Thursday , 1 October 2026

1. FC Union Berlin vs FC Bayern München, DFB-Pokal 2025-26 LAST 16

DFB-Pokal · 2025-26
Wed 3 Dec 2025 · 19:45 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

1. FC Union Berlin vs FC Bayern München — DFB-Pokal .

Match Details

  • Referee Martin Petersen
3 games this season 🟨 4.3/game ⚽ 26.0 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
03 Dec FC Bayern München H 2–3 L
29 Nov 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 H 1–2 L
23 Nov FC St. Pauli 1910 A 1–0 W
08 Nov FC Bayern München H 2–2 D
01 Nov SC Freiburg H 0–0 D
29 Oct Arminia Bielefeld H 2–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
03 Dec 1. FC Union Berlin A 3–2 W
29 Nov FC St. Pauli 1910 H 3–1 W
26 Nov Arsenal FC A 1–3 L
22 Nov SC Freiburg H 6–2 W
08 Nov 1. FC Union Berlin A 2–2 D
04 Nov Paris Saint-Germain FC A 2–1 W

Key Stats

56% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
63% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
0% Clean Sheets
1. FC Union Berlin this season
0% Clean Sheets
FC Bayern München this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

1. FC Union Berlin
0-15
–/1
16-30
–/–
31-45
1/–
46-60
–/1
61-75
2/–
76+
1/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded
FC Bayern München
0-15
–/1
16-30
2/–
31-45
–/–
46-60
–/–
61-75
1/–
76+
1/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

1. FC Union Berlin
Marin Ljubicic 2 G 1 A
FC Bayern München
Harry Kane 2 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' KICK OFF: FC Bayern Munchen gets underway.
  • 1. FC Union Berlin will have plenty to reflect on. FC Bayern Munchen were simply the better side today.

Lineups

1. FC Union Berlin Lineups

FC Bayern München Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.45 1. FC Union Berlin xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.72 FC Bayern München xG
I would bet for: 1. FC Union Berlin or FC Bayern München 74% + Both teams to score 63%

Match Result

✓ Correct
1. FC Union Berlin31% Draw26% FC Bayern München43%
Actual: FC Bayern München win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes63% 0% No37%
Avg goals/match: 3.17
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 94%
6%
± 1.5 82%
18%
± 2.5 60%
40%
± 3.5 39%
61%
± 4.5 22%
78%

Double Chance

1. FC Union Berlin or Draw
57%
Draw or FC Bayern München
69%
1. FC Union Berlin or FC Bayern München
74%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
1. FC Union Berlin25% Draw43% FC Bayern München32%
Actual: FC Bayern München win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
11.4%
1 – 2
8.7%
2 – 1
7.3%
0 – 1
6.5%
2 – 2
6.3%
0 – 2
6.1%
0 – 0
5.8%
1 – 0
5.3%
1 – 3
4.9%
2 – 0
4.4%
2 – 3
Actual
3 – 1
3.6%

Asian Handicap — 1. FC Union Berlin

Handicap 1. FC Union Berlin covers Push FC Bayern München covers
-2.5 6% — 94%
-2 6% 9% 85%
-1.5 15% — 85%
-1 15% 17% 68%
-0.5 32% — 68%
+0.5 57% — 43%
+1 57% 20% 23%
+1.5 77% — 23%
+2 77% 13% 10%
+2.5 90% — 10%

Clean Sheet

1. FC Union Berlin keeps clean sheet
19% ✓
FC Bayern München keeps clean sheet
24% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.