Wrexham AFC vs Derby County FC, Championship 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

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Championship · 2025-26

Wrexham AFC

1 – 1

Full Time

Derby County FC

Sat 27 Sep 2025 · 11:30 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Wrexham AFC vs Derby County FC — Championship .

Wrexham AFC 46 games · 71 pts (2026/27)
Derby County FC 46 games · 69 pts (2026/27)

Match Details

Referee Tom Nield

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Coventry City FC	46	95
2	Ipswich Town FC	46	84
3	Millwall FC	46	83
4	Southampton FC	46	80
5	Middlesbrough FC	46	80
6	Hull City AFC	46	73
7	Wrexham AFC	46	71
8	Derby County FC	46	69
9	Norwich City FC	46	65
10	Birmingham City FC	46	64
11	Swansea City AFC	46	64
12	Bristol City FC	46	62
13	Sheffield United FC	46	60
14	Preston North End FC	46	60
15	Queens Park Rangers FC	46	58
16	Watford FC	46	57
17	Stoke City FC	46	55
18	Portsmouth FC	46	55
19	Charlton Athletic FC	46	53
20	Blackburn Rovers FC	46	52
21	West Bromwich Albion FC	46	51
22	Oxford United FC	46	47
23	Leicester City FC	46	46
24	Sheffield Wednesday FC	46	0

Head-to-Head

Wrexham AFC 2 games · Avg 2.5 goals Derby County FC

Last 5 meetings

2025-09-27 Wrexham AFC 1–1 Derby County FC

Recent Form

Wrexham AFC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
27 Sep	Derby County FC	H	1–1	D
20 Sep	Norwich City FC	A	3–2	W
13 Sep	Queens Park Rangers FC	H	1–3	L
30 Aug	Millwall FC	A	2–0	W
23 Aug	Sheffield Wednesday FC	H	2–2	D
16 Aug	West Bromwich Albion FC	H	2–3	L

Derby County FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
27 Sep	Wrexham AFC	A	1–1	D
20 Sep	Preston North End FC	H	0–1	L
13 Sep	West Bromwich Albion FC	A	1–0	W
30 Aug	Ipswich Town FC	A	2–2	D
22 Aug	Bristol City FC	H	1–1	D
16 Aug	Coventry City FC	H	3–5	L

Season Stats

Wrexham AFC		Derby County FC
#7	Position	#8
71	Points	69
46	Played	46
19 / 14 / 13	W / D / L	20 / 9 / 17
69	Scored	67
65	Conceded	59
+4	GD	+8
1.54	PPG	1.50
41%	Win %	43%

Key Stats

100% Both Teams to Score
H2H (2 games)

50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Wrexham AFC are 7th (71 pts). Derby County FC are 8th (69 pts).

Events

Match Events

0' We are underway at . The crowd does wile while the referee lows the starting whistle.
The final score is 1-1.

Lineups

Wrexham AFC Lineups

Derby County FC Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

2 / 4

1.42 Wrexham AFC xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.49 Derby County FC xG

I would bet for: Wrexham AFC or Derby County FC 73% + Both teams to score 59%

Match Result

✗ Wrong

Wrexham AFC38% Draw27% Derby County FC35%

Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes59% 0% No41%

Avg goals/match: 2.91

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	93%	7%
± 1.5	79%	21%
± 2.5	55%	45%
± 3.5	33%	67%
± 4.5	18%	82%

Double Chance

Wrexham AFC or Draw

65%

Draw or Derby County FC

62%

Wrexham AFC or Derby County FC

73%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct

Wrexham AFC26% Draw45% Derby County FC29%

Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

Actual

1 – 2

8.3%

2 – 1

7.9%

0 – 0

7.2%

0 – 1

7.2%

1 – 0

6.8%

0 – 2

2 – 2

5.9%

2 – 0

5.4%

1 – 3

4.1%

3 – 1

3.7%

2 – 3

Asian Handicap — Wrexham AFC

Handicap	Wrexham AFC covers	Push	Derby County FC covers
-2.5	6%	—	94%
-2	6%	10%	83%
-1.5	17%	—	83%
-1	17%	18%	65%
-0.5	35%	—	65%
+0.5	62%	—	38%
+1	62%	19%	19%
+1.5	81%	—	19%
+2	81%	11%	7%
+2.5	93%	—	7%

Clean Sheet

Wrexham AFC keeps clean sheet

23% ✓

Derby County FC keeps clean sheet

25% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.