FC Cincinnati vs Toronto FC, MLS 2023 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
FC Cincinnati vs Toronto FC — MLS at TQL Stadium.
- FC Cincinnati 34 games · 46 pts (2026/26)
- Toronto FC 34 games · 39 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nashville SC | 34 | 77 |
| 2 | Internacional CF Miami | 34 | 60 |
| 3 | New England Revolution | 34 | 58 |
| 4 | Chicago Fire FC | 34 | 55 |
| 5 | Charlotte FC | 34 | 54 |
| 6 | Philadelphia Union | 34 | 50 |
| 7 | Columbus Crew SC | 34 | 47 |
| 8 | FC Cincinnati | 34 | 46 |
| 9 | Orlando City SC | 34 | 46 |
| 10 | New York City FC | 34 | 42 |
| 11 | New York Red Bulls | 34 | 42 |
| 12 | Toronto FC | 34 | 39 |
| 13 | Atlanta United FC | 34 | 33 |
| 14 | D.C. United SC | 34 | 33 |
| 15 | Montreal Impact FC | 34 | 26 |
| 16 | Vancouver Whitecaps FC | 34 | 64 |
| 17 | FC Dallas | 34 | 58 |
| 18 | St. Louis City | 34 | 54 |
| 19 | San Jose Earthquakes | 34 | 52 |
| 20 | Houston Dynamo | 34 | 51 |
| 21 | Los Angeles FC | 34 | 47 |
| 22 | Portland Timbers | 34 | 46 |
| 23 | Seattle Sounders FC | 34 | 46 |
| 24 | Real Salt Lake | 34 | 45 |
| 25 | Minnesota United FC | 34 | 44 |
| 26 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 34 | 44 |
| 27 | Colorado Rapids SC | 34 | 43 |
| 28 | San Diego FC | 34 | 38 |
| 29 | Austin FC | 34 | 34 |
| 30 | Sporting Kansas City | 34 | 26 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jun | Toronto FC | H | 3–0 | W |
| 11 Jun | Vancouver Whitecaps FC | A | 1–1 | D |
| 03 Jun | Chicago Fire FC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 31 May | New York City FC | A | 3–1 | W |
| 28 May | Colorado Rapids SC | A | 1–0 | W |
| 20 May | Columbus Crew SC | H | 3–2 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jun | FC Cincinnati | A | 0–3 | L |
| 10 Jun | Nashville SC | H | 1–1 | D |
| 04 Jun | Minnesota United FC | A | 1–1 | D |
| 31 May | Chicago Fire FC | H | 0–0 | D |
| 27 May | D.C. United SC | H | 2–1 | W |
| 21 May | Austin FC | A | 0–1 | L |
Season Stats
| FC Cincinnati | Toronto FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #8 | Position | #12 |
| 46 | Points | 39 |
| 34 | Played | 34 |
| 12 / 10 / 12 | W / D / L | 9 / 12 / 13 |
| 67 | Scored | 52 |
| 75 | Conceded | 67 |
| -8 | GD | -15 |
| 1.35 | PPG | 1.15 |
| 35% | Win % | 26% |
Key Stats
44%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
H2H (16 games)
44%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
18%
Clean Sheets
FC Cincinnati this season
FC Cincinnati this season
12%
Clean Sheets
Toronto FC this season
Toronto FC this season
FC Cincinnati are 8th (46 pts). Toronto FC are 12th (39 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
FC Cincinnati
0-15
6/3
16-30
5/11
31-45
10/11
46-60
8/13
61-75
6/7
76+
17/9
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Toronto FC
0-15
1/3
16-30
3/10
31-45
6/9
46-60
5/12
61-75
9/7
76+
16/12
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
FC Cincinnati
| Kevin Denkey | 17 G | 2 A |
| Evander | 14 G | 13 A |
| Tom Barlow | 10 G | 4 A |
| Pavel Bucha | 6 G | 3 A |
Toronto FC
| Josh Sargent | 10 G | 4 A |
| Daniel Salloi | 9 G | 6 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' KICK OFF: Toronto FC gets underway.
- 5' FC Cincinnati are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
- 10' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
- 15' Supporters expect more eagerness from Santiago Arias, as he is very good at scoring at TQL Stadium with 2 goals in the last 2 games.
- 19' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Obinna Nwobodo.
- 24' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 2 times this season with Toronto FC winning 50% of all matches.
- 25' Toronto FC player sees a card in front of him.
- 30' It is a cagey affair so far. FC Cincinnati in their 3-4-1-2 trying to find a way past Toronto FC's compact 4-3-3.
- 35' A goal from the Colombia international Santiago Arias! He fires home on 35 to make it 1-0!
- 40' Toronto FC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- 41' Federico Bernardeschi has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 41.
- 42' It is a substitution in Toronto FC team. Raoul Petretta is replaced by Sigurd Rosted on 42 minute.
- 46' Another change for Toronto FC made on 46 minute. C.J. Sapong leaves to be changed by Deandre Kerr.
- 51' Toronto FC has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 1 of the last 2 meetings.
- 54' Magnificent from Luciano Acosta! That is 84 goals in 297 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
- 59' Alvaro Barreal has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 3 goals to his name this season.
- 63' Dom Badji is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 0 goals this season for the .
- 68' FC Cincinnati manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Arquimides Ordonez is hanging Dom Badji on the field on 68 minute.
- 69' A change in the FC Cincinnati ranks — Marco Angulo exits the field as Malik Pinto enters on 69.
- 74' Kobe Franklin needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
- 77' Toronto FC make a change. Kobe Franklin trudges off to be replaced by Cristian Gutierrez on 77 minutes.
- 82' FC Cincinnati player sees a card in front of him.
- 87' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
- 88' Luciano Acosta makes way for Gerardo Valenzuela at the 88 minute mark. A tactical switch from FC Cincinnati.
- 89' The FC Cincinnati bench stirs into life. Yuya Kubo is withdrawn and Stiven Jimenez gets his opportunity.
- The referee brings this contest to a close. FC Cincinnati take all three points.
Lineups
FC Cincinnati Lineups
3-4-1-2Starting XI
-
7
Yuya Kubo ↓ Stiven Jimenez 89'
- 13
- 2
- 28
- 10
-
31
Alvaro Barreal ↓ Bret Halsey 77'
- 5
- 32
- 18
-
14
Dom Badji ↓ Arquimides Ordonez 68'
-
8
Marco Angulo ↓ Malik Pinto 69'
Bench
- 1
-
29
Arquimides Ordonez ↑ 68'
-
42
Bret Halsey ↑ 77'
-
26
Malik Pinto ↑ 69'
- 33
- 3
-
37
Stiven Jimenez ↑ 89'
-
58
Gerardo Valenzuela ↑ 88'
Toronto FC Lineups
4-3-3Starting XI
- 10
- 24
- 23
-
9
C.J. Sapong ↓ Deandre Kerr 46'
- 21
- 14
-
28
Raoul Petretta ↓ Sigurd Rosted 42'
- 22
- 18
- 6
- 19
Bench
- 20
-
17
Sigurd Rosted ↑ 42'
- 27
-
3
Cristian Gutierrez ↑ 77'
- 7
- 77
-
29
Deandre Kerr ↑ 46'
-
47
Kosi Thompson ↑ 46'
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Luciano Acosta | 5 |
| Nick DeLeon | 2 |
| Emmanuel Ledesma | 2 |
| Kevin Denkey | 2 |
| Ian Murphy | 2 |
| Marky Delgado | 2 |
| Jonathan Osorio | 2 |
| Patrick Mullins | 2 |
Head to Head
FC Cincinnati Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
2.49
FC Cincinnati xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.28
Toronto FC xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 71% + Both teams to score 66%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: FC Cincinnati win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 3.77
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 97% |
|
3% |
| ± 1.5 | 89% |
|
11% |
| ± 2.5 | 71% |
|
29% |
| ± 3.5 | 51% |
|
49% |
| ± 4.5 | 32% |
|
68% |
Double Chance
FC Cincinnati or Draw
83%
Draw or Toronto FC
37%
FC Cincinnati or Toronto FC
80%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: FC Cincinnati win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
2 – 1
8.9%
1 – 1
8.1%
3 – 1
7.3%
2 – 0
7.2%
3 – 0
Actual
2 – 2
5.6%
1 – 0
5.4%
3 – 2
4.7%
1 – 2
4.6%
4 – 1
4.6%
4 – 0
3.6%
0 – 0
3.5%
Asian Handicap — FC Cincinnati
| Handicap | FC Cincinnati covers | Push | Toronto FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 24% | — | 76% |
| -2 | 24% | 18% | 58% |
| -1.5 | 42% | — | 58% |
| -1 | 42% | 21% | 37% |
| -0.5 | 63% | — | 37% |
| +0.5 | 82% | — | 18% |
| +1 | 82% | 10% | 7% |
| +1.5 | 93% | — | 7% |
| +2 | 93% | 5% | 2% |
| +2.5 | 98% | — | 2% |
Clean Sheet
FC Cincinnati keeps clean sheet
29%
✗
Toronto FC keeps clean sheet
9%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

