New York Red Bulls vs New York City FC, MLS 2024 REGULAR SEASON

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MLS · 2024

New York Red Bulls

1 – 5

Full Time

New York City FC

Sat 28 Sep 2024 · 23:30 UTC Red Bull Arena HT 45' · FT 45'

Andres Reyes 14' Y

Peter Stroud 90' Y

Overview

Match Preview

New York Red Bulls vs New York City FC — MLS at Red Bull Arena.

New York Red Bulls 18 games · 25 pts (2026/26)
New York City FC 18 games · 26 pts (2026/26)

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Nashville SC	18	40
2	Internacional CF Miami	18	38
3	New England Revolution	18	30
4	Chicago Fire FC	17	29
5	New York City FC	18	26
6	FC Cincinnati	18	26
7	Charlotte FC	18	25
8	New York Red Bulls	18	25
9	D.C. United SC	18	23
10	Columbus Crew SC	18	20
11	Orlando City SC	18	20
12	Toronto FC	18	17
13	Philadelphia Union	18	16
14	Montreal Impact FC	18	16
15	Atlanta United FC	18	12
16	Vancouver Whitecaps FC	17	34
17	Los Angeles FC	19	34
18	San Jose Earthquakes	18	33
19	Houston Dynamo	18	32
20	FC Dallas	18	27
21	Real Salt Lake	17	27
22	St. Louis City	18	26
23	Portland Timbers	18	24
24	Seattle Sounders FC	17	24
25	Minnesota United FC	18	24
26	Colorado Rapids SC	18	22
27	Los Angeles Galaxy	19	22
28	San Diego FC	18	21
29	Austin FC	18	17
30	Sporting Kansas City	18	14

Head-to-Head

New York Red Bulls 19 games · Avg 2.5 goals New York City FC

Last 5 meetings

2024-09-28 New York Red Bulls 1–5 New York City FC 2024-05-18 New York City FC 2–1 New York Red Bulls 2023-09-16 New York City FC 0–0 New York Red Bulls 2023-05-13 New York Red Bulls 1–0 New York City FC 2022-09-17 New York City FC 2–0 New York Red Bulls

Recent Form

New York Red Bulls

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
28 Sep	New York City FC	H	1–5	L
21 Sep	Atlanta United FC	H	2–2	D
15 Sep	Chicago Fire FC	A	1–2	L
07 Sep	Sporting Kansas City	H	1–1	D
31 Aug	Philadelphia Union	H	0–2	L
24 Aug	Charlotte FC	A	1–1	D

New York City FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
28 Sep	New York Red Bulls	A	5–1	W
21 Sep	Internacional CF Miami	H	1–1	D
18 Sep	Philadelphia Union	H	1–5	L
14 Sep	D.C. United SC	A	1–1	D
31 Aug	Columbus Crew SC	A	2–4	L
24 Aug	Chicago Fire FC	H	2–2	D

Season Stats

New York Red Bulls		New York City FC
#8	Position	#5
25	Points	26
18	Played	18
7 / 4 / 7	W / D / L	7 / 5 / 6
29	Scored	31
39	Conceded	24
-10	GD	+7
1.39	PPG	1.44
39%	Win %	39%

Key Stats

47% Both Teams to Score
H2H (19 games)

37% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

16% Clean Sheets
New York Red Bulls this season

17% Clean Sheets
New York City FC this season

New York Red Bulls are 8th (25 pts). New York City FC are 5th (26 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

New York Red Bulls

0-15

6/4

16-30

2/1

31-45

5/5

46-60

4/7

61-75

1/5

76+

3/3

■ Scored ■ Conceded

New York City FC

0-15

4/–

16-30

3/4

31-45

2/4

46-60

3/2

61-75

2/2

76+

2/6

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

New York Red Bulls

Julian Hall	9 G	2 A
Jorge Ruvalcaba	7 G

New York City FC

Nicolas Fernandez Marcau	11 G	3 A
Hannes Wolf	5 G	1 A
Agustin Ojeda	4 G	3 A

Events

Match Events

0' KICK OFF: New York Red Bulls gets underway.
5' Maxi Moralez doubles the advantage! 0-1 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
7' with the perfectly-timed delivery and Alonso Martinez makes no mistake. 0-2!
12' The 24-year-old Cameron Harper has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
14' A meaty challenge results in booking for Andres Reyes on 14.
19' Daniel Edelman has been relatively quiet despite scoring 5 goals in his last 286 appearances.
24' New York Red Bulls is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
28' A stunning finish from Dante Vanzeir — that came from absolutely nowhere!
30' Andres Perea makes no mistake. The score reads 1-3 and New York City FC are in front.
35' New York City FC looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 1 matches with its main striker Andres Perea scoring 1 goals.
40' New York City FC fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
45' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 45 minutes.
50' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Alonso Martinez makes it 1-4.
55' New York City FC has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 1 meetings.
57' Another change for New York Red Bulls made on 57 minute. Dennis Gjengaar leaves to be changed by Emil Forsberg.
62' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
66' Alonso Martinez makes way for Monsef Bakrar at the 66 minute mark. A tactical switch from New York City FC.
67' Another substitution for New York City FC to replace Keaton Parks by Agustin Ojeda on 67 minute.
68' What a strike from Tayvon Gray! The score is 1-5.
69' It is a substitution in New York Red Bulls team. Felipe Carballo is replaced by Ronald Donkor on 69 minute.
74' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
79' The whistle greets Maxi Moralez as he departs to be replaced by Birk Risa.
84' New York Red Bulls currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
85' A change in the New York City FC ranks — Hannes Wolf exits the field as Julian Fernandez enters on 85.
90' That looks like a foul for a card for Peter Stroud.
New York Red Bulls will have plenty to reflect on. New York City FC were simply the better side today.

Lineups

New York Red Bulls Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

10
Emil Forsberg ↑ 57'
18
Ryan Meara
7
Cory Burke
11
Elias Manoel ↑ 57'
22
Serge Ngoma
5
Peter Stroud ↑ 79'
48
Ronald Donkor ↑ 69'
16
Julian Hall ↑ 69'
23
Aidan O'Connor

Coach Sandro Schwarz

New York City FC Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Nick Cushing

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Valentin Castellanos	5
Maxi Moralez	4
Andres Perea	3
Omir Fernandez	3
Alonso Martinez	3
Kyle Duncan	2
Bradley Wright-Phillips	2
Bradley Wright-Phillips	2

Head to Head

New York Red Bulls Form

2024-09-28 New York Red Bulls 1–5 New York City FC L 2024-09-21 New York Red Bulls 2–2 Atlanta United FC D 2024-09-15 Chicago Fire FC 2–1 New York Red Bulls L 2024-09-07 New York Red Bulls 1–1 Sporting Kansas City D 2024-08-31 New York Red Bulls 0–2 Philadelphia Union L 2024-08-24 Charlotte FC 1–1 New York Red Bulls D

New York City FC Form

2024-09-28 New York Red Bulls 1–5 New York City FC W 2024-09-21 New York City FC 1–1 Internacional CF Miami D 2024-09-18 New York City FC 1–5 Philadelphia Union L 2024-09-14 D.C. United SC 1–1 New York City FC D 2024-08-31 Columbus Crew SC 4–2 New York City FC L 2024-08-24 New York City FC 2–2 Chicago Fire FC D

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

4 / 4

1.35 New York Red Bulls xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

2.41 New York City FC xG

I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 71% + Both teams to score 67%

Match Result

✓ Correct

New York Red Bulls24% Draw23% New York City FC53%

Actual: New York City FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes67% 0% No33%

Avg goals/match: 3.76

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	96%	4%
± 1.5	89%	11%
± 2.5	71%	29%
± 3.5	51%	49%
± 4.5	32%	68%

Double Chance

New York Red Bulls or Draw

47%

Draw or New York City FC

76%

New York Red Bulls or New York City FC

77%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct

New York Red Bulls18% Draw37% New York City FC45%

Actual: New York City FC win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 1–5 not predicted

1 – 5

Actual

1 – 2

8.9%

1 – 1

8.4%

1 – 3

0 – 2

6.9%

2 – 2

5.9%

0 – 3

5.4%

0 – 1

5.3%

2 – 1

2 – 3

4.7%

1 – 4

4.3%

0 – 0

3.5%

0 – 4

3.2%

Asian Handicap — New York Red Bulls

Handicap	New York Red Bulls covers	Push	New York City FC covers
-2.5	3%	—	97%
-2	3%	6%	91%
-1.5	9%	—	91%
-1	9%	11%	80%
-0.5	20%	—	80%
+0.5	40%	—	60%
+1	40%	21%	39%
+1.5	61%	—	39%
+2	61%	18%	21%
+2.5	79%	—	21%

Clean Sheet

New York Red Bulls keeps clean sheet

10% ✓

New York City FC keeps clean sheet

27% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.