FC Cincinnati vs Toronto FC, MLS 2024 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
FC Cincinnati vs Toronto FC — MLS at TQL Stadium.
- FC Cincinnati 34 games · 46 pts (2026/26)
- Toronto FC 34 games · 39 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nashville SC | 34 | 77 |
| 2 | Internacional CF Miami | 34 | 60 |
| 3 | New England Revolution | 34 | 58 |
| 4 | Chicago Fire FC | 34 | 55 |
| 5 | Charlotte FC | 34 | 54 |
| 6 | Philadelphia Union | 34 | 50 |
| 7 | Columbus Crew SC | 34 | 47 |
| 8 | FC Cincinnati | 34 | 46 |
| 9 | Orlando City SC | 34 | 46 |
| 10 | New York City FC | 34 | 42 |
| 11 | New York Red Bulls | 34 | 42 |
| 12 | Toronto FC | 34 | 39 |
| 13 | Atlanta United FC | 34 | 33 |
| 14 | D.C. United SC | 34 | 33 |
| 15 | Montreal Impact FC | 34 | 26 |
| 16 | Vancouver Whitecaps FC | 34 | 64 |
| 17 | FC Dallas | 34 | 58 |
| 18 | St. Louis City | 34 | 54 |
| 19 | San Jose Earthquakes | 34 | 52 |
| 20 | Houston Dynamo | 34 | 51 |
| 21 | Los Angeles FC | 34 | 47 |
| 22 | Portland Timbers | 34 | 46 |
| 23 | Seattle Sounders FC | 34 | 46 |
| 24 | Real Salt Lake | 34 | 45 |
| 25 | Minnesota United FC | 34 | 44 |
| 26 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 34 | 44 |
| 27 | Colorado Rapids SC | 34 | 43 |
| 28 | San Diego FC | 34 | 38 |
| 29 | Austin FC | 34 | 34 |
| 30 | Sporting Kansas City | 34 | 26 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb | Toronto FC | H | 0–0 | D |
| 21 Oct | Atlanta United FC | H | 2–2 | D |
| 07 Oct | Internacional CF Miami | A | 1–0 | W |
| 04 Oct | New York Red Bulls | H | 1–2 | L |
| 30 Sep | Toronto FC | A | 3–2 | W |
| 23 Sep | Charlotte FC | H | 3–0 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb | FC Cincinnati | A | 0–0 | D |
| 21 Oct | Orlando City SC | H | 0–2 | L |
| 07 Oct | New York Red Bulls | A | 0–3 | L |
| 04 Oct | Charlotte FC | A | 0–3 | L |
| 30 Sep | FC Cincinnati | H | 2–3 | L |
| 24 Sep | New York City FC | A | 0–3 | L |
Season Stats
| FC Cincinnati | Toronto FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #8 | Position | #12 |
| 46 | Points | 39 |
| 34 | Played | 34 |
| 12 / 10 / 12 | W / D / L | 9 / 12 / 13 |
| 67 | Scored | 52 |
| 75 | Conceded | 67 |
| -8 | GD | -15 |
| 1.35 | PPG | 1.15 |
| 35% | Win % | 26% |
Key Stats
44%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
H2H (16 games)
44%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
18%
Clean Sheets
FC Cincinnati this season
FC Cincinnati this season
12%
Clean Sheets
Toronto FC this season
Toronto FC this season
FC Cincinnati are 8th (46 pts). Toronto FC are 12th (39 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
FC Cincinnati
0-15
6/3
16-30
5/11
31-45
10/11
46-60
8/13
61-75
6/7
76+
17/9
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Toronto FC
0-15
1/3
16-30
3/10
31-45
6/9
46-60
5/12
61-75
9/7
76+
16/12
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
FC Cincinnati
| Kevin Denkey | 17 G | 2 A |
| Evander | 14 G | 13 A |
| Tom Barlow | 10 G | 4 A |
| Pavel Bucha | 6 G | 3 A |
Toronto FC
| Josh Sargent | 10 G | 4 A |
| Daniel Salloi | 9 G | 6 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' That's the starting whistle at TQL Stadium. Ninety minutes of football awaits between FC Cincinnati and Toronto FC.
- 2' A moment of madness from Jonathan Osorio on 2 minutes earns him a card. Toronto FC will be frustrated.
- 7' The 29-year-old Miles Robinson has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
- 12' Toronto FC are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
- 17' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
- 22' Toronto FC come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
- 27' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
- 32' It looks surprising Toronto FC does not make any changes. Deybi Flores has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
- 34' A meaty challenge results in booking for Raoul Petretta on 34.
- 39' It is a cagey affair so far. FC Cincinnati in their trying to find a way past Toronto FC's compact .
- 44' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Kobe Franklin suffering a number of foals already.
- 49' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
- 54' The referee calls foul for Shane O'Neill. He receives a card.
- 58' The FC Cincinnati manager makes a substitution. Sergio Santos departs to be replaced by Aaron Boupendza.
- 62' Toronto FC make a change. Lorenzo Insigne trudges off to be replaced by Jahkeele Marshall-Rutty on 62 minutes.
- 63' Yuya Kubo picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
- 68' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
- 70' Another change for Toronto FC made on 70 minute. Richie Laryea leaves to be changed by Kobe Franklin.
- 75' FC Cincinnati currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
- 78' Time for substitution for FC Cincinnati. Luca Orellano is replaced by Alvas Powell.
- 80' The supporters are chanting for Sigurd Rosted. He replaces Shane O'Neill on 80 minute.
- 82' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Sean Johnson.
- 87' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 2 times this season with Toronto FC winning 50% of all matches.
- 90' A tactical swap from FC Cincinnati — Bret Halsey on, Yuya Kubo off on 90 minutes.
- The final whistle. It looks like we are having a draw.
Lineups
FC Cincinnati Lineups
Starting XI
-
7
Yuya Kubo ↓ Bret Halsey 90'
- –
- 10
- –
-
–
Pavel Bucha ↓ Malik Pinto 90'
- 5
-
–
Luca Orellano ↓ Alvas Powell 78'
-
17
Sergio Santos ↓ Aaron Boupendza 58'
- 32
- 18
- –
Bench
-
9
Aaron Boupendza ↑ 58'
- 36
-
2
Alvas Powell ↑ 78'
- 29
-
42
Bret Halsey ↑ 90'
-
26
Malik Pinto ↑ 90'
- 33
-
58
Gerardo Valenzuela ↑ 78'
- 34
Coach
Pat Noonan
Toronto FC Lineups
Starting XI
- –
-
25
Prince-Osei Owusu ↓ Ayo Akinola 62'
- 10
- 24
- 21
- 28
- 1
-
27
Shane O'Neill ↓ Sigurd Rosted 80'
-
–
Richie Laryea ↓ Kobe Franklin 70'
- 52
- –
Bench
-
–
Ayo Akinola ↑ 62'
- 11
-
17
Sigurd Rosted ↑ 80'
-
7
Jahkeele Marshall-Rutty ↑ 62'
- 6
- 90
-
–
Kosi Thompson ↑ 70'
-
19
Kobe Franklin ↑ 70'
- 12
Coach
John Herdman
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Luciano Acosta | 5 |
| Nick DeLeon | 2 |
| Emmanuel Ledesma | 2 |
| Kevin Denkey | 2 |
| Ian Murphy | 2 |
| Marky Delgado | 2 |
| Jonathan Osorio | 2 |
| Patrick Mullins | 2 |
Head to Head
FC Cincinnati Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
0 / 4
2.29
FC Cincinnati xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.28
Toronto FC xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 68% + Both teams to score 65%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 3.57
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 96% |
|
4% |
| ± 1.5 | 87% |
|
13% |
| ± 2.5 | 68% |
|
32% |
| ± 3.5 | 47% |
|
53% |
| ± 4.5 | 29% |
|
71% |
Double Chance
FC Cincinnati or Draw
81%
Draw or Toronto FC
40%
FC Cincinnati or Toronto FC
79%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
2 – 1
9.1%
1 – 1
9.1%
2 – 0
7.4%
3 – 1
6.9%
1 – 0
6%
2 – 2
5.8%
3 – 0
5.5%
1 – 2
5.1%
3 – 2
4.4%
0 – 0
Actual
4 – 1
4%
4 – 0
3.2%
Asian Handicap — FC Cincinnati
| Handicap | FC Cincinnati covers | Push | Toronto FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 20% | — | 80% |
| -2 | 20% | 18% | 62% |
| -1.5 | 38% | — | 62% |
| -1 | 38% | 21% | 41% |
| -0.5 | 59% | — | 41% |
| +0.5 | 80% | — | 20% |
| +1 | 80% | 11% | 8% |
| +1.5 | 92% | — | 8% |
| +2 | 92% | 6% | 3% |
| +2.5 | 97% | — | 3% |
Clean Sheet
FC Cincinnati keeps clean sheet
29%
✗
Toronto FC keeps clean sheet
11%
✗
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

