New York Red Bulls vs FC Cincinnati, MLS 2023 REGULAR SEASON

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MLS · 2023

New York Red Bulls

1 – 2

Full Time

FC Cincinnati

Wed 12 Jul 2023 · 23:30 UTC Red Bull Arena 13,439 HT 45' · FT 45'

Omir Fernandez pen 28' 1–0

1–1 80' Luciano Acosta pen

1–2 90+3' Obinna Nwobodo

Hassan Ndam 3' Y

Y 19' Malik Pinto

Daniel Edelman 45' Y

Y 62' Sergio Santos

Dante Vanzeir 64' Y

Y 71' Arquimides Ordonez

Overview

Match Preview

New York Red Bulls vs FC Cincinnati — MLS at Red Bull Arena.

New York Red Bulls 26 games · 33 pts (2026/26)
FC Cincinnati 26 games · 33 pts (2026/26)

Match Details

Referee Lukasz Szpala (USA)
Assistant 1 Ian McKay
Assistant 2 Brian Dunn (USA)

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Nashville SC	27	60
2	Internacional CF Miami	27	46
3	New England Revolution	27	46
4	Charlotte FC	27	43
5	Chicago Fire FC	26	42
6	Philadelphia Union	27	39
7	Orlando City SC	27	34
8	New York City FC	27	33
9	FC Cincinnati	26	33
10	New York Red Bulls	26	33
11	D.C. United SC	26	30
12	Columbus Crew SC	27	29
13	Toronto FC	27	29
14	Atlanta United FC	27	27
15	Montreal Impact FC	27	24
16	Vancouver Whitecaps FC	26	50
17	FC Dallas	27	47
18	San Jose Earthquakes	27	45
19	St. Louis City	26	44
20	Houston Dynamo	27	44
21	Los Angeles FC	28	41
22	Colorado Rapids SC	27	36
23	Los Angeles Galaxy	28	36
24	Seattle Sounders FC	26	35
25	San Diego FC	27	32
26	Portland Timbers	27	32
27	Real Salt Lake	27	32
28	Austin FC	27	31
29	Minnesota United FC	27	29
30	Sporting Kansas City	26	21

Head-to-Head

New York Red Bulls 18 games · Avg 2.3 goals FC Cincinnati

Last 5 meetings

2023-07-12 New York Red Bulls 1–2 FC Cincinnati 2022-10-15 New York Red Bulls 1–2 FC Cincinnati 2022-08-20 New York Red Bulls 1–1 FC Cincinnati 2022-07-09 FC Cincinnati 1–1 New York Red Bulls 2021-10-02 FC Cincinnati 0–1 New York Red Bulls

Recent Form

New York Red Bulls

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
12 Jul	FC Cincinnati	H	1–2	L
08 Jul	New England Revolution	H	2–1	W
01 Jul	Columbus Crew SC	A	1–2	L
24 Jun	Atlanta United FC	H	4–0	W
21 Jun	Charlotte FC	H	2–2	D
03 Jun	Orlando City SC	H	0–3	L

FC Cincinnati

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
12 Jul	New York Red Bulls	A	2–1	W
08 Jul	Charlotte FC	A	2–2	D
01 Jul	New England Revolution	H	2–2	D
24 Jun	D.C. United SC	A	0–3	L
21 Jun	Toronto FC	H	3–0	W
11 Jun	Vancouver Whitecaps FC	A	1–1	D

Season Stats

New York Red Bulls		FC Cincinnati
#10	Position	#9
33	Points	33
26	Played	26
9 / 6 / 11	W / D / L	8 / 9 / 9
34	Scored	55
48	Conceded	64
-14	GD	-9
1.27	PPG	1.27
35%	Win %	31%

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)

39% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

23% Clean Sheets
New York Red Bulls this season

15% Clean Sheets
FC Cincinnati this season

New York Red Bulls are 10th (33 pts). FC Cincinnati are 9th (33 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

New York Red Bulls

0-15

6/4

16-30

2/3

31-45

5/6

46-60

5/8

61-75

2/6

76+

5/4

■ Scored ■ Conceded

FC Cincinnati

0-15

4/3

16-30

5/9

31-45

9/9

46-60

5/11

61-75

4/4

76+

13/7

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

New York Red Bulls

Julian Hall	10 G	2 A
Jorge Ruvalcaba	7 G

FC Cincinnati

Kevin Denkey	14 G	1 A
Evander	13 G	7 A
Tom Barlow	7 G	2 A
Pavel Bucha	6 G	3 A

Events

Match Events

0' It’s Showtime! The match between New York Red Bulls and FC Cincinnati is underway.
3' It’s a booking for New York Red Bulls player. Hassan Ndam gets a card.
8' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Omir Fernandez suffering a number of foals already.
13' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
18' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both New York Red Bulls and FC Cincinnati are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
19' The referee shows FC Cincinnati player a card on 19.
24' With 0 assists to his name this season, Junior Moreno is clearly more than just a goal scorer for New York Red Bulls.
28' Goal! Omir Fernandez scores his 19 goal in 290 matches.
33' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
38' Over 38 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
43' New York Red Bulls have won 425 goals from 290 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
45' It’s a booking for New York Red Bulls player. Daniel Edelman gets a card.
46' Junior Moreno has so much to prove this time. He replaces Malik Pinto on 46 minute.
51' The 26-year-old Alvaro Barreal has been sensational this season — 3 goals and 1 assists is a remarkable return.
56' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His New York Red Bulls side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
61' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
62' Poor challenge from Sergio Santos. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
64' Dante Vanzeir picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
64' Matthew Nocita is replacing Cameron Harper for the New York Red Bulls side.
69' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
71' Arquimides Ordonez is having his name booked by the referee on 71.
72' A change in the New York Red Bulls ranks — Tom Barlow exits the field as Wikelmann Carmona enters on 72.
73' The FC Cincinnati manager makes a substitution. Arquimides Ordonez departs to be replaced by Ben Stitz.
78' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 2 times this season with FC Cincinnati winning 50% of all matches.
80' Goal! Luciano Acosta scores his 81 goal in 285 matches.
81' The crowd applauds Hassan Ndam as he leaves the pitch. Peter Stroud steps in for New York Red Bulls.
86' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
90' Time for substitution for FC Cincinnati. Alvaro Barreal is replaced by Bret Halsey.
What a match! Full time at {STADIUM} — New York Red Bulls 1-2 FC Cincinnati.

Lineups

New York Red Bulls Lineups

4-2-3-1

Starting XI

Bench

FC Cincinnati Lineups

3-1-4-2

Starting XI

Bench

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Kevin Denkey	4
Lewis Morgan	3
Frankie Amaya	2
Kaku	2
Omir Fernandez	2
Luciano Acosta	2
Matt Miazga	2
Kyle Duncan	2

Head to Head

New York Red Bulls Form

2023-07-12 New York Red Bulls 1–2 FC Cincinnati L 2023-07-08 New York Red Bulls 2–1 New England Revolution W 2023-07-01 Columbus Crew SC 2–1 New York Red Bulls L 2023-06-24 New York Red Bulls 4–0 Atlanta United FC W 2023-06-21 New York Red Bulls 2–2 Charlotte FC D 2023-06-03 New York Red Bulls 0–3 Orlando City SC L

FC Cincinnati Form

2023-07-12 New York Red Bulls 1–2 FC Cincinnati W 2023-07-08 Charlotte FC 2–2 FC Cincinnati D 2023-07-01 FC Cincinnati 2–2 New England Revolution D 2023-06-24 D.C. United SC 3–0 FC Cincinnati L 2023-06-21 FC Cincinnati 3–0 Toronto FC W 2023-06-11 Vancouver Whitecaps FC 1–1 FC Cincinnati D

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

3 / 4

1.91 New York Red Bulls xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.87 FC Cincinnati xG

I would bet for: New York Red Bulls or FC Cincinnati 75% + Over 2.5 goals 72%

Match Result

✓ Correct

New York Red Bulls37% Draw25% FC Cincinnati38%

Actual: FC Cincinnati win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes72% 0% No28%

Avg goals/match: 3.78

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	97%	3%
± 1.5	89%	11%
± 2.5	72%	28%
± 3.5	52%	48%
± 4.5	33%	67%

Double Chance

New York Red Bulls or Draw

62%

Draw or FC Cincinnati

63%

New York Red Bulls or FC Cincinnati

75%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

New York Red Bulls31% Draw39% FC Cincinnati30%

Actual: New York Red Bulls win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

2 – 1

7.5%

1 – 2

Actual

2 – 2

6.9%

3 – 1

4.8%

1 – 3

4.6%

3 – 2

4.4%

2 – 3

4.3%

2 – 0

4.2%

0 – 2

4.1%

1 – 0

3.8%

0 – 1

3.7%

Asian Handicap — New York Red Bulls

Handicap	New York Red Bulls covers	Push	FC Cincinnati covers
-2.5	10%	—	90%
-2	10%	12%	78%
-1.5	22%	—	78%
-1	22%	18%	61%
-0.5	39%	—	61%
+0.5	62%	—	38%
+1	62%	17%	21%
+1.5	79%	—	21%
+2	79%	11%	9%
+2.5	91%	—	9%

Clean Sheet

New York Red Bulls keeps clean sheet

16% ✓

FC Cincinnati keeps clean sheet

16% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.