Toronto FC vs New York Red Bulls, MLS 2024 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Toronto FC vs New York Red Bulls — MLS at BMO Field.
- Toronto FC 14 games · 14 pts (2026/26)
- New York Red Bulls 15 games · 22 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nashville SC | 14 | 33 |
| 2 | Internacional CF Miami | 15 | 31 |
| 3 | Chicago Fire FC | 14 | 26 |
| 4 | New England Revolution | 14 | 25 |
| 5 | New York Red Bulls | 15 | 22 |
| 6 | Charlotte FC | 15 | 21 |
| 7 | FC Cincinnati | 15 | 20 |
| 8 | New York City FC | 15 | 19 |
| 9 | D.C. United SC | 15 | 18 |
| 10 | Columbus Crew SC | 15 | 16 |
| 11 | Toronto FC | 14 | 14 |
| 12 | Montreal Impact FC | 14 | 14 |
| 13 | Orlando City SC | 15 | 14 |
| 14 | Atlanta United FC | 14 | 11 |
| 15 | Philadelphia Union | 15 | 7 |
| 16 | Vancouver Whitecaps FC | 14 | 32 |
| 17 | San Jose Earthquakes | 15 | 32 |
| 18 | Real Salt Lake | 14 | 26 |
| 19 | FC Dallas | 15 | 25 |
| 20 | Los Angeles FC | 15 | 24 |
| 21 | Seattle Sounders FC | 13 | 24 |
| 22 | Houston Dynamo | 14 | 22 |
| 23 | Minnesota United FC | 15 | 22 |
| 24 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 15 | 20 |
| 25 | San Diego FC | 15 | 17 |
| 26 | Colorado Rapids SC | 15 | 16 |
| 27 | St. Louis City | 14 | 16 |
| 28 | Portland Timbers | 14 | 14 |
| 29 | Austin FC | 15 | 14 |
| 30 | Sporting Kansas City | 14 | 11 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct | New York Red Bulls | H | 1–4 | L |
| 29 Sep | Chicago Fire FC | A | 1–1 | D |
| 22 Sep | Colorado Rapids SC | A | 0–2 | L |
| 18 Sep | Columbus Crew SC | H | 0–2 | L |
| 14 Sep | Austin FC | H | 2–1 | W |
| 31 Aug | D.C. United SC | H | 1–3 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct | Toronto FC | A | 4–1 | W |
| 28 Sep | New York City FC | H | 1–5 | L |
| 21 Sep | Atlanta United FC | H | 2–2 | D |
| 15 Sep | Chicago Fire FC | A | 1–2 | L |
| 07 Sep | Sporting Kansas City | H | 1–1 | D |
| 31 Aug | Philadelphia Union | H | 0–2 | L |
Season Stats
| Toronto FC | New York Red Bulls | |
|---|---|---|
| #11 | Position | #5 |
| 14 | Points | 22 |
| 14 | Played | 15 |
| 3 / 5 / 6 | W / D / L | 6 / 4 / 5 |
| 22 | Scored | 25 |
| 29 | Conceded | 32 |
| -7 | GD | -7 |
| 1.00 | PPG | 1.47 |
| 21% | Win % | 40% |
Key Stats
53%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (17 games)
H2H (17 games)
41%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
7%
Clean Sheets
Toronto FC this season
Toronto FC this season
20%
Clean Sheets
New York Red Bulls this season
New York Red Bulls this season
Toronto FC are 11th (14 pts). New York Red Bulls are 5th (22 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Toronto FC
0-15
1/1
16-30
1/3
31-45
1/3
46-60
2/5
61-75
4/4
76+
5/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
New York Red Bulls
0-15
5/1
16-30
1/1
31-45
3/5
46-60
3/5
61-75
1/2
76+
3/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Events
Match Events
- 0' The ball is rolling at BMO Field. Toronto FC are looking to make home advantage count against New York Red Bulls.
- 5' The home supporters are growing impatient. Toronto FC must find a spark to ignite this game.
- 10' named a earlier, and opted for a in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
- 15' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
- 20' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
- 23' Ryan Meara is having his name booked by the referee on 23.
- 27' A goal from the Sweden international Emil Forsberg! He fires home on 27 to make it 0-1!
- 30' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Jonathan Osorio.
- 35' With 2 assists to his name this season, Jonathan Osorio is clearly more than just a goal scorer for New York Red Bulls.
- 38' The referee calls foul for Andres Reyes. He receives a card.
- 43' Federico Bernardeschi has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 43.
- 46' The whistle greets Deybi Flores as he departs to be replaced by Alonso Coello Camarero.
- 48' John Tolkin is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 0 goals this season for the .
- 53' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 1 times this season with New York Red Bulls winning 0% of all matches.
- 57' The supporters are chanting for Sean Nealis. He replaces Andres Reyes on 57 minute.
- 58' The Toronto FC bench stirs into life. Deandre Kerr is withdrawn and Prince-Osei Owusu gets his opportunity.
- 62' The whistle greets Ronald Donkor as he departs to be replaced by Felipe Carballo.
- 66' Prince-Osei Owusu does the damage! The net is bulging and Toronto FC surge ahead!
- 66' Toronto FC ring the changes. Raoul Petretta has done his job and it is now time for Kosi Thompson to step up.
- 69' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Lewis Morgan makes it 1-3.
- 74' It looks like no one’s ball. Toronto FC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
- 75' It’s a booking for Toronto FC player. Federico Bernardeschi gets a card.
- 80' Kosi Thompson has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 80.
- 81' New York Red Bulls ring the changes. Dante Vanzeir has done his job and it is now time for Elias Manoel to step up.
- 86' It looks surprising Toronto FC does not make any changes. Peter Stroud has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
- 88' Brilliant from the ! Elias Manoel makes it 1-4 with a superb finish on 88.
- New York Red Bulls celebrates a vital win. Three points that could prove pivotal come season's end.
Lineups
Toronto FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 5
- 10
- 11
- 21
-
28
Raoul Petretta ↓ Kosi Thompson 66'
- 1
- 27
- 22
- 29
- 20
- 16
Bench
-
99
Prince-Osei Owusu ↑ 58'
- 23
- 17
-
8
Matthew Longstaff ↑ 46'
- 6
- 90
-
47
Kosi Thompson ↑ 66'
- 19
-
14
Alonso Coello Camarero ↑ 46'
Coach
John Herdman
New York Red Bulls Lineups
Starting XI
-
10
Emil Forsberg ↓ Cameron Harper 62'
- 9
-
13
Dante Vanzeir ↓ Elias Manoel 81'
- 12
- 47
-
4
Andres Reyes ↓ Sean Nealis 57'
- 3
- 31
- 75
-
5
Peter Stroud ↓ Dennis Gjengaar 81'
-
48
Ronald Donkor ↓ Felipe Carballo 62'
Bench
- 18
-
15
Sean Nealis ↑ 57'
-
17
Cameron Harper ↑ 62'
-
11
Elias Manoel ↑ 81'
- 22
-
20
Felipe Carballo ↑ 62'
- 16
-
2
Dennis Gjengaar ↑ 81'
- 23
Coach
Sandro Schwarz
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Lewis Morgan | 5 |
| Luquinhas | 3 |
| Tom Barlow | 3 |
| Emil Forsberg | 3 |
| Pozuelo | 2 |
| Elias Manoel | 2 |
| Kemar Lawrence | 2 |
| Caden Clark | 2 |
Head to Head
Toronto FC Form
New York Red Bulls Form
2024-10-02
Toronto FC
1–4
New York Red Bulls
W
2024-09-28
New York Red Bulls
1–5
New York City FC
L
2024-09-21
New York Red Bulls
2–2
Atlanta United FC
D
2024-09-15
Chicago Fire FC
2–1
New York Red Bulls
L
2024-09-07
New York Red Bulls
1–1
Sporting Kansas City
D
2024-08-31
New York Red Bulls
0–2
Philadelphia Union
L
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.59
Toronto FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.37
New York Red Bulls xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 74% + Both teams to score 72%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: New York Red Bulls win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.96
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 97% |
|
3% |
| ± 1.5 | 90% |
|
10% |
| ± 2.5 | 74% |
|
26% |
| ± 3.5 | 55% |
|
45% |
| ± 4.5 | 36% |
|
64% |
Double Chance
Toronto FC or Draw
50%
Draw or New York Red Bulls
73%
Toronto FC or New York Red Bulls
77%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: New York Red Bulls win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 2
8.3%
1 – 1
8%
2 – 2
6.5%
1 – 3
6.5%
2 – 1
5.6%
0 – 2
5.5%
2 – 3
5.1%
0 – 3
4.2%
0 – 1
4.2%
1 – 4
Actual
3 – 2
3.4%
2 – 4
3.1%
Asian Handicap — Toronto FC
| Handicap | Toronto FC covers | Push | New York Red Bulls covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 5% | — | 95% |
| -2 | 5% | 7% | 88% |
| -1.5 | 12% | — | 88% |
| -1 | 12% | 13% | 75% |
| -0.5 | 25% | — | 75% |
| +0.5 | 46% | — | 54% |
| +1 | 46% | 20% | 34% |
| +1.5 | 66% | — | 34% |
| +2 | 66% | 16% | 18% |
| +2.5 | 82% | — | 18% |
Clean Sheet
Toronto FC keeps clean sheet
10%
✓
New York Red Bulls keeps clean sheet
21%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

