Thursday , 2 July 2026

Toronto FC vs New York Red Bulls, MLS 2024 REGULAR SEASON

MLS · 2024
Wed 2 Oct 2024 · 23:30 UTC BMO Field HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
02 Oct New York Red Bulls H 1–4 L
29 Sep Chicago Fire FC A 1–1 D
22 Sep Colorado Rapids SC A 0–2 L
18 Sep Columbus Crew SC H 0–2 L
14 Sep Austin FC H 2–1 W
31 Aug D.C. United SC H 1–3 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
02 Oct Toronto FC A 4–1 W
28 Sep New York City FC H 1–5 L
21 Sep Atlanta United FC H 2–2 D
15 Sep Chicago Fire FC A 1–2 L
07 Sep Sporting Kansas City H 1–1 D
31 Aug Philadelphia Union H 0–2 L

Season Stats

Toronto FC New York Red Bulls
#11 Position #5
14 Points 22
14 Played 15
3 / 5 / 6 W / D / L 6 / 4 / 5
22 Scored 25
29 Conceded 32
-7 GD -7
1.00 PPG 1.47
21% Win % 40%

Key Stats

53% Both Teams to Score
H2H (17 games)
41% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
7% Clean Sheets
Toronto FC this season
20% Clean Sheets
New York Red Bulls this season

Toronto FC are 11th (14 pts). New York Red Bulls are 5th (22 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Toronto FC
0-15
1/1
16-30
1/3
31-45
1/3
46-60
2/5
61-75
4/4
76+
5/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
New York Red Bulls
0-15
5/1
16-30
1/1
31-45
3/5
46-60
3/5
61-75
1/2
76+
3/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The ball is rolling at BMO Field. Toronto FC are looking to make home advantage count against New York Red Bulls.
  • 5' The home supporters are growing impatient. Toronto FC must find a spark to ignite this game.
  • 10' named a earlier, and opted for a in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
  • 15' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 20' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 23' Ryan Meara is having his name booked by the referee on 23.
  • 27' A goal from the Sweden international Emil Forsberg! He fires home on 27 to make it 0-1!
  • 30' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Jonathan Osorio.
  • 35' With 2 assists to his name this season, Jonathan Osorio is clearly more than just a goal scorer for New York Red Bulls.
  • 38' The referee calls foul for Andres Reyes. He receives a card.
  • 43' Federico Bernardeschi has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 43.
  • 46' The whistle greets Deybi Flores as he departs to be replaced by Alonso Coello Camarero.
  • 48' John Tolkin is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 0 goals this season for the .
  • 53' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 1 times this season with New York Red Bulls winning 0% of all matches.
  • 57' The supporters are chanting for Sean Nealis. He replaces Andres Reyes on 57 minute.
  • 58' The Toronto FC bench stirs into life. Deandre Kerr is withdrawn and Prince-Osei Owusu gets his opportunity.
  • 62' The whistle greets Ronald Donkor as he departs to be replaced by Felipe Carballo.
  • 66' Prince-Osei Owusu does the damage! The net is bulging and Toronto FC surge ahead!
  • 66' Toronto FC ring the changes. Raoul Petretta has done his job and it is now time for Kosi Thompson to step up.
  • 69' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Lewis Morgan makes it 1-3.
  • 74' It looks like no one’s ball. Toronto FC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 75' It’s a booking for Toronto FC player. Federico Bernardeschi gets a card.
  • 80' Kosi Thompson has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 80.
  • 81' New York Red Bulls ring the changes. Dante Vanzeir has done his job and it is now time for Elias Manoel to step up.
  • 86' It looks surprising Toronto FC does not make any changes. Peter Stroud has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 88' Brilliant from the ! Elias Manoel makes it 1-4 with a superb finish on 88.
  • New York Red Bulls celebrates a vital win. Three points that could prove pivotal come season's end.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.59 Toronto FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.37 New York Red Bulls xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 74% + Both teams to score 72%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Toronto FC27% Draw23% New York Red Bulls50%
Actual: New York Red Bulls win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes72% 0% No28%
Avg goals/match: 3.96
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 97%
3%
± 1.5 90%
10%
± 2.5 74%
26%
± 3.5 55%
45%
± 4.5 36%
64%

Double Chance

Toronto FC or Draw
50%
Draw or New York Red Bulls
73%
Toronto FC or New York Red Bulls
77%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Toronto FC22% Draw37% New York Red Bulls41%
Actual: New York Red Bulls win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 2
8.3%
1 – 1
8%
2 – 2
6.5%
1 – 3
6.5%
2 – 1
5.6%
0 – 2
5.5%
2 – 3
5.1%
0 – 3
4.2%
0 – 1
4.2%
1 – 4
Actual
3 – 2
3.4%
2 – 4
3.1%

Asian Handicap — Toronto FC

Handicap Toronto FC covers Push New York Red Bulls covers
-2.5 5% 95%
-2 5% 7% 88%
-1.5 12% 88%
-1 12% 13% 75%
-0.5 25% 75%
+0.5 46% 54%
+1 46% 20% 34%
+1.5 66% 34%
+2 66% 16% 18%
+2.5 82% 18%

Clean Sheet

Toronto FC keeps clean sheet
10%
New York Red Bulls keeps clean sheet
21%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.