Thursday , 2 July 2026

FC Cincinnati vs Toronto FC, MLS 2023 REGULAR SEASON

MLS · 2023
Wed 21 Jun 2023 · 23:30 UTC TQL Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'
Santiago Arias 35' 1–0
Luciano Acosta 54' 2–0
Dom Badji 63' 3–0

Overview

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
21 Jun Toronto FC H 3–0 W
11 Jun Vancouver Whitecaps FC A 1–1 D
03 Jun Chicago Fire FC H 1–0 W
31 May New York City FC A 3–1 W
28 May Colorado Rapids SC A 1–0 W
20 May Columbus Crew SC H 3–2 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
21 Jun FC Cincinnati A 0–3 L
10 Jun Nashville SC H 1–1 D
04 Jun Minnesota United FC A 1–1 D
31 May Chicago Fire FC H 0–0 D
27 May D.C. United SC H 2–1 W
21 May Austin FC A 0–1 L

Season Stats

FC Cincinnati Toronto FC
#7 Position #11
20 Points 14
15 Played 14
5 / 5 / 5 W / D / L 3 / 5 / 6
36 Scored 22
37 Conceded 29
-1 GD -7
1.33 PPG 1.00
33% Win % 21%

Key Stats

44% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
44% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
27% Clean Sheets
FC Cincinnati this season
7% Clean Sheets
Toronto FC this season

FC Cincinnati are 7th (20 pts). Toronto FC are 11th (14 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

FC Cincinnati
0-15
1/1
16-30
2/5
31-45
7/3
46-60
3/4
61-75
2/1
76+
8/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Toronto FC
0-15
1/1
16-30
1/3
31-45
1/3
46-60
2/5
61-75
4/4
76+
5/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
2.85 FC Cincinnati xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.41 Toronto FC xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 78% + Both teams to score 71%

Match Result

✓ Correct
FC Cincinnati66% Draw18% Toronto FC16%
Actual: FC Cincinnati win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes71% 0% No29%
Avg goals/match: 4.26
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 98%
2%
± 1.5 92%
8%
± 2.5 78%
22%
± 3.5 60%
40%
± 4.5 41%
59%

Double Chance

FC Cincinnati or Draw
84%
Draw or Toronto FC
34%
FC Cincinnati or Toronto FC
82%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
FC Cincinnati50% Draw34% Toronto FC16%
Actual: FC Cincinnati win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
2 – 1
8%
3 – 1
7.4%
1 – 1
6.4%
2 – 0
5.9%
2 – 2
5.5%
3 – 0
Actual
4 – 1
5.3%
3 – 2
5.2%
1 – 2
4%
1 – 0
3.9%
4 – 0
3.8%
4 – 2
3.7%

Asian Handicap — FC Cincinnati

Handicap FC Cincinnati covers Push Toronto FC covers
-2.5 28% 72%
-2 28% 18% 53%
-1.5 47% 53%
-1 47% 19% 34%
-0.5 66% 34%
+0.5 83% 17%
+1 83% 9% 7%
+1.5 93% 7%
+2 93% 5% 2%
+2.5 98% 2%

Clean Sheet

FC Cincinnati keeps clean sheet
25%
Toronto FC keeps clean sheet
7%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.