Wednesday , 30 September 2026

FC Cincinnati vs Toronto FC, MLS 2023 REGULAR SEASON

MLS · 2023
Wed 21 Jun 2023 · 23:30 UTC TQL Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'
Santiago Arias 35' 1–0
Luciano Acosta 54' 2–0
Dom Badji 63' 3–0

Overview

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
21 Jun Toronto FC H 3–0 W
11 Jun Vancouver Whitecaps FC A 1–1 D
03 Jun Chicago Fire FC H 1–0 W
31 May New York City FC A 3–1 W
28 May Colorado Rapids SC A 1–0 W
20 May Columbus Crew SC H 3–2 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
21 Jun FC Cincinnati A 0–3 L
10 Jun Nashville SC H 1–1 D
04 Jun Minnesota United FC A 1–1 D
31 May Chicago Fire FC H 0–0 D
27 May D.C. United SC H 2–1 W
21 May Austin FC A 0–1 L

Season Stats

FC Cincinnati Toronto FC
#9 Position #13
33 Points 29
26 Played 27
8 / 9 / 9 W / D / L 6 / 11 / 10
55 Scored 39
64 Conceded 51
-9 GD -12
1.27 PPG 1.07
31% Win % 22%

Key Stats

44% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
44% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
15% Clean Sheets
FC Cincinnati this season
11% Clean Sheets
Toronto FC this season

FC Cincinnati are 9th (33 pts). Toronto FC are 13th (29 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

FC Cincinnati
0-15
4/3
16-30
5/9
31-45
9/9
46-60
5/11
61-75
4/4
76+
13/7
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Toronto FC
0-15
1/3
16-30
2/5
31-45
5/6
46-60
4/7
61-75
7/6
76+
9/10
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

FC Cincinnati
Kevin Denkey 14 G 1 A
Evander 13 G 7 A
Tom Barlow 7 G 2 A
Pavel Bucha 6 G 3 A
Toronto FC
Daniel Salloi 7 G 5 A
Josh Sargent 7 G 2 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' It’s Showtime! The match between FC Cincinnati and Toronto FC is underway.
  • 5' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 10' With 0 assists to his name this season, Brandon Servania is clearly more than just a goal scorer for FC Cincinnati.
  • 15' named a 3-4-1-2 earlier, and opted for a 4-3-3 in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
  • 19' Poor challenge from Obinna Nwobodo. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
  • 24' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Obinna Nwobodo suffering a number of foals already.
  • 25' Raoul Petretta has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 25.
  • 30' Toronto FC looks like a favorite considering 1 games won in last 2 matches with its main striker scoring 0 goals.
  • 35' A stunning finish from Santiago Arias — that came from absolutely nowhere!
  • 40' FC Cincinnati are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
  • 41' That looks like a foul for a card for Federico Bernardeschi.
  • 42' Fresh legs for Toronto FC! Sigurd Rosted comes on to replace Raoul Petretta.
  • 46' A change in the Toronto FC ranks — C.J. Sapong exits the field as Deandre Kerr enters on 46.
  • 51' It looks like no one’s ball. FC Cincinnati is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 54' Luciano Acosta has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 54 minutes.
  • 59' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 63' Dom Badji has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 63 minutes.
  • 68' The supporters are chanting for Arquimides Ordonez. He replaces Dom Badji on 68 minute.
  • 69' Malik Pinto gets the nod from FC Cincinnati. He replaces Marco Angulo and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 74' Kosi Thompson needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
  • 77' Another substitution for Toronto FC to replace Kobe Franklin by Cristian Gutierrez on 77 minute.
  • 82' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Bret Halsey on 82 minutes.
  • 87' Kobe Franklin is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for FC Cincinnati tonight.
  • 88' Fresh legs for FC Cincinnati! Gerardo Valenzuela comes on to replace Luciano Acosta.
  • 89' Fresh legs for FC Cincinnati! Stiven Jimenez comes on to replace Yuya Kubo.
  • The referee brings this contest to a close. FC Cincinnati take all three points.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
2.55 FC Cincinnati xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.34 Toronto FC xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 73% + Both teams to score 68%

Match Result

✓ Correct
FC Cincinnati63% Draw19% Toronto FC18%
Actual: FC Cincinnati win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes68% 0% No32%
Avg goals/match: 3.89
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 97%
3%
± 1.5 90%
10%
± 2.5 73%
27%
± 3.5 53%
47%
± 4.5 34%
66%

Double Chance

FC Cincinnati or Draw
83%
Draw or Toronto FC
37%
FC Cincinnati or Toronto FC
81%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
FC Cincinnati47% Draw36% Toronto FC17%
Actual: FC Cincinnati win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
2 – 1
8.7%
1 – 1
7.8%
3 – 1
7.3%
2 – 0
6.8%
2 – 2
5.7%
3 – 0
Actual
1 – 0
4.9%
3 – 2
4.9%
4 – 1
4.6%
1 – 2
4.6%
4 – 0
3.5%
0 – 0
3.2%

Asian Handicap — FC Cincinnati

Handicap FC Cincinnati covers Push Toronto FC covers
-2.5 24% — 76%
-2 24% 18% 58%
-1.5 42% — 58%
-1 42% 20% 38%
-0.5 62% — 38%
+0.5 82% — 18%
+1 82% 10% 8%
+1.5 92% — 8%
+2 92% 5% 3%
+2.5 97% — 3%

Clean Sheet

FC Cincinnati keeps clean sheet
27% ✗
Toronto FC keeps clean sheet
9% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.