New York Red Bulls vs New York City FC, MLS 2024 REGULAR SEASON

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MLS · 2024

New York Red Bulls

1 – 5

Full Time

New York City FC

Sat 28 Sep 2024 · 23:30 UTC Red Bull Arena HT 45' · FT 45'

Andres Reyes 14' Y

Peter Stroud 90' Y

Overview

Match Preview

New York Red Bulls vs New York City FC — MLS at Red Bull Arena.

New York Red Bulls 34 games · 42 pts (2026/26)
New York City FC 34 games · 42 pts (2026/26)

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Nashville SC	34	77
2	Internacional CF Miami	34	60
3	New England Revolution	34	58
4	Chicago Fire FC	34	55
5	Charlotte FC	34	54
6	Philadelphia Union	34	50
7	Columbus Crew SC	34	47
8	FC Cincinnati	34	46
9	Orlando City SC	34	46
10	New York City FC	34	42
11	New York Red Bulls	34	42
12	Toronto FC	34	39
13	Atlanta United FC	34	33
14	D.C. United SC	34	33
15	Montreal Impact FC	34	26
16	Vancouver Whitecaps FC	34	64
17	FC Dallas	34	58
18	St. Louis City	34	54
19	San Jose Earthquakes	34	52
20	Houston Dynamo	34	51
21	Los Angeles FC	34	47
22	Portland Timbers	34	46
23	Seattle Sounders FC	34	46
24	Real Salt Lake	34	45
25	Minnesota United FC	34	44
26	Los Angeles Galaxy	34	44
27	Colorado Rapids SC	34	43
28	San Diego FC	34	38
29	Austin FC	34	34
30	Sporting Kansas City	34	26

Head-to-Head

New York Red Bulls 20 games · Avg 2.4 goals New York City FC

Last 5 meetings

2024-09-28 New York Red Bulls 1–5 New York City FC 2024-05-18 New York City FC 2–1 New York Red Bulls 2023-09-16 New York City FC 0–0 New York Red Bulls 2023-05-13 New York Red Bulls 1–0 New York City FC 2022-09-17 New York City FC 2–0 New York Red Bulls

Recent Form

New York Red Bulls

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
28 Sep	New York City FC	H	1–5	L
21 Sep	Atlanta United FC	H	2–2	D
15 Sep	Chicago Fire FC	A	1–2	L
07 Sep	Sporting Kansas City	H	1–1	D
31 Aug	Philadelphia Union	H	0–2	L
24 Aug	Charlotte FC	A	1–1	D

New York City FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
28 Sep	New York Red Bulls	A	5–1	W
21 Sep	Internacional CF Miami	H	1–1	D
18 Sep	Philadelphia Union	H	1–5	L
14 Sep	D.C. United SC	A	1–1	D
31 Aug	Columbus Crew SC	A	2–4	L
24 Aug	Chicago Fire FC	H	2–2	D

Season Stats

New York Red Bulls		New York City FC
#11	Position	#10
42	Points	42
34	Played	34
12 / 6 / 16	W / D / L	10 / 12 / 12
48	Scored	49
62	Conceded	45
-14	GD	+4
1.24	PPG	1.24
35%	Win %	29%

Key Stats

45% Both Teams to Score
H2H (20 games)

35% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

24% Clean Sheets
New York Red Bulls this season

18% Clean Sheets
New York City FC this season

New York Red Bulls are 11th (42 pts). New York City FC are 10th (42 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

New York Red Bulls

0-15

7/7

16-30

4/3

31-45

8/7

46-60

7/10

61-75

4/6

76+

8/9

■ Scored ■ Conceded

New York City FC

0-15

5/2

16-30

6/5

31-45

6/8

46-60

5/6

61-75

5/6

76+

5/10

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

New York Red Bulls

Julian Hall	13 G	3 A
Jorge Ruvalcaba	8 G	1 A

New York City FC

Nicolas Fernandez Marcau	16 G	6 A
Agustin Ojeda	5 G	5 A
Hannes Wolf	5 G	1 A

Events

Match Events

0' Three points are at stake. New York Red Bulls host New York City FC — let the battle begin!
5' Maxi Moralez is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 0 goals this season for the .
7' Alonso Martinez is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 1 goals this season for the .
12' Carlos Coronel has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
14' New York Red Bulls receives a card for a hard tackle on 14.
19' Noah Eile is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for New York Red Bulls so far.
24' Algeria international Monsef Bakrar has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
28' Dante Vanzeir makes no mistake. The score reads 1-2 and New York Red Bulls are in front.
30' Against the run of play, Andres Perea has scored! This game has turned on its head.
35' Kevin O'Toole has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 34 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
40' Supporters expect more eagerness from Keaton Parks, as he is very good at scoring at Red Bull Arena with 3 goals in the last 3 games.
45' New York Red Bulls started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 45.
50' Alonso Martinez doubles the advantage! 1-4 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
55' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for John Tolkin suffering a number of foals already.
57' Fresh legs for New York Red Bulls! Emil Forsberg comes on to replace Dennis Gjengaar.
62' New York Red Bulls have won 443 goals from 302 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
66' New York City FC make a change. Alonso Martinez trudges off to be replaced by Monsef Bakrar on 66 minutes.
67' New York City FC make a change. Keaton Parks trudges off to be replaced by Agustin Ojeda on 67 minutes.
68' GOAL! Tayvon Gray fires home to make it 1-5!
69' The crowd applauds Felipe Carballo as he leaves the pitch. Ronald Donkor steps in for New York Red Bulls.
74' Dennis Gjengaar is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for New York City FC tonight.
79' Another change for New York City FC made on 79 minute. Maxi Moralez leaves to be changed by Birk Risa.
84' Over 84 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
85' New York City FC ring the changes. Hannes Wolf has done his job and it is now time for Julian Fernandez to step up.
90' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Peter Stroud on 90 minutes.
Game over. The scoreline of 1-5 tells the full story of an entertaining encounter.

Lineups

New York Red Bulls Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

10
Emil Forsberg ↑ 57'
18
Ryan Meara
7
Cory Burke
11
Elias Manoel ↑ 57'
22
Serge Ngoma
5
Peter Stroud ↑ 79'
48
Ronald Donkor ↑ 69'
16
Julian Hall ↑ 69'
23
Aidan O'Connor

Coach Sandro Schwarz

New York City FC Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Nick Cushing

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Valentin Castellanos	5
Maxi Moralez	4
Alonso Martinez	3
Andres Perea	3
Omir Fernandez	3
Bradley Wright-Phillips	2
Heber	2
Daniel Royer	2

Head to Head

New York Red Bulls Form

2024-09-28 New York Red Bulls 1–5 New York City FC L 2024-09-21 New York Red Bulls 2–2 Atlanta United FC D 2024-09-15 Chicago Fire FC 2–1 New York Red Bulls L 2024-09-07 New York Red Bulls 1–1 Sporting Kansas City D 2024-08-31 New York Red Bulls 0–2 Philadelphia Union L 2024-08-24 Charlotte FC 1–1 New York Red Bulls D

New York City FC Form

2024-09-28 New York Red Bulls 1–5 New York City FC W 2024-09-21 New York City FC 1–1 Internacional CF Miami D 2024-09-18 New York City FC 1–5 Philadelphia Union L 2024-09-14 D.C. United SC 1–1 New York City FC D 2024-08-31 Columbus Crew SC 4–2 New York City FC L 2024-08-24 New York City FC 2–2 Chicago Fire FC D

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

3 / 4

1.24 New York Red Bulls xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

2.07 New York City FC xG

I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 63% + Both teams to score 62%

Match Result

✓ Correct

New York Red Bulls25% Draw25% New York City FC50%

Actual: New York City FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes62% 0% No38%

Avg goals/match: 3.31

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	95%	5%
± 1.5	84%	16%
± 2.5	63%	37%
± 3.5	42%	58%
± 4.5	24%	76%

Double Chance

New York Red Bulls or Draw

50%

Draw or New York City FC

75%

New York Red Bulls or New York City FC

75%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

New York Red Bulls19% Draw41% New York City FC40%

Actual: New York City FC win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 1–5 not predicted

1 – 5

Actual

1 – 1

10.2%

1 – 2

9.4%

0 – 2

7.8%

0 – 1

1 – 3

6.4%

2 – 2

5.8%

2 – 1

5.6%

0 – 3

5.3%

0 – 0

5.1%

2 – 3

1 – 0

3.8%

1 – 4

3.4%

Asian Handicap — New York Red Bulls

Handicap	New York Red Bulls covers	Push	New York City FC covers
-2.5	3%	—	97%
-2	3%	6%	91%
-1.5	9%	—	91%
-1	9%	13%	78%
-0.5	22%	—	78%
+0.5	45%	—	55%
+1	45%	21%	34%
+1.5	66%	—	34%
+2	66%	17%	17%
+2.5	83%	—	17%

Clean Sheet

New York Red Bulls keeps clean sheet

13% ✓

New York City FC keeps clean sheet

30% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.