Thursday , 2 July 2026

Toronto FC vs FC Cincinnati, MLS 2024 REGULAR SEASON

MLS · 2024
Toronto FC
3 – 4
Full Time
FC Cincinnati
Sat 25 May 2024 · 23:30 UTC BMO Field HT 45' · FT 45'
Deybi Flores 33' Y
Y 60' Luca Orellano
Matthew Longstaff 60' Y
Kevin Long 78' Y
Y 84' Miles Robinson
Prince-Osei Owusu 90' Y
Y 90' Kevin Kelsy

Overview

Match Preview

Toronto FC vs FC Cincinnati — MLS at BMO Field.

Standings

# Team P Pts
1 Nashville SC 14 33
2 Internacional CF Miami 15 31
3 Chicago Fire FC 14 26
4 New England Revolution 14 25
5 New York Red Bulls 15 22
6 Charlotte FC 15 21
7 FC Cincinnati 15 20
8 New York City FC 15 19
9 D.C. United SC 15 18
10 Columbus Crew SC 15 16
11 Toronto FC 14 14
12 Montreal Impact FC 14 14
13 Orlando City SC 15 14
14 Atlanta United FC 14 11
15 Philadelphia Union 15 7
16 Vancouver Whitecaps FC 14 32
17 San Jose Earthquakes 15 32
18 Real Salt Lake 14 26
19 FC Dallas 15 25
20 Los Angeles FC 15 24
21 Seattle Sounders FC 13 24
22 Houston Dynamo 14 22
23 Minnesota United FC 15 22
24 Los Angeles Galaxy 15 20
25 San Diego FC 15 17
26 Colorado Rapids SC 15 16
27 St. Louis City 14 16
28 Portland Timbers 14 14
29 Austin FC 15 14
30 Sporting Kansas City 14 11

Head-to-Head

5
2
9
Toronto FC 16 games · Avg 2.8 goals FC Cincinnati
Last 5 meetings
2024-05-25 Toronto FC 3–4 FC Cincinnati 2024-02-25 FC Cincinnati 0–0 Toronto FC 2023-09-30 Toronto FC 2–3 FC Cincinnati 2023-06-21 FC Cincinnati 3–0 Toronto FC 2022-05-04 FC Cincinnati 2–0 Toronto FC

Recent Form

Toronto FC
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
25 May FC Cincinnati H 3–4 L
18 May Montreal Impact FC H 5–1 W
16 May Nashville SC A 0–2 L
11 May New York City FC H 2–3 L
04 May FC Dallas H 3–1 W
27 Apr Orlando City SC A 2–1 W
FC Cincinnati
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
25 May Toronto FC A 4–3 W
18 May St. Louis City H 3–1 W
15 May Atlanta United FC H 1–0 W
11 May Columbus Crew SC A 2–1 W
04 May Orlando City SC A 1–0 W
27 Apr Colorado Rapids SC H 2–1 W

Season Stats

Toronto FC FC Cincinnati
#11 Position #7
14 Points 20
14 Played 15
3 / 5 / 6 W / D / L 5 / 5 / 5
22 Scored 36
29 Conceded 37
-7 GD -1
1.00 PPG 1.33
21% Win % 33%

Key Stats

44% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
44% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
7% Clean Sheets
Toronto FC this season
27% Clean Sheets
FC Cincinnati this season

Toronto FC are 11th (14 pts). FC Cincinnati are 7th (20 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Toronto FC
0-15
1/1
16-30
1/3
31-45
1/3
46-60
2/5
61-75
4/4
76+
5/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
FC Cincinnati
0-15
1/1
16-30
2/5
31-45
7/3
46-60
3/4
61-75
2/1
76+
8/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The match kicks off with home fans waiting with anticipation for Toronto FC to score. At the same time, FC Cincinnati does not seem to pull back! Let’s get it on!
  • 5' Jahkeele Marshall-Rutty has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
  • 10' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
  • 15' Toronto FC have won 369 goals from 280 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
  • 20' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Toronto FC side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
  • 25' Deybi Flores doubles the advantage! 1-0 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
  • 30' It looks like no one’s ball. Toronto FC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 33' A meaty challenge results in booking for Deybi Flores on 33.
  • 38' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 43' The travelling FC Cincinnati supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 48' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 2 times this season with Toronto FC winning 50% of all matches.
  • 53' Luca Orellano has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 53 minutes.
  • 55' GOAL! Kevin Kelsy scores on 55.
  • 58' Another substitution for Toronto FC to replace Tyrese Spicer by Derrick Etienne on 58 minute.
  • 60' Luca Orellano was booked on 60.
  • 63' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Ian Murphy makes it 1-3.
  • 65' Bret Halsey makes way for DeAndre Yedlin at the 65 minute mark. A tactical switch from FC Cincinnati.
  • 69' A change in the Toronto FC ranks — Deybi Flores exits the field as Alonso Coello Camarero enters on 69.
  • 70' The Toronto FC bench stirs into life. Jonathan Osorio is withdrawn and Kobe Franklin gets his opportunity.
  • 72' FC Cincinnati manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Sergio Santos is hanging Gerardo Valenzuela on the field on 72 minute.
  • 75' It is a substitution in Toronto FC team. Jahkeele Marshall-Rutty is replaced by Kevin Long on 75 minute.
  • 78' Kevin Long is having his name booked by the referee on 78.
  • 79' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Luca Orellano makes it 1-4.
  • 84' FC Cincinnati receives a card for a hard tackle on 84.
  • 85' What a moment for Lorenzo Insigne! That strike on 85 puts his side firmly in control.
  • 88' FC Cincinnati manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Yamil Asad is hanging Luca Orellano on the field on 88 minute.
  • 90' Toronto FC receives a card for a hard tackle on 90.
  • With this win, FC Cincinnati is likely to improve its situation in the overall team standings.

Lineups

Toronto FC Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

FC Cincinnati Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

PlayerGoals
Luciano Acosta 5
Ian Murphy 2
Marky Delgado 2
Jonathan Osorio 2
Patrick Mullins 2
Allan Cruz 2
Brandon Vazquez 2
Luca Orellano 2

Head to Head

2024-05-25 Toronto FC 3–4 FC Cincinnati 2024-02-25 FC Cincinnati 0–0 Toronto FC 2023-09-30 Toronto FC 2–3 FC Cincinnati 2023-06-21 FC Cincinnati 3–0 Toronto FC 2022-05-04 FC Cincinnati 2–0 Toronto FC

Toronto FC Form

2024-05-25 Toronto FC 3–4 FC Cincinnati L 2024-05-18 Toronto FC 5–1 Montreal Impact FC W 2024-05-16 Nashville SC 2–0 Toronto FC L 2024-05-11 Toronto FC 2–3 New York City FC L 2024-05-04 Toronto FC 3–1 FC Dallas W 2024-04-27 Orlando City SC 1–2 Toronto FC W

FC Cincinnati Form

2024-05-25 Toronto FC 3–4 FC Cincinnati W 2024-05-18 FC Cincinnati 3–1 St. Louis City W 2024-05-15 FC Cincinnati 1–0 Atlanta United FC W 2024-05-11 Columbus Crew SC 1–2 FC Cincinnati W 2024-05-04 Orlando City SC 0–1 FC Cincinnati W 2024-04-27 FC Cincinnati 2–1 Colorado Rapids SC W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
2.36 Toronto FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.74 FC Cincinnati xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 87% + Both teams to score 84%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Toronto FC32% Draw21% FC Cincinnati47%
Actual: FC Cincinnati win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes84% 0% No16%
Avg goals/match: 5.1
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 99%
1%
± 1.5 96%
4%
± 2.5 87%
13%
± 3.5 73%
27%
± 4.5 56%
44%

Double Chance

Toronto FC or Draw
53%
Draw or FC Cincinnati
68%
Toronto FC or FC Cincinnati
79%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Toronto FC29% Draw33% FC Cincinnati38%
Actual: Toronto FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
2 – 2
6.2%
2 – 3
5.6%
1 – 2
5.5%
1 – 3
4.9%
3 – 2
4.8%
2 – 1
4.7%
1 – 1
4.6%
3 – 3
4.3%
2 – 4
3.8%
3 – 1
3.6%
1 – 4
3.3%
3 – 4
Actual

Asian Handicap — Toronto FC

Handicap Toronto FC covers Push FC Cincinnati covers
-2.5 10% — 90%
-2 10% 10% 80%
-1.5 20% — 80%
-1 20% 15% 66%
-0.5 34% — 66%
+0.5 53% — 47%
+1 53% 17% 30%
+1.5 70% — 30%
+2 70% 13% 16%
+2.5 84% — 16%

Clean Sheet

Toronto FC keeps clean sheet
7% ✓
FC Cincinnati keeps clean sheet
10% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.