FC Augsburg vs FC Bayern München, Bundesliga 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

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Bundesliga · 2023-24

FC Augsburg

2 – 3

Full Time

FC Bayern München

Sat 27 Jan 2024 · 14:30 UTC WWK Arena HT 45' · FT 45'

0–1 23' Aleksandar Pavlovic

0–2 45+5' Alphonso Davies

Ermedin Demirovic 52' 1–2

1–3 58' Harry Kane

Ermedin Demirovic pen 90+4' 2–3

Y 6' Matthijs de Ligt

Kevin Mbabu 19' Y

Y 67' Aleksandar Pavlovic

Iago Borduchi 69' Y

Y 80' Leroy Sane

Y 90' Raphael Guerreiro

Y 90' Maxim Choupo-Moting

Y 90' Manuel Neuer

Overview

Match Preview

FC Augsburg vs FC Bayern München — Bundesliga at WWK Arena.

FC Augsburg 4 games · 7 pts (2026/27)
FC Bayern München 4 games · 10 pts (2026/27)

Match Details

Referee Christian Dingert
Assistant 1 Benedikt Kempkes
Assistant 2 Nikolai Kimmeyer

3 games this season 🟨 3.3/game ⚽ 13.3 goals/game

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Borussia Dortmund	4	12
2	FC Bayern München	4	10
3	SC Freiburg	4	10
4	FC Augsburg	4	7
5	Bayer 04 Leverkusen	4	7
6	1. FSV Mainz 05	4	7
7	SV 07 Elversberg	4	7
8	SV Werder Bremen	4	7
9	RB Leipzig	4	6
10	Eintracht Frankfurt	4	5
11	FC Schalke 04	4	5
12	SC Paderborn 07	4	4
13	1. FC Köln	4	4
14	TSG 1899 Hoffenheim	4	3
15	VfB Stuttgart	4	3
16	Hamburger SV	4	3
17	1. FC Union Berlin	4	1
18	Borussia Mönchengladbach	4	0

Head-to-Head

FC Augsburg 17 games · Avg 3.8 goals FC Bayern München

Last 5 meetings

2024-01-27 FC Augsburg 2–3 FC Bayern München 2023-08-27 FC Bayern München 3–1 FC Augsburg 2023-03-11 FC Bayern München 5–3 FC Augsburg 2022-10-19 FC Augsburg 2–5 FC Bayern München 2022-09-17 FC Augsburg 1–0 FC Bayern München

Recent Form

FC Augsburg

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
27 Jan	FC Bayern München	H	2–3	L
21 Jan	Borussia Mönchengladbach	A	2–1	W
13 Jan	Bayer 04 Leverkusen	H	0–1	L
20 Dec	VfB Stuttgart	A	0–3	L
16 Dec	Borussia Dortmund	H	1–1	D
09 Dec	SV Werder Bremen	A	0–2	L

FC Bayern München

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
27 Jan	FC Augsburg	A	3–2	W
24 Jan	1. FC Union Berlin	H	1–0	W
21 Jan	SV Werder Bremen	H	0–1	L
12 Jan	TSG 1899 Hoffenheim	H	3–0	W
20 Dec	VfL Wolfsburg	A	2–1	W
17 Dec	VfB Stuttgart	H	3–0	W

Season Stats

FC Augsburg		FC Bayern München
#4	Position	#2
7	Points	10
4	Played	4
2 / 1 / 1	W / D / L	3 / 1 / 0
11	Scored	14
6	Conceded	2
+5	GD	+12
1.75	PPG	2.50
50%	Win %	75%

Key Stats

71% Both Teams to Score
H2H (17 games)

71% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

25% Clean Sheets
FC Augsburg this season

50% Clean Sheets
FC Bayern München this season

FC Augsburg are 4th (7 pts). FC Bayern München are 2nd (10 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

FC Augsburg

0-15

–/1

16-30

2/1

31-45

–/–

46-60

5/–

61-75

1/1

76+

3/3

■ Scored ■ Conceded

FC Bayern München

0-15

–/–

16-30

3/–

31-45

2/–

46-60

2/1

61-75

3/1

76+

3/–

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

FC Augsburg

Michael Gregoritsch	3 G
Robin Fellhauer	2 G
Anton Kade	1 G	1 A
Rodrigo Ribeiro	1 G

FC Bayern München

Michael Olise	4 G	1 A
Harry Kane	3 G
Aleksandar Pavlovic	1 G	1 A
Dayot Upamecano	1 G
Luis Diaz	1 G

Events

Match Events

0' The game is set. FC Augsburg kicks off things out of here…
5' It is a cagey affair so far. FC Augsburg in their 4-3-1-2 trying to find a way past FC Bayern Munchen's compact 4-2-3-1.
6' Matthijs de Ligt picks up a Yellow card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
11' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Jess Thorup will be considering his options from the bench.
16' Germany international Jamal Musiala has been a key figure this campaign — 7 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
19' The referee calls foul for Kevin Mbabu. He receives a Yellow card.
23' Goal! Aleksandar Pavlovic scores his 5 goal in 542 matches.
26' Another change for FC Bayern Munchen made on 26 minute. Kingsley Coman leaves to be changed by Mathys Tel.
31' FC Augsburg seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
36' It looks surprising FC Bayern Munchen does not make any changes. Jeffrey Gouweleeuw has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
41' The 28-year-old Ruben Vargas has been sensational this season — 3 goals and 2 assists is a remarkable return.
46' Kingsley Coman is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for FC Augsburg so far.
50' GOAL! Alphonso Davies scores on 45.
52' Ermedin Demirovic does the damage! The net is bulging and FC Augsburg surge ahead!
57' Both keepers have barely been tested. FC Augsburg and FC Bayern Munchen are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
58' Harry Kane has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 58 minutes.
61' Brilliant from the ! Harry Kane makes it 1-4 with a superb finish on 61.
62' FC Augsburg manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Dion Drena Beljo is hanging Phillip Tietz on the field on 62 minute.
67' The referee has no hesitation. Aleksandar Pavlovic is booked for FC Bayern Munchen — Yellow card on 67.
69' It’s gonna be a Yellow card for Iago Borduchi.
74' With 1 assists to his name this season, Eric Dier is clearly more than just a goal scorer for FC Augsburg.
75' FC Augsburg ring the changes. Iago Borduchi has done his job and it is now time for Arne Maier to step up.
80' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the Yellow card for Leroy Sane.
80' FC Augsburg make a change. Ruben Vargas trudges off to be replaced by Sven Michel on 80 minutes.
85' FC Augsburg currently sit 10 in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
89' Maxim Choupo-Moting is ready to make an impact after coming on for Leroy Sane at the 89 minute mark.
90' It’s a booking for FC Bayern Munchen player. Raphael Guerreiro gets a Yellow card.
90' Another change for FC Bayern Munchen made on 90 minute. Aleksandar Pavlovic leaves to be changed by Lovro Zvonarek.
What a match! Full time at {STADIUM} — FC Augsburg 2-3 FC Bayern Munchen.

Lineups

FC Augsburg Lineups

4-3-1-2

Starting XI

Bench

40
Tomas Koubek
10
Arne Maier ↑ 75'
20
Sven Michel ↑ 80'
3
Mads Pedersen ↑ 62'
2
Robert Gumny
5
Patric Pfeiffer
7
Dion Drena Beljo ↑ 62'
18
Tim Breithaupt
27
Arne Engels ↑ 62'

Coach Jess Thorup

FC Bayern München Lineups

4-2-3-1

Starting XI

10
Leroy Sane ↓ Maxim Choupo-Moting 89'
15
Eric Dier
9
Harry Kane
4
Matthijs de Ligt
1
Manuel Neuer
11
Kingsley Coman ↓ Mathys Tel 26'
8
Leon Goretzka
22
Raphael Guerreiro
19
Alphonso Davies
42
Jamal Musiala ↓ Thomas Muller 89'
45
Aleksandar Pavlovic ↓ Lovro Zvonarek 90'

Bench

13
Maxim Choupo-Moting ↑ 89'
26
Sven Ulreich
25
Thomas Muller ↑ 89'
39
Mathys Tel ↑ 26'
41
Frans Kratzig
34
Lovro Zvonarek ↑ 90'

Coach Thomas Tuchel

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Harry Kane	6
Robert Lewandowski	5
Mergim Berisha	3
Alphonso Davies	3
Ermedin Demirovic	3
Kingsley Coman	3
Mads Pedersen	2
Serge Gnabry	2

Head to Head

FC Augsburg Form

2024-01-27 FC Augsburg 2–3 FC Bayern München L 2024-01-21 Borussia Mönchengladbach 1–2 FC Augsburg W 2024-01-13 FC Augsburg 0–1 Bayer 04 Leverkusen L 2023-12-20 VfB Stuttgart 3–0 FC Augsburg L 2023-12-16 FC Augsburg 1–1 Borussia Dortmund D 2023-12-09 SV Werder Bremen 2–0 FC Augsburg L

FC Bayern München Form

2024-01-27 FC Augsburg 2–3 FC Bayern München W 2024-01-24 FC Bayern München 1–0 1. FC Union Berlin W 2024-01-21 FC Bayern München 0–1 SV Werder Bremen L 2024-01-12 FC Bayern München 3–0 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim W 2023-12-20 VfL Wolfsburg 1–2 FC Bayern München W 2023-12-17 FC Bayern München 3–0 VfB Stuttgart W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

4 / 4

1.22 FC Augsburg xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

2.69 FC Bayern München xG

I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 73% + Both teams to score 65%

Match Result

✓ Correct

FC Augsburg19% Draw20% FC Bayern München61%

Actual: FC Bayern München win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes65% 0% No35%

Avg goals/match: 3.91

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	97%	3%
± 1.5	90%	10%
± 2.5	73%	27%
± 3.5	54%	46%
± 4.5	35%	65%

Double Chance

FC Augsburg or Draw

39%

Draw or FC Bayern München

81%

FC Augsburg or FC Bayern München

80%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct

FC Augsburg15% Draw35% FC Bayern München50%

Actual: FC Bayern München win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 2

8.7%

1 – 3

7.6%

0 – 2

7.4%

1 – 1

7.4%

0 – 3

6.4%

0 – 1

5.2%

2 – 2

5.2%

1 – 4

5.1%

2 – 3

Actual

0 – 4

4.3%

2 – 1

2 – 4

3.2%

Asian Handicap — FC Augsburg

Handicap	FC Augsburg covers	Push	FC Bayern München covers
-2.5	2%	—	98%
-2	2%	4%	94%
-1.5	6%	—	94%
-1	6%	9%	85%
-0.5	15%	—	85%
+0.5	33%	—	67%
+1	33%	20%	47%
+1.5	53%	—	47%
+2	53%	19%	28%
+2.5	72%	—	28%

Clean Sheet

FC Augsburg keeps clean sheet

8% ✓

FC Bayern München keeps clean sheet

30% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.