Orlando City SC vs Toronto FC, MLS 2025 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Orlando City SC vs Toronto FC — MLS at Inter&Co Stadium.
- Orlando City SC 18 games · 20 pts (2026/26)
- Toronto FC 18 games · 17 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nashville SC | 18 | 40 |
| 2 | Internacional CF Miami | 18 | 38 |
| 3 | New England Revolution | 18 | 30 |
| 4 | Chicago Fire FC | 17 | 29 |
| 5 | New York City FC | 18 | 26 |
| 6 | FC Cincinnati | 18 | 26 |
| 7 | Charlotte FC | 18 | 25 |
| 8 | New York Red Bulls | 18 | 25 |
| 9 | D.C. United SC | 18 | 23 |
| 10 | Columbus Crew SC | 18 | 20 |
| 11 | Orlando City SC | 18 | 20 |
| 12 | Toronto FC | 18 | 17 |
| 13 | Philadelphia Union | 18 | 16 |
| 14 | Montreal Impact FC | 18 | 16 |
| 15 | Atlanta United FC | 18 | 12 |
| 16 | Vancouver Whitecaps FC | 17 | 34 |
| 17 | Los Angeles FC | 19 | 34 |
| 18 | San Jose Earthquakes | 18 | 33 |
| 19 | Houston Dynamo | 18 | 32 |
| 20 | FC Dallas | 18 | 27 |
| 21 | Real Salt Lake | 17 | 27 |
| 22 | St. Louis City | 18 | 26 |
| 23 | Portland Timbers | 18 | 24 |
| 24 | Seattle Sounders FC | 17 | 24 |
| 25 | Minnesota United FC | 18 | 24 |
| 26 | Colorado Rapids SC | 18 | 22 |
| 27 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 19 | 22 |
| 28 | San Diego FC | 18 | 21 |
| 29 | Austin FC | 18 | 17 |
| 30 | Sporting Kansas City | 18 | 14 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar | Toronto FC | H | 4–2 | W |
| 23 Feb | Philadelphia Union | H | 2–4 | L |
| 19 Oct | Atlanta United FC | H | 1–2 | L |
| 05 Oct | FC Cincinnati | A | 3–1 | W |
| 02 Oct | Philadelphia Union | H | 2–1 | W |
| 29 Sep | FC Dallas | A | 3–1 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar | Orlando City SC | A | 2–4 | L |
| 23 Feb | D.C. United SC | A | 2–2 | D |
| 05 Oct | Internacional CF Miami | H | 0–1 | L |
| 02 Oct | New York Red Bulls | H | 1–4 | L |
| 29 Sep | Chicago Fire FC | A | 1–1 | D |
| 22 Sep | Colorado Rapids SC | A | 0–2 | L |
Season Stats
| Orlando City SC | Toronto FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #11 | Position | #12 |
| 20 | Points | 17 |
| 18 | Played | 18 |
| 6 / 2 / 10 | W / D / L | 3 / 8 / 7 |
| 30 | Scored | 24 |
| 47 | Conceded | 32 |
| -17 | GD | -8 |
| 1.11 | PPG | 0.94 |
| 33% | Win % | 17% |
Key Stats
60%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (15 games)
H2H (15 games)
60%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
16%
Clean Sheets
Orlando City SC this season
Orlando City SC this season
16%
Clean Sheets
Toronto FC this season
Toronto FC this season
Orlando City SC are 11th (20 pts). Toronto FC are 12th (17 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Orlando City SC
0-15
2/2
16-30
5/6
31-45
–/6
46-60
6/3
61-75
5/2
76+
1/8
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Toronto FC
0-15
1/2
16-30
1/3
31-45
4/3
46-60
2/5
61-75
4/4
76+
6/7
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Orlando City SC
| Martin Ojeda | 11 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' Here we go! The referee blows the whistle and Orlando City SC launch into their encounter with Toronto FC.
- 5' Ivan Angulo has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 1 goals to his name this season.
- 10' It looks surprising Orlando City SC does not make any changes. Ramiro Enrique has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
- 15' Toronto FC are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
- 20' Toronto FC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- 22' Zane Monlouis has so much to prove this time. He replaces Richie Laryea on 22 minute.
- 27' The energy levels are beginning to show. Robin Fraser might look to freshen things up shortly.
- 32' Cesar Araujo is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Orlando City SC tonight.
- 33' Cesar Araujo puts Orlando City SC on the lead.
- 35' Alex Freeman adds to his 1 season tally! Orlando City SC lead 2-0 — and this changes everything.
- 40' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Jonathan Osorio suffering a number of foals already.
- 45' It looks like no one’s ball. Toronto FC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
- 50' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
- 55' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
- 57' The referee has no hesitation. Rafael Santos is booked for Orlando City SC — card on 57.
- 62' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
- 63' Goal! Martin Ojeda scores his 47 goal in 171 matches.
- 65' Time for substitution for Toronto FC. Alonso Coello Camarero is replaced by Ola Brynhildsen.
- 70' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Orlando City SC and Toronto FC are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
- 72' Sigurd Rosted makes no mistake. The score reads 3-1 and Toronto FC are in front.
- 73' Eduard Atuesta has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 73.
- 78' named a earlier, and opted for a in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
- 80' Dagur THorhallsson gets the nod from Orlando City SC. He replaces Martin Ojeda and will look to change the dynamic.
- 81' Against the run of play, Dagur THorhallsson has scored! This game has turned on its head.
- 86' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Deybi Flores makes it 4-2.
- 90' Another change for Orlando City SC made on 90 minute. Ramiro Enrique leaves to be changed by Gustavo Caraballo.
- The final whistle goes. A composed, disciplined performance from Orlando City SC to claim maximum points.
Lineups
Orlando City SC Lineups
Starting XI
- 15
- 10
- 20
- 1
- 3
- 24
-
77
Ivan Angulo ↓ Joran Gerbet 90'
- 7
- 5
- 30
-
87
Marco Pasalic ↓ Luis Muriel 65'
Bench
-
9
Luis Muriel ↑ 65'
- 68
- 12
- 23
-
17
Dagur THorhallsson ↑ 80'
- 25
-
35
Joran Gerbet ↑ 90'
-
65
Gustavo Caraballo ↑ 90'
Coach
Óscar Pareja
Toronto FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 5
- 10
- 21
-
2
Henry Wingo ↓ Matthew Longstaff 65'
- 1
- 17
-
22
Richie Laryea ↓ Zane Monlouis 22'
- 7
- 14
- 71
- 20
Bench
-
8
Matthew Longstaff ↑ 65'
-
9
Ola Brynhildsen ↑ 65'
- 29
- 90
- 6
- 19
- 76
-
12
Zane Monlouis ↑ 22'
-
16
Tyrese Spicer ↑ 65'
Coach
Robin Fraser
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Duncan McGuire | 5 |
| Tesho Akindele | 3 |
| Jonathan Osorio | 3 |
| Nani | 2 |
| Martin Ojeda | 2 |
| Ercan Kara | 2 |
| Jay Chapman | 2 |
| Cesar Araujo | 2 |
Head to Head
Orlando City SC Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
2.36
Orlando City SC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.85
Toronto FC xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 78% + Both teams to score 76%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Orlando City SC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 4.21
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 98% |
|
2% |
| ± 1.5 | 92% |
|
8% |
| ± 2.5 | 78% |
|
22% |
| ± 3.5 | 60% |
|
40% |
| ± 4.5 | 41% |
|
59% |
Double Chance
Orlando City SC or Draw
74%
Draw or Toronto FC
47%
Orlando City SC or Toronto FC
79%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Orlando City SC win at HT
Correct Score
✗ 4–2 not predicted4 – 2Actual
2 – 1
7.5%
1 – 1
7.2%
2 – 2
6.8%
1 – 2
5.9%
3 – 1
5.8%
3 – 2
5.3%
2 – 0
4.2%
2 – 3
4.2%
1 – 3
3.6%
4 – 1
3.4%
3 – 3
3.3%
3 – 0
3.3%
Asian Handicap — Orlando City SC
| Handicap | Orlando City SC covers | Push | Toronto FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 16% | — | 84% |
| -2 | 16% | 14% | 70% |
| -1.5 | 30% | — | 70% |
| -1 | 30% | 19% | 51% |
| -0.5 | 49% | — | 51% |
| +0.5 | 70% | — | 30% |
| +1 | 70% | 14% | 16% |
| +1.5 | 84% | — | 16% |
| +2 | 84% | 9% | 7% |
| +2.5 | 93% | — | 7% |
Clean Sheet
Orlando City SC keeps clean sheet
16%
✓
Toronto FC keeps clean sheet
10%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

