Toronto FC vs New York Red Bulls, MLS 2024 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Toronto FC vs New York Red Bulls — MLS at BMO Field.
- Toronto FC 18 games · 17 pts (2026/26)
- New York Red Bulls 18 games · 25 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nashville SC | 18 | 40 |
| 2 | Internacional CF Miami | 18 | 38 |
| 3 | New England Revolution | 18 | 30 |
| 4 | Chicago Fire FC | 17 | 29 |
| 5 | New York City FC | 18 | 26 |
| 6 | FC Cincinnati | 18 | 26 |
| 7 | Charlotte FC | 18 | 25 |
| 8 | New York Red Bulls | 18 | 25 |
| 9 | D.C. United SC | 18 | 23 |
| 10 | Columbus Crew SC | 18 | 20 |
| 11 | Orlando City SC | 18 | 20 |
| 12 | Toronto FC | 18 | 17 |
| 13 | Philadelphia Union | 18 | 16 |
| 14 | Montreal Impact FC | 18 | 16 |
| 15 | Atlanta United FC | 18 | 12 |
| 16 | Vancouver Whitecaps FC | 17 | 34 |
| 17 | Los Angeles FC | 19 | 34 |
| 18 | San Jose Earthquakes | 18 | 33 |
| 19 | Houston Dynamo | 18 | 32 |
| 20 | FC Dallas | 18 | 27 |
| 21 | Real Salt Lake | 17 | 27 |
| 22 | St. Louis City | 18 | 26 |
| 23 | Portland Timbers | 18 | 24 |
| 24 | Seattle Sounders FC | 17 | 24 |
| 25 | Minnesota United FC | 18 | 24 |
| 26 | Colorado Rapids SC | 18 | 22 |
| 27 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 19 | 22 |
| 28 | San Diego FC | 18 | 21 |
| 29 | Austin FC | 18 | 17 |
| 30 | Sporting Kansas City | 18 | 14 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct | New York Red Bulls | H | 1–4 | L |
| 29 Sep | Chicago Fire FC | A | 1–1 | D |
| 22 Sep | Colorado Rapids SC | A | 0–2 | L |
| 18 Sep | Columbus Crew SC | H | 0–2 | L |
| 14 Sep | Austin FC | H | 2–1 | W |
| 31 Aug | D.C. United SC | H | 1–3 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct | Toronto FC | A | 4–1 | W |
| 28 Sep | New York City FC | H | 1–5 | L |
| 21 Sep | Atlanta United FC | H | 2–2 | D |
| 15 Sep | Chicago Fire FC | A | 1–2 | L |
| 07 Sep | Sporting Kansas City | H | 1–1 | D |
| 31 Aug | Philadelphia Union | H | 0–2 | L |
Season Stats
| Toronto FC | New York Red Bulls | |
|---|---|---|
| #12 | Position | #8 |
| 17 | Points | 25 |
| 18 | Played | 18 |
| 3 / 8 / 7 | W / D / L | 7 / 4 / 7 |
| 24 | Scored | 29 |
| 32 | Conceded | 39 |
| -8 | GD | -10 |
| 0.94 | PPG | 1.39 |
| 17% | Win % | 39% |
Key Stats
53%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (17 games)
H2H (17 games)
41%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
16%
Clean Sheets
Toronto FC this season
Toronto FC this season
16%
Clean Sheets
New York Red Bulls this season
New York Red Bulls this season
Toronto FC are 12th (17 pts). New York Red Bulls are 8th (25 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Toronto FC
0-15
1/2
16-30
1/3
31-45
4/3
46-60
2/5
61-75
4/4
76+
6/7
■ Scored ■ Conceded
New York Red Bulls
0-15
6/4
16-30
2/1
31-45
5/5
46-60
4/7
61-75
1/5
76+
3/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
New York Red Bulls
| Julian Hall | 9 G | 2 A |
| Jorge Ruvalcaba | 7 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' It’s Showtime! The match between Toronto FC and New York Red Bulls is underway.
- 5' named a earlier, and opted for a in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
- 10' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
- 15' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
- 20' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Toronto FC side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
- 23' Ryan Meara picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
- 27' Against the run of play, Emil Forsberg has scored! This game has turned on its head.
- 30' Controversy at the stadium! Jonathan Osorio argues furiously but the card stands.
- 35' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Peter Stroud made 286 appearances and scored 0 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 38' Andres Reyes was booked on 38.
- 43' Toronto FC player sees a card in front of him.
- 46' Toronto FC ring the changes. Deybi Flores has done his job and it is now time for Alonso Coello Camarero to step up.
- 48' What composure from John Tolkin! The USA international strokes it home. 0-2.
- 53' New York Red Bulls is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- 57' Another substitution for New York Red Bulls to replace Andres Reyes by Sean Nealis on 57 minute.
- 58' Another substitution for Toronto FC to replace Deandre Kerr by Prince-Osei Owusu on 58 minute.
- 62' The supporters are chanting for Felipe Carballo. He replaces Ronald Donkor on 62 minute.
- 66' Against the run of play, Prince-Osei Owusu has scored! This game has turned on its head.
- 66' Toronto FC make a change. Raoul Petretta trudges off to be replaced by Kosi Thompson on 66 minutes.
- 69' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Lewis Morgan makes it 1-3.
- 74' It is a cagey affair so far. Toronto FC in their trying to find a way past New York Red Bulls's compact .
- 75' Federico Bernardeschi picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
- 80' That is a card for Toronto FC. Kosi Thompson will be fuming at that decision.
- 81' New York Red Bulls ring the changes. Dante Vanzeir has done his job and it is now time for Elias Manoel to step up.
- 86' It’s high time Sandro Schwarz made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
- 88' GOAL! Elias Manoel scores on 88. Assisted by Lewis Morgan
- 1-4 the final result. Toronto FC will be bitterly disappointed.
Lineups
Toronto FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 5
- 10
- 11
- 21
-
28
Raoul Petretta ↓ Kosi Thompson 66'
- 1
- 27
- 22
- 29
- 20
- 16
Bench
-
99
Prince-Osei Owusu ↑ 58'
- 23
- 17
-
8
Matthew Longstaff ↑ 46'
- 6
- 90
-
47
Kosi Thompson ↑ 66'
- 19
-
14
Alonso Coello Camarero ↑ 46'
Coach
John Herdman
New York Red Bulls Lineups
Starting XI
-
10
Emil Forsberg ↓ Cameron Harper 62'
- 9
-
13
Dante Vanzeir ↓ Elias Manoel 81'
- 12
- 47
-
4
Andres Reyes ↓ Sean Nealis 57'
- 3
- 31
- 75
-
5
Peter Stroud ↓ Dennis Gjengaar 81'
-
48
Ronald Donkor ↓ Felipe Carballo 62'
Bench
- 18
-
15
Sean Nealis ↑ 57'
-
17
Cameron Harper ↑ 62'
-
11
Elias Manoel ↑ 81'
- 22
-
20
Felipe Carballo ↑ 62'
- 16
-
2
Dennis Gjengaar ↑ 81'
- 23
Coach
Sandro Schwarz
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Lewis Morgan | 5 |
| Luquinhas | 3 |
| Tom Barlow | 3 |
| Emil Forsberg | 3 |
| Pozuelo | 2 |
| Elias Manoel | 2 |
| Kemar Lawrence | 2 |
| Caden Clark | 2 |
Head to Head
Toronto FC Form
New York Red Bulls Form
2024-10-02
Toronto FC
1–4
New York Red Bulls
W
2024-09-28
New York Red Bulls
1–5
New York City FC
L
2024-09-21
New York Red Bulls
2–2
Atlanta United FC
D
2024-09-15
Chicago Fire FC
2–1
New York Red Bulls
L
2024-09-07
New York Red Bulls
1–1
Sporting Kansas City
D
2024-08-31
New York Red Bulls
0–2
Philadelphia Union
L
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.45
Toronto FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.22
New York Red Bulls xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 70% + Both teams to score 68%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: New York Red Bulls win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.67
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 96% |
|
4% |
| ± 1.5 | 88% |
|
12% |
| ± 2.5 | 70% |
|
30% |
| ± 3.5 | 49% |
|
51% |
| ± 4.5 | 31% |
|
69% |
Double Chance
Toronto FC or Draw
50%
Draw or New York Red Bulls
73%
Toronto FC or New York Red Bulls
76%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: New York Red Bulls win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
9%
1 – 2
8.8%
1 – 3
6.5%
0 – 2
6.3%
2 – 2
6.3%
2 – 1
5.8%
0 – 1
5.2%
2 – 3
4.7%
0 – 3
4.6%
0 – 0
3.8%
1 – 4
Actual
1 – 0
3.1%
Asian Handicap — Toronto FC
| Handicap | Toronto FC covers | Push | New York Red Bulls covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 4% | — | 96% |
| -2 | 4% | 7% | 89% |
| -1.5 | 11% | — | 89% |
| -1 | 11% | 13% | 76% |
| -0.5 | 24% | — | 76% |
| +0.5 | 46% | — | 54% |
| +1 | 46% | 20% | 34% |
| +1.5 | 66% | — | 34% |
| +2 | 66% | 16% | 17% |
| +2.5 | 83% | — | 17% |
Clean Sheet
Toronto FC keeps clean sheet
12%
✓
New York Red Bulls keeps clean sheet
24%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

