Atlanta United FC vs New York Red Bulls, MLS 2024 REGULAR SEASON

Refresh

MLS · 2024

Atlanta United FC

2 – 1

Full Time

New York Red Bulls

Sat 5 Oct 2024 · 23:30 UTC Mercedes-Benz Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'

Y 32' John Tolkin

R 66' Dylan Nealis

Y 70' Carlos Coronel

Stian Gregersen 70' Y

Y 70' Sean Nealis

Y 85' Emil Forsberg

Y 90' Noah Eile

Overview

Match Preview

Atlanta United FC vs New York Red Bulls — MLS at Mercedes-Benz Stadium.

Atlanta United FC 27 games · 27 pts (2026/26)
New York Red Bulls 26 games · 33 pts (2026/26)

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Nashville SC	27	60
2	Internacional CF Miami	27	46
3	New England Revolution	27	46
4	Charlotte FC	27	43
5	Chicago Fire FC	26	42
6	Philadelphia Union	27	39
7	Orlando City SC	27	34
8	New York City FC	27	33
9	FC Cincinnati	26	33
10	New York Red Bulls	26	33
11	D.C. United SC	26	30
12	Columbus Crew SC	27	29
13	Toronto FC	27	29
14	Atlanta United FC	27	27
15	Montreal Impact FC	27	24
16	Vancouver Whitecaps FC	26	50
17	FC Dallas	27	47
18	San Jose Earthquakes	27	45
19	St. Louis City	26	44
20	Houston Dynamo	27	44
21	Los Angeles FC	28	41
22	Colorado Rapids SC	27	36
23	Los Angeles Galaxy	28	36
24	Seattle Sounders FC	26	35
25	San Diego FC	27	32
26	Portland Timbers	27	32
27	Real Salt Lake	27	32
28	Austin FC	27	31
29	Minnesota United FC	27	29
30	Sporting Kansas City	26	21

Head-to-Head

Atlanta United FC 19 games · Avg 2.2 goals New York Red Bulls

Last 5 meetings

2024-10-05 Atlanta United FC 2–1 New York Red Bulls 2024-09-21 New York Red Bulls 2–2 Atlanta United FC 2023-06-24 New York Red Bulls 4–0 Atlanta United FC 2023-04-01 Atlanta United FC 1–0 New York Red Bulls 2022-08-17 Atlanta United FC 1–2 New York Red Bulls

Recent Form

Atlanta United FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
05 Oct	New York Red Bulls	H	2–1	W
02 Oct	Montreal Impact FC	H	1–2	L
28 Sep	Philadelphia Union	A	1–1	D
21 Sep	New York Red Bulls	A	2–2	D
18 Sep	Internacional CF Miami	H	2–2	D
14 Sep	Nashville SC	H	0–2	L

New York Red Bulls

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
05 Oct	Atlanta United FC	A	1–2	L
02 Oct	Toronto FC	A	4–1	W
28 Sep	New York City FC	H	1–5	L
21 Sep	Atlanta United FC	H	2–2	D
15 Sep	Chicago Fire FC	A	1–2	L
07 Sep	Sporting Kansas City	H	1–1	D

Season Stats

Atlanta United FC		New York Red Bulls
#14	Position	#10
27	Points	33
27	Played	26
7 / 6 / 14	W / D / L	9 / 6 / 11
32	Scored	34
45	Conceded	48
-13	GD	-14
1.00	PPG	1.27
26%	Win %	35%

Key Stats

37% Both Teams to Score
H2H (19 games)

47% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

15% Clean Sheets
Atlanta United FC this season

23% Clean Sheets
New York Red Bulls this season

Atlanta United FC are 14th (27 pts). New York Red Bulls are 10th (33 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Atlanta United FC

0-15

2/4

16-30

3/5

31-45

2/5

46-60

3/6

61-75

4/7

76+

5/6

■ Scored ■ Conceded

New York Red Bulls

0-15

6/4

16-30

2/3

31-45

5/6

46-60

5/8

61-75

2/6

76+

5/4

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Atlanta United FC

Aleksei Miranchuk

6 G

6 A

New York Red Bulls

Julian Hall	10 G	2 A
Jorge Ruvalcaba	7 G

Events

Match Events

0' What a night it is going to be! Atlanta United FC welcome New York Red Bulls for this crunch clash at Mercedes-Benz Stadium.
5' Atlanta United FC looks like a favorite considering 1 games won in last 1 matches with its main striker Fafa Picault scoring 1 goals.
10' Atlanta United FC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
15' New York Red Bulls come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
20' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Atlanta United FC and New York Red Bulls are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
25' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Atlanta United FC that had 291 games and scored 437 goals.
30' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
32' The referee has no hesitation. John Tolkin is booked for New York Red Bulls — card on 32.
37' It’s high time Sandro Schwarz made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
42' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
46' The supporters are chanting for Dylan Nealis. He replaces Andres Reyes on 46 minute.
51' New York Red Bulls have won 425 goals from 290 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
56' Emil Forsberg, a Sweden , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
59' New York Red Bulls make a change. Felipe Carballo trudges off to be replaced by Emil Forsberg on 59 minutes.
60' Luis Abram is ready to make an impact after coming on for Derrick Williams at the 60 minute mark.
65' The home supporters are growing impatient. Atlanta United FC must find a spark to ignite this game.
66' Poor challenge from Dylan Nealis. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
70' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Carlos Coronel.
75' Aleksei Miranchuk makes no mistake. The score reads 1-0 and Atlanta United FC are in front.
80' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
81' Time for substitution for New York Red Bulls. Cameron Harper is replaced by Serge Ngoma.
85' The referee shows New York Red Bulls player a card on 85.
85' A tactical swap from Atlanta United FC — Tyler Wolff on, Edwin Mosquera off on 85 minutes.
90' Noah Eile picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
90' The Atlanta United FC manager makes a substitution. Aleksei Miranchuk departs to be replaced by Dax McCarty.
New York Red Bulls will have plenty to reflect on. Atlanta United FC were simply the better side today.

Lineups

Atlanta United FC Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

4
Luis Abram ↑ 60'
13
Dax McCarty ↑ 90'
30
Nicolas Firmino
22
Josh Cohen
19
Daniel Rios ↑ 85'
28
Tyler Wolff ↑ 85'
24
Noah Cobb
25
Luke Brennan
47
Matthew Edwards

Coach Rob Valentino

New York Red Bulls Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

10
Emil Forsberg ↑ 59'
18
Ryan Meara
12
Dylan Nealis ↑ 46'
11
Elias Manoel ↑ 59'
22
Serge Ngoma ↑ 81'
5
Peter Stroud ↑ 85'
16
Julian Hall
2
Dennis Gjengaar
23
Aidan O'Connor

Coach Sandro Schwarz

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Josef Martinez	5
Bradley Wright-Phillips	3
Daniel Royer	3
Lewis Morgan	2
Bradley Wright-Phillips	2
Serge Ngoma	2
John Tolkin	2
Frankie Amaya	2

Head to Head

Atlanta United FC Form

2024-10-05 Atlanta United FC 2–1 New York Red Bulls W 2024-10-02 Atlanta United FC 1–2 Montreal Impact FC L 2024-09-28 Philadelphia Union 1–1 Atlanta United FC D 2024-09-21 New York Red Bulls 2–2 Atlanta United FC D 2024-09-18 Atlanta United FC 2–2 Internacional CF Miami D 2024-09-14 Atlanta United FC 0–2 Nashville SC L

New York Red Bulls Form

2024-10-05 Atlanta United FC 2–1 New York Red Bulls L 2024-10-02 Toronto FC 1–4 New York Red Bulls W 2024-09-28 New York Red Bulls 1–5 New York City FC L 2024-09-21 New York Red Bulls 2–2 Atlanta United FC D 2024-09-15 Chicago Fire FC 2–1 New York Red Bulls L 2024-09-07 New York Red Bulls 1–1 Sporting Kansas City D

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

4 / 4

1.5 Atlanta United FC xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.6 New York Red Bulls xG

I would bet for: Atlanta United FC or New York Red Bulls 75% + Both teams to score 62%

Match Result

✓ Correct

Atlanta United FC40% Draw25% New York Red Bulls35%

Actual: Atlanta United FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes62% 0% No38%

Avg goals/match: 3.1

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	94%	6%
± 1.5	82%	18%
± 2.5	59%	41%
± 3.5	38%	62%
± 4.5	21%	79%

Double Chance

Atlanta United FC or Draw

66%

Draw or New York Red Bulls

60%

Atlanta United FC or New York Red Bulls

75%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct

Atlanta United FC27% Draw44% New York Red Bulls29%

Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

11.7%

1 – 2

8.3%

2 – 1

Actual

0 – 1

6.4%

2 – 2

6.2%

0 – 0

6.1%

1 – 0

5.9%

0 – 2

5.7%

2 – 0

1 – 3

4.4%

3 – 1

3.9%

2 – 3

3.4%

Asian Handicap — Atlanta United FC

Handicap	Atlanta United FC covers	Push	New York Red Bulls covers
-2.5	7%	—	93%
-2	7%	10%	83%
-1.5	17%	—	83%
-1	17%	18%	65%
-0.5	35%	—	65%
+0.5	61%	—	39%
+1	61%	19%	20%
+1.5	80%	—	20%
+2	80%	12%	8%
+2.5	92%	—	8%

Clean Sheet

Atlanta United FC keeps clean sheet

21% ✓

New York Red Bulls keeps clean sheet

23% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.