Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Paris Saint-Germain FC vs FC Bayern München, Club World Cup 2025 QUARTER FINALS

Sat 5 Jul 2025 · 16:00 UTC Mercedes-Benz Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Recent Form

Season Stats

Paris Saint-Germain FC FC Bayern München
#5 Position #10
6 Points 6
3 Played 3
2 / 0 / 1 W / D / L 2 / 0 / 1
6 Scored 12
1 Conceded 2
+5 GD +10
2.00 PPG 2.00
67% Win % 67%

Key Stats

56% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
71% Clean Sheets
Paris Saint-Germain FC this season
20% Clean Sheets
FC Bayern München this season

Paris Saint-Germain FC are 5th (6 pts). FC Bayern München are 10th (6 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Paris Saint-Germain FC
0-15
3/–
16-30
2/2
31-45
4/3
46-60
–/–
61-75
1/–
76+
5/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded
FC Bayern München
0-15
2/2
16-30
4/–
31-45
3/1
46-60
–/1
61-75
3/1
76+
3/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Paris Saint-Germain FC
Fabian Ruiz 3 G 1 A
Achraf Hakimi 2 G 1 A
Ousmane Dembele 2 G 1 A
Joao Neves 2 G 1 A
Vitinha 1 G 2 A
FC Bayern München
Michael Olise 3 G 2 A
Harry Kane 3 G 1 A
Jamal Musiala 3 G
Kingsley Coman 2 G 2 A
Thomas Muller 2 G 1 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Three points are at stake. Paris Saint-Germain FC host FC Bayern Munchen — let the battle begin!
  • 5' FC Bayern Munchen have won 1065 goals from 542 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
  • 10' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 15' Paris Saint-Germain FC are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against FC Bayern Munchen's shape.
  • 20' Both keepers have barely been tested. Paris Saint-Germain FC and FC Bayern Munchen are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
  • 25' Over 25 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
  • 30' Paris Saint-Germain FC are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined FC Bayern Munchen backline.
  • 34' Time for substitution for FC Bayern Munchen. Josip Stanisic is replaced by Sacha Boey.
  • 39' Ecuador international William Pacho has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
  • 44' Paris Saint-Germain FC seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 46' It is a substitution in FC Bayern Munchen team. Jamal Musiala is replaced by Serge Gnabry on 46 minute.
  • 51' Supporters expect more eagerness from Jonathan Tah, as he is very good at scoring at Mercedes-Benz Stadium with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
  • 56' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 61' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 66' Fabian Ruiz is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for FC Bayern Munchen tonight.
  • 68' Konrad Laimer has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 68.
  • 70' Time for substitution for Paris Saint-Germain FC. Bradley Barcola is replaced by Ousmane Dembele.
  • 75' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 76' Vincent Kompany catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 76.
  • 78' Against the run of play, Desire Doue has scored! This game has turned on its head.
  • 80' It is a substitution in FC Bayern Munchen team. Aleksandar Pavlovic is replaced by Leon Goretzka on 80 minute.
  • 82' Paris Saint-Germain FC receives a card for a hard tackle on 82.
  • 84' Another substitution for Paris Saint-Germain FC to replace Khvicha Kvaratskhelia by Lucas Beraldo on 84 minute.
  • 88' The FC Bayern Munchen manager makes a substitution. Sacha Boey departs to be replaced by Raphael Guerreiro.
  • 90' A moment of madness from Lucas Hernandez on 90 minutes earns him a card. Paris Saint-Germain FC will be frustrated.
  • Full Time. Paris Saint-Germain FC beats FC Bayern Munchen

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.28 Paris Saint-Germain FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.93 FC Bayern München xG
I would bet for: Paris Saint-Germain FC or Draw 74% + Under 2.5 goals 62%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Paris Saint-Germain FC44% Draw30% FC Bayern München26%
Actual: Paris Saint-Germain FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes45% 0% No55%
Avg goals/match: 2.21
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 87%
13%
± 1.5 65%
35%
± 2.5 38%
62%
± 3.5 19%
81%
± 4.5 8%
92%

Double Chance

Paris Saint-Germain FC or Draw
74%
Draw or FC Bayern München
56%
Paris Saint-Germain FC or FC Bayern München
70%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Paris Saint-Germain FC29% Draw52% FC Bayern München19%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
14%
0 – 0
13.2%
1 – 0
12.8%
0 – 1
9%
2 – 0
Actual
2 – 1
8.1%
1 – 2
5.9%
0 – 2
4.6%
2 – 2
3.9%
3 – 0
3.6%
3 – 1
3.5%
1 – 3
1.9%

Asian Handicap — Paris Saint-Germain FC

Handicap Paris Saint-Germain FC covers Push FC Bayern München covers
-2.5 7% — 93%
-2 7% 13% 80%
-1.5 20% — 80%
-1 20% 23% 57%
-0.5 43% — 57%
+0.5 74% — 26%
+1 74% 16% 9%
+1.5 91% — 9%
+2 91% 7% 2%
+2.5 98% — 2%

Clean Sheet

Paris Saint-Germain FC keeps clean sheet
40% ✗
FC Bayern München keeps clean sheet
29% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.