Sunday , 16 August 2026

Sao Paulo FC vs EC Bahia, Serie A 2023 REGULAR SEASON

0 0
Full Time
Sun 30 Jul 2023 · 14:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Sao Paulo FC vs EC BahiaSerie A .

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
30 Jul EC Bahia H 0–0 D
22 Jul Cuiaba EC A 1–2 L
16 Jul Santos FC H 4–1 W
09 Jul RB Bragantino A 0–0 D
01 Jul Fluminense FC H 1–0 W
25 Jun Cruzeiro EC A 0–1 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
30 Jul Sao Paulo FC A 0–0 D
22 Jul SC Corinthians Paulista H 0–0 D
16 Jul CA Paranaense A 0–2 L
08 Jul Cuiaba EC A 1–1 D
01 Jul Gremio FBPA H 1–2 L
24 Jun Fluminense FC A 1–2 L

Season Stats

Sao Paulo FC EC Bahia
#12 Position #5
27 Points 33
22 Played 22
7 / 6 / 9 W / D / L 8 / 9 / 5
27 Scored 29
26 Conceded 25
+1 GD +4
1.23 PPG 1.50
32% Win % 36%

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)
44% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
23% Clean Sheets
Sao Paulo FC this season
41% Clean Sheets
EC Bahia this season

Sao Paulo FC are 12th (27 pts). EC Bahia are 5th (33 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Sao Paulo FC
0-15
3/
16-30
3/3
31-45
3/2
46-60
/8
61-75
3/2
76+
4/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
EC Bahia
0-15
2/1
16-30
1/3
31-45
3/4
46-60
2/
61-75
3/2
76+
5/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Sao Paulo FC
Jonathan Calleri 7 G 1 A
Luciano 6 G 1 A
Ferreira 4 G
Artur Guimaraes 3 G 1 A
EC Bahia
Luciano Juba 7 G 1 A
Everaldo 4 G
Willian Jose 3 G 1 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The match kicks off with home fans waiting with anticipation for Sao Paulo FC to score. At the same time, EC Bahia does not seem to pull back! Let’s get it on!
  • 5' Rafael Monteiro has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 20 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 10' The travelling EC Bahia supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 15' It’s high time made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 18' The referee calls foul for Matheus Bahia. He receives a Yellow card.
  • 23' EC Bahia has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 1 meetings.
  • 24' Sao Paulo FC make a change. Erison trudges off to be replaced by Juan Santos on 24 minutes.
  • 25' The referee has no hesitation. Gilberto is booked for EC Bahia — Yellow card on 25.
  • 25' Juan Santos is ready to make an impact after coming on for Erison at the 25 minute mark.
  • 30' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Matheus Bahia suffering a number of foals already.
  • 31' The referee does not hesitate — a Yellow card for Gabriel Xavier on 31 minutes.
  • 36' It looks like no one’s ball. EC Bahia is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 41' EC Bahia are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
  • 46' Ademir Santos needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
  • 51' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 56' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 61' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 66' Supporters expect more eagerness from Caio Paulista, as he is very good at scoring at with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
  • 67' Sao Paulo FC ring the changes. Rodrigo Nestor has done his job and it is now time for Michel Araujo to step up.
  • 68' Wellington Rato makes way for Alexandre Pato at the 68 minute mark. A tactical switch from Sao Paulo FC.
  • 73' Sao Paulo FC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 76' Rafael Ratao was booked on 76.
  • 81' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 86' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 90' EC Bahia manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Everaldo is hanging Ademir Santos on the field on 90 minute.
  • The final whistle. It looks like we are having a draw.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.24 Sao Paulo FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.81 EC Bahia xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 66% + Under — clean sheet likely 59%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Sao Paulo FC47% Draw30% EC Bahia23%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes41% 0% No59%
Avg goals/match: 2.05
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 85%
15%
± 1.5 61%
39%
± 2.5 34%
66%
± 3.5 16%
84%
± 4.5 6%
94%

Double Chance

Sao Paulo FC or Draw
77%
Draw or EC Bahia
53%
Sao Paulo FC or EC Bahia
70%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Sao Paulo FC30% Draw54% EC Bahia16%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 0
Actual
1 – 0
14.7%
1 – 1
13.8%
2 – 0
9.5%
0 – 1
9.1%
2 – 1
7.8%
1 – 2
5.1%
0 – 2
4%
3 – 0
3.9%
3 – 1
3.3%
2 – 2
3.3%
3 – 2
1.5%

Asian Handicap — Sao Paulo FC

Handicap Sao Paulo FC covers Push EC Bahia covers
-2.5 7% 93%
-2 7% 13% 80%
-1.5 20% 80%
-1 20% 24% 55%
-0.5 45% 55%
+0.5 77% 23%
+1 77% 15% 7%
+1.5 93% 7%
+2 93% 6% 2%
+2.5 98% 2%

Clean Sheet

Sao Paulo FC keeps clean sheet
45%
EC Bahia keeps clean sheet
30%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.