Saturday , 14 November 2026

FC Cincinnati vs Toronto FC, MLS 2023 REGULAR SEASON

MLS · 2023
Wed 21 Jun 2023 · 23:30 UTC TQL Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'
Santiago Arias 35' 1–0
Luciano Acosta 54' 2–0
Dom Badji 63' 3–0

Overview

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
21 Jun Toronto FC H 3–0 W
11 Jun Vancouver Whitecaps FC A 1–1 D
03 Jun Chicago Fire FC H 1–0 W
31 May New York City FC A 3–1 W
28 May Colorado Rapids SC A 1–0 W
20 May Columbus Crew SC H 3–2 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
21 Jun FC Cincinnati A 0–3 L
10 Jun Nashville SC H 1–1 D
04 Jun Minnesota United FC A 1–1 D
31 May Chicago Fire FC H 0–0 D
27 May D.C. United SC H 2–1 W
21 May Austin FC A 0–1 L

Season Stats

FC Cincinnati Toronto FC
#8 Position #12
46 Points 39
34 Played 34
12 / 10 / 12 W / D / L 9 / 12 / 13
67 Scored 52
75 Conceded 67
-8 GD -15
1.35 PPG 1.15
35% Win % 26%

Key Stats

44% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
44% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
18% Clean Sheets
FC Cincinnati this season
12% Clean Sheets
Toronto FC this season

FC Cincinnati are 8th (46 pts). Toronto FC are 12th (39 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

FC Cincinnati
0-15
6/3
16-30
5/11
31-45
10/11
46-60
8/13
61-75
6/7
76+
17/9
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Toronto FC
0-15
1/3
16-30
3/10
31-45
6/9
46-60
5/12
61-75
9/7
76+
16/12
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

FC Cincinnati
Kevin Denkey 17 G 2 A
Evander 14 G 13 A
Tom Barlow 10 G 4 A
Pavel Bucha 6 G 3 A
Toronto FC
Josh Sargent 10 G 4 A
Daniel Salloi 9 G 6 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' KICK OFF: Toronto FC gets underway.
  • 5' FC Cincinnati are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
  • 10' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 15' Supporters expect more eagerness from Santiago Arias, as he is very good at scoring at TQL Stadium with 2 goals in the last 2 games.
  • 19' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Obinna Nwobodo.
  • 24' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 2 times this season with Toronto FC winning 50% of all matches.
  • 25' Toronto FC player sees a card in front of him.
  • 30' It is a cagey affair so far. FC Cincinnati in their 3-4-1-2 trying to find a way past Toronto FC's compact 4-3-3.
  • 35' A goal from the Colombia international Santiago Arias! He fires home on 35 to make it 1-0!
  • 40' Toronto FC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 41' Federico Bernardeschi has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 41.
  • 42' It is a substitution in Toronto FC team. Raoul Petretta is replaced by Sigurd Rosted on 42 minute.
  • 46' Another change for Toronto FC made on 46 minute. C.J. Sapong leaves to be changed by Deandre Kerr.
  • 51' Toronto FC has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 1 of the last 2 meetings.
  • 54' Magnificent from Luciano Acosta! That is 84 goals in 297 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
  • 59' Alvaro Barreal has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 3 goals to his name this season.
  • 63' Dom Badji is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 0 goals this season for the .
  • 68' FC Cincinnati manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Arquimides Ordonez is hanging Dom Badji on the field on 68 minute.
  • 69' A change in the FC Cincinnati ranks — Marco Angulo exits the field as Malik Pinto enters on 69.
  • 74' Kobe Franklin needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
  • 77' Toronto FC make a change. Kobe Franklin trudges off to be replaced by Cristian Gutierrez on 77 minutes.
  • 82' FC Cincinnati player sees a card in front of him.
  • 87' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 88' Luciano Acosta makes way for Gerardo Valenzuela at the 88 minute mark. A tactical switch from FC Cincinnati.
  • 89' The FC Cincinnati bench stirs into life. Yuya Kubo is withdrawn and Stiven Jimenez gets his opportunity.
  • The referee brings this contest to a close. FC Cincinnati take all three points.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
2.49 FC Cincinnati xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.28 Toronto FC xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 71% + Both teams to score 66%

Match Result

✓ Correct
FC Cincinnati63% Draw20% Toronto FC17%
Actual: FC Cincinnati win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes66% 0% No34%
Avg goals/match: 3.77
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 97%
3%
± 1.5 89%
11%
± 2.5 71%
29%
± 3.5 51%
49%
± 4.5 32%
68%

Double Chance

FC Cincinnati or Draw
83%
Draw or Toronto FC
37%
FC Cincinnati or Toronto FC
80%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
FC Cincinnati47% Draw37% Toronto FC16%
Actual: FC Cincinnati win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
2 – 1
8.9%
1 – 1
8.1%
3 – 1
7.3%
2 – 0
7.2%
3 – 0
Actual
2 – 2
5.6%
1 – 0
5.4%
3 – 2
4.7%
1 – 2
4.6%
4 – 1
4.6%
4 – 0
3.6%
0 – 0
3.5%

Asian Handicap — FC Cincinnati

Handicap FC Cincinnati covers Push Toronto FC covers
-2.5 24% — 76%
-2 24% 18% 58%
-1.5 42% — 58%
-1 42% 21% 37%
-0.5 63% — 37%
+0.5 82% — 18%
+1 82% 10% 7%
+1.5 93% — 7%
+2 93% 5% 2%
+2.5 98% — 2%

Clean Sheet

FC Cincinnati keeps clean sheet
29% ✗
Toronto FC keeps clean sheet
9% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.