Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Toronto FC vs FC Cincinnati, MLS 2024 REGULAR SEASON

MLS · 2024
Toronto FC
3 – 4
Full Time
FC Cincinnati
Sat 25 May 2024 · 23:30 UTC BMO Field HT 45' · FT 45'
Deybi Flores 33' Y
Y 60' Luca Orellano
Matthew Longstaff 60' Y
Kevin Long 78' Y
Y 84' Miles Robinson
Prince-Osei Owusu 90' Y
Y 90' Kevin Kelsy

Overview

Match Preview

Toronto FC vs FC Cincinnati — MLS at BMO Field.

Standings

# Team P Pts
1 Nashville SC 27 60
2 Internacional CF Miami 27 46
3 New England Revolution 27 46
4 Charlotte FC 27 43
5 Chicago Fire FC 26 42
6 Philadelphia Union 27 39
7 Orlando City SC 27 34
8 New York City FC 27 33
9 FC Cincinnati 26 33
10 New York Red Bulls 26 33
11 D.C. United SC 26 30
12 Columbus Crew SC 27 29
13 Toronto FC 27 29
14 Atlanta United FC 27 27
15 Montreal Impact FC 27 24
16 Vancouver Whitecaps FC 26 50
17 FC Dallas 27 47
18 San Jose Earthquakes 27 45
19 St. Louis City 26 44
20 Houston Dynamo 27 44
21 Los Angeles FC 28 41
22 Colorado Rapids SC 27 36
23 Los Angeles Galaxy 28 36
24 Seattle Sounders FC 26 35
25 San Diego FC 27 32
26 Portland Timbers 27 32
27 Real Salt Lake 27 32
28 Austin FC 27 31
29 Minnesota United FC 27 29
30 Sporting Kansas City 26 21

Head-to-Head

5
2
9
Toronto FC 16 games · Avg 2.8 goals FC Cincinnati
Last 5 meetings
2024-05-25 Toronto FC 3–4 FC Cincinnati 2024-02-25 FC Cincinnati 0–0 Toronto FC 2023-09-30 Toronto FC 2–3 FC Cincinnati 2023-06-21 FC Cincinnati 3–0 Toronto FC 2022-05-04 FC Cincinnati 2–0 Toronto FC

Recent Form

Toronto FC
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
25 May FC Cincinnati H 3–4 L
18 May Montreal Impact FC H 5–1 W
16 May Nashville SC A 0–2 L
11 May New York City FC H 2–3 L
04 May FC Dallas H 3–1 W
27 Apr Orlando City SC A 2–1 W
FC Cincinnati
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
25 May Toronto FC A 4–3 W
18 May St. Louis City H 3–1 W
15 May Atlanta United FC H 1–0 W
11 May Columbus Crew SC A 2–1 W
04 May Orlando City SC A 1–0 W
27 Apr Colorado Rapids SC H 2–1 W

Season Stats

Toronto FC FC Cincinnati
#13 Position #9
29 Points 33
27 Played 26
6 / 11 / 10 W / D / L 8 / 9 / 9
39 Scored 55
51 Conceded 64
-12 GD -9
1.07 PPG 1.27
22% Win % 31%

Key Stats

44% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
44% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
11% Clean Sheets
Toronto FC this season
15% Clean Sheets
FC Cincinnati this season

Toronto FC are 13th (29 pts). FC Cincinnati are 9th (33 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Toronto FC
0-15
1/3
16-30
2/5
31-45
5/6
46-60
4/7
61-75
7/6
76+
9/10
■ Scored ■ Conceded
FC Cincinnati
0-15
4/3
16-30
5/9
31-45
9/9
46-60
5/11
61-75
4/4
76+
13/7
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Toronto FC
Daniel Salloi 7 G 5 A
Josh Sargent 7 G 2 A
FC Cincinnati
Kevin Denkey 14 G 1 A
Evander 13 G 7 A
Tom Barlow 7 G 2 A
Pavel Bucha 6 G 3 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' We are underway at BMO Field. The crowd does wile while the referee lows the starting whistle.
  • 5' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 10' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 15' DeAndre Yedlin, a USA , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
  • 20' Italy international Lorenzo Insigne has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
  • 25' What a strike from Deybi Flores! The score is 1-0.
  • 30' FC Cincinnati fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
  • 33' Deybi Flores catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 33.
  • 38' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Toronto FC and FC Cincinnati are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
  • 43' Toronto FC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 43.
  • 48' Gerardo Valenzuela is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for FC Cincinnati tonight.
  • 53' The deadlock is broken! Luca Orellano gets on the scoresheet on 53 minutes.
  • 55' Kevin Kelsy puts FC Cincinnati on the lead.
  • 58' Another substitution for Toronto FC to replace Tyrese Spicer by Derrick Etienne on 58 minute.
  • 60' Luca Orellano is having his name booked by the referee on 60.
  • 63' Ian Murphy is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 0 goals this season for the .
  • 65' Bret Halsey makes way for DeAndre Yedlin at the 65 minute mark. A tactical switch from FC Cincinnati.
  • 69' The crowd applauds Deybi Flores as he leaves the pitch. Alonso Coello Camarero steps in for Toronto FC.
  • 70' Kobe Franklin is ready to make an impact after coming on for Jonathan Osorio at the 70 minute mark.
  • 72' Another substitution for FC Cincinnati to replace Gerardo Valenzuela by Sergio Santos on 72 minute.
  • 75' The supporters are chanting for Kevin Long. He replaces Jahkeele Marshall-Rutty on 75 minute.
  • 78' Kevin Long has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 78.
  • 79' What composure from Luca Orellano! The Argentina international strokes it home. 1-4.
  • 84' The referee shows FC Cincinnati player a card on 84.
  • 85' What a moment for Lorenzo Insigne! That strike on 85 puts his side firmly in control.
  • 88' It is a substitution in FC Cincinnati team. Luca Orellano is replaced by Yamil Asad on 88 minute.
  • 90' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Prince-Osei Owusu.
  • The referee blows the final whistle. Sensational lose for Toronto FC.

Lineups

Toronto FC Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

FC Cincinnati Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

PlayerGoals
Luciano Acosta 5
Luca Orellano 2
Nick DeLeon 2
Emmanuel Ledesma 2
Kevin Denkey 2
Ian Murphy 2
Marky Delgado 2
Jonathan Osorio 2

Head to Head

2024-05-25 Toronto FC 3–4 FC Cincinnati 2024-02-25 FC Cincinnati 0–0 Toronto FC 2023-09-30 Toronto FC 2–3 FC Cincinnati 2023-06-21 FC Cincinnati 3–0 Toronto FC 2022-05-04 FC Cincinnati 2–0 Toronto FC

Toronto FC Form

2024-05-25 Toronto FC 3–4 FC Cincinnati L 2024-05-18 Toronto FC 5–1 Montreal Impact FC W 2024-05-16 Nashville SC 2–0 Toronto FC L 2024-05-11 Toronto FC 2–3 New York City FC L 2024-05-04 Toronto FC 3–1 FC Dallas W 2024-04-27 Orlando City SC 1–2 Toronto FC W

FC Cincinnati Form

2024-05-25 Toronto FC 3–4 FC Cincinnati W 2024-05-18 FC Cincinnati 3–1 St. Louis City W 2024-05-15 FC Cincinnati 1–0 Atlanta United FC W 2024-05-11 Columbus Crew SC 1–2 FC Cincinnati W 2024-05-04 Orlando City SC 0–1 FC Cincinnati W 2024-04-27 FC Cincinnati 2–1 Colorado Rapids SC W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
2.27 Toronto FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.48 FC Cincinnati xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 84% + Both teams to score 81%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Toronto FC34% Draw21% FC Cincinnati45%
Actual: FC Cincinnati win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes81% 0% No19%
Avg goals/match: 4.75
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 98%
2%
± 1.5 95%
5%
± 2.5 84%
16%
± 3.5 68%
32%
± 4.5 50%
50%

Double Chance

Toronto FC or Draw
55%
Draw or FC Cincinnati
66%
Toronto FC or FC Cincinnati
79%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Toronto FC30% Draw34% FC Cincinnati36%
Actual: Toronto FC win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 3–4 not predicted
3 – 4
Actual
2 – 2
6.6%
1 – 2
6%
1 – 1
5.6%
2 – 1
5.5%
2 – 3
5.4%
3 – 2
5%
1 – 3
4.9%
3 – 1
4.1%
3 – 3
4.1%
2 – 4
3.4%
1 – 4
3%
4 – 2
2.8%

Asian Handicap — Toronto FC

Handicap Toronto FC covers Push FC Cincinnati covers
-2.5 10% — 90%
-2 10% 11% 79%
-1.5 21% — 79%
-1 21% 15% 63%
-0.5 37% — 63%
+0.5 56% — 44%
+1 56% 17% 27%
+1.5 73% — 27%
+2 73% 13% 14%
+2.5 86% — 14%

Clean Sheet

Toronto FC keeps clean sheet
9% ✓
FC Cincinnati keeps clean sheet
11% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.