Saturday , 17 October 2026

Wrexham AFC vs Derby County FC, Championship 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Championship · 2025-26
Wrexham AFC
1 – 1
Full Time
Derby County FC
Sat 27 Sep 2025 · 11:30 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Wrexham AFC vs Derby County FC — Championship .

Match Details

  • Referee Tom Nield
6 games this season 🟨 1.7/game ⚽ 3.8 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Standings

# Team P Pts
1 Swansea City AFC 11 23
2 West Ham United FC 11 22
3 Middlesbrough FC 11 22
4 Birmingham City FC 11 20
5 West Bromwich Albion FC 11 20
6 Stoke City FC 11 19
7 Southampton FC 11 17
8 Wolverhampton Wanderers FC 10 17
9 Queens Park Rangers FC 11 17
10 Blackburn Rovers FC 11 15
11 Sheffield United FC 11 15
12 Millwall FC 11 15
13 Portsmouth FC 10 14
14 Wrexham AFC 11 14
15 Bolton Wanderers FC 11 14
16 Bristol City FC 11 14
17 Charlton Athletic FC 11 14
18 Lincoln City FC 11 12
19 Cardiff City FC 11 11
20 Watford FC 11 11
21 Norwich City FC 11 9
22 Burnley FC 11 8
23 Derby County FC 11 6
24 Preston North End FC 11 4

Head-to-Head

1
2
Wrexham AFC 3 games · Avg 2.3 goals Derby County FC
Last 5 meetings
2025-09-27 Wrexham AFC 1–1 Derby County FC

Recent Form

Wrexham AFC
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
27 Sep Derby County FC H 1–1 D
20 Sep Norwich City FC A 3–2 W
13 Sep Queens Park Rangers FC H 1–3 L
30 Aug Millwall FC A 2–0 W
23 Aug Sheffield Wednesday FC H 2–2 D
16 Aug West Bromwich Albion FC H 2–3 L
Derby County FC
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
27 Sep Wrexham AFC A 1–1 D
20 Sep Preston North End FC H 0–1 L
13 Sep West Bromwich Albion FC A 1–0 W
30 Aug Ipswich Town FC A 2–2 D
22 Aug Bristol City FC H 1–1 D
16 Aug Coventry City FC H 3–5 L

Season Stats

Wrexham AFC Derby County FC
#14 Position #23
14 Points 6
11 Played 11
3 / 5 / 3 W / D / L 1 / 3 / 7
15 Scored 9
16 Conceded 20
-1 GD -11
1.27 PPG 0.55
27% Win % 9%

Key Stats

100% Both Teams to Score
H2H (3 games)
33% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
18% Clean Sheets
Wrexham AFC this season
9% Clean Sheets
Derby County FC this season

Wrexham AFC are 14th (14 pts). Derby County FC are 23rd (6 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Wrexham AFC
0-15
1/3
16-30
1/2
31-45
3/2
46-60
4/2
61-75
3/2
76+
1/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Derby County FC
0-15
1/2
16-30
3/4
31-45
1/5
46-60
1/1
61-75
1/3
76+
2/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Wrexham AFC
Kieffer Moore 4 G 2 A
Jacques Ekomie 2 G
Danny Imray 1 G 1 A
Derby County FC
Samuel Szmodics 3 G 1 A
Bobby Clark 2 G 2 A
Carlton Morris 1 G 1 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' In just a few seconds will turn into a battlefield for Wrexham AFC and Derby County FC.
  • The final whistle goes. A composed, disciplined performance from to claim maximum points.

Lineups

Wrexham AFC Lineups

Derby County FC Lineups

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.56 Wrexham AFC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.13 Derby County FC xG
I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Wrexham AFC46% Draw27% Derby County FC27%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes54% 0% No46%
Avg goals/match: 2.69
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 91%
9%
± 1.5 75%
25%
± 2.5 50%
50%
± 3.5 29%
71%
± 4.5 14%
86%

Double Chance

Wrexham AFC or Draw
73%
Draw or Derby County FC
54%
Wrexham AFC or Derby County FC
73%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Wrexham AFC33% Draw47% Derby County FC20%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
Actual
1 – 0
9.6%
2 – 1
9%
0 – 0
8.7%
2 – 0
8.1%
0 – 1
6.7%
1 – 2
6.5%
2 – 2
5.1%
3 – 1
4.7%
0 – 2
4.2%
3 – 0
4.1%
3 – 2
2.8%

Asian Handicap — Wrexham AFC

Handicap Wrexham AFC covers Push Derby County FC covers
-2.5 10% — 90%
-2 10% 14% 76%
-1.5 24% — 76%
-1 24% 22% 54%
-0.5 46% — 54%
+0.5 74% — 26%
+1 74% 16% 11%
+1.5 89% — 11%
+2 89% 7% 3%
+2.5 97% — 3%

Clean Sheet

Wrexham AFC keeps clean sheet
33% ✓
Derby County FC keeps clean sheet
22% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.