FC Cincinnati vs Toronto FC, MLS 2023 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
FC Cincinnati vs Toronto FC — MLS at TQL Stadium.
- FC Cincinnati 18 games · 26 pts (2026/26)
- Toronto FC 18 games · 17 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nashville SC | 18 | 40 |
| 2 | Internacional CF Miami | 18 | 38 |
| 3 | New England Revolution | 18 | 30 |
| 4 | Chicago Fire FC | 17 | 29 |
| 5 | New York City FC | 18 | 26 |
| 6 | FC Cincinnati | 18 | 26 |
| 7 | Charlotte FC | 18 | 25 |
| 8 | New York Red Bulls | 18 | 25 |
| 9 | D.C. United SC | 18 | 23 |
| 10 | Columbus Crew SC | 18 | 20 |
| 11 | Orlando City SC | 18 | 20 |
| 12 | Toronto FC | 18 | 17 |
| 13 | Philadelphia Union | 18 | 16 |
| 14 | Montreal Impact FC | 18 | 16 |
| 15 | Atlanta United FC | 18 | 12 |
| 16 | Vancouver Whitecaps FC | 17 | 34 |
| 17 | Los Angeles FC | 19 | 34 |
| 18 | San Jose Earthquakes | 18 | 33 |
| 19 | Houston Dynamo | 18 | 32 |
| 20 | FC Dallas | 18 | 27 |
| 21 | Real Salt Lake | 17 | 27 |
| 22 | St. Louis City | 18 | 26 |
| 23 | Portland Timbers | 18 | 24 |
| 24 | Seattle Sounders FC | 17 | 24 |
| 25 | Minnesota United FC | 18 | 24 |
| 26 | Colorado Rapids SC | 18 | 22 |
| 27 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 19 | 22 |
| 28 | San Diego FC | 18 | 21 |
| 29 | Austin FC | 18 | 17 |
| 30 | Sporting Kansas City | 18 | 14 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jun | Toronto FC | H | 3–0 | W |
| 11 Jun | Vancouver Whitecaps FC | A | 1–1 | D |
| 03 Jun | Chicago Fire FC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 31 May | New York City FC | A | 3–1 | W |
| 28 May | Colorado Rapids SC | A | 1–0 | W |
| 20 May | Columbus Crew SC | H | 3–2 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jun | FC Cincinnati | A | 0–3 | L |
| 10 Jun | Nashville SC | H | 1–1 | D |
| 04 Jun | Minnesota United FC | A | 1–1 | D |
| 31 May | Chicago Fire FC | H | 0–0 | D |
| 27 May | D.C. United SC | H | 2–1 | W |
| 21 May | Austin FC | A | 0–1 | L |
Season Stats
| FC Cincinnati | Toronto FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #6 | Position | #12 |
| 26 | Points | 17 |
| 18 | Played | 18 |
| 7 / 5 / 6 | W / D / L | 3 / 8 / 7 |
| 45 | Scored | 24 |
| 44 | Conceded | 32 |
| +1 | GD | -8 |
| 1.44 | PPG | 0.94 |
| 39% | Win % | 17% |
Key Stats
44%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
H2H (16 games)
44%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
21%
Clean Sheets
FC Cincinnati this season
FC Cincinnati this season
16%
Clean Sheets
Toronto FC this season
Toronto FC this season
FC Cincinnati are 6th (26 pts). Toronto FC are 12th (17 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
FC Cincinnati
0-15
3/2
16-30
4/7
31-45
9/5
46-60
4/7
61-75
2/1
76+
11/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Toronto FC
0-15
1/2
16-30
1/3
31-45
4/3
46-60
2/5
61-75
4/4
76+
6/7
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
FC Cincinnati
| Evander | 10 G | 4 A |
| Kevin Denkey | 10 G | 1 A |
| Tom Barlow | 5 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' The referee blows the starting whistle. The fans are roaring. The teams are ready for the match. FC Cincinnati is hosting Toronto FC for another epic battle.
- 5' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
- 10' Toronto FC are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
- 15' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
- 19' That is a card for FC Cincinnati. Obinna Nwobodo will be fuming at that decision.
- 24' The home supporters are growing impatient. FC Cincinnati must find a spark to ignite this game.
- 25' It’s a booking for Toronto FC player. Raoul Petretta gets a card.
- 30' Supporters expect more eagerness from Deandre Kerr, as he is very good at scoring at TQL Stadium with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
- 35' Santiago Arias makes no mistake. The score reads 1-0 and FC Cincinnati are in front.
- 40' C.J. Sapong has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 18 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
- 41' That is a card for Toronto FC. Federico Bernardeschi will be fuming at that decision.
- 42' Toronto FC ring the changes. Raoul Petretta has done his job and it is now time for Sigurd Rosted to step up.
- 46' C.J. Sapong makes way for Deandre Kerr at the 46 minute mark. A tactical switch from Toronto FC.
- 51' Both keepers have barely been tested. FC Cincinnati and Toronto FC are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
- 54' GOAL! Luciano Acosta scores on 54. Assisted by Marco Angulo
- 59' The 32-year-old Sigurd Rosted has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
- 63' The deadlock is broken! Dom Badji gets on the scoresheet on 63 minutes.
- 68' The crowd applauds Dom Badji as he leaves the pitch. Arquimides Ordonez steps in for FC Cincinnati.
- 69' The whistle greets Marco Angulo as he departs to be replaced by Malik Pinto.
- 74' FC Cincinnati have won 361 goals from 248 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
- 77' Toronto FC make a change. Kobe Franklin trudges off to be replaced by Cristian Gutierrez on 77 minutes.
- 82' Bret Halsey catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 82.
- 87' Alvaro Barreal is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for FC Cincinnati so far.
- 88' Luciano Acosta makes way for Gerardo Valenzuela at the 88 minute mark. A tactical switch from FC Cincinnati.
- 89' A tactical swap from FC Cincinnati — Stiven Jimenez on, Yuya Kubo off on 89 minutes.
- The points are shared — FC Cincinnati 3-0 Toronto FC. Honours even.
Lineups
FC Cincinnati Lineups
3-4-1-2Starting XI
-
7
Yuya Kubo ↓ Stiven Jimenez 89'
- 13
- 2
- 28
- 10
-
31
Alvaro Barreal ↓ Bret Halsey 77'
- 5
- 32
- 18
-
14
Dom Badji ↓ Arquimides Ordonez 68'
-
8
Marco Angulo ↓ Malik Pinto 69'
Bench
- 1
-
29
Arquimides Ordonez ↑ 68'
-
42
Bret Halsey ↑ 77'
-
26
Malik Pinto ↑ 69'
- 33
- 3
-
37
Stiven Jimenez ↑ 89'
-
58
Gerardo Valenzuela ↑ 88'
Toronto FC Lineups
4-3-3Starting XI
- 10
- 24
- 23
-
9
C.J. Sapong ↓ Deandre Kerr 46'
- 21
- 14
-
28
Raoul Petretta ↓ Sigurd Rosted 42'
- 22
- 18
- 6
- 19
Bench
- 20
-
17
Sigurd Rosted ↑ 42'
- 27
-
3
Cristian Gutierrez ↑ 77'
- 7
- 77
-
29
Deandre Kerr ↑ 46'
-
47
Kosi Thompson ↑ 46'
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Luciano Acosta | 5 |
| Luca Orellano | 2 |
| Nick DeLeon | 2 |
| Emmanuel Ledesma | 2 |
| Kevin Denkey | 2 |
| Ian Murphy | 2 |
| Marky Delgado | 2 |
| Jonathan Osorio | 2 |
Head to Head
FC Cincinnati Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
2.71
FC Cincinnati xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.25
Toronto FC xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 74% + FC Cincinnati to win 66%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: FC Cincinnati win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 3.96
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 97% |
|
3% |
| ± 1.5 | 90% |
|
10% |
| ± 2.5 | 74% |
|
26% |
| ± 3.5 | 55% |
|
45% |
| ± 4.5 | 36% |
|
64% |
Double Chance
FC Cincinnati or Draw
85%
Draw or Toronto FC
34%
FC Cincinnati or Toronto FC
82%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: FC Cincinnati win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
2 – 1
8.6%
3 – 1
7.6%
1 – 1
7.2%
2 – 0
7.1%
3 – 0
Actual
2 – 2
5.3%
4 – 1
5.1%
1 – 0
4.9%
3 – 2
4.7%
4 – 0
4.2%
1 – 2
4%
4 – 2
3.3%
Asian Handicap — FC Cincinnati
| Handicap | FC Cincinnati covers | Push | Toronto FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 28% | — | 72% |
| -2 | 28% | 19% | 53% |
| -1.5 | 47% | — | 53% |
| -1 | 47% | 20% | 33% |
| -0.5 | 67% | — | 33% |
| +0.5 | 85% | — | 15% |
| +1 | 85% | 9% | 6% |
| +1.5 | 94% | — | 6% |
| +2 | 94% | 4% | 2% |
| +2.5 | 98% | — | 2% |
Clean Sheet
FC Cincinnati keeps clean sheet
29%
✗
Toronto FC keeps clean sheet
8%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.