FC Bayern München vs 1. FSV Mainz 05, Bundesliga 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

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Bundesliga · 2025-26

FC Bayern München

2 – 2

Full Time

1. FSV Mainz 05

Sun 14 Dec 2025 · 16:30 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

FC Bayern München vs 1. FSV Mainz 05 — Bundesliga .

FC Bayern München 4 games · 10 pts (2026/27)
1. FSV Mainz 05 4 games · 7 pts (2026/27)

Match Details

Referee Robin Braun

3 games this season 🟨 4.0/game ⚽ 8.7 goals/game

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Borussia Dortmund	4	12
2	FC Bayern München	4	10
3	SC Freiburg	4	10
4	FC Augsburg	4	7
5	Bayer 04 Leverkusen	4	7
6	1. FSV Mainz 05	4	7
7	SV 07 Elversberg	4	7
8	SV Werder Bremen	4	7
9	RB Leipzig	4	6
10	Eintracht Frankfurt	4	5
11	FC Schalke 04	4	5
12	SC Paderborn 07	4	4
13	1. FC Köln	4	4
14	TSG 1899 Hoffenheim	4	3
15	VfB Stuttgart	4	3
16	Hamburger SV	4	3
17	1. FC Union Berlin	4	1
18	Borussia Mönchengladbach	4	0

Head-to-Head

FC Bayern München 18 games · Avg 4.8 goals 1. FSV Mainz 05

Last 5 meetings

2025-12-14 FC Bayern München 2–2 1. FSV Mainz 05 2025-04-26 FC Bayern München 3–0 1. FSV Mainz 05 2024-12-14 1. FSV Mainz 05 2–1 FC Bayern München 2024-10-30 1. FSV Mainz 05 0–4 FC Bayern München 2024-03-09 FC Bayern München 8–1 1. FSV Mainz 05

Recent Form

FC Bayern München

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
14 Dec	1. FSV Mainz 05	H	2–2	D
09 Dec	Sporting Clube de Portugal	H	3–1	W
06 Dec	VfB Stuttgart	A	5–0	W
03 Dec	1. FC Union Berlin	A	3–2	W
29 Nov	FC St. Pauli 1910	H	3–1	W
26 Nov	Arsenal FC	A	1–3	L

1. FSV Mainz 05

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
14 Dec	FC Bayern München	A	2–2	D
05 Dec	Borussia Mönchengladbach	H	0–1	L
30 Nov	SC Freiburg	A	0–4	L
21 Nov	TSG 1899 Hoffenheim	H	1–1	D
09 Nov	Eintracht Frankfurt	A	0–1	L
01 Nov	SV Werder Bremen	H	1–1	D

Season Stats

FC Bayern München		1. FSV Mainz 05
#2	Position	#6
10	Points	7
4	Played	4
3 / 1 / 0	W / D / L	2 / 1 / 1
14	Scored	10
2	Conceded	6
+12	GD	+4
2.50	PPG	1.75
75%	Win %	50%

Key Stats

78% Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)

100% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

50% Clean Sheets
FC Bayern München this season

50% Clean Sheets
1. FSV Mainz 05 this season

FC Bayern München are 2nd (10 pts). 1. FSV Mainz 05 are 6th (7 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

FC Bayern München

0-15

–/–

16-30

3/–

31-45

2/–

46-60

2/1

61-75

3/1

76+

3/–

■ Scored ■ Conceded

1. FSV Mainz 05

0-15

–/2

16-30

2/–

31-45

2/1

46-60

1/2

61-75

–/–

76+

5/1

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

FC Bayern München

Michael Olise	4 G	1 A
Harry Kane	3 G
Aleksandar Pavlovic	1 G	1 A
Dayot Upamecano	1 G
Luis Diaz	1 G

1. FSV Mainz 05

Phillip Tietz	4 G
Sheraldo Becker	2 G	3 A
Philipp Mwene	1 G	1 A
Ransford Konigsdorffer	1 G

Events

Match Events

0' Here we go! The referee blows the whistle and FC Bayern Munchen launch into their encounter with 1. FSV Mainz 05.
Both sets of fans can go home satisfied — a 2-2 draw is a fair result on the day.

Lineups

FC Bayern München Lineups

1. FSV Mainz 05 Lineups

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Jamal Musiala	9
Robert Lewandowski	7
Kingsley Coman	5
Harry Kane	5
Leon Goretzka	5
Leroy Sane	5
Maxim Choupo-Moting	3
James Rodriguez	3

Head to Head

FC Bayern München Form

2025-12-14 FC Bayern München 2–2 1. FSV Mainz 05 D 2025-12-09 FC Bayern München 3–1 Sporting Clube de Portugal W 2025-12-06 VfB Stuttgart 0–5 FC Bayern München W 2025-12-03 1. FC Union Berlin 2–3 FC Bayern München W 2025-11-29 FC Bayern München 3–1 FC St. Pauli 1910 W 2025-11-26 Arsenal FC 3–1 FC Bayern München L

1. FSV Mainz 05 Form

2025-12-14 FC Bayern München 2–2 1. FSV Mainz 05 D 2025-12-05 1. FSV Mainz 05 0–1 Borussia Mönchengladbach L 2025-11-30 SC Freiburg 4–0 1. FSV Mainz 05 L 2025-11-21 1. FSV Mainz 05 1–1 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim D 2025-11-09 Eintracht Frankfurt 1–0 1. FSV Mainz 05 L 2025-11-01 1. FSV Mainz 05 1–1 SV Werder Bremen D

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

2 / 4

3.11 FC Bayern München xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

0.88 1. FSV Mainz 05 xG

I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 74% + FC Bayern München to win 73%

Match Result

✗ Wrong

FC Bayern München73% Draw16% 1. FSV Mainz 0511%

Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes56% 0% No44%

Avg goals/match: 3.99

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	97%	3%
± 1.5	90%	10%
± 2.5	74%	26%
± 3.5	55%	45%
± 4.5	36%	64%

Double Chance

FC Bayern München or Draw

89%

Draw or 1. FSV Mainz 05

27%

FC Bayern München or 1. FSV Mainz 05

84%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

FC Bayern München61% Draw31% 1. FSV Mainz 058%

Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

2 – 0

9.2%

3 – 0

9.2%

3 – 1

7.9%

2 – 1

7.8%

4 – 0

4 – 1

6.2%

1 – 0

5.8%

1 – 1

5.8%

5 – 0

4.4%

5 – 1

3.9%

3 – 2

3.5%

2 – 2

Actual

Asian Handicap — FC Bayern München

Handicap	FC Bayern München covers	Push	1. FSV Mainz 05 covers
-2.5	41%	—	59%
-2	41%	21%	39%
-1.5	61%	—	39%
-1	61%	18%	20%
-0.5	80%	—	20%
+0.5	93%	—	7%
+1	93%	5%	2%
+1.5	98%	—	2%
+2	98%	2%	1%
+2.5	99%	—	1%

Clean Sheet

FC Bayern München keeps clean sheet

42% ✓

1. FSV Mainz 05 keeps clean sheet

5% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.