Thursday , 2 July 2026

1. FC Union Berlin vs FC Bayern München, DFB-Pokal 2025-26 LAST 16

DFB-Pokal · 2025-26
Wed 3 Dec 2025 · 19:45 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

1. FC Union Berlin vs FC Bayern MünchenDFB-Pokal .

Match Details

  • Referee Martin Petersen
15 games this season 🟨 0.9/game 8.1 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
03 Dec FC Bayern München H 2–3 L
29 Nov 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 H 1–2 L
23 Nov FC St. Pauli 1910 A 1–0 W
08 Nov FC Bayern München H 2–2 D
01 Nov SC Freiburg H 0–0 D
29 Oct Arminia Bielefeld H 2–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
03 Dec 1. FC Union Berlin A 3–2 W
29 Nov FC St. Pauli 1910 H 3–1 W
26 Nov Arsenal FC A 1–3 L
22 Nov SC Freiburg H 6–2 W
08 Nov 1. FC Union Berlin A 2–2 D
04 Nov Paris Saint-Germain FC A 2–1 W

Key Stats

60% Both Teams to Score
H2H (15 games)
60% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

Lineups

1. FC Union Berlin Lineups

FC Bayern München Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.45 1. FC Union Berlin xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.72 FC Bayern München xG
I would bet for: 1. FC Union Berlin or FC Bayern München 74% + Both teams to score 63%

Match Result

✓ Correct
1. FC Union Berlin31% Draw26% FC Bayern München43%
Actual: FC Bayern München win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes63% 0% No37%
Avg goals/match: 3.17
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 94%
6%
± 1.5 82%
18%
± 2.5 60%
40%
± 3.5 39%
61%
± 4.5 22%
78%

Double Chance

1. FC Union Berlin or Draw
57%
Draw or FC Bayern München
69%
1. FC Union Berlin or FC Bayern München
74%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
1. FC Union Berlin25% Draw43% FC Bayern München32%
Actual: FC Bayern München win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
11.4%
1 – 2
8.7%
2 – 1
7.3%
0 – 1
6.5%
2 – 2
6.3%
0 – 2
6.1%
0 – 0
5.8%
1 – 0
5.3%
1 – 3
4.9%
2 – 0
4.4%
2 – 3
Actual
3 – 1
3.6%

Asian Handicap — 1. FC Union Berlin

Handicap 1. FC Union Berlin covers Push FC Bayern München covers
-2.5 6% 94%
-2 6% 9% 85%
-1.5 15% 85%
-1 15% 17% 68%
-0.5 32% 68%
+0.5 57% 43%
+1 57% 20% 23%
+1.5 77% 23%
+2 77% 13% 10%
+2.5 90% 10%

Clean Sheet

1. FC Union Berlin keeps clean sheet
19%
FC Bayern München keeps clean sheet
24%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.