Sao Paulo FC vs EC Bahia, Serie A 2023 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Sao Paulo FC vs EC Bahia — Serie A .
- Sao Paulo FC 22 games · 27 pts (2026/26)
- EC Bahia 22 games · 33 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SE Palmeiras | 23 | 48 |
| 2 | CR Flamengo | 21 | 42 |
| 3 | CA Paranaense | 23 | 41 |
| 4 | Fluminense FC | 23 | 38 |
| 5 | EC Bahia | 22 | 33 |
| 6 | Cruzeiro EC | 22 | 33 |
| 7 | RB Bragantino | 22 | 32 |
| 8 | SC Corinthians Paulista | 22 | 32 |
| 9 | Coritiba FBC | 23 | 31 |
| 10 | Botafogo FR | 21 | 30 |
| 11 | CA Mineiro | 21 | 29 |
| 12 | Sao Paulo FC | 22 | 27 |
| 13 | EC Vitoria | 22 | 26 |
| 14 | Gremio FBPA | 21 | 25 |
| 15 | SC Internacional | 22 | 23 |
| 16 | Mirassol FC | 21 | 23 |
| 17 | Santos FC | 21 | 22 |
| 18 | CR Vasco da Gama | 21 | 22 |
| 19 | Clube do Remo | 22 | 22 |
| 20 | Chapecoense AF | 21 | 10 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jul | EC Bahia | H | 0–0 | D |
| 22 Jul | Cuiaba EC | A | 1–2 | L |
| 16 Jul | Santos FC | H | 4–1 | W |
| 09 Jul | RB Bragantino | A | 0–0 | D |
| 01 Jul | Fluminense FC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 25 Jun | Cruzeiro EC | A | 0–1 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jul | Sao Paulo FC | A | 0–0 | D |
| 22 Jul | SC Corinthians Paulista | H | 0–0 | D |
| 16 Jul | CA Paranaense | A | 0–2 | L |
| 08 Jul | Cuiaba EC | A | 1–1 | D |
| 01 Jul | Gremio FBPA | H | 1–2 | L |
| 24 Jun | Fluminense FC | A | 1–2 | L |
Season Stats
| Sao Paulo FC | EC Bahia | |
|---|---|---|
| #12 | Position | #5 |
| 27 | Points | 33 |
| 22 | Played | 22 |
| 7 / 6 / 9 | W / D / L | 8 / 9 / 5 |
| 27 | Scored | 29 |
| 26 | Conceded | 25 |
| +1 | GD | +4 |
| 1.23 | PPG | 1.50 |
| 32% | Win % | 36% |
Key Stats
50%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)
H2H (18 games)
44%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
23%
Clean Sheets
Sao Paulo FC this season
Sao Paulo FC this season
41%
Clean Sheets
EC Bahia this season
EC Bahia this season
Sao Paulo FC are 12th (27 pts). EC Bahia are 5th (33 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Sao Paulo FC
0-15
3/–
16-30
3/3
31-45
3/2
46-60
–/8
61-75
3/2
76+
4/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
EC Bahia
0-15
2/1
16-30
1/3
31-45
3/4
46-60
2/–
61-75
3/2
76+
5/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Sao Paulo FC
| Jonathan Calleri | 7 G | 1 A |
| Luciano | 6 G | 1 A |
| Ferreira | 4 G | |
| Artur Guimaraes | 3 G | 1 A |
EC Bahia
| Luciano Juba | 7 G | 1 A |
| Everaldo | 4 G | |
| Willian Jose | 3 G | 1 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' The match kicks off with home fans waiting with anticipation for Sao Paulo FC to score. At the same time, EC Bahia does not seem to pull back! Let’s get it on!
- 5' Rafael Monteiro has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 20 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
- 10' The travelling EC Bahia supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
- 15' It’s high time made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
- 18' The referee calls foul for Matheus Bahia. He receives a Yellow card.
- 23' EC Bahia has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 1 meetings.
- 24' Sao Paulo FC make a change. Erison trudges off to be replaced by Juan Santos on 24 minutes.
- 25' The referee has no hesitation. Gilberto is booked for EC Bahia — Yellow card on 25.
- 25' Juan Santos is ready to make an impact after coming on for Erison at the 25 minute mark.
- 30' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Matheus Bahia suffering a number of foals already.
- 31' The referee does not hesitate — a Yellow card for Gabriel Xavier on 31 minutes.
- 36' It looks like no one’s ball. EC Bahia is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
- 41' EC Bahia are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
- 46' Ademir Santos needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
- 51' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
- 56' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
- 61' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
- 66' Supporters expect more eagerness from Caio Paulista, as he is very good at scoring at with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
- 67' Sao Paulo FC ring the changes. Rodrigo Nestor has done his job and it is now time for Michel Araujo to step up.
- 68' Wellington Rato makes way for Alexandre Pato at the 68 minute mark. A tactical switch from Sao Paulo FC.
- 73' Sao Paulo FC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- 76' Rafael Ratao was booked on 76.
- 81' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
- 86' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
- 90' EC Bahia manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Everaldo is hanging Ademir Santos on the field on 90 minute.
- The final whistle. It looks like we are having a draw.
Lineups
Sao Paulo FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 22
- 7
- 5
- 38
- 13
- 11
- 27
- 29
- 35
- 49
- 23
Bench
- 93
- 8
- 28
- 21
- –
- 6
- 15
- 47
- 4
- 30
- 18
- 31
EC Bahia Lineups
Starting XI
- –
-
–
Ademir Santos ↓ Everaldo 90'
- –
- –
- –
- –
- 21
- –
- –
- –
- –
Bench
- –
- –
- –
- –
-
–
Everaldo ↑ 90'
- –
- –
- –
- –
- –
- –
- –
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Luciano | 6 |
| Willian Jose | 2 |
| Edigar Junio | 2 |
| Ferreira | 2 |
| Edigar Junio | 2 |
| Shaylon | 1 |
| Lizeiro | 1 |
| Artur Guimaraes | 1 |
Head to Head
Sao Paulo FC Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.24
Sao Paulo FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.81
EC Bahia xG
I would bet for:
Under 2.5 goals 66% + Under — clean sheet likely 59%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.05
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 85% |
|
15% |
| ± 1.5 | 61% |
|
39% |
| ± 2.5 | 34% |
|
66% |
| ± 3.5 | 16% |
|
84% |
| ± 4.5 | 6% |
|
94% |
Double Chance
Sao Paulo FC or Draw
77%
Draw or EC Bahia
53%
Sao Paulo FC or EC Bahia
70%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
0 – 0
Actual
1 – 0
14.7%
1 – 1
13.8%
2 – 0
9.5%
0 – 1
9.1%
2 – 1
7.8%
1 – 2
5.1%
0 – 2
4%
3 – 0
3.9%
3 – 1
3.3%
2 – 2
3.3%
3 – 2
1.5%
Asian Handicap — Sao Paulo FC
| Handicap | Sao Paulo FC covers | Push | EC Bahia covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 7% | — | 93% |
| -2 | 7% | 13% | 80% |
| -1.5 | 20% | — | 80% |
| -1 | 20% | 24% | 55% |
| -0.5 | 45% | — | 55% |
| +0.5 | 77% | — | 23% |
| +1 | 77% | 15% | 7% |
| +1.5 | 93% | — | 7% |
| +2 | 93% | 6% | 2% |
| +2.5 | 98% | — | 2% |
Clean Sheet
Sao Paulo FC keeps clean sheet
45%
✗
EC Bahia keeps clean sheet
30%
✗
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

