Atlanta United FC vs New York Red Bulls, MLS 2024 REGULAR SEASON

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MLS · 2024

Atlanta United FC

2 – 1

Full Time

New York Red Bulls

Sat 5 Oct 2024 · 23:30 UTC Mercedes-Benz Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'

Y 32' John Tolkin

R 66' Dylan Nealis

Y 70' Carlos Coronel

Stian Gregersen 70' Y

Y 70' Sean Nealis

Y 85' Emil Forsberg

Y 90' Noah Eile

Overview

Match Preview

Atlanta United FC vs New York Red Bulls — MLS at Mercedes-Benz Stadium.

Atlanta United FC 34 games · 33 pts (2026/26)
New York Red Bulls 34 games · 42 pts (2026/26)

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Nashville SC	34	77
2	Internacional CF Miami	34	60
3	New England Revolution	34	58
4	Chicago Fire FC	34	55
5	Charlotte FC	34	54
6	Philadelphia Union	34	50
7	Columbus Crew SC	34	47
8	FC Cincinnati	34	46
9	Orlando City SC	34	46
10	New York City FC	34	42
11	New York Red Bulls	34	42
12	Toronto FC	34	39
13	Atlanta United FC	34	33
14	D.C. United SC	34	33
15	Montreal Impact FC	34	26
16	Vancouver Whitecaps FC	34	64
17	FC Dallas	34	58
18	St. Louis City	34	54
19	San Jose Earthquakes	34	52
20	Houston Dynamo	34	51
21	Los Angeles FC	34	47
22	Portland Timbers	34	46
23	Seattle Sounders FC	34	46
24	Real Salt Lake	34	45
25	Minnesota United FC	34	44
26	Los Angeles Galaxy	34	44
27	Colorado Rapids SC	34	43
28	San Diego FC	34	38
29	Austin FC	34	34
30	Sporting Kansas City	34	26

Head-to-Head

Atlanta United FC 20 games · Avg 2.3 goals New York Red Bulls

Last 5 meetings

2024-10-05 Atlanta United FC 2–1 New York Red Bulls 2024-09-21 New York Red Bulls 2–2 Atlanta United FC 2023-06-24 New York Red Bulls 4–0 Atlanta United FC 2023-04-01 Atlanta United FC 1–0 New York Red Bulls 2022-08-17 Atlanta United FC 1–2 New York Red Bulls

Recent Form

Atlanta United FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
05 Oct	New York Red Bulls	H	2–1	W
02 Oct	Montreal Impact FC	H	1–2	L
28 Sep	Philadelphia Union	A	1–1	D
21 Sep	New York Red Bulls	A	2–2	D
18 Sep	Internacional CF Miami	H	2–2	D
14 Sep	Nashville SC	H	0–2	L

New York Red Bulls

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
05 Oct	Atlanta United FC	A	1–2	L
02 Oct	Toronto FC	A	4–1	W
28 Sep	New York City FC	H	1–5	L
21 Sep	Atlanta United FC	H	2–2	D
15 Sep	Chicago Fire FC	A	1–2	L
07 Sep	Sporting Kansas City	H	1–1	D

Season Stats

Atlanta United FC		New York Red Bulls
#13	Position	#11
33	Points	42
34	Played	34
9 / 6 / 19	W / D / L	12 / 6 / 16
43	Scored	48
60	Conceded	62
-17	GD	-14
0.97	PPG	1.24
26%	Win %	35%

Key Stats

35% Both Teams to Score
H2H (20 games)

50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

15% Clean Sheets
Atlanta United FC this season

24% Clean Sheets
New York Red Bulls this season

Atlanta United FC are 13th (33 pts). New York Red Bulls are 11th (42 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Atlanta United FC

0-15

3/4

16-30

5/6

31-45

4/7

46-60

5/12

61-75

6/8

76+

7/11

■ Scored ■ Conceded

New York Red Bulls

0-15

7/7

16-30

4/3

31-45

8/7

46-60

7/10

61-75

4/6

76+

8/9

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Atlanta United FC

Aleksei Miranchuk

6 G

6 A

New York Red Bulls

Julian Hall	13 G	3 A
Jorge Ruvalcaba	8 G	1 A

Events

Match Events

0' Welcome to Mercedes-Benz Stadium that hosts another battle between Atlanta United FC and New York Red Bulls.
5' New York Red Bulls looks like a favorite considering 1 games won in last 2 matches with its main striker Adri Mehmeti scoring 1 goals.
10' It looks like no one’s ball. Atlanta United FC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
15' Supporters expect more eagerness from Brad Guzan, as he is very good at scoring at Mercedes-Benz Stadium with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
20' Atlanta United FC seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
25' Atlanta United FC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 25.
30' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Atlanta United FC side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
32' John Tolkin is having his name booked by the referee on 32.
37' Derrick Williams, a Ireland defender, has 2 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
42' The travelling New York Red Bulls supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
46' A change in the New York Red Bulls ranks — Andres Reyes exits the field as Dylan Nealis enters on 46.
51' Atlanta United FC are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against New York Red Bulls's shape.
56' Uruguay international Felipe Carballo has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
59' Time for substitution for New York Red Bulls. Felipe Carballo is replaced by Emil Forsberg.
60' Luis Abram is ready to make an impact after coming on for Derrick Williams at the 60 minute mark.
65' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
66' That is a card for New York Red Bulls. Dylan Nealis will be fuming at that decision.
70' New York Red Bulls player sees a card in front of him.
75' A goal from the Russia international Aleksei Miranchuk! He fires home on 75 to make it 1-0!
80' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
81' The supporters are chanting for Serge Ngoma. He replaces Cameron Harper on 81 minute.
85' Emil Forsberg has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 85.
85' It is a substitution in Atlanta United FC team. Edwin Mosquera is replaced by Tyler Wolff on 85 minute.
90' The referee has no hesitation. Noah Eile is booked for New York Red Bulls — card on 90.
90' Dax McCarty is ready to make an impact after coming on for Aleksei Miranchuk at the 90 minute mark.
Another three points for Atlanta United FC.

Lineups

Atlanta United FC Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

4
Luis Abram ↑ 60'
13
Dax McCarty ↑ 90'
30
Nicolas Firmino
22
Josh Cohen
19
Daniel Rios ↑ 85'
28
Tyler Wolff ↑ 85'
24
Noah Cobb
25
Luke Brennan
47
Matthew Edwards

Coach Rob Valentino

New York Red Bulls Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

10
Emil Forsberg ↑ 59'
18
Ryan Meara
12
Dylan Nealis ↑ 46'
11
Elias Manoel ↑ 59'
22
Serge Ngoma ↑ 81'
5
Peter Stroud ↑ 85'
16
Julian Hall
2
Dennis Gjengaar
23
Aidan O'Connor

Coach Sandro Schwarz

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Josef Martinez	5
Bradley Wright-Phillips	3
Daniel Royer	3
Tim Parker	2
Justin Meram	2
Daniel Royer	2
Frankie Amaya	2
Aleksei Miranchuk	2

Head to Head

Atlanta United FC Form

2024-10-05 Atlanta United FC 2–1 New York Red Bulls W 2024-10-02 Atlanta United FC 1–2 Montreal Impact FC L 2024-09-28 Philadelphia Union 1–1 Atlanta United FC D 2024-09-21 New York Red Bulls 2–2 Atlanta United FC D 2024-09-18 Atlanta United FC 2–2 Internacional CF Miami D 2024-09-14 Atlanta United FC 0–2 Nashville SC L

New York Red Bulls Form

2024-10-05 Atlanta United FC 2–1 New York Red Bulls L 2024-10-02 Toronto FC 1–4 New York Red Bulls W 2024-09-28 New York Red Bulls 1–5 New York City FC L 2024-09-21 New York Red Bulls 2–2 Atlanta United FC D 2024-09-15 Chicago Fire FC 2–1 New York Red Bulls L 2024-09-07 New York Red Bulls 1–1 Sporting Kansas City D

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

4 / 4

1.54 Atlanta United FC xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.69 New York Red Bulls xG

I would bet for: Atlanta United FC or New York Red Bulls 75% + Both teams to score 64%

Match Result

✓ Correct

Atlanta United FC40% Draw25% New York Red Bulls35%

Actual: Atlanta United FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes64% 0% No36%

Avg goals/match: 3.23

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	94%	6%
± 1.5	83%	17%
± 2.5	62%	38%
± 3.5	40%	60%
± 4.5	23%	77%

Double Chance

Atlanta United FC or Draw

65%

Draw or New York Red Bulls

60%

Atlanta United FC or New York Red Bulls

75%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct

Atlanta United FC27% Draw43% New York Red Bulls30%

Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

11.2%

1 – 2

8.4%

2 – 1

Actual

2 – 2

6.4%

0 – 1

5.9%

0 – 2

5.6%

0 – 0

5.5%

1 – 0

5.3%

1 – 3

4.7%

2 – 0

4.7%

3 – 1

3.9%

2 – 3

3.7%

Asian Handicap — Atlanta United FC

Handicap	Atlanta United FC covers	Push	New York Red Bulls covers
-2.5	7%	—	93%
-2	7%	10%	83%
-1.5	17%	—	83%
-1	17%	17%	66%
-0.5	34%	—	66%
+0.5	60%	—	40%
+1	60%	19%	21%
+1.5	79%	—	21%
+2	79%	12%	9%
+2.5	91%	—	9%

Clean Sheet

Atlanta United FC keeps clean sheet

19% ✓

New York Red Bulls keeps clean sheet

22% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.