FC Cincinnati vs New York Red Bulls, MLS 2023 REGULAR SEASON

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MLS · 2023

FC Cincinnati

1 – 2

Full Time

New York Red Bulls

Wed 4 Oct 2023 · 23:30 UTC TQL Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'

0–1 12' Frankie Amaya

0–2 17' Elias Manoel

Luciano Acosta pen 68' 1–2

Ray Gaddis 27' Y

Alvas Powell 49' Y

Y 53' Andres Reyes

Nick Hagglund 73' Y

Malik Pinto 82' Y

Alvas Powell 88' YR

Alvaro Barreal 90' Y

Y 90' Carlos Coronel

Y 90' Kyle Duncan

Luciano Acosta 90' Y

Overview

Match Preview

FC Cincinnati vs New York Red Bulls — MLS at TQL Stadium.

FC Cincinnati 26 games · 33 pts (2026/26)
New York Red Bulls 26 games · 33 pts (2026/26)

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Nashville SC	27	60
2	Internacional CF Miami	27	46
3	New England Revolution	27	46
4	Charlotte FC	27	43
5	Chicago Fire FC	26	42
6	Philadelphia Union	27	39
7	Orlando City SC	27	34
8	New York City FC	27	33
9	FC Cincinnati	26	33
10	New York Red Bulls	26	33
11	D.C. United SC	26	30
12	Columbus Crew SC	27	29
13	Toronto FC	27	29
14	Atlanta United FC	27	27
15	Montreal Impact FC	27	24
16	Vancouver Whitecaps FC	26	50
17	FC Dallas	27	47
18	San Jose Earthquakes	27	45
19	St. Louis City	26	44
20	Houston Dynamo	27	44
21	Los Angeles FC	28	41
22	Colorado Rapids SC	27	36
23	Los Angeles Galaxy	28	36
24	Seattle Sounders FC	26	35
25	San Diego FC	27	32
26	Portland Timbers	27	32
27	Real Salt Lake	27	32
28	Austin FC	27	31
29	Minnesota United FC	27	29
30	Sporting Kansas City	26	21

Head-to-Head

FC Cincinnati 18 games · Avg 2.3 goals New York Red Bulls

Last 5 meetings

2023-10-04 FC Cincinnati 1–2 New York Red Bulls 2023-07-12 New York Red Bulls 1–2 FC Cincinnati 2022-10-15 New York Red Bulls 1–2 FC Cincinnati 2022-08-20 New York Red Bulls 1–1 FC Cincinnati 2022-07-09 FC Cincinnati 1–1 New York Red Bulls

Recent Form

FC Cincinnati

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
04 Oct	New York Red Bulls	H	1–2	L
30 Sep	Toronto FC	A	3–2	W
23 Sep	Charlotte FC	H	3–0	W
20 Sep	Montreal Impact FC	A	1–1	D
16 Sep	Philadelphia Union	A	2–2	D
02 Sep	Orlando City SC	H	0–1	L

New York Red Bulls

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
04 Oct	FC Cincinnati	A	2–1	W
30 Sep	Chicago Fire FC	H	0–1	L
23 Sep	D.C. United SC	A	5–3	W
20 Sep	Austin FC	H	1–1	D
16 Sep	New York City FC	A	0–0	D
03 Sep	Philadelphia Union	A	1–4	L

Season Stats

FC Cincinnati		New York Red Bulls
#9	Position	#10
33	Points	33
26	Played	26
8 / 9 / 9	W / D / L	9 / 6 / 11
55	Scored	34
64	Conceded	48
-9	GD	-14
1.27	PPG	1.27
31%	Win %	35%

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)

39% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

15% Clean Sheets
FC Cincinnati this season

23% Clean Sheets
New York Red Bulls this season

FC Cincinnati are 9th (33 pts). New York Red Bulls are 10th (33 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

FC Cincinnati

0-15

4/3

16-30

5/9

31-45

9/9

46-60

5/11

61-75

4/4

76+

13/7

■ Scored ■ Conceded

New York Red Bulls

0-15

6/4

16-30

2/3

31-45

5/6

46-60

5/8

61-75

2/6

76+

5/4

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

FC Cincinnati

Kevin Denkey	14 G	1 A
Evander	13 G	7 A
Tom Barlow	7 G	2 A
Pavel Bucha	6 G	3 A

New York Red Bulls

Julian Hall	10 G	2 A
Jorge Ruvalcaba	7 G

Events

Match Events

0' Both captains have shaken hands and the referee is ready. We are underway at TQL Stadium!
5' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
10' It looks like no one’s ball. New York Red Bulls is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
12' Assisted by Luquinhas with the perfectly-timed delivery and Frankie Amaya makes no mistake. 0-1!
17' What a strike from Elias Manoel! The score is 0-2.
22' Nick Hagglund, a USA , has 16 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
27' The referee has no hesitation. Ray Gaddis is booked for FC Cincinnati — card on 27.
32' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
37' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 2 times this season with New York Red Bulls winning 50% of all matches.
42' Both keepers have barely been tested. FC Cincinnati and New York Red Bulls are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
46' Ian Murphy is ready to make an impact after coming on for Matt Miazga at the 46 minute mark.
49' Alvas Powell picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
53' The referee has no hesitation. Andres Reyes is booked for New York Red Bulls — card on 53.
58' The FC Cincinnati bench stirs into life. Ray Gaddis is withdrawn and Alvaro Barreal gets his opportunity.
63' It looks surprising New York Red Bulls does not make any changes. Aaron Boupendza has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
68' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Luciano Acosta makes it 1-2.
69' Elias Manoel makes way for Omir Fernandez at the 69 minute mark. A tactical switch from New York Red Bulls.
73' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Nick Hagglund on 73 minutes.
76' The crowd applauds Omir Fernandez as he leaves the pitch. Cory Burke steps in for New York Red Bulls.
80' Brandon Vazquez is ready to make an impact after coming on for Nick Hagglund at the 80 minute mark.
82' Malik Pinto catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 82.
86' Another change for New York Red Bulls made on 86 minute. Luquinhas leaves to be changed by Dru Yearwood.
88' A moment of madness from Alvas Powell on 88 minutes earns him a card. FC Cincinnati will be frustrated.
90' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Alvaro Barreal on 90 minutes.
Full Time. New York Red Bulls beats FC Cincinnati

Lineups

FC Cincinnati Lineups

5-3-2

Starting XI

Bench

13
Santiago Arias
10
Luciano Acosta ↑ 58'
93
Junior Moreno
19
Brandon Vazquez ↑ 80'
31
Alvaro Barreal ↑ 58'
17
Sergio Santos
32
Ian Murphy ↑ 46'
18
Roman Celentano
26
Malik Pinto ↑ 46'

Coach Pat Noonan

New York Red Bulls Lineups

4-3-3

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Tony Jouaux

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Kevin Denkey	4
Lewis Morgan	3
Frankie Amaya	2
Kaku	2
Omir Fernandez	2
Luciano Acosta	2
Matt Miazga	2
Kyle Duncan	2

Head to Head

FC Cincinnati Form

2023-10-04 FC Cincinnati 1–2 New York Red Bulls L 2023-09-30 Toronto FC 2–3 FC Cincinnati W 2023-09-23 FC Cincinnati 3–0 Charlotte FC W 2023-09-20 Montreal Impact FC 1–1 FC Cincinnati D 2023-09-16 Philadelphia Union 2–2 FC Cincinnati D 2023-09-02 FC Cincinnati 0–1 Orlando City SC L

New York Red Bulls Form

2023-10-04 FC Cincinnati 1–2 New York Red Bulls W 2023-09-30 New York Red Bulls 0–1 Chicago Fire FC L 2023-09-23 D.C. United SC 3–5 New York Red Bulls W 2023-09-20 New York Red Bulls 1–1 Austin FC D 2023-09-16 New York City FC 0–0 New York Red Bulls D 2023-09-03 Philadelphia Union 4–1 New York Red Bulls L

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

2 / 4

2.2 FC Cincinnati xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.74 New York Red Bulls xG

I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 74% + Both teams to score 73%

Match Result

✗ Wrong

FC Cincinnati46% Draw23% New York Red Bulls31%

Actual: New York Red Bulls win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes73% 0% No27%

Avg goals/match: 3.94

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	97%	3%
± 1.5	90%	10%
± 2.5	74%	26%
± 3.5	55%	45%
± 4.5	36%	64%

Double Chance

FC Cincinnati or Draw

70%

Draw or New York Red Bulls

54%

FC Cincinnati or New York Red Bulls

77%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

FC Cincinnati37% Draw38% New York Red Bulls25%

Actual: New York Red Bulls win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

8.3%

2 – 1

2 – 2

6.8%

1 – 2

Actual

3 – 1

5.8%

3 – 2

2 – 0

4.8%

2 – 3

3.9%

1 – 0

3.9%

1 – 3

3.6%

3 – 0

3.5%

4 – 1

3.2%

Asian Handicap — FC Cincinnati

Handicap	FC Cincinnati covers	Push	New York Red Bulls covers
-2.5	15%	—	85%
-2	15%	14%	71%
-1.5	29%	—	71%
-1	29%	19%	52%
-0.5	48%	—	52%
+0.5	70%	—	30%
+1	70%	15%	15%
+1.5	85%	—	15%
+2	85%	9%	6%
+2.5	94%	—	6%

Clean Sheet

FC Cincinnati keeps clean sheet

18% ✓

New York Red Bulls keeps clean sheet

12% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.