FC Cincinnati vs New York Red Bulls, MLS 2023 REGULAR SEASON

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MLS · 2023

FC Cincinnati

1 – 2

Full Time

New York Red Bulls

Wed 4 Oct 2023 · 23:30 UTC TQL Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'

0–1 12' Frankie Amaya

0–2 17' Elias Manoel

Luciano Acosta pen 68' 1–2

Ray Gaddis 27' Y

Alvas Powell 49' Y

Y 53' Andres Reyes

Nick Hagglund 73' Y

Malik Pinto 82' Y

Alvas Powell 88' YR

Alvaro Barreal 90' Y

Y 90' Carlos Coronel

Y 90' Kyle Duncan

Luciano Acosta 90' Y

Overview

Match Preview

FC Cincinnati vs New York Red Bulls — MLS at TQL Stadium.

FC Cincinnati 15 games · 20 pts (2026/26)
New York Red Bulls 15 games · 22 pts (2026/26)

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Nashville SC	14	33
2	Internacional CF Miami	15	31
3	Chicago Fire FC	14	26
4	New England Revolution	14	25
5	New York Red Bulls	15	22
6	Charlotte FC	15	21
7	FC Cincinnati	15	20
8	New York City FC	15	19
9	D.C. United SC	15	18
10	Columbus Crew SC	15	16
11	Toronto FC	14	14
12	Montreal Impact FC	14	14
13	Orlando City SC	15	14
14	Atlanta United FC	14	11
15	Philadelphia Union	15	7
16	Vancouver Whitecaps FC	14	32
17	San Jose Earthquakes	15	32
18	Real Salt Lake	14	26
19	FC Dallas	15	25
20	Los Angeles FC	15	24
21	Seattle Sounders FC	13	24
22	Houston Dynamo	14	22
23	Minnesota United FC	15	22
24	Los Angeles Galaxy	15	20
25	San Diego FC	15	17
26	Colorado Rapids SC	15	16
27	St. Louis City	14	16
28	Portland Timbers	14	14
29	Austin FC	15	14
30	Sporting Kansas City	14	11

Head-to-Head

FC Cincinnati 18 games · Avg 2.3 goals New York Red Bulls

Last 5 meetings

2023-10-04 FC Cincinnati 1–2 New York Red Bulls 2023-07-12 New York Red Bulls 1–2 FC Cincinnati 2022-10-15 New York Red Bulls 1–2 FC Cincinnati 2022-08-20 New York Red Bulls 1–1 FC Cincinnati 2022-07-09 FC Cincinnati 1–1 New York Red Bulls

Recent Form

FC Cincinnati

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
04 Oct	New York Red Bulls	H	1–2	L
30 Sep	Toronto FC	A	3–2	W
23 Sep	Charlotte FC	H	3–0	W
20 Sep	Montreal Impact FC	A	1–1	D
16 Sep	Philadelphia Union	A	2–2	D
02 Sep	Orlando City SC	H	0–1	L

New York Red Bulls

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
04 Oct	FC Cincinnati	A	2–1	W
30 Sep	Chicago Fire FC	H	0–1	L
23 Sep	D.C. United SC	A	5–3	W
20 Sep	Austin FC	H	1–1	D
16 Sep	New York City FC	A	0–0	D
03 Sep	Philadelphia Union	A	1–4	L

Season Stats

FC Cincinnati		New York Red Bulls
#7	Position	#5
20	Points	22
15	Played	15
5 / 5 / 5	W / D / L	6 / 4 / 5
36	Scored	25
37	Conceded	32
-1	GD	-7
1.33	PPG	1.47
33%	Win %	40%

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)

39% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

27% Clean Sheets
FC Cincinnati this season

20% Clean Sheets
New York Red Bulls this season

FC Cincinnati are 7th (20 pts). New York Red Bulls are 5th (22 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

FC Cincinnati

0-15

1/1

16-30

2/5

31-45

7/3

46-60

3/4

61-75

2/1

76+

8/3

■ Scored ■ Conceded

New York Red Bulls

0-15

5/1

16-30

1/1

31-45

3/5

46-60

3/5

61-75

1/2

76+

3/2

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

0' Three points are at stake. FC Cincinnati host New York Red Bulls — let the battle begin!
5' New York Red Bulls looks like a favorite considering 1 games won in last 2 matches with its main striker Emil Forsberg scoring 1 goals.
10' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
12' Frankie Amaya puts New York Red Bulls on the lead.
17' What composure from Elias Manoel! The Brazil international strokes it home. 0-2.
22' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
27' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Ray Gaddis.
32' Supporters expect more eagerness from Alec Kann, as he is very good at scoring at TQL Stadium with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
37' The 29-year-old Luquinhas has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
42' It looks like no one’s ball. FC Cincinnati is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
46' Fresh legs for FC Cincinnati! Ian Murphy comes on to replace Matt Miazga.
49' It’s a booking for FC Cincinnati player. Alvas Powell gets a card.
53' Controversy at the stadium! Andres Reyes argues furiously but the card stands.
58' Another substitution for FC Cincinnati to replace Ray Gaddis by Alvaro Barreal on 58 minute.
63' New York Red Bulls fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
68' Against the run of play, Luciano Acosta has scored! This game has turned on its head.
69' The New York Red Bulls bench stirs into life. Elias Manoel is withdrawn and Omir Fernandez gets his opportunity.
73' Nick Hagglund picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
76' Cory Burke is ready to make an impact after coming on for Omir Fernandez at the 76 minute mark.
80' The whistle greets Nick Hagglund as he departs to be replaced by Brandon Vazquez.
82' The referee has no hesitation. Malik Pinto is booked for FC Cincinnati — card on 82.
86' A tactical swap from New York Red Bulls — Dru Yearwood on, Luquinhas off on 86 minutes.
88' Alvas Powell catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 88.
90' A moment of madness from Alvaro Barreal on 90 minutes earns him a card. FC Cincinnati will be frustrated.
The final whistle goes. A composed, disciplined performance from New York Red Bulls to claim maximum points.

Lineups

FC Cincinnati Lineups

5-3-2

Starting XI

Bench

13
Santiago Arias
10
Luciano Acosta ↑ 58'
93
Junior Moreno
19
Brandon Vazquez ↑ 80'
31
Alvaro Barreal ↑ 58'
17
Sergio Santos
32
Ian Murphy ↑ 46'
18
Roman Celentano
26
Malik Pinto ↑ 46'

Coach Pat Noonan

New York Red Bulls Lineups

4-3-3

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Tony Jouaux

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Kevin Denkey	4
Lewis Morgan	3
Florian Valot	2
Yuya Kubo	2
Frankie Amaya	2
Kaku	2
Omir Fernandez	2
Luciano Acosta	2

Head to Head

FC Cincinnati Form

2023-10-04 FC Cincinnati 1–2 New York Red Bulls L 2023-09-30 Toronto FC 2–3 FC Cincinnati W 2023-09-23 FC Cincinnati 3–0 Charlotte FC W 2023-09-20 Montreal Impact FC 1–1 FC Cincinnati D 2023-09-16 Philadelphia Union 2–2 FC Cincinnati D 2023-09-02 FC Cincinnati 0–1 Orlando City SC L

New York Red Bulls Form

2023-10-04 FC Cincinnati 1–2 New York Red Bulls W 2023-09-30 New York Red Bulls 0–1 Chicago Fire FC L 2023-09-23 D.C. United SC 3–5 New York Red Bulls W 2023-09-20 New York Red Bulls 1–1 Austin FC D 2023-09-16 New York City FC 0–0 New York Red Bulls D 2023-09-03 Philadelphia Union 4–1 New York Red Bulls L

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

2 / 4

2.59 FC Cincinnati xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.97 New York Red Bulls xG

I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 82% + Both teams to score 79%

Match Result

✗ Wrong

FC Cincinnati49% Draw22% New York Red Bulls29%

Actual: New York Red Bulls win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes79% 0% No21%

Avg goals/match: 4.56

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	98%	2%
± 1.5	94%	6%
± 2.5	82%	18%
± 3.5	65%	35%
± 4.5	47%	53%

Double Chance

FC Cincinnati or Draw

70%

Draw or New York Red Bulls

51%

FC Cincinnati or New York Red Bulls

78%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

FC Cincinnati40% Draw35% New York Red Bulls25%

Actual: New York Red Bulls win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

2 – 1

6.8%

2 – 2

6.5%

1 – 1

6.1%

3 – 1

5.8%

3 – 2

5.6%

1 – 2

Actual

2 – 3

4.3%

4 – 1

3.7%

3 – 3

3.7%

2 – 0

3.7%

4 – 2

3.7%

1 – 3

3.4%

Asian Handicap — FC Cincinnati

Handicap	FC Cincinnati covers	Push	New York Red Bulls covers
-2.5	18%	—	82%
-2	18%	15%	67%
-1.5	33%	—	67%
-1	33%	18%	49%
-0.5	51%	—	49%
+0.5	71%	—	29%
+1	71%	14%	16%
+1.5	84%	—	16%
+2	84%	9%	7%
+2.5	93%	—	7%

Clean Sheet

FC Cincinnati keeps clean sheet

15% ✓

New York Red Bulls keeps clean sheet

8% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.