Toronto FC vs New York Red Bulls, MLS 2024 REGULAR SEASON

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MLS · 2024

Toronto FC

1 – 4

Full Time

New York Red Bulls

Wed 2 Oct 2024 · 23:30 UTC BMO Field HT 45' · FT 45'

Y 23' Ryan Meara

Jonathan Osorio 30' Y

Y 38' Andres Reyes

Federico Bernardeschi 43' Y

Federico Bernardeschi 75' YR

Kosi Thompson 80' Y

Overview

Match Preview

Toronto FC vs New York Red Bulls — MLS at BMO Field.

Toronto FC 27 games · 29 pts (2026/26)
New York Red Bulls 26 games · 33 pts (2026/26)

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Nashville SC	27	60
2	Internacional CF Miami	27	46
3	New England Revolution	27	46
4	Charlotte FC	27	43
5	Chicago Fire FC	26	42
6	Philadelphia Union	27	39
7	Orlando City SC	27	34
8	New York City FC	27	33
9	FC Cincinnati	26	33
10	New York Red Bulls	26	33
11	D.C. United SC	26	30
12	Columbus Crew SC	27	29
13	Toronto FC	27	29
14	Atlanta United FC	27	27
15	Montreal Impact FC	27	24
16	Vancouver Whitecaps FC	26	50
17	FC Dallas	27	47
18	San Jose Earthquakes	27	45
19	St. Louis City	26	44
20	Houston Dynamo	27	44
21	Los Angeles FC	28	41
22	Colorado Rapids SC	27	36
23	Los Angeles Galaxy	28	36
24	Seattle Sounders FC	26	35
25	San Diego FC	27	32
26	Portland Timbers	27	32
27	Real Salt Lake	27	32
28	Austin FC	27	31
29	Minnesota United FC	27	29
30	Sporting Kansas City	26	21

Head-to-Head

Toronto FC 17 games · Avg 2.5 goals New York Red Bulls

Last 5 meetings

2024-10-02 Toronto FC 1–4 New York Red Bulls 2024-06-22 New York Red Bulls 3–0 Toronto FC 2023-10-07 New York Red Bulls 3–0 Toronto FC 2023-05-17 Toronto FC 0–0 New York Red Bulls 2022-06-18 New York Red Bulls 2–0 Toronto FC

Recent Form

Toronto FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
02 Oct	New York Red Bulls	H	1–4	L
29 Sep	Chicago Fire FC	A	1–1	D
22 Sep	Colorado Rapids SC	A	0–2	L
18 Sep	Columbus Crew SC	H	0–2	L
14 Sep	Austin FC	H	2–1	W
31 Aug	D.C. United SC	H	1–3	L

New York Red Bulls

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
02 Oct	Toronto FC	A	4–1	W
28 Sep	New York City FC	H	1–5	L
21 Sep	Atlanta United FC	H	2–2	D
15 Sep	Chicago Fire FC	A	1–2	L
07 Sep	Sporting Kansas City	H	1–1	D
31 Aug	Philadelphia Union	H	0–2	L

Season Stats

Toronto FC		New York Red Bulls
#13	Position	#10
29	Points	33
27	Played	26
6 / 11 / 10	W / D / L	9 / 6 / 11
39	Scored	34
51	Conceded	48
-12	GD	-14
1.07	PPG	1.27
22%	Win %	35%

Key Stats

53% Both Teams to Score
H2H (17 games)

41% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

11% Clean Sheets
Toronto FC this season

23% Clean Sheets
New York Red Bulls this season

Toronto FC are 13th (29 pts). New York Red Bulls are 10th (33 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Toronto FC

0-15

1/3

16-30

2/5

31-45

5/6

46-60

4/7

61-75

7/6

76+

9/10

■ Scored ■ Conceded

New York Red Bulls

0-15

6/4

16-30

2/3

31-45

5/6

46-60

5/8

61-75

2/6

76+

5/4

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Toronto FC

Daniel Salloi	7 G	5 A
Josh Sargent	7 G	2 A

New York Red Bulls

Julian Hall	10 G	2 A
Jorge Ruvalcaba	7 G

Events

Match Events

0' The ball is rolling at BMO Field. Toronto FC are looking to make home advantage count against New York Red Bulls.
5' Toronto FC have won 376 goals from 288 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
10' It looks like no one’s ball. Toronto FC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
15' New York Red Bulls fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
20' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
23' New York Red Bulls receives a card for a hard tackle on 23.
27' Brilliant from the ! Emil Forsberg makes it 0-1 with a superb finish on 27.
30' Toronto FC receives a card for a hard tackle on 30.
35' Shane O'Neill, a USA , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
38' It’s a booking for New York Red Bulls player. Andres Reyes gets a card.
43' Controversy at the stadium! Federico Bernardeschi argues furiously but the card stands.
46' The Toronto FC manager makes a substitution. Deybi Flores departs to be replaced by Alonso Coello Camarero.
48' A goal from the USA international John Tolkin! He fires home on 48 to make it 0-2!
53' The home supporters are growing impatient. Toronto FC must find a spark to ignite this game.
57' Fresh legs for New York Red Bulls! Sean Nealis comes on to replace Andres Reyes.
58' Deandre Kerr makes way for Prince-Osei Owusu at the 58 minute mark. A tactical switch from Toronto FC.
62' Another substitution for New York Red Bulls to replace Ronald Donkor by Felipe Carballo on 62 minute.
66' What a strike from Prince-Osei Owusu! The score is 1-2.
66' Fresh legs for Toronto FC! Kosi Thompson comes on to replace Raoul Petretta.
69' What a strike from Lewis Morgan! The score is 1-3.
74' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
75' It’s a booking for Toronto FC player. Federico Bernardeschi gets a card.
80' That looks like a foul for a card for Kosi Thompson.
81' Elias Manoel is ready to make an impact after coming on for Dante Vanzeir at the 81 minute mark.
86' Deandre Kerr is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Toronto FC tonight.
88' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Elias Manoel makes it 1-4.
What a match! Full time at {STADIUM} — Toronto FC 1-4 New York Red Bulls.

Lineups

Toronto FC Lineups

Starting XI

5
Kevin Long
10
Federico Bernardeschi
11
Derrick Etienne
21
Jonathan Osorio
28
Raoul Petretta ↓ Kosi Thompson 66'
1
Sean Johnson
27
Shane O'Neill
22
Richie Laryea
29
Deandre Kerr ↓ Prince-Osei Owusu 58'
20
Deybi Flores ↓ Alonso Coello Camarero 46'
16
Tyrese Spicer ↓ Matthew Longstaff 46'

Bench

Coach John Herdman

New York Red Bulls Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

18
Ryan Meara
15
Sean Nealis ↑ 57'
17
Cameron Harper ↑ 62'
11
Elias Manoel ↑ 81'
22
Serge Ngoma
20
Felipe Carballo ↑ 62'
16
Julian Hall
2
Dennis Gjengaar ↑ 81'
23
Aidan O'Connor

Coach Sandro Schwarz

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Lewis Morgan	5
Luquinhas	3
Tom Barlow	3
Emil Forsberg	3
Pozuelo	2
Elias Manoel	2
Kemar Lawrence	2
Caden Clark	2

Head to Head

Toronto FC Form

2024-10-02 Toronto FC 1–4 New York Red Bulls L 2024-09-29 Chicago Fire FC 1–1 Toronto FC D 2024-09-22 Colorado Rapids SC 2–0 Toronto FC L 2024-09-18 Toronto FC 0–2 Columbus Crew SC L 2024-09-14 Toronto FC 2–1 Austin FC W 2024-08-31 Toronto FC 1–3 D.C. United SC L

New York Red Bulls Form

2024-10-02 Toronto FC 1–4 New York Red Bulls W 2024-09-28 New York Red Bulls 1–5 New York City FC L 2024-09-21 New York Red Bulls 2–2 Atlanta United FC D 2024-09-15 Chicago Fire FC 2–1 New York Red Bulls L 2024-09-07 New York Red Bulls 1–1 Sporting Kansas City D 2024-08-31 New York Red Bulls 0–2 Philadelphia Union L

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

3 / 4

1.37 Toronto FC xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

2.1 New York Red Bulls xG

I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 66% + Both teams to score 65%

Match Result

✓ Correct

Toronto FC26% Draw25% New York Red Bulls49%

Actual: New York Red Bulls win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes65% 0% No35%

Avg goals/match: 3.47

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	96%	4%
± 1.5	86%	14%
± 2.5	66%	34%
± 3.5	45%	55%
± 4.5	27%	73%

Double Chance

Toronto FC or Draw

51%

Draw or New York Red Bulls

74%

Toronto FC or New York Red Bulls

75%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

Toronto FC20% Draw40% New York Red Bulls40%

Actual: New York Red Bulls win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

9.8%

1 – 2

9.1%

0 – 2

6.9%

1 – 3

6.3%

2 – 2

6.2%

0 – 1

2 – 1

5.9%

0 – 3

4.7%

0 – 0

4.5%

2 – 3

4.4%

1 – 0

3.6%

1 – 4

Actual

Asian Handicap — Toronto FC

Handicap	Toronto FC covers	Push	New York Red Bulls covers
-2.5	4%	—	96%
-2	4%	7%	89%
-1.5	11%	—	89%
-1	11%	13%	76%
-0.5	24%	—	76%
+0.5	47%	—	53%
+1	47%	21%	32%
+1.5	68%	—	32%
+2	68%	16%	16%
+2.5	84%	—	16%

Clean Sheet

Toronto FC keeps clean sheet

13% ✓

New York Red Bulls keeps clean sheet

26% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.