FC Cincinnati vs New York Red Bulls, MLS 2023 REGULAR SEASON

Refresh

MLS · 2023

FC Cincinnati

1 – 2

Full Time

New York Red Bulls

Wed 4 Oct 2023 · 23:30 UTC TQL Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'

0–1 12' Frankie Amaya

0–2 17' Elias Manoel

Luciano Acosta pen 68' 1–2

Ray Gaddis 27' Y

Alvas Powell 49' Y

Y 53' Andres Reyes

Nick Hagglund 73' Y

Malik Pinto 82' Y

Alvas Powell 88' YR

Alvaro Barreal 90' Y

Y 90' Carlos Coronel

Y 90' Kyle Duncan

Luciano Acosta 90' Y

Overview

Match Preview

FC Cincinnati vs New York Red Bulls — MLS at TQL Stadium.

FC Cincinnati 18 games · 26 pts (2026/26)
New York Red Bulls 18 games · 25 pts (2026/26)

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Nashville SC	18	40
2	Internacional CF Miami	18	38
3	New England Revolution	18	30
4	Chicago Fire FC	17	29
5	New York City FC	18	26
6	FC Cincinnati	18	26
7	Charlotte FC	18	25
8	New York Red Bulls	18	25
9	D.C. United SC	18	23
10	Columbus Crew SC	18	20
11	Orlando City SC	18	20
12	Toronto FC	18	17
13	Philadelphia Union	18	16
14	Montreal Impact FC	18	16
15	Atlanta United FC	18	12
16	Vancouver Whitecaps FC	17	34
17	Los Angeles FC	19	34
18	San Jose Earthquakes	18	33
19	Houston Dynamo	18	32
20	FC Dallas	18	27
21	Real Salt Lake	17	27
22	St. Louis City	18	26
23	Portland Timbers	18	24
24	Seattle Sounders FC	17	24
25	Minnesota United FC	18	24
26	Colorado Rapids SC	18	22
27	Los Angeles Galaxy	19	22
28	San Diego FC	18	21
29	Austin FC	18	17
30	Sporting Kansas City	18	14

Head-to-Head

FC Cincinnati 18 games · Avg 2.3 goals New York Red Bulls

Last 5 meetings

2023-10-04 FC Cincinnati 1–2 New York Red Bulls 2023-07-12 New York Red Bulls 1–2 FC Cincinnati 2022-10-15 New York Red Bulls 1–2 FC Cincinnati 2022-08-20 New York Red Bulls 1–1 FC Cincinnati 2022-07-09 FC Cincinnati 1–1 New York Red Bulls

Recent Form

FC Cincinnati

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
04 Oct	New York Red Bulls	H	1–2	L
30 Sep	Toronto FC	A	3–2	W
23 Sep	Charlotte FC	H	3–0	W
20 Sep	Montreal Impact FC	A	1–1	D
16 Sep	Philadelphia Union	A	2–2	D
02 Sep	Orlando City SC	H	0–1	L

New York Red Bulls

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
04 Oct	FC Cincinnati	A	2–1	W
30 Sep	Chicago Fire FC	H	0–1	L
23 Sep	D.C. United SC	A	5–3	W
20 Sep	Austin FC	H	1–1	D
16 Sep	New York City FC	A	0–0	D
03 Sep	Philadelphia Union	A	1–4	L

Season Stats

FC Cincinnati		New York Red Bulls
#6	Position	#8
26	Points	25
18	Played	18
7 / 5 / 6	W / D / L	7 / 4 / 7
45	Scored	29
44	Conceded	39
+1	GD	-10
1.44	PPG	1.39
39%	Win %	39%

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)

39% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

21% Clean Sheets
FC Cincinnati this season

16% Clean Sheets
New York Red Bulls this season

FC Cincinnati are 6th (26 pts). New York Red Bulls are 8th (25 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

FC Cincinnati

0-15

3/2

16-30

4/7

31-45

9/5

46-60

4/7

61-75

2/1

76+

11/3

■ Scored ■ Conceded

New York Red Bulls

0-15

6/4

16-30

2/1

31-45

5/5

46-60

4/7

61-75

1/5

76+

3/3

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

FC Cincinnati

Evander	10 G	4 A
Kevin Denkey	10 G	1 A
Tom Barlow	5 G

New York Red Bulls

Julian Hall	9 G	2 A
Jorge Ruvalcaba	7 G

Events

Match Events

0' Here we go! The referee blows the whistle and FC Cincinnati launch into their encounter with New York Red Bulls.
5' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both FC Cincinnati and New York Red Bulls are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
10' Dru Yearwood is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for New York Red Bulls so far.
12' The USA Frankie Amaya breaks the deadlock on 12 minutes. 0-1!
17' A goal from the Brazil international Elias Manoel! He fires home on 17 to make it 0-2!
22' The energy levels are beginning to show. Tony Jouaux might look to freshen things up shortly.
27' It’s gonna be a card for Ray Gaddis.
32' New York Red Bulls come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
37' The travelling New York Red Bulls supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
42' USA international Ray Gaddis has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
46' The supporters are chanting for Ian Murphy. He replaces Matt Miazga on 46 minute.
49' A meaty challenge results in booking for Alvas Powell on 49.
53' Andres Reyes was booked on 53.
58' The whistle greets Ray Gaddis as he departs to be replaced by Alvaro Barreal.
63' New York Red Bulls have won 422 goals from 286 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
68' Luciano Acosta makes no mistake. The score reads 1-2 and FC Cincinnati are in front.
69' The New York Red Bulls manager makes a substitution. Elias Manoel departs to be replaced by Omir Fernandez.
73' Poor challenge from Nick Hagglund. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
76' Fresh legs for New York Red Bulls! Cory Burke comes on to replace Omir Fernandez.
80' Brandon Vazquez is replacing Nick Hagglund for the FC Cincinnati side.
82' Malik Pinto was booked on 82.
86' Fresh legs for New York Red Bulls! Dru Yearwood comes on to replace Luquinhas.
88' Alvas Powell was booked on 88.
90' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Alvaro Barreal.
The referee brings this contest to a close. New York Red Bulls take all three points.

Lineups

FC Cincinnati Lineups

5-3-2

Starting XI

Bench

13
Santiago Arias
10
Luciano Acosta ↑ 58'
93
Junior Moreno
19
Brandon Vazquez ↑ 80'
31
Alvaro Barreal ↑ 58'
17
Sergio Santos
32
Ian Murphy ↑ 46'
18
Roman Celentano
26
Malik Pinto ↑ 46'

Coach Pat Noonan

New York Red Bulls Lineups

4-3-3

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Tony Jouaux

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Kevin Denkey	4
Lewis Morgan	3
Kaku	2
Omir Fernandez	2
Luciano Acosta	2
Matt Miazga	2
Kyle Duncan	2
Florian Valot	2

Head to Head

FC Cincinnati Form

2023-10-04 FC Cincinnati 1–2 New York Red Bulls L 2023-09-30 Toronto FC 2–3 FC Cincinnati W 2023-09-23 FC Cincinnati 3–0 Charlotte FC W 2023-09-20 Montreal Impact FC 1–1 FC Cincinnati D 2023-09-16 Philadelphia Union 2–2 FC Cincinnati D 2023-09-02 FC Cincinnati 0–1 Orlando City SC L

New York Red Bulls Form

2023-10-04 FC Cincinnati 1–2 New York Red Bulls W 2023-09-30 New York Red Bulls 0–1 Chicago Fire FC L 2023-09-23 D.C. United SC 3–5 New York Red Bulls W 2023-09-20 New York Red Bulls 1–1 Austin FC D 2023-09-16 New York City FC 0–0 New York Red Bulls D 2023-09-03 Philadelphia Union 4–1 New York Red Bulls L

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

2 / 4

2.75 FC Cincinnati xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.95 New York Red Bulls xG

I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 83% + Both teams to score 79%

Match Result

✗ Wrong

FC Cincinnati51% Draw21% New York Red Bulls28%

Actual: New York Red Bulls win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes79% 0% No21%

Avg goals/match: 4.7

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	98%	2%
± 1.5	94%	6%
± 2.5	83%	17%
± 3.5	67%	33%
± 4.5	49%	51%

Double Chance

FC Cincinnati or Draw

72%

Draw or New York Red Bulls

49%

FC Cincinnati or New York Red Bulls

79%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

FC Cincinnati42% Draw34% New York Red Bulls24%

Actual: New York Red Bulls win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

2 – 1

6.7%

2 – 2

6.3%

3 – 1

3 – 2

5.7%

1 – 1

5.6%

1 – 2

Actual

2 – 3

4.1%

4 – 1

4.1%

4 – 2

3.9%

3 – 3

3.7%

2 – 0

3.6%

3 – 0

3.2%

Asian Handicap — FC Cincinnati

Handicap	FC Cincinnati covers	Push	New York Red Bulls covers
-2.5	20%	—	80%
-2	20%	15%	64%
-1.5	36%	—	64%
-1	36%	18%	46%
-0.5	54%	—	46%
+0.5	73%	—	27%
+1	73%	13%	14%
+1.5	86%	—	14%
+2	86%	8%	6%
+2.5	94%	—	6%

Clean Sheet

FC Cincinnati keeps clean sheet

15% ✓

New York Red Bulls keeps clean sheet

7% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.