 14 | Atlanta United FC | 27 | 27 |
| 15 | Montreal Impact FC | 27 | 24 |
| 16 | Vancouver Whitecaps FC | 26 | 50 |
| 17 | FC Dallas | 27 | 47 |
| 18 | San Jose Earthquakes | 27 | 45 |
| 19 | St. Louis City | 26 | 44 |
| 20 | Houston Dynamo | 27 | 44 |
| 21 | Los Angeles FC | 28 | 41 |
| 22 | Colorado Rapids SC | 27 | 36 |
| 23 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 28 | 36 |
| 24 | Seattle Sounders FC | 26 | 35 |
| 25 | San Diego FC | 27 | 32 |
| 26 | Portland Timbers | 27 | 32 |
| 27 | Real Salt Lake | 27 | 32 |
| 28 | Austin FC | 27 | 31 |
| 29 | Minnesota United FC | 27 | 29 |
| 30 | Sporting Kansas City | 26 | 21 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb | Toronto FC | H | 0–0 | D |
| 21 Oct | Atlanta United FC | H | 2–2 | D |
| 07 Oct | Internacional CF Miami | A | 1–0 | W |
| 04 Oct | New York Red Bulls | H | 1–2 | L |
| 30 Sep | Toronto FC | A | 3–2 | W |
| 23 Sep | Charlotte FC | H | 3–0 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb | FC Cincinnati | A | 0–0 | D |
| 21 Oct | Orlando City SC | H | 0–2 | L |
| 07 Oct | New York Red Bulls | A | 0–3 | L |
| 04 Oct | Charlotte FC | A | 0–3 | L |
| 30 Sep | FC Cincinnati | H | 2–3 | L |
| 24 Sep | New York City FC | A | 0–3 | L |
Season Stats
| FC Cincinnati | Toronto FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #9 | Position | #13 |
| 33 | Points | 29 |
| 26 | Played | 27 |
| 8 / 9 / 9 | W / D / L | 6 / 11 / 10 |
| 55 | Scored | 39 |
| 64 | Conceded | 51 |
| -9 | GD | -12 |
| 1.27 | PPG | 1.07 |
| 31% | Win % | 22% |
Key Stats
44%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
H2H (16 games)
44%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
15%
Clean Sheets
FC Cincinnati this season
FC Cincinnati this season
11%
Clean Sheets
Toronto FC this season
Toronto FC this season
FC Cincinnati are 9th (33 pts). Toronto FC are 13th (29 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
FC Cincinnati
0-15
4/3
16-30
5/9
31-45
9/9
46-60
5/11
61-75
4/4
76+
13/7
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Toronto FC
0-15
1/3
16-30
2/5
31-45
5/6
46-60
4/7
61-75
7/6
76+
9/10
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
FC Cincinnati
| Kevin Denkey | 14 G | 1 A |
| Evander | 13 G | 7 A |
| Tom Barlow | 7 G | 2 A |
| Pavel Bucha | 6 G | 3 A |
Toronto FC
| Daniel Salloi | 7 G | 5 A |
| Josh Sargent | 7 G | 2 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' We are underway at TQL Stadium. The crowd does wile while the referee lows the starting whistle.
- 2' A moment of madness from Jonathan Osorio on 2 minutes earns him a card. Toronto FC will be frustrated.
- 7' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
- 12' The home supporters are growing impatient. FC Cincinnati must find a spark to ignite this game.
- 17' Deybi Flores is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for FC Cincinnati so far.
- 22' With 2 assists to his name this season, Kobe Franklin is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Toronto FC.
- 27' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
- 32' It is a cagey affair so far. FC Cincinnati in their trying to find a way past Toronto FC's compact .
- 34' That looks like a foul for a card for Raoul Petretta.
- 39' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
- 44' Toronto FC looks like a favorite considering 1 games won in last 2 matches with its main striker scoring 0 goals.
- 49' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 49 minutes.
- 54' A meaty challenge results in booking for Shane O'Neill on 54.
- 58' The FC Cincinnati manager makes a substitution. Sergio Santos departs to be replaced by Aaron Boupendza.
- 62' Toronto FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Jahkeele Marshall-Rutty is hanging Lorenzo Insigne on the field on 62 minute.
- 63' Yuya Kubo is having his name booked by the referee on 63.
- 68' Pavel Bucha has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 16 cards already picked up this season.
- 70' The whistle greets Richie Laryea as he departs to be replaced by Kobe Franklin.
- 75' Richie Laryea is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Toronto FC tonight.
- 78' Alvas Powell has so much to prove this time. He replaces Luca Orellano on 78 minute.
- 80' A change in the Toronto FC ranks — Shane O'Neill exits the field as Sigurd Rosted enters on 80.
- 82' A meaty challenge results in booking for Sean Johnson on 82.
- 87' It’s high time John Herdman made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
- 90' Bret Halsey is replacing Yuya Kubo for the FC Cincinnati side.
- Hope, you loved the show. Another epic battle is over with the score 0-0.
Lineups
FC Cincinnati Lineups
Starting XI
-
7
Yuya Kubo ↓ Bret Halsey 90'
- –
- 10
- –
-
–
Pavel Bucha ↓ Malik Pinto 90'
- 5
-
–
Luca Orellano ↓ Alvas Powell 78'
-
17
Sergio Santos ↓ Aaron Boupendza 58'
- 32
- 18
- –
Bench
-
9
Aaron Boupendza ↑ 58'
- 36
-
2
Alvas Powell ↑ 78'
- 29
-
42
Bret Halsey ↑ 90'
-
26
Malik Pinto ↑ 90'
- 33
-
58
Gerardo Valenzuela ↑ 78'
- 34
Coach
Pat Noonan
Toronto FC Lineups
Starting XI
- –
-
25
Prince-Osei Owusu ↓ Ayo Akinola 62'
- 10
- 24
- 21
- 28
- 1
-
27
Shane O'Neill ↓ Sigurd Rosted 80'
-
–
Richie Laryea ↓ Kobe Franklin 70'
- 52
- –
Bench
-
–
Ayo Akinola ↑ 62'
- 11
-
17
Sigurd Rosted ↑ 80'
-
7
Jahkeele Marshall-Rutty ↑ 62'
- 6
- 90
-
–
Kosi Thompson ↑ 70'
-
19
Kobe Franklin ↑ 70'
- 12
Coach
John Herdman
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Luciano Acosta | 5 |
| Nick DeLeon | 2 |
| Emmanuel Ledesma | 2 |
| Kevin Denkey | 2 |
| Ian Murphy | 2 |
| Marky Delgado | 2 |
| Jonathan Osorio | 2 |
| Patrick Mullins | 2 |
Head to Head
FC Cincinnati Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
0 / 4
2.34
FC Cincinnati xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.34
Toronto FC xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 70% + Both teams to score 66%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 3.68
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 96% |
|
4% |
| ± 1.5 | 88% |
|
12% |
| ± 2.5 | 70% |
|
30% |
| ± 3.5 | 49% |
|
51% |
| ± 4.5 | 31% |
|
69% |
Double Chance
FC Cincinnati or Draw
81%
Draw or Toronto FC
40%
FC Cincinnati or Toronto FC
79%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
2 – 1
9%
1 – 1
8.7%
2 – 0
7%
3 – 1
6.9%
2 – 2
5.9%
1 – 0
5.5%
3 – 0
5.3%
1 – 2
5.2%
3 – 2
4.6%
4 – 1
4.1%
0 – 0
Actual
4 – 0
3.1%
Asian Handicap — FC Cincinnati
| Handicap | FC Cincinnati covers | Push | Toronto FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 20% | — | 80% |
| -2 | 20% | 17% | 62% |
| -1.5 | 38% | — | 62% |
| -1 | 38% | 21% | 42% |
| -0.5 | 58% | — | 42% |
| +0.5 | 80% | — | 20% |
| +1 | 80% | 12% | 9% |
| +1.5 | 91% | — | 9% |
| +2 | 91% | 6% | 3% |
| +2.5 | 97% | — | 3% |
Clean Sheet
FC Cincinnati keeps clean sheet
27%
✗
Toronto FC keeps clean sheet
10%
✗
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

