New York Red Bulls vs FC Cincinnati, MLS 2023 REGULAR SEASON

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MLS · 2023

New York Red Bulls

1 – 2

Full Time

FC Cincinnati

Wed 12 Jul 2023 · 23:30 UTC Red Bull Arena 13,439 HT 45' · FT 45'

Omir Fernandez pen 28' 1–0

1–1 80' Luciano Acosta pen

1–2 90+3' Obinna Nwobodo

Hassan Ndam 3' Y

Y 19' Malik Pinto

Daniel Edelman 45' Y

Y 62' Sergio Santos

Dante Vanzeir 64' Y

Y 71' Arquimides Ordonez

Overview

Match Preview

New York Red Bulls vs FC Cincinnati — MLS at Red Bull Arena.

New York Red Bulls 15 games · 22 pts (2026/26)
FC Cincinnati 15 games · 20 pts (2026/26)

Match Details

Referee Lukasz Szpala (USA)
Assistant 1 Ian McKay
Assistant 2 Brian Dunn (USA)

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Nashville SC	14	33
2	Internacional CF Miami	15	31
3	Chicago Fire FC	14	26
4	New England Revolution	14	25
5	New York Red Bulls	15	22
6	Charlotte FC	15	21
7	FC Cincinnati	15	20
8	New York City FC	15	19
9	D.C. United SC	15	18
10	Columbus Crew SC	15	16
11	Toronto FC	14	14
12	Montreal Impact FC	14	14
13	Orlando City SC	15	14
14	Atlanta United FC	14	11
15	Philadelphia Union	15	7
16	Vancouver Whitecaps FC	14	32
17	San Jose Earthquakes	15	32
18	Real Salt Lake	14	26
19	FC Dallas	15	25
20	Los Angeles FC	15	24
21	Seattle Sounders FC	13	24
22	Houston Dynamo	14	22
23	Minnesota United FC	15	22
24	Los Angeles Galaxy	15	20
25	San Diego FC	15	17
26	Colorado Rapids SC	15	16
27	St. Louis City	14	16
28	Portland Timbers	14	14
29	Austin FC	15	14
30	Sporting Kansas City	14	11

Head-to-Head

New York Red Bulls 18 games · Avg 2.3 goals FC Cincinnati

Last 5 meetings

2023-07-12 New York Red Bulls 1–2 FC Cincinnati 2022-10-15 New York Red Bulls 1–2 FC Cincinnati 2022-08-20 New York Red Bulls 1–1 FC Cincinnati 2022-07-09 FC Cincinnati 1–1 New York Red Bulls 2021-10-02 FC Cincinnati 0–1 New York Red Bulls

Recent Form

New York Red Bulls

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
12 Jul	FC Cincinnati	H	1–2	L
08 Jul	New England Revolution	H	2–1	W
01 Jul	Columbus Crew SC	A	1–2	L
24 Jun	Atlanta United FC	H	4–0	W
21 Jun	Charlotte FC	H	2–2	D
03 Jun	Orlando City SC	H	0–3	L

FC Cincinnati

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
12 Jul	New York Red Bulls	A	2–1	W
08 Jul	Charlotte FC	A	2–2	D
01 Jul	New England Revolution	H	2–2	D
24 Jun	D.C. United SC	A	0–3	L
21 Jun	Toronto FC	H	3–0	W
11 Jun	Vancouver Whitecaps FC	A	1–1	D

Season Stats

New York Red Bulls		FC Cincinnati
#5	Position	#7
22	Points	20
15	Played	15
6 / 4 / 5	W / D / L	5 / 5 / 5
25	Scored	36
32	Conceded	37
-7	GD	-1
1.47	PPG	1.33
40%	Win %	33%

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)

39% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

20% Clean Sheets
New York Red Bulls this season

27% Clean Sheets
FC Cincinnati this season

New York Red Bulls are 5th (22 pts). FC Cincinnati are 7th (20 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

New York Red Bulls

0-15

5/1

16-30

1/1

31-45

3/5

46-60

3/5

61-75

1/2

76+

3/2

■ Scored ■ Conceded

FC Cincinnati

0-15

1/1

16-30

2/5

31-45

7/3

46-60

3/4

61-75

2/1

76+

8/3

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

0' And we are off! New York Red Bulls vs FC Cincinnati — let the football do the talking.
3' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Hassan Ndam.
8' named a 4-2-3-1 earlier, and opted for a 3-1-4-2 in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
13' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
18' The home supporters are growing impatient. New York Red Bulls must find a spark to ignite this game.
19' That is a card for FC Cincinnati. Malik Pinto will be fuming at that decision.
24' FC Cincinnati has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 1 of the last 2 meetings.
28' The deadlock is broken! Omir Fernandez gets on the scoresheet on 28 minutes.
33' FC Cincinnati fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
38' FC Cincinnati is showing some good football. However, FC Cincinnati are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
43' New York Red Bulls currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
45' It’s a booking for New York Red Bulls player. Daniel Edelman gets a card.
46' The FC Cincinnati bench stirs into life. Malik Pinto is withdrawn and Junior Moreno gets his opportunity.
51' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Obinna Nwobodo made 46 appearances and scored 3 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
56' Over 56 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
61' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
62' A meaty challenge results in booking for Sergio Santos on 62.
64' Dante Vanzeir was booked on 64.
64' Matthew Nocita has so much to prove this time. He replaces Cameron Harper on 64 minute.
69' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. will be considering his options from the bench.
71' Arquimides Ordonez was booked on 71.
72' Time for substitution for New York Red Bulls. Tom Barlow is replaced by Wikelmann Carmona.
73' The supporters are chanting for Ben Stitz. He replaces Arquimides Ordonez on 73 minute.
78' Daniel Edelman has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 1 goals to his name this season.
80' What composure from Luciano Acosta! The Argentina international strokes it home. 1-1.
81' The New York Red Bulls bench stirs into life. Hassan Ndam is withdrawn and Peter Stroud gets his opportunity.
86' FC Cincinnati have won 352 goals from 245 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
90' The supporters are chanting for Bret Halsey. He replaces Alvaro Barreal on 90 minute.
The referee brings this contest to a close. FC Cincinnati take all three points.

Lineups

New York Red Bulls Lineups

4-2-3-1

Starting XI

Bench

FC Cincinnati Lineups

3-1-4-2

Starting XI

Bench

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Kevin Denkey	4
Lewis Morgan	3
Florian Valot	2
Yuya Kubo	2
Frankie Amaya	2
Kaku	2
Omir Fernandez	2
Luciano Acosta	2

Head to Head

New York Red Bulls Form

2023-07-12 New York Red Bulls 1–2 FC Cincinnati L 2023-07-08 New York Red Bulls 2–1 New England Revolution W 2023-07-01 Columbus Crew SC 2–1 New York Red Bulls L 2023-06-24 New York Red Bulls 4–0 Atlanta United FC W 2023-06-21 New York Red Bulls 2–2 Charlotte FC D 2023-06-03 New York Red Bulls 0–3 Orlando City SC L

FC Cincinnati Form

2023-07-12 New York Red Bulls 1–2 FC Cincinnati W 2023-07-08 Charlotte FC 2–2 FC Cincinnati D 2023-07-01 FC Cincinnati 2–2 New England Revolution D 2023-06-24 D.C. United SC 3–0 FC Cincinnati L 2023-06-21 FC Cincinnati 3–0 Toronto FC W 2023-06-11 Vancouver Whitecaps FC 1–1 FC Cincinnati D

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

3 / 4

2.2 New York Red Bulls xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

2.2 FC Cincinnati xG

I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 80% + Both teams to score 78%

Match Result

✓ Correct

New York Red Bulls38% Draw23% FC Cincinnati39%

Actual: FC Cincinnati win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes78% 0% No22%

Avg goals/match: 4.4

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	98%	2%
± 1.5	93%	7%
± 2.5	80%	20%
± 3.5	63%	37%
± 4.5	44%	56%

Double Chance

New York Red Bulls or Draw

61%

Draw or FC Cincinnati

62%

New York Red Bulls or FC Cincinnati

77%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

New York Red Bulls32% Draw36% FC Cincinnati32%

Actual: New York Red Bulls win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

2 – 2

6.9%

1 – 1

6.7%

2 – 1

6.4%

1 – 2

Actual

3 – 2

2 – 3

3 – 1

4.6%

1 – 3

4.6%

3 – 3

3.7%

2 – 0

3.1%

0 – 2

3.1%

4 – 2

2.8%

Asian Handicap — New York Red Bulls

Handicap	New York Red Bulls covers	Push	FC Cincinnati covers
-2.5	11%	—	89%
-2	11%	12%	77%
-1.5	23%	—	77%
-1	23%	17%	60%
-0.5	40%	—	60%
+0.5	60%	—	40%
+1	60%	17%	23%
+1.5	77%	—	23%
+2	77%	12%	11%
+2.5	89%	—	11%

Clean Sheet

New York Red Bulls keeps clean sheet

12% ✓

FC Cincinnati keeps clean sheet

12% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.