Thursday , 2 July 2026

Borussia Dortmund vs FC Bayern München, Bundesliga 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

Bundesliga · 2023-24
Sat 4 Nov 2023 · 17:30 UTC Signal Iduna Park 81,365 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 4' Dayot Upamecano
0–2 9' Harry Kane
0–3 72' Harry Kane
0–4 90+3' Harry Kane

Overview

Match Preview

Borussia Dortmund vs FC Bayern MünchenBundesliga at Signal Iduna Park.

Match Details

  • Referee Deniz Aytekin
  • Assistant 1 Christian Dietz
  • Assistant 2 Eduard Beitinger
16 games this season 🟨 1.3/game 5.3 goals/game 🟥 2 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
04 Nov FC Bayern München H 0–4 L
01 Nov TSG 1899 Hoffenheim H 1–0 W
29 Oct Eintracht Frankfurt A 3–3 D
25 Oct Newcastle United FC A 1–0 W
20 Oct SV Werder Bremen H 1–0 W
07 Oct 1. FC Union Berlin H 4–2 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
04 Nov Borussia Dortmund A 4–0 W
01 Nov 1. FC Saarbrucken A 1–2 L
28 Oct SV Darmstadt 98 H 8–0 W
24 Oct Galatasaray SK A 3–1 W
21 Oct 1. FSV Mainz 05 A 3–1 W
08 Oct SC Freiburg H 3–0 W

Season Stats

Borussia Dortmund FC Bayern München
#2 Position #1
73 Points 89
34 Played 34
22 / 7 / 5 W / D / L 28 / 5 / 1
70 Scored 122
34 Conceded 36
+36 GD +86
2.15 PPG 2.62
65% Win % 82%

Key Stats

73% Both Teams to Score
H2H (22 games)
82% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
44% Clean Sheets
Borussia Dortmund this season
35% Clean Sheets
FC Bayern München this season

Borussia Dortmund are 2nd (73 pts). FC Bayern München are 1st (89 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Borussia Dortmund
0-15
2/1
16-30
/
31-45
3/2
46-60
1/
61-75
1/
76+
5/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
FC Bayern München
0-15
3/1
16-30
1/4
31-45
4/2
46-60
6/1
61-75
3/1
76+
8/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.39 Borussia Dortmund xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.42 FC Bayern München xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 72% + Both teams to score 68%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Borussia Dortmund24% Draw23% FC Bayern München53%
Actual: FC Bayern München win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes68% 0% No32%
Avg goals/match: 3.81
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 97%
3%
± 1.5 89%
11%
± 2.5 72%
28%
± 3.5 52%
48%
± 4.5 33%
67%

Double Chance

Borussia Dortmund or Draw
46%
Draw or FC Bayern München
76%
Borussia Dortmund or FC Bayern München
77%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Borussia Dortmund19% Draw37% FC Bayern München44%
Actual: FC Bayern München win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 2
8.8%
1 – 1
8.3%
1 – 3
7%
0 – 2
6.6%
2 – 2
6%
0 – 3
5.1%
2 – 1
5.1%
0 – 1
5%
2 – 3
4.8%
1 – 4
4.2%
0 – 0
3.4%
0 – 4
Actual

Asian Handicap — Borussia Dortmund

Handicap Borussia Dortmund covers Push FC Bayern München covers
-2.5 3% 97%
-2 3% 6% 91%
-1.5 9% 91%
-1 9% 12% 79%
-0.5 21% 79%
+0.5 41% 59%
+1 41% 20% 39%
+1.5 61% 39%
+2 61% 17% 21%
+2.5 79% 21%

Clean Sheet

Borussia Dortmund keeps clean sheet
10%
FC Bayern München keeps clean sheet
26%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.