FC Cincinnati vs Toronto FC, MLS 2023 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
FC Cincinnati vs Toronto FC — MLS at TQL Stadium.
- FC Cincinnati 15 games · 20 pts (2026/26)
- Toronto FC 14 games · 14 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nashville SC | 14 | 33 |
| 2 | Internacional CF Miami | 15 | 31 |
| 3 | Chicago Fire FC | 14 | 26 |
| 4 | New England Revolution | 14 | 25 |
| 5 | New York Red Bulls | 15 | 22 |
| 6 | Charlotte FC | 15 | 21 |
| 7 | FC Cincinnati | 15 | 20 |
| 8 | New York City FC | 15 | 19 |
| 9 | D.C. United SC | 15 | 18 |
| 10 | Columbus Crew SC | 15 | 16 |
| 11 | Toronto FC | 14 | 14 |
| 12 | Montreal Impact FC | 14 | 14 |
| 13 | Orlando City SC | 15 | 14 |
| 14 | Atlanta United FC | 14 | 11 |
| 15 | Philadelphia Union | 15 | 7 |
| 16 | Vancouver Whitecaps FC | 14 | 32 |
| 17 | San Jose Earthquakes | 15 | 32 |
| 18 | Real Salt Lake | 14 | 26 |
| 19 | FC Dallas | 15 | 25 |
| 20 | Los Angeles FC | 15 | 24 |
| 21 | Seattle Sounders FC | 13 | 24 |
| 22 | Houston Dynamo | 14 | 22 |
| 23 | Minnesota United FC | 15 | 22 |
| 24 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 15 | 20 |
| 25 | San Diego FC | 15 | 17 |
| 26 | Colorado Rapids SC | 15 | 16 |
| 27 | St. Louis City | 14 | 16 |
| 28 | Portland Timbers | 14 | 14 |
| 29 | Austin FC | 15 | 14 |
| 30 | Sporting Kansas City | 14 | 11 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jun | Toronto FC | H | 3–0 | W |
| 11 Jun | Vancouver Whitecaps FC | A | 1–1 | D |
| 03 Jun | Chicago Fire FC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 31 May | New York City FC | A | 3–1 | W |
| 28 May | Colorado Rapids SC | A | 1–0 | W |
| 20 May | Columbus Crew SC | H | 3–2 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jun | FC Cincinnati | A | 0–3 | L |
| 10 Jun | Nashville SC | H | 1–1 | D |
| 04 Jun | Minnesota United FC | A | 1–1 | D |
| 31 May | Chicago Fire FC | H | 0–0 | D |
| 27 May | D.C. United SC | H | 2–1 | W |
| 21 May | Austin FC | A | 0–1 | L |
Season Stats
| FC Cincinnati | Toronto FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #7 | Position | #11 |
| 20 | Points | 14 |
| 15 | Played | 14 |
| 5 / 5 / 5 | W / D / L | 3 / 5 / 6 |
| 36 | Scored | 22 |
| 37 | Conceded | 29 |
| -1 | GD | -7 |
| 1.33 | PPG | 1.00 |
| 33% | Win % | 21% |
Key Stats
44%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
H2H (16 games)
44%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
27%
Clean Sheets
FC Cincinnati this season
FC Cincinnati this season
7%
Clean Sheets
Toronto FC this season
Toronto FC this season
FC Cincinnati are 7th (20 pts). Toronto FC are 11th (14 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
FC Cincinnati
0-15
1/1
16-30
2/5
31-45
7/3
46-60
3/4
61-75
2/1
76+
8/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Toronto FC
0-15
1/1
16-30
1/3
31-45
1/3
46-60
2/5
61-75
4/4
76+
5/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Events
Match Events
- 0' The match kicks off with home fans waiting with anticipation for FC Cincinnati to score. At the same time, Toronto FC does not seem to pull back! Let’s get it on!
- 5' FC Cincinnati is showing some good football. However, FC Cincinnati are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
- 10' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
- 15' USA international Ray Gaddis has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
- 19' That is a card for FC Cincinnati. Obinna Nwobodo will be fuming at that decision.
- 24' With 0 assists to his name this season, Obinna Nwobodo is clearly more than just a goal scorer for FC Cincinnati.
- 25' Raoul Petretta has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 25.
- 30' C.J. Sapong has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
- 35' Santiago Arias is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 0 goals this season for the .
- 40' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
- 41' It’s a booking for Toronto FC player. Federico Bernardeschi gets a card.
- 42' Toronto FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Sigurd Rosted is hanging Raoul Petretta on the field on 42 minute.
- 46' The crowd applauds C.J. Sapong as he leaves the pitch. Deandre Kerr steps in for Toronto FC.
- 51' Alvas Powell is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Toronto FC tonight.
- 54' Assisted by Marco Angulo with the perfectly-timed delivery and Luciano Acosta makes no mistake. 2-0!
- 59' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
- 63' Goal! Dom Badji scores his 7 goal in 245 matches.
- 68' It is a substitution in FC Cincinnati team. Dom Badji is replaced by Arquimides Ordonez on 68 minute.
- 69' The FC Cincinnati manager makes a substitution. Marco Angulo departs to be replaced by Malik Pinto.
- 74' FC Cincinnati are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Toronto FC backline.
- 77' Toronto FC ring the changes. Kobe Franklin has done his job and it is now time for Cristian Gutierrez to step up.
- 82' The referee has no hesitation. Bret Halsey is booked for FC Cincinnati — card on 82.
- 87' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
- 88' The crowd applauds Luciano Acosta as he leaves the pitch. Gerardo Valenzuela steps in for FC Cincinnati.
- 89' Another substitution for FC Cincinnati to replace Yuya Kubo by Stiven Jimenez on 89 minute.
- That’s it! Another goalless match for FC Cincinnati and Toronto FC (для сухой ничьи).
Lineups
FC Cincinnati Lineups
3-4-1-2Starting XI
-
7
Yuya Kubo ↓ Stiven Jimenez 89'
- 13
- 2
- 28
- 10
-
31
Alvaro Barreal ↓ Bret Halsey 77'
- 5
- 32
- 18
-
14
Dom Badji ↓ Arquimides Ordonez 68'
-
8
Marco Angulo ↓ Malik Pinto 69'
Bench
- 1
-
29
Arquimides Ordonez ↑ 68'
-
42
Bret Halsey ↑ 77'
-
26
Malik Pinto ↑ 69'
- 33
- 3
-
37
Stiven Jimenez ↑ 89'
-
58
Gerardo Valenzuela ↑ 88'
Toronto FC Lineups
4-3-3Starting XI
- 10
- 24
- 23
-
9
C.J. Sapong ↓ Deandre Kerr 46'
- 21
- 14
-
28
Raoul Petretta ↓ Sigurd Rosted 42'
- 22
- 18
- 6
- 19
Bench
- 20
-
17
Sigurd Rosted ↑ 42'
- 27
-
3
Cristian Gutierrez ↑ 77'
- 7
- 77
-
29
Deandre Kerr ↑ 46'
-
47
Kosi Thompson ↑ 46'
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Luciano Acosta | 5 |
| Emmanuel Ledesma | 2 |
| Kevin Denkey | 2 |
| Ian Murphy | 2 |
| Marky Delgado | 2 |
| Jonathan Osorio | 2 |
| Patrick Mullins | 2 |
| Allan Cruz | 2 |
Head to Head
FC Cincinnati Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
2.85
FC Cincinnati xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.41
Toronto FC xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 78% + Both teams to score 71%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: FC Cincinnati win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 4.26
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 98% |
|
2% |
| ± 1.5 | 92% |
|
8% |
| ± 2.5 | 78% |
|
22% |
| ± 3.5 | 60% |
|
40% |
| ± 4.5 | 41% |
|
59% |
Double Chance
FC Cincinnati or Draw
84%
Draw or Toronto FC
34%
FC Cincinnati or Toronto FC
82%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: FC Cincinnati win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
2 – 1
8%
3 – 1
7.4%
1 – 1
6.4%
2 – 0
5.9%
2 – 2
5.5%
3 – 0
Actual
4 – 1
5.3%
3 – 2
5.2%
1 – 2
4%
1 – 0
3.9%
4 – 0
3.8%
4 – 2
3.7%
Asian Handicap — FC Cincinnati
| Handicap | FC Cincinnati covers | Push | Toronto FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 28% | — | 72% |
| -2 | 28% | 18% | 53% |
| -1.5 | 47% | — | 53% |
| -1 | 47% | 19% | 34% |
| -0.5 | 66% | — | 34% |
| +0.5 | 83% | — | 17% |
| +1 | 83% | 9% | 7% |
| +1.5 | 93% | — | 7% |
| +2 | 93% | 5% | 2% |
| +2.5 | 98% | — | 2% |
Clean Sheet
FC Cincinnati keeps clean sheet
25%
✗
Toronto FC keeps clean sheet
7%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

