FC Bayern München vs Borussia Dortmund, Bundesliga 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Refresh

Bundesliga · 2025-26

FC Bayern München

2 – 1

Full Time

Borussia Dortmund

Sat 18 Oct 2025 · 16:30 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

FC Bayern München vs Borussia Dortmund — Bundesliga .

FC Bayern München 34 games · 89 pts (2025/26)
Borussia Dortmund 34 games · 73 pts (2025/26)

Match Details

Referee Bastian Dankert

16 games this season 🟨 0.4/game ⚽ 4.1 goals/game

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	FC Bayern München	34	89
2	Borussia Dortmund	34	73
3	RB Leipzig	34	65
4	VfB Stuttgart	34	62
5	TSG 1899 Hoffenheim	34	61
6	Bayer 04 Leverkusen	34	59
7	SC Freiburg	34	47
8	Eintracht Frankfurt	34	44
9	FC Augsburg	34	43
10	1. FSV Mainz 05	34	40
11	1. FC Union Berlin	34	39
12	Borussia Monchengladbach	34	38
13	Hamburger SV	34	38
14	1. FC Koln	34	32
15	SV Werder Bremen	34	32
16	VfL Wolfsburg	34	29
17	1. FC Heidenheim 1846	34	26
18	FC St. Pauli 1910	34	26

Head-to-Head

FC Bayern München 22 games · Avg 4.0 goals Borussia Dortmund

Last 5 meetings

2025-10-18 FC Bayern München 2–1 Borussia Dortmund 2025-04-12 FC Bayern München 2–2 Borussia Dortmund 2024-11-30 Borussia Dortmund 1–1 FC Bayern München 2024-03-30 FC Bayern München 0–2 Borussia Dortmund 2023-11-04 Borussia Dortmund 0–4 FC Bayern München

Recent Form

FC Bayern München

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
18 Oct	Borussia Dortmund	H	2–1	W
04 Oct	Eintracht Frankfurt	A	3–0	W
30 Sep	Paphos FC	A	5–1	W
26 Sep	SV Werder Bremen	H	4–0	W
20 Sep	TSG 1899 Hoffenheim	A	4–1	W
17 Sep	Chelsea FC	H	3–1	W

Borussia Dortmund

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
18 Oct	FC Bayern München	A	1–2	L
04 Oct	RB Leipzig	H	1–1	D
01 Oct	Athletic Club	H	4–1	W
27 Sep	1. FSV Mainz 05	A	2–0	W
21 Sep	VfL Wolfsburg	H	1–0	W
16 Sep	Juventus FC	A	4–4	D

Season Stats

FC Bayern München		Borussia Dortmund
#1	Position	#2
89	Points	73
34	Played	34
28 / 5 / 1	W / D / L	22 / 7 / 5
122	Scored	70
36	Conceded	34
+86	GD	+36
2.62	PPG	2.15
82%	Win %	65%

Key Stats

73% Both Teams to Score
H2H (22 games)

82% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

35% Clean Sheets
FC Bayern München this season

44% Clean Sheets
Borussia Dortmund this season

FC Bayern München are 1st (89 pts). Borussia Dortmund are 2nd (73 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

FC Bayern München

0-15

3/1

16-30

1/4

31-45

4/2

46-60

6/1

61-75

3/1

76+

8/2

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Borussia Dortmund

0-15

2/1

16-30

–/–

31-45

3/2

46-60

1/–

61-75

1/–

76+

5/3

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

0' It’s Showtime! The match between FC Bayern Munchen and Borussia Dortmund is underway.
The referee blows the final whistle. Sensational lose for Borussia Dortmund.

Lineups

FC Bayern München Lineups

Borussia Dortmund Lineups

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Robert Lewandowski	13
Serge Gnabry	5
Erling Haaland	4
Kingsley Coman	3
Marco Reus	3
Harry Kane	3
Emre Can	2
Jamal Musiala	2

Head to Head

FC Bayern München Form

2025-10-18 FC Bayern München 2–1 Borussia Dortmund W 2025-10-04 Eintracht Frankfurt 0–3 FC Bayern München W 2025-09-30 Paphos FC 1–5 FC Bayern München W 2025-09-26 FC Bayern München 4–0 SV Werder Bremen W 2025-09-20 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim 1–4 FC Bayern München W 2025-09-17 FC Bayern München 3–1 Chelsea FC W

Borussia Dortmund Form

2025-10-18 FC Bayern München 2–1 Borussia Dortmund L 2025-10-04 Borussia Dortmund 1–1 RB Leipzig D 2025-10-01 Borussia Dortmund 4–1 Athletic Club W 2025-09-27 1. FSV Mainz 05 0–2 Borussia Dortmund W 2025-09-21 Borussia Dortmund 1–0 VfL Wolfsburg W 2025-09-16 Juventus FC 4–4 Borussia Dortmund D

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

4 / 4

2.39 FC Bayern München xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.31 Borussia Dortmund xG

I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 70% + Both teams to score 66%

Match Result

✓ Correct

FC Bayern München60% Draw21% Borussia Dortmund19%

Actual: FC Bayern München win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes66% 0% No34%

Avg goals/match: 3.7

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	96%	4%
± 1.5	88%	12%
± 2.5	70%	30%
± 3.5	50%	50%
± 4.5	31%	69%

Double Chance

FC Bayern München or Draw

80%

Draw or Borussia Dortmund

40%

FC Bayern München or Borussia Dortmund

79%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct

FC Bayern München45% Draw38% Borussia Dortmund17%

Actual: FC Bayern München win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

2 – 1

Actual

1 – 1

8.6%

2 – 0

7.1%

3 – 1

2 – 2

5.8%

1 – 0

5.5%

3 – 0

5.5%

1 – 2

3 – 2

4.6%

4 – 1

4.2%

0 – 0

3.7%

4 – 0

3.3%

Asian Handicap — FC Bayern München

Handicap	FC Bayern München covers	Push	Borussia Dortmund covers
-2.5	21%	—	79%
-2	21%	18%	61%
-1.5	39%	—	61%
-1	39%	21%	40%
-0.5	60%	—	40%
+0.5	81%	—	19%
+1	81%	11%	8%
+1.5	92%	—	8%
+2	92%	6%	3%
+2.5	97%	—	3%

Clean Sheet

FC Bayern München keeps clean sheet

28% ✓

Borussia Dortmund keeps clean sheet

10% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.