Thursday , 2 July 2026

Paris Saint-Germain FC vs FC Bayern München, Club World Cup 2025 QUARTER FINALS

Sat 5 Jul 2025 · 16:00 UTC Mercedes-Benz Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Recent Form

Season Stats

Paris Saint-Germain FC FC Bayern München
#5 Position #10
6 Points 6
3 Played 3
2 / 0 / 1 W / D / L 2 / 0 / 1
6 Scored 12
1 Conceded 2
+5 GD +10
2.00 PPG 2.00
67% Win % 67%

Key Stats

56% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
71% Clean Sheets
Paris Saint-Germain FC this season
20% Clean Sheets
FC Bayern München this season

Paris Saint-Germain FC are 5th (6 pts). FC Bayern München are 10th (6 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Paris Saint-Germain FC
0-15
3/
16-30
2/2
31-45
4/3
46-60
/
61-75
1/
76+
5/
■ Scored ■ Conceded
FC Bayern München
0-15
2/2
16-30
4/
31-45
3/1
46-60
/1
61-75
3/1
76+
3/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Paris Saint-Germain FC
Fabian Ruiz 3 G 1 A
Achraf Hakimi 2 G 1 A
Ousmane Dembele 2 G 1 A
Joao Neves 2 G 1 A
Vitinha 1 G 2 A
FC Bayern München
Michael Olise 3 G 2 A
Harry Kane 3 G 1 A
Jamal Musiala 3 G
Kingsley Coman 2 G 2 A
Thomas Muller 2 G 1 A

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.28 Paris Saint-Germain FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.93 FC Bayern München xG
I would bet for: Paris Saint-Germain FC or Draw 74% + Under 2.5 goals 62%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Paris Saint-Germain FC44% Draw30% FC Bayern München26%
Actual: Paris Saint-Germain FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes45% 0% No55%
Avg goals/match: 2.21
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 87%
13%
± 1.5 65%
35%
± 2.5 38%
62%
± 3.5 19%
81%
± 4.5 8%
92%

Double Chance

Paris Saint-Germain FC or Draw
74%
Draw or FC Bayern München
56%
Paris Saint-Germain FC or FC Bayern München
70%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Paris Saint-Germain FC29% Draw52% FC Bayern München19%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
14%
0 – 0
13.2%
1 – 0
12.8%
0 – 1
9%
2 – 0
Actual
2 – 1
8.1%
1 – 2
5.9%
0 – 2
4.6%
2 – 2
3.9%
3 – 0
3.6%
3 – 1
3.5%
1 – 3
1.9%

Asian Handicap — Paris Saint-Germain FC

Handicap Paris Saint-Germain FC covers Push FC Bayern München covers
-2.5 7% 93%
-2 7% 13% 80%
-1.5 20% 80%
-1 20% 23% 57%
-0.5 43% 57%
+0.5 74% 26%
+1 74% 16% 9%
+1.5 91% 9%
+2 91% 7% 2%
+2.5 98% 2%

Clean Sheet

Paris Saint-Germain FC keeps clean sheet
40%
FC Bayern München keeps clean sheet
29%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.