FC Cincinnati vs New York Red Bulls, MLS 2023 REGULAR SEASON

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MLS · 2023

FC Cincinnati

1 – 2

Full Time

New York Red Bulls

Wed 4 Oct 2023 · 23:30 UTC TQL Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'

0–1 12' Frankie Amaya

0–2 17' Elias Manoel

Luciano Acosta pen 68' 1–2

Ray Gaddis 27' Y

Alvas Powell 49' Y

Y 53' Andres Reyes

Nick Hagglund 73' Y

Malik Pinto 82' Y

Alvas Powell 88' YR

Alvaro Barreal 90' Y

Y 90' Carlos Coronel

Y 90' Kyle Duncan

Luciano Acosta 90' Y

Overview

Match Preview

FC Cincinnati vs New York Red Bulls — MLS at TQL Stadium.

FC Cincinnati 34 games · 46 pts (2026/26)
New York Red Bulls 34 games · 42 pts (2026/26)

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Nashville SC	34	77
2	Internacional CF Miami	34	60
3	New England Revolution	34	58
4	Chicago Fire FC	34	55
5	Charlotte FC	34	54
6	Philadelphia Union	34	50
7	Columbus Crew SC	34	47
8	FC Cincinnati	34	46
9	Orlando City SC	34	46
10	New York City FC	34	42
11	New York Red Bulls	34	42
12	Toronto FC	34	39
13	Atlanta United FC	34	33
14	D.C. United SC	34	33
15	Montreal Impact FC	34	26
16	Vancouver Whitecaps FC	34	64
17	FC Dallas	34	58
18	St. Louis City	34	54
19	San Jose Earthquakes	34	52
20	Houston Dynamo	34	51
21	Los Angeles FC	34	47
22	Portland Timbers	34	46
23	Seattle Sounders FC	34	46
24	Real Salt Lake	34	45
25	Minnesota United FC	34	44
26	Los Angeles Galaxy	34	44
27	Colorado Rapids SC	34	43
28	San Diego FC	34	38
29	Austin FC	34	34
30	Sporting Kansas City	34	26

Head-to-Head

FC Cincinnati 18 games · Avg 2.3 goals New York Red Bulls

Last 5 meetings

2023-10-04 FC Cincinnati 1–2 New York Red Bulls 2023-07-12 New York Red Bulls 1–2 FC Cincinnati 2022-10-15 New York Red Bulls 1–2 FC Cincinnati 2022-08-20 New York Red Bulls 1–1 FC Cincinnati 2022-07-09 FC Cincinnati 1–1 New York Red Bulls

Recent Form

FC Cincinnati

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
04 Oct	New York Red Bulls	H	1–2	L
30 Sep	Toronto FC	A	3–2	W
23 Sep	Charlotte FC	H	3–0	W
20 Sep	Montreal Impact FC	A	1–1	D
16 Sep	Philadelphia Union	A	2–2	D
02 Sep	Orlando City SC	H	0–1	L

New York Red Bulls

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
04 Oct	FC Cincinnati	A	2–1	W
30 Sep	Chicago Fire FC	H	0–1	L
23 Sep	D.C. United SC	A	5–3	W
20 Sep	Austin FC	H	1–1	D
16 Sep	New York City FC	A	0–0	D
03 Sep	Philadelphia Union	A	1–4	L

Season Stats

FC Cincinnati		New York Red Bulls
#8	Position	#11
46	Points	42
34	Played	34
12 / 10 / 12	W / D / L	12 / 6 / 16
67	Scored	48
75	Conceded	62
-8	GD	-14
1.35	PPG	1.24
35%	Win %	35%

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)

39% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

18% Clean Sheets
FC Cincinnati this season

24% Clean Sheets
New York Red Bulls this season

FC Cincinnati are 8th (46 pts). New York Red Bulls are 11th (42 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

FC Cincinnati

0-15

6/3

16-30

5/11

31-45

10/11

46-60

8/13

61-75

6/7

76+

17/9

■ Scored ■ Conceded

New York Red Bulls

0-15

7/7

16-30

4/3

31-45

8/7

46-60

7/10

61-75

4/6

76+

8/9

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

FC Cincinnati

Kevin Denkey	17 G	2 A
Evander	14 G	13 A
Tom Barlow	10 G	4 A
Pavel Bucha	6 G	3 A

New York Red Bulls

Julian Hall	13 G	3 A
Jorge Ruvalcaba	8 G	1 A

Events

Match Events

0' The wait is over. New York Red Bulls get us underway at TQL Stadium.
5' FC Cincinnati are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
10' The 28-year-old Brandon Vazquez has been sensational this season — 3 goals and 1 assists is a remarkable return.
12' GOAL! Frankie Amaya scores on 12. Assisted by Luquinhas
17' Elias Manoel makes no mistake. The score reads 0-2 and New York Red Bulls are in front.
22' New York Red Bulls come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
27' Ray Gaddis was booked on 27.
32' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
37' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
42' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
46' The whistle greets Matt Miazga as he departs to be replaced by Ian Murphy.
49' A moment of madness from Alvas Powell on 49 minutes earns him a card. FC Cincinnati will be frustrated.
53' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Andres Reyes on 53 minutes.
58' The supporters are chanting for Alvaro Barreal. He replaces Ray Gaddis on 58 minute.
63' Peter Stroud is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for New York Red Bulls tonight.
68' What a moment for Luciano Acosta! That strike on 68 puts his side firmly in control.
69' The whistle greets Elias Manoel as he departs to be replaced by Omir Fernandez.
73' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Nick Hagglund on 73 minutes.
76' New York Red Bulls make a change. Omir Fernandez trudges off to be replaced by Cory Burke on 76 minutes.
80' The supporters are chanting for Brandon Vazquez. He replaces Nick Hagglund on 80 minute.
82' Malik Pinto was booked on 82.
86' The New York Red Bulls bench stirs into life. Luquinhas is withdrawn and Dru Yearwood gets his opportunity.
88' That looks like a foul for a card for Alvas Powell.
90' The referee shows FC Cincinnati player a card on 90.
Hope, you loved the show. Another epic battle is over with the score 1-2.

Lineups

FC Cincinnati Lineups

5-3-2

Starting XI

Bench

13
Santiago Arias
10
Luciano Acosta ↑ 58'
93
Junior Moreno
19
Brandon Vazquez ↑ 80'
31
Alvaro Barreal ↑ 58'
17
Sergio Santos
32
Ian Murphy ↑ 46'
18
Roman Celentano
26
Malik Pinto ↑ 46'

Coach Pat Noonan

New York Red Bulls Lineups

4-3-3

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Tony Jouaux

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Kevin Denkey	4
Lewis Morgan	3
Kyle Duncan	2
Florian Valot	2
Yuya Kubo	2
Frankie Amaya	2
Kaku	2
Omir Fernandez	2

Head to Head

FC Cincinnati Form

2023-10-04 FC Cincinnati 1–2 New York Red Bulls L 2023-09-30 Toronto FC 2–3 FC Cincinnati W 2023-09-23 FC Cincinnati 3–0 Charlotte FC W 2023-09-20 Montreal Impact FC 1–1 FC Cincinnati D 2023-09-16 Philadelphia Union 2–2 FC Cincinnati D 2023-09-02 FC Cincinnati 0–1 Orlando City SC L

New York Red Bulls Form

2023-10-04 FC Cincinnati 1–2 New York Red Bulls W 2023-09-30 New York Red Bulls 0–1 Chicago Fire FC L 2023-09-23 D.C. United SC 3–5 New York Red Bulls W 2023-09-20 New York Red Bulls 1–1 Austin FC D 2023-09-16 New York City FC 0–0 New York Red Bulls D 2023-09-03 Philadelphia Union 4–1 New York Red Bulls L

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

2 / 4

2.08 FC Cincinnati xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.7 New York Red Bulls xG

I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 72% + Both teams to score 71%

Match Result

✗ Wrong

FC Cincinnati45% Draw24% New York Red Bulls31%

Actual: New York Red Bulls win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes71% 0% No29%

Avg goals/match: 3.78

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	96%	4%
± 1.5	89%	11%
± 2.5	72%	28%
± 3.5	51%	49%
± 4.5	33%	67%

Double Chance

FC Cincinnati or Draw

69%

Draw or New York Red Bulls

55%

FC Cincinnati or New York Red Bulls

76%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

FC Cincinnati35% Draw39% New York Red Bulls26%

Actual: New York Red Bulls win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

8.9%

2 – 1

8.1%

2 – 2

6.8%

1 – 2

Actual

3 – 1

5.6%

2 – 0

3 – 2

4.7%

1 – 0

4.3%

2 – 3

3.9%

1 – 3

3.7%

0 – 0

3.5%

3 – 0

3.4%

Asian Handicap — FC Cincinnati

Handicap	FC Cincinnati covers	Push	New York Red Bulls covers
-2.5	13%	—	87%
-2	13%	14%	73%
-1.5	27%	—	73%
-1	27%	19%	54%
-0.5	46%	—	54%
+0.5	69%	—	31%
+1	69%	15%	16%
+1.5	84%	—	16%
+2	84%	9%	7%
+2.5	93%	—	7%

Clean Sheet

FC Cincinnati keeps clean sheet

19% ✓

New York Red Bulls keeps clean sheet

13% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.