FC Augsburg vs FC Bayern München, Bundesliga 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

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Bundesliga · 2023-24

FC Augsburg

2 – 3

Full Time

FC Bayern München

Sat 27 Jan 2024 · 14:30 UTC WWK Arena HT 45' · FT 45'

0–1 23' Aleksandar Pavlovic

0–2 45+5' Alphonso Davies

Ermedin Demirovic 52' 1–2

1–3 58' Harry Kane

Ermedin Demirovic pen 90+4' 2–3

Y 6' Matthijs de Ligt

Kevin Mbabu 19' Y

Y 67' Aleksandar Pavlovic

Iago Borduchi 69' Y

Y 80' Leroy Sane

Y 90' Raphael Guerreiro

Y 90' Maxim Choupo-Moting

Y 90' Manuel Neuer

Overview

Match Preview

FC Augsburg vs FC Bayern München — Bundesliga at WWK Arena.

FC Augsburg 9 games · 9 pts (2026/27)
FC Bayern München 9 games · 21 pts (2026/27)

Match Details

Referee Christian Dingert
Assistant 1 Benedikt Kempkes
Assistant 2 Nikolai Kimmeyer

5 games this season 🟨 3.4/game ⚽ 13.0 goals/game

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	FC Bayern München	9	21
2	Borussia Dortmund	9	21
3	SC Freiburg	9	19
4	RB Leipzig	9	18
5	Bayer 04 Leverkusen	9	16
6	SV Werder Bremen	9	15
7	SV 07 Elversberg	9	13
8	VfB Stuttgart	9	12
9	TSG 1899 Hoffenheim	9	12
10	Eintracht Frankfurt	9	12
11	Hamburger SV	9	12
12	1. FSV Mainz 05	9	10
13	SC Paderborn 07	9	10
14	FC Augsburg	9	9
15	1. FC Köln	9	9
16	1. FC Union Berlin	9	7
17	FC Schalke 04	9	6
18	Borussia Mönchengladbach	9	4

Head-to-Head

FC Augsburg 18 games · Avg 3.8 goals FC Bayern München

Last 5 meetings

2024-01-27 FC Augsburg 2–3 FC Bayern München 2023-08-27 FC Bayern München 3–1 FC Augsburg 2023-03-11 FC Bayern München 5–3 FC Augsburg 2022-10-19 FC Augsburg 2–5 FC Bayern München 2022-09-17 FC Augsburg 1–0 FC Bayern München

Recent Form

FC Augsburg

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
27 Jan	FC Bayern München	H	2–3	L
21 Jan	Borussia Mönchengladbach	A	2–1	W
13 Jan	Bayer 04 Leverkusen	H	0–1	L
20 Dec	VfB Stuttgart	A	0–3	L
16 Dec	Borussia Dortmund	H	1–1	D
09 Dec	SV Werder Bremen	A	0–2	L

FC Bayern München

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
27 Jan	FC Augsburg	A	3–2	W
24 Jan	1. FC Union Berlin	H	1–0	W
21 Jan	SV Werder Bremen	H	0–1	L
12 Jan	TSG 1899 Hoffenheim	H	3–0	W
20 Dec	VfL Wolfsburg	A	2–1	W
17 Dec	VfB Stuttgart	H	3–0	W

Season Stats

FC Augsburg		FC Bayern München
#14	Position	#1
9	Points	21
9	Played	9
2 / 3 / 4	W / D / L	6 / 3 / 0
20	Scored	29
20	Conceded	9
+0	GD	+20
1.00	PPG	2.33
22%	Win %	67%

Key Stats

72% Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)

72% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

11% Clean Sheets
FC Augsburg this season

22% Clean Sheets
FC Bayern München this season

FC Augsburg are 14th (9 pts). FC Bayern München are 1st (21 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

FC Augsburg

0-15

2/3

16-30

3/2

31-45

1/3

46-60

5/2

61-75

3/4

76+

6/6

■ Scored ■ Conceded

FC Bayern München

0-15

2/1

16-30

5/–

31-45

5/–

46-60

6/2

61-75

5/2

76+

5/3

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

FC Augsburg

Michael Gregoritsch	5 G
Robin Fellhauer	3 G
Fabian Rieder	2 G	5 A
Anton Kade	2 G	1 A
Rodrigo Ribeiro	2 G

FC Bayern München

Michael Olise	6 G	3 A
Harry Kane	4 G	7 A
Luis Diaz	4 G	1 A
Dayot Upamecano	3 G
Ismael Saibari	2 G	3 A

Events

Match Events

0' What a night it is going to be! FC Augsburg welcome FC Bayern Munchen for this crunch clash at WWK Arena.
5' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
6' FC Bayern Munchen player sees a Yellow card in front of him.
11' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
16' The 40-year-old Manuel Neuer has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
19' Kevin Mbabu has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a Yellow card on 19.
23' FC Bayern Munchen is taking the lead after the goal scored by Aleksandar Pavlovic on 23.
26' FC Bayern Munchen ring the changes. Kingsley Coman has done his job and it is now time for Mathys Tel to step up.
31' Sven Michel has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 20 cards already picked up this season.
36' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Ruben Vargas made 6 appearances and scored 31 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
41' Kristijan Jakic, a Croatia , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
46' Mathys Tel has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 1 goals to his name this season.
50' What a moment for Alphonso Davies! That strike on 45 puts his side firmly in control.
52' Ermedin Demirovic does the damage! The net is bulging and FC Augsburg surge ahead!
57' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 1 times this season with FC Bayern Munchen winning 0% of all matches.
58' Goal! Harry Kane scores his 284 goal in 395 matches.
61' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Harry Kane makes it 1-4.
62' The FC Augsburg manager makes a substitution. Phillip Tietz departs to be replaced by Dion Drena Beljo.
67' The referee does not hesitate — a Yellow card for Aleksandar Pavlovic on 67 minutes.
69' That looks like a foul for a Yellow card for Iago Borduchi.
74' FC Augsburg seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
75' The crowd applauds Iago Borduchi as he leaves the pitch. Arne Maier steps in for FC Augsburg.
80' The referee does not hesitate — a Yellow card for Leroy Sane on 80 minutes.
80' Another change for FC Augsburg made on 80 minute. Ruben Vargas leaves to be changed by Sven Michel.
85' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 85 minutes.
89' Leroy Sane makes way for Maxim Choupo-Moting at the 89 minute mark. A tactical switch from FC Bayern Munchen.
90' FC Bayern Munchen receives a Yellow card for a hard tackle on 90.
90' Lovro Zvonarek has so much to prove this time. He replaces Aleksandar Pavlovic on 90 minute.
Hope, you loved the show. Another epic battle is over with the score 2-3.

Lineups

FC Augsburg Lineups

4-3-1-2

Starting XI

Bench

40
Tomas Koubek
10
Arne Maier ↑ 75'
20
Sven Michel ↑ 80'
3
Mads Pedersen ↑ 62'
2
Robert Gumny
5
Patric Pfeiffer
7
Dion Drena Beljo ↑ 62'
18
Tim Breithaupt
27
Arne Engels ↑ 62'

Coach Jess Thorup

FC Bayern München Lineups

4-2-3-1

Starting XI

10
Leroy Sane ↓ Maxim Choupo-Moting 89'
15
Eric Dier
9
Harry Kane
4
Matthijs de Ligt
1
Manuel Neuer
11
Kingsley Coman ↓ Mathys Tel 26'
8
Leon Goretzka
22
Raphael Guerreiro
19
Alphonso Davies
42
Jamal Musiala ↓ Thomas Muller 89'
45
Aleksandar Pavlovic ↓ Lovro Zvonarek 90'

Bench

13
Maxim Choupo-Moting ↑ 89'
26
Sven Ulreich
25
Thomas Muller ↑ 89'
39
Mathys Tel ↑ 26'
41
Frans Kratzig
34
Lovro Zvonarek ↑ 90'

Coach Thomas Tuchel

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Harry Kane	6
Robert Lewandowski	5
Kingsley Coman	3
Mergim Berisha	3
Alphonso Davies	3
Ermedin Demirovic	3
Joshua Kimmich	2
Benjamin Pavard	2

Head to Head

FC Augsburg Form

2024-01-27 FC Augsburg 2–3 FC Bayern München L 2024-01-21 Borussia Mönchengladbach 1–2 FC Augsburg W 2024-01-13 FC Augsburg 0–1 Bayer 04 Leverkusen L 2023-12-20 VfB Stuttgart 3–0 FC Augsburg L 2023-12-16 FC Augsburg 1–1 Borussia Dortmund D 2023-12-09 SV Werder Bremen 2–0 FC Augsburg L

FC Bayern München Form

2024-01-27 FC Augsburg 2–3 FC Bayern München W 2024-01-24 FC Bayern München 1–0 1. FC Union Berlin W 2024-01-21 FC Bayern München 0–1 SV Werder Bremen L 2024-01-12 FC Bayern München 3–0 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim W 2023-12-20 VfL Wolfsburg 1–2 FC Bayern München W 2023-12-17 FC Bayern München 3–0 VfB Stuttgart W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

4 / 4

1.54 FC Augsburg xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

3.34 FC Bayern München xG

I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 85% + Both teams to score 75%

Match Result

✓ Correct

FC Augsburg19% Draw18% FC Bayern München63%

Actual: FC Bayern München win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes75% 0% No25%

Avg goals/match: 4.88

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	99%	1%
± 1.5	95%	5%
± 2.5	85%	15%
± 3.5	70%	30%
± 4.5	52%	48%

Double Chance

FC Augsburg or Draw

37%

Draw or FC Bayern München

81%

FC Augsburg or FC Bayern München

82%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct

FC Augsburg15% Draw30% FC Bayern München55%

Actual: FC Bayern München win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 3

7.2%

1 – 2

6.6%

1 – 4

5.9%

2 – 3

Actual

2 – 2

0 – 3

4.9%

1 – 1

4.6%

0 – 2

4.6%

2 – 4

4.5%

1 – 5

0 – 4

2 – 1

3.1%

Asian Handicap — FC Augsburg

Handicap	FC Augsburg covers	Push	FC Bayern München covers
-2.5	2%	—	98%
-2	2%	4%	94%
-1.5	6%	—	94%
-1	6%	8%	85%
-0.5	15%	—	85%
+0.5	30%	—	70%
+1	30%	18%	53%
+1.5	47%	—	53%
+2	47%	18%	34%
+2.5	66%	—	34%

Clean Sheet

FC Augsburg keeps clean sheet

4% ✓

FC Bayern München keeps clean sheet

22% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.