New York Red Bulls vs FC Cincinnati, MLS 2023 REGULAR SEASON

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MLS · 2023

New York Red Bulls

1 – 2

Full Time

FC Cincinnati

Wed 12 Jul 2023 · 23:30 UTC Red Bull Arena 13,439 HT 45' · FT 45'

Omir Fernandez pen 28' 1–0

1–1 80' Luciano Acosta pen

1–2 90+3' Obinna Nwobodo

Hassan Ndam 3' Y

Y 19' Malik Pinto

Daniel Edelman 45' Y

Y 62' Sergio Santos

Dante Vanzeir 64' Y

Y 71' Arquimides Ordonez

Overview

Match Preview

New York Red Bulls vs FC Cincinnati — MLS at Red Bull Arena.

New York Red Bulls 18 games · 25 pts (2026/26)
FC Cincinnati 18 games · 26 pts (2026/26)

Match Details

Referee Lukasz Szpala (USA)
Assistant 1 Ian McKay
Assistant 2 Brian Dunn (USA)

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Nashville SC	18	40
2	Internacional CF Miami	18	38
3	New England Revolution	18	30
4	Chicago Fire FC	17	29
5	New York City FC	18	26
6	FC Cincinnati	18	26
7	Charlotte FC	18	25
8	New York Red Bulls	18	25
9	D.C. United SC	18	23
10	Columbus Crew SC	18	20
11	Orlando City SC	18	20
12	Toronto FC	18	17
13	Philadelphia Union	18	16
14	Montreal Impact FC	18	16
15	Atlanta United FC	18	12
16	Vancouver Whitecaps FC	17	34
17	Los Angeles FC	19	34
18	San Jose Earthquakes	18	33
19	Houston Dynamo	18	32
20	FC Dallas	18	27
21	Real Salt Lake	17	27
22	St. Louis City	18	26
23	Portland Timbers	18	24
24	Seattle Sounders FC	17	24
25	Minnesota United FC	18	24
26	Colorado Rapids SC	18	22
27	Los Angeles Galaxy	19	22
28	San Diego FC	18	21
29	Austin FC	18	17
30	Sporting Kansas City	18	14

Head-to-Head

New York Red Bulls 18 games · Avg 2.3 goals FC Cincinnati

Last 5 meetings

2023-07-12 New York Red Bulls 1–2 FC Cincinnati 2022-10-15 New York Red Bulls 1–2 FC Cincinnati 2022-08-20 New York Red Bulls 1–1 FC Cincinnati 2022-07-09 FC Cincinnati 1–1 New York Red Bulls 2021-10-02 FC Cincinnati 0–1 New York Red Bulls

Recent Form

New York Red Bulls

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
12 Jul	FC Cincinnati	H	1–2	L
08 Jul	New England Revolution	H	2–1	W
01 Jul	Columbus Crew SC	A	1–2	L
24 Jun	Atlanta United FC	H	4–0	W
21 Jun	Charlotte FC	H	2–2	D
03 Jun	Orlando City SC	H	0–3	L

FC Cincinnati

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
12 Jul	New York Red Bulls	A	2–1	W
08 Jul	Charlotte FC	A	2–2	D
01 Jul	New England Revolution	H	2–2	D
24 Jun	D.C. United SC	A	0–3	L
21 Jun	Toronto FC	H	3–0	W
11 Jun	Vancouver Whitecaps FC	A	1–1	D

Season Stats

New York Red Bulls		FC Cincinnati
#8	Position	#6
25	Points	26
18	Played	18
7 / 4 / 7	W / D / L	7 / 5 / 6
29	Scored	45
39	Conceded	44
-10	GD	+1
1.39	PPG	1.44
39%	Win %	39%

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)

39% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

16% Clean Sheets
New York Red Bulls this season

21% Clean Sheets
FC Cincinnati this season

New York Red Bulls are 8th (25 pts). FC Cincinnati are 6th (26 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

New York Red Bulls

0-15

6/4

16-30

2/1

31-45

5/5

46-60

4/7

61-75

1/5

76+

3/3

■ Scored ■ Conceded

FC Cincinnati

0-15

3/2

16-30

4/7

31-45

9/5

46-60

4/7

61-75

2/1

76+

11/3

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

New York Red Bulls

Julian Hall	9 G	2 A
Jorge Ruvalcaba	7 G

FC Cincinnati

Evander	10 G	4 A
Kevin Denkey	10 G	1 A
Tom Barlow	5 G

Events

Match Events

0' Temperatures are rising at Red Bull Arena as New York Red Bulls face off against FC Cincinnati in what promises to be a fascinating contest.
3' Controversy at the stadium! Hassan Ndam argues furiously but the card stands.
8' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. will be considering his options from the bench.
13' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His New York Red Bulls side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
18' Luquinhas is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for FC Cincinnati tonight.
19' That looks like a foul for a card for Malik Pinto.
24' FC Cincinnati is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
28' Goal! Omir Fernandez scores his 19 goal in 286 matches.
33' FC Cincinnati come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
38' Frankie Amaya has been relatively quiet despite scoring 10 goals in his last 248 appearances.
43' named a 4-2-3-1 earlier, and opted for a 3-1-4-2 in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
45' A moment of madness from Daniel Edelman on 45 minutes earns him a card. New York Red Bulls will be frustrated.
46' Fresh legs for FC Cincinnati! Junior Moreno comes on to replace Malik Pinto.
51' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
56' Dante Vanzeir is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for FC Cincinnati so far.
61' It’s high time made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
62' That is a card for FC Cincinnati. Sergio Santos will be fuming at that decision.
64' The referee has no hesitation. Dante Vanzeir is booked for New York Red Bulls — card on 64.
64' Matthew Nocita is replacing Cameron Harper for the New York Red Bulls side.
69' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
71' A meaty challenge results in booking for Arquimides Ordonez on 71.
72' Fresh legs for New York Red Bulls! Wikelmann Carmona comes on to replace Tom Barlow.
73' The FC Cincinnati bench stirs into life. Arquimides Ordonez is withdrawn and Ben Stitz gets his opportunity.
78' Obinna Nwobodo has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 0 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
80' GOAL! Luciano Acosta fires home to make it 1-1!
81' Peter Stroud is ready to make an impact after coming on for Hassan Ndam at the 81 minute mark.
86' FC Cincinnati started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 86.
90' FC Cincinnati make a change. Alvaro Barreal trudges off to be replaced by Bret Halsey on 90 minutes.
The points are shared — New York Red Bulls 1-2 FC Cincinnati. Honours even.

Lineups

New York Red Bulls Lineups

4-2-3-1

Starting XI

Bench

FC Cincinnati Lineups

3-1-4-2

Starting XI

Bench

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Kevin Denkey	4
Lewis Morgan	3
Omir Fernandez	2
Luciano Acosta	2
Matt Miazga	2
Kyle Duncan	2
Florian Valot	2
Yuya Kubo	2

Head to Head

New York Red Bulls Form

2023-07-12 New York Red Bulls 1–2 FC Cincinnati L 2023-07-08 New York Red Bulls 2–1 New England Revolution W 2023-07-01 Columbus Crew SC 2–1 New York Red Bulls L 2023-06-24 New York Red Bulls 4–0 Atlanta United FC W 2023-06-21 New York Red Bulls 2–2 Charlotte FC D 2023-06-03 New York Red Bulls 0–3 Orlando City SC L

FC Cincinnati Form

2023-07-12 New York Red Bulls 1–2 FC Cincinnati W 2023-07-08 Charlotte FC 2–2 FC Cincinnati D 2023-07-01 FC Cincinnati 2–2 New England Revolution D 2023-06-24 D.C. United SC 3–0 FC Cincinnati L 2023-06-21 FC Cincinnati 3–0 Toronto FC W 2023-06-11 Vancouver Whitecaps FC 1–1 FC Cincinnati D

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

3 / 4

2.17 New York Red Bulls xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

2.33 FC Cincinnati xG

I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 81% + Both teams to score 79%

Match Result

✓ Correct

New York Red Bulls36% Draw23% FC Cincinnati41%

Actual: FC Cincinnati win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes79% 0% No21%

Avg goals/match: 4.5

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	98%	2%
± 1.5	94%	6%
± 2.5	81%	19%
± 3.5	64%	36%
± 4.5	46%	54%

Double Chance

New York Red Bulls or Draw

59%

Draw or FC Cincinnati

64%

New York Red Bulls or FC Cincinnati

77%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

New York Red Bulls30% Draw35% FC Cincinnati35%

Actual: New York Red Bulls win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

2 – 2

6.8%

1 – 2

Actual

1 – 1

6.4%

2 – 1

2 – 3

5.2%

1 – 3

4.9%

3 – 2

4.9%

3 – 1

4.3%

3 – 3

3.8%

0 – 2

3.2%

2 – 4

3.1%

1 – 4

2.9%

Asian Handicap — New York Red Bulls

Handicap	New York Red Bulls covers	Push	FC Cincinnati covers
-2.5	10%	—	90%
-2	10%	11%	79%
-1.5	21%	—	79%
-1	21%	16%	63%
-0.5	37%	—	63%
+0.5	58%	—	42%
+1	58%	17%	25%
+1.5	75%	—	25%
+2	75%	13%	13%
+2.5	87%	—	13%

Clean Sheet

New York Red Bulls keeps clean sheet

11% ✓

FC Cincinnati keeps clean sheet

12% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.