New York Red Bulls vs FC Cincinnati, MLS 2023 REGULAR SEASON

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MLS · 2023

New York Red Bulls

1 – 2

Full Time

FC Cincinnati

Wed 12 Jul 2023 · 23:30 UTC Red Bull Arena 13,439 HT 45' · FT 45'

Omir Fernandez pen 28' 1–0

1–1 80' Luciano Acosta pen

1–2 90+3' Obinna Nwobodo

Hassan Ndam 3' Y

Y 19' Malik Pinto

Daniel Edelman 45' Y

Y 62' Sergio Santos

Dante Vanzeir 64' Y

Y 71' Arquimides Ordonez

Overview

Match Preview

New York Red Bulls vs FC Cincinnati — MLS at Red Bull Arena.

New York Red Bulls 34 games · 42 pts (2026/26)
FC Cincinnati 34 games · 46 pts (2026/26)

Match Details

Referee Lukasz Szpala (USA)
Assistant 1 Ian McKay
Assistant 2 Brian Dunn (USA)

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Nashville SC	34	77
2	Internacional CF Miami	34	60
3	New England Revolution	34	58
4	Chicago Fire FC	34	55
5	Charlotte FC	34	54
6	Philadelphia Union	34	50
7	Columbus Crew SC	34	47
8	FC Cincinnati	34	46
9	Orlando City SC	34	46
10	New York City FC	34	42
11	New York Red Bulls	34	42
12	Toronto FC	34	39
13	Atlanta United FC	34	33
14	D.C. United SC	34	33
15	Montreal Impact FC	34	26
16	Vancouver Whitecaps FC	34	64
17	FC Dallas	34	58
18	St. Louis City	34	54
19	San Jose Earthquakes	34	52
20	Houston Dynamo	34	51
21	Los Angeles FC	34	47
22	Portland Timbers	34	46
23	Seattle Sounders FC	34	46
24	Real Salt Lake	34	45
25	Minnesota United FC	34	44
26	Los Angeles Galaxy	34	44
27	Colorado Rapids SC	34	43
28	San Diego FC	34	38
29	Austin FC	34	34
30	Sporting Kansas City	34	26

Head-to-Head

New York Red Bulls 18 games · Avg 2.3 goals FC Cincinnati

Last 5 meetings

2023-07-12 New York Red Bulls 1–2 FC Cincinnati 2022-10-15 New York Red Bulls 1–2 FC Cincinnati 2022-08-20 New York Red Bulls 1–1 FC Cincinnati 2022-07-09 FC Cincinnati 1–1 New York Red Bulls 2021-10-02 FC Cincinnati 0–1 New York Red Bulls

Recent Form

New York Red Bulls

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
12 Jul	FC Cincinnati	H	1–2	L
08 Jul	New England Revolution	H	2–1	W
01 Jul	Columbus Crew SC	A	1–2	L
24 Jun	Atlanta United FC	H	4–0	W
21 Jun	Charlotte FC	H	2–2	D
03 Jun	Orlando City SC	H	0–3	L

FC Cincinnati

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
12 Jul	New York Red Bulls	A	2–1	W
08 Jul	Charlotte FC	A	2–2	D
01 Jul	New England Revolution	H	2–2	D
24 Jun	D.C. United SC	A	0–3	L
21 Jun	Toronto FC	H	3–0	W
11 Jun	Vancouver Whitecaps FC	A	1–1	D

Season Stats

New York Red Bulls		FC Cincinnati
#11	Position	#8
42	Points	46
34	Played	34
12 / 6 / 16	W / D / L	12 / 10 / 12
48	Scored	67
62	Conceded	75
-14	GD	-8
1.24	PPG	1.35
35%	Win %	35%

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)

39% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

24% Clean Sheets
New York Red Bulls this season

18% Clean Sheets
FC Cincinnati this season

New York Red Bulls are 11th (42 pts). FC Cincinnati are 8th (46 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

New York Red Bulls

0-15

7/7

16-30

4/3

31-45

8/7

46-60

7/10

61-75

4/6

76+

8/9

■ Scored ■ Conceded

FC Cincinnati

0-15

6/3

16-30

5/11

31-45

10/11

46-60

8/13

61-75

6/7

76+

17/9

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

New York Red Bulls

Julian Hall	13 G	3 A
Jorge Ruvalcaba	8 G	1 A

FC Cincinnati

Kevin Denkey	17 G	2 A
Evander	14 G	13 A
Tom Barlow	10 G	4 A
Pavel Bucha	6 G	3 A

Events

Match Events

0' What a night it is going to be! New York Red Bulls welcome FC Cincinnati for this crunch clash at Red Bull Arena.
3' Hassan Ndam picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
8' The 26-year-old Frankie Amaya has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
13' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
18' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. will be considering his options from the bench.
19' Malik Pinto picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
24' FC Cincinnati fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
28' What composure from Omir Fernandez! The USA international strokes it home. 1-0.
33' With 0 assists to his name this season, Arquimides Ordonez is clearly more than just a goal scorer for New York Red Bulls.
38' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Obinna Nwobodo made 46 appearances and scored 3 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
43' FC Cincinnati has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 1 of the last 2 meetings.
45' That looks like a foul for a card for Daniel Edelman.
46' Another substitution for FC Cincinnati to replace Malik Pinto by Junior Moreno on 46 minute.
51' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
56' Roman Celentano has been relatively quiet despite scoring 1 goals in his last 264 appearances.
61' Both keepers have barely been tested. New York Red Bulls and FC Cincinnati are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
62' The referee calls foul for Sergio Santos. He receives a card.
64' Poor challenge from Dante Vanzeir. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
64' Another change for New York Red Bulls made on 64 minute. Cameron Harper leaves to be changed by Matthew Nocita.
69' FC Cincinnati seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
71' Arquimides Ordonez is having his name booked by the referee on 71.
72' The New York Red Bulls bench stirs into life. Tom Barlow is withdrawn and Wikelmann Carmona gets his opportunity.
73' Another substitution for FC Cincinnati to replace Arquimides Ordonez by Ben Stitz on 73 minute.
78' Luciano Acosta is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for New York Red Bulls tonight.
80' GOAL! Luciano Acosta fires home to make it 1-1!
81' New York Red Bulls ring the changes. Hassan Ndam has done his job and it is now time for Peter Stroud to step up.
86' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
90' A change in the FC Cincinnati ranks — Alvaro Barreal exits the field as Bret Halsey enters on 90.
Both sets of fans can go home satisfied — a 1-2 draw is a fair result on the day.

Lineups

New York Red Bulls Lineups

4-2-3-1

Starting XI

Bench

FC Cincinnati Lineups

3-1-4-2

Starting XI

Bench

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Kevin Denkey	4
Lewis Morgan	3
Matt Miazga	2
Kyle Duncan	2
Florian Valot	2
Yuya Kubo	2
Frankie Amaya	2
Kaku	2

Head to Head

New York Red Bulls Form

2023-07-12 New York Red Bulls 1–2 FC Cincinnati L 2023-07-08 New York Red Bulls 2–1 New England Revolution W 2023-07-01 Columbus Crew SC 2–1 New York Red Bulls L 2023-06-24 New York Red Bulls 4–0 Atlanta United FC W 2023-06-21 New York Red Bulls 2–2 Charlotte FC D 2023-06-03 New York Red Bulls 0–3 Orlando City SC L

FC Cincinnati Form

2023-07-12 New York Red Bulls 1–2 FC Cincinnati W 2023-07-08 Charlotte FC 2–2 FC Cincinnati D 2023-07-01 FC Cincinnati 2–2 New England Revolution D 2023-06-24 D.C. United SC 3–0 FC Cincinnati L 2023-06-21 FC Cincinnati 3–0 Toronto FC W 2023-06-11 Vancouver Whitecaps FC 1–1 FC Cincinnati D

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

2 / 4

1.87 New York Red Bulls xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.77 FC Cincinnati xG

I would bet for: New York Red Bulls or FC Cincinnati 75% + Both teams to score 70%

Match Result

✗ Wrong

New York Red Bulls38% Draw25% FC Cincinnati37%

Actual: FC Cincinnati win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes70% 0% No30%

Avg goals/match: 3.64

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	96%	4%
± 1.5	88%	12%
± 2.5	69%	31%
± 3.5	49%	51%
± 4.5	30%	70%

Double Chance

New York Red Bulls or Draw

63%

Draw or FC Cincinnati

62%

New York Red Bulls or FC Cincinnati

75%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

New York Red Bulls31% Draw40% FC Cincinnati29%

Actual: New York Red Bulls win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

9.5%

2 – 1

7.9%

1 – 2

Actual

2 – 2

6.9%

3 – 1

4.9%

2 – 0

4.6%

1 – 3

4.4%

1 – 0

4.3%

3 – 2

4.3%

0 – 2

4.2%

0 – 1

4.1%

2 – 3

4.1%

Asian Handicap — New York Red Bulls

Handicap	New York Red Bulls covers	Push	FC Cincinnati covers
-2.5	10%	—	90%
-2	10%	12%	78%
-1.5	22%	—	78%
-1	22%	18%	60%
-0.5	40%	—	60%
+0.5	64%	—	36%
+1	64%	17%	19%
+1.5	81%	—	19%
+2	81%	11%	8%
+2.5	92%	—	8%

Clean Sheet

New York Red Bulls keeps clean sheet

18% ✓

FC Cincinnati keeps clean sheet

16% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.