Toronto FC vs FC Cincinnati, MLS 2023 REGULAR SEASON

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MLS · 2023

Toronto FC

2 – 3

Full Time

FC Cincinnati

Sat 30 Sep 2023 · 23:30 UTC BMO Field HT 45' · FT 45'

0–1 28' Brandon Vazquez

0–2 35' Brandon Vazquez

Jonathan Osorio 39' 1–2

Jonathan Osorio 44' 2–2

2–3 72' Aaron Boupendza

Themi Antonoglou 74' Y

Prince-Osei Owusu 86' Y

Overview

Match Preview

Toronto FC vs FC Cincinnati — MLS at BMO Field.

Toronto FC 34 games · 39 pts (2026/26)
FC Cincinnati 34 games · 46 pts (2026/26)

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Nashville SC	34	77
2	Internacional CF Miami	34	60
3	New England Revolution	34	58
4	Chicago Fire FC	34	55
5	Charlotte FC	34	54
6	Philadelphia Union	34	50
7	Columbus Crew SC	34	47
8	FC Cincinnati	34	46
9	Orlando City SC	34	46
10	New York City FC	34	42
11	New York Red Bulls	34	42
12	Toronto FC	34	39
13	Atlanta United FC	34	33
14	D.C. United SC	34	33
15	Montreal Impact FC	34	26
16	Vancouver Whitecaps FC	34	64
17	FC Dallas	34	58
18	St. Louis City	34	54
19	San Jose Earthquakes	34	52
20	Houston Dynamo	34	51
21	Los Angeles FC	34	47
22	Portland Timbers	34	46
23	Seattle Sounders FC	34	46
24	Real Salt Lake	34	45
25	Minnesota United FC	34	44
26	Los Angeles Galaxy	34	44
27	Colorado Rapids SC	34	43
28	San Diego FC	34	38
29	Austin FC	34	34
30	Sporting Kansas City	34	26

Head-to-Head

Toronto FC 16 games · Avg 2.8 goals FC Cincinnati

Last 5 meetings

2023-09-30 Toronto FC 2–3 FC Cincinnati 2023-06-21 FC Cincinnati 3–0 Toronto FC 2022-05-04 FC Cincinnati 2–0 Toronto FC 2022-04-30 Toronto FC 1–2 FC Cincinnati 2021-09-29 Toronto FC 3–2 FC Cincinnati

Recent Form

Toronto FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
30 Sep	FC Cincinnati	H	2–3	L
24 Sep	New York City FC	A	0–3	L
20 Sep	Internacional CF Miami	A	0–4	L
16 Sep	Vancouver Whitecaps FC	H	1–2	L
30 Aug	Philadelphia Union	H	3–1	W
26 Aug	Columbus Crew SC	A	0–2	L

FC Cincinnati

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
30 Sep	Toronto FC	A	3–2	W
23 Sep	Charlotte FC	H	3–0	W
20 Sep	Montreal Impact FC	A	1–1	D
16 Sep	Philadelphia Union	A	2–2	D
02 Sep	Orlando City SC	H	0–1	L
30 Aug	Atlanta United FC	A	2–1	W

Season Stats

Toronto FC		FC Cincinnati
#12	Position	#8
39	Points	46
34	Played	34
9 / 12 / 13	W / D / L	12 / 10 / 12
52	Scored	67
67	Conceded	75
-15	GD	-8
1.15	PPG	1.35
26%	Win %	35%

Key Stats

44% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)

44% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

12% Clean Sheets
Toronto FC this season

18% Clean Sheets
FC Cincinnati this season

Toronto FC are 12th (39 pts). FC Cincinnati are 8th (46 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Toronto FC

0-15

1/3

16-30

3/10

31-45

6/9

46-60

5/12

61-75

9/7

76+

16/12

■ Scored ■ Conceded

FC Cincinnati

0-15

6/3

16-30

5/11

31-45

10/11

46-60

8/13

61-75

6/7

76+

17/9

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Toronto FC

Josh Sargent	10 G	4 A
Daniel Salloi	9 G	6 A

FC Cincinnati

Kevin Denkey	17 G	2 A
Evander	14 G	13 A
Tom Barlow	10 G	4 A
Pavel Bucha	6 G	3 A

Events

Match Events

0' Welcome to BMO Field that hosts another battle between Toronto FC and FC Cincinnati.
5' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
9' Toronto FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Hugo Mbongue is hanging Deandre Kerr on the field on 9 minute.
14' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 14 minutes.
19' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
24' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
28' Brandon Vazquez makes no mistake. The score reads 0-1 and FC Cincinnati are in front.
33' The home supporters are growing impatient. Toronto FC must find a spark to ignite this game.
35' What a strike from Brandon Vazquez! The score is 0-2.
39' Jonathan Osorio is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 1 goals this season for the .
44' GOAL! Jonathan Osorio scores on 44.
49' Toronto FC currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
54' Both keepers have barely been tested. Toronto FC and FC Cincinnati are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
59' Toronto FC has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 1 of the last 2 meetings.
60' Jahkeele Marshall-Rutty is replacing Latif Blessing for the Toronto FC side.
65' Kobe Franklin has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 5 cards already picked up this season.
69' The whistle greets Alonso Coello Camarero as he departs to be replaced by Franco Ibarra.
72' A goal from the Gabon international Aaron Boupendza! He fires home on 72 to make it 2-3!
74' Poor challenge from Themi Antonoglou. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
77' Fresh legs for Toronto FC! Prince-Osei Owusu comes on to replace Hugo Mbongue.
82' The crowd applauds Aaron Boupendza as he leaves the pitch. Dom Badji steps in for FC Cincinnati.
85' Time for substitution for FC Cincinnati. Alvaro Barreal is replaced by Ray Gaddis.
86' The referee shows Toronto FC player a card on 86.
89' Yuya Kubo gets the nod from FC Cincinnati. He replaces Junior Moreno and will look to change the dynamic.
FC Cincinnati celebrates a vital win. Three points that could prove pivotal come season's end.

Lineups

Toronto FC Lineups

3-4-3

Starting XI

10
Federico Bernardeschi
4
Michael Bradley ↓ Victor Vazquez 77'
21
Jonathan Osorio
11
Latif Blessing ↓ Jahkeele Marshall-Rutty 60'
17
Sigurd Rosted
6
Aime Mabika
29
Deandre Kerr ↓ Hugo Mbongue 9'
90
Luka Gavran
19
Kobe Franklin
81
Themi Antonoglou ↓ Cristian Gutierrez 77'
52
Alonso Coello Camarero ↓ Franco Ibarra 69'

Bench

Coach Jon Conway

FC Cincinnati Lineups

3-4-1-2

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Pat Noonan

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Luciano Acosta	5
Nick DeLeon	2
Emmanuel Ledesma	2
Kevin Denkey	2
Ian Murphy	2
Marky Delgado	2
Jonathan Osorio	2
Patrick Mullins	2

Head to Head

Toronto FC Form

2023-09-30 Toronto FC 2–3 FC Cincinnati L 2023-09-24 New York City FC 3–0 Toronto FC L 2023-09-20 Internacional CF Miami 4–0 Toronto FC L 2023-09-16 Toronto FC 1–2 Vancouver Whitecaps FC L 2023-08-30 Toronto FC 3–1 Philadelphia Union W 2023-08-26 Columbus Crew SC 2–0 Toronto FC L

FC Cincinnati Form

2023-09-30 Toronto FC 2–3 FC Cincinnati W 2023-09-23 FC Cincinnati 3–0 Charlotte FC W 2023-09-20 Montreal Impact FC 1–1 FC Cincinnati D 2023-09-16 Philadelphia Union 2–2 FC Cincinnati D 2023-09-02 FC Cincinnati 0–1 Orlando City SC L 2023-08-30 Atlanta United FC 1–2 FC Cincinnati W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

4 / 4

2 Toronto FC xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

2.31 FC Cincinnati xG

I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 79% + Both teams to score 77%

Match Result

✓ Correct

Toronto FC32% Draw22% FC Cincinnati46%

Actual: FC Cincinnati win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes77% 0% No23%

Avg goals/match: 4.31

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	98%	2%
± 1.5	93%	7%
± 2.5	79%	21%
± 3.5	61%	39%
± 4.5	43%	57%

Double Chance

Toronto FC or Draw

54%

Draw or FC Cincinnati

68%

Toronto FC or FC Cincinnati

78%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct

Toronto FC28% Draw36% FC Cincinnati36%

Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 2

1 – 1

6.9%

2 – 2

6.9%

2 – 1

6.1%

1 – 3

5.3%

2 – 3

Actual

3 – 2

4.6%

3 – 1

0 – 2

3.7%

3 – 3

3.5%

1 – 4

3.1%

2 – 4

3.1%

Asian Handicap — Toronto FC

Handicap	Toronto FC covers	Push	FC Cincinnati covers
-2.5	8%	—	92%
-2	8%	10%	81%
-1.5	19%	—	81%
-1	19%	15%	66%
-0.5	34%	—	66%
+0.5	55%	—	45%
+1	55%	18%	27%
+1.5	73%	—	27%
+2	73%	13%	14%
+2.5	86%	—	14%

Clean Sheet

Toronto FC keeps clean sheet

11% ✓

FC Cincinnati keeps clean sheet

14% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.