FC Cincinnati vs Toronto FC, MLS 2023 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
FC Cincinnati vs Toronto FC — MLS at TQL Stadium.
- FC Cincinnati 26 games · 33 pts (2026/26)
- Toronto FC 27 games · 29 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nashville SC | 27 | 60 |
| 2 | Internacional CF Miami | 27 | 46 |
| 3 | New England Revolution | 27 | 46 |
| 4 | Charlotte FC | 27 | 43 |
| 5 | Chicago Fire FC | 26 | 42 |
| 6 | Philadelphia Union | 27 | 39 |
| 7 | Orlando City SC | 27 | 34 |
| 8 | New York City FC | 27 | 33 |
| 9 | FC Cincinnati | 26 | 33 |
| 10 | New York Red Bulls | 26 | 33 |
| 11 | D.C. United SC | 26 | 30 |
| 12 | Columbus Crew SC | 27 | 29 |
| 13 | Toronto FC | 27 | 29 |
| 14 | Atlanta United FC | 27 | 27 |
| 15 | Montreal Impact FC | 27 | 24 |
| 16 | Vancouver Whitecaps FC | 26 | 50 |
| 17 | FC Dallas | 27 | 47 |
| 18 | San Jose Earthquakes | 27 | 45 |
| 19 | St. Louis City | 26 | 44 |
| 20 | Houston Dynamo | 27 | 44 |
| 21 | Los Angeles FC | 28 | 41 |
| 22 | Colorado Rapids SC | 27 | 36 |
| 23 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 28 | 36 |
| 24 | Seattle Sounders FC | 26 | 35 |
| 25 | San Diego FC | 27 | 32 |
| 26 | Portland Timbers | 27 | 32 |
| 27 | Real Salt Lake | 27 | 32 |
| 28 | Austin FC | 27 | 31 |
| 29 | Minnesota United FC | 27 | 29 |
| 30 | Sporting Kansas City | 26 | 21 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jun | Toronto FC | H | 3–0 | W |
| 11 Jun | Vancouver Whitecaps FC | A | 1–1 | D |
| 03 Jun | Chicago Fire FC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 31 May | New York City FC | A | 3–1 | W |
| 28 May | Colorado Rapids SC | A | 1–0 | W |
| 20 May | Columbus Crew SC | H | 3–2 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jun | FC Cincinnati | A | 0–3 | L |
| 10 Jun | Nashville SC | H | 1–1 | D |
| 04 Jun | Minnesota United FC | A | 1–1 | D |
| 31 May | Chicago Fire FC | H | 0–0 | D |
| 27 May | D.C. United SC | H | 2–1 | W |
| 21 May | Austin FC | A | 0–1 | L |
Season Stats
| FC Cincinnati | Toronto FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #9 | Position | #13 |
| 33 | Points | 29 |
| 26 | Played | 27 |
| 8 / 9 / 9 | W / D / L | 6 / 11 / 10 |
| 55 | Scored | 39 |
| 64 | Conceded | 51 |
| -9 | GD | -12 |
| 1.27 | PPG | 1.07 |
| 31% | Win % | 22% |
Key Stats
44%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
H2H (16 games)
44%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
15%
Clean Sheets
FC Cincinnati this season
FC Cincinnati this season
11%
Clean Sheets
Toronto FC this season
Toronto FC this season
FC Cincinnati are 9th (33 pts). Toronto FC are 13th (29 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
FC Cincinnati
0-15
4/3
16-30
5/9
31-45
9/9
46-60
5/11
61-75
4/4
76+
13/7
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Toronto FC
0-15
1/3
16-30
2/5
31-45
5/6
46-60
4/7
61-75
7/6
76+
9/10
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
FC Cincinnati
| Kevin Denkey | 14 G | 1 A |
| Evander | 13 G | 7 A |
| Tom Barlow | 7 G | 2 A |
| Pavel Bucha | 6 G | 3 A |
Toronto FC
| Daniel Salloi | 7 G | 5 A |
| Josh Sargent | 7 G | 2 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' It’s Showtime! The match between FC Cincinnati and Toronto FC is underway.
- 5' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
- 10' With 0 assists to his name this season, Brandon Servania is clearly more than just a goal scorer for FC Cincinnati.
- 15' named a 3-4-1-2 earlier, and opted for a 4-3-3 in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
- 19' Poor challenge from Obinna Nwobodo. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
- 24' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Obinna Nwobodo suffering a number of foals already.
- 25' Raoul Petretta has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 25.
- 30' Toronto FC looks like a favorite considering 1 games won in last 2 matches with its main striker scoring 0 goals.
- 35' A stunning finish from Santiago Arias — that came from absolutely nowhere!
- 40' FC Cincinnati are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
- 41' That looks like a foul for a card for Federico Bernardeschi.
- 42' Fresh legs for Toronto FC! Sigurd Rosted comes on to replace Raoul Petretta.
- 46' A change in the Toronto FC ranks — C.J. Sapong exits the field as Deandre Kerr enters on 46.
- 51' It looks like no one’s ball. FC Cincinnati is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
- 54' Luciano Acosta has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 54 minutes.
- 59' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
- 63' Dom Badji has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 63 minutes.
- 68' The supporters are chanting for Arquimides Ordonez. He replaces Dom Badji on 68 minute.
- 69' Malik Pinto gets the nod from FC Cincinnati. He replaces Marco Angulo and will look to change the dynamic.
- 74' Kosi Thompson needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
- 77' Another substitution for Toronto FC to replace Kobe Franklin by Cristian Gutierrez on 77 minute.
- 82' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Bret Halsey on 82 minutes.
- 87' Kobe Franklin is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for FC Cincinnati tonight.
- 88' Fresh legs for FC Cincinnati! Gerardo Valenzuela comes on to replace Luciano Acosta.
- 89' Fresh legs for FC Cincinnati! Stiven Jimenez comes on to replace Yuya Kubo.
- The referee brings this contest to a close. FC Cincinnati take all three points.
Lineups
FC Cincinnati Lineups
3-4-1-2Starting XI
-
7
Yuya Kubo ↓ Stiven Jimenez 89'
- 13
- 2
- 28
- 10
-
31
Alvaro Barreal ↓ Bret Halsey 77'
- 5
- 32
- 18
-
14
Dom Badji ↓ Arquimides Ordonez 68'
-
8
Marco Angulo ↓ Malik Pinto 69'
Bench
- 1
-
29
Arquimides Ordonez ↑ 68'
-
42
Bret Halsey ↑ 77'
-
26
Malik Pinto ↑ 69'
- 33
- 3
-
37
Stiven Jimenez ↑ 89'
-
58
Gerardo Valenzuela ↑ 88'
Toronto FC Lineups
4-3-3Starting XI
- 10
- 24
- 23
-
9
C.J. Sapong ↓ Deandre Kerr 46'
- 21
- 14
-
28
Raoul Petretta ↓ Sigurd Rosted 42'
- 22
- 18
- 6
- 19
Bench
- 20
-
17
Sigurd Rosted ↑ 42'
- 27
-
3
Cristian Gutierrez ↑ 77'
- 7
- 77
-
29
Deandre Kerr ↑ 46'
-
47
Kosi Thompson ↑ 46'
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Luciano Acosta | 5 |
| Nick DeLeon | 2 |
| Emmanuel Ledesma | 2 |
| Kevin Denkey | 2 |
| Ian Murphy | 2 |
| Marky Delgado | 2 |
| Jonathan Osorio | 2 |
| Patrick Mullins | 2 |
Head to Head
FC Cincinnati Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
2.55
FC Cincinnati xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.34
Toronto FC xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 73% + Both teams to score 68%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: FC Cincinnati win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 3.89
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 97% |
|
3% |
| ± 1.5 | 90% |
|
10% |
| ± 2.5 | 73% |
|
27% |
| ± 3.5 | 53% |
|
47% |
| ± 4.5 | 34% |
|
66% |
Double Chance
FC Cincinnati or Draw
83%
Draw or Toronto FC
37%
FC Cincinnati or Toronto FC
81%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: FC Cincinnati win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
2 – 1
8.7%
1 – 1
7.8%
3 – 1
7.3%
2 – 0
6.8%
2 – 2
5.7%
3 – 0
Actual
1 – 0
4.9%
3 – 2
4.9%
4 – 1
4.6%
1 – 2
4.6%
4 – 0
3.5%
0 – 0
3.2%
Asian Handicap — FC Cincinnati
| Handicap | FC Cincinnati covers | Push | Toronto FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 24% | — | 76% |
| -2 | 24% | 18% | 58% |
| -1.5 | 42% | — | 58% |
| -1 | 42% | 20% | 38% |
| -0.5 | 62% | — | 38% |
| +0.5 | 82% | — | 18% |
| +1 | 82% | 10% | 8% |
| +1.5 | 92% | — | 8% |
| +2 | 92% | 5% | 3% |
| +2.5 | 97% | — | 3% |
Clean Sheet
FC Cincinnati keeps clean sheet
27%
✗
Toronto FC keeps clean sheet
9%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

