Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Wrexham AFC vs Derby County FC, Championship 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Championship · 2025-26
Sat 27 Sep 2025 · 11:30 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Wrexham AFC vs Derby County FC — Championship .

Match Details

  • Referee Tom Nield
4 games this season 🟨 1.5/game ⚽ 2.0 goals/game

Head-to-Head

1
1
Wrexham AFC 2 games · Avg 2.5 goals Derby County FC

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
27 Sep Derby County FC H 1–1 D
20 Sep Norwich City FC A 3–2 W
13 Sep Queens Park Rangers FC H 1–3 L
30 Aug Millwall FC A 2–0 W
23 Aug Sheffield Wednesday FC H 2–2 D
16 Aug West Bromwich Albion FC H 2–3 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
27 Sep Wrexham AFC A 1–1 D
20 Sep Preston North End FC H 0–1 L
13 Sep West Bromwich Albion FC A 1–0 W
30 Aug Ipswich Town FC A 2–2 D
22 Aug Bristol City FC H 1–1 D
16 Aug Coventry City FC H 3–5 L

Season Stats

Wrexham AFC Derby County FC
#14 Position #22
10 Points 5
8 Played 8
2 / 4 / 2 W / D / L 1 / 2 / 5
9 Scored 7
12 Conceded 14
-3 GD -7
1.25 PPG 0.63
25% Win % 13%

Key Stats

100% Both Teams to Score
H2H (2 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
25% Clean Sheets
Wrexham AFC this season
13% Clean Sheets
Derby County FC this season

Wrexham AFC are 14th (10 pts). Derby County FC are 22nd (5 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Wrexham AFC
0-15
1/2
16-30
1/2
31-45
1/1
46-60
3/2
61-75
1/2
76+
–/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Derby County FC
0-15
–/2
16-30
3/2
31-45
1/4
46-60
1/–
61-75
1/2
76+
1/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Wrexham AFC
Kieffer Moore 3 G 1 A
Jacques Ekomie 2 G
Danny Imray 1 G 1 A
Derby County FC
Bobby Clark 2 G 2 A
Samuel Szmodics 2 G 1 A
Carlton Morris 1 G 1 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' In just a few seconds will turn into a battlefield for Wrexham AFC and Derby County FC.
  • The final whistle goes. A composed, disciplined performance from to claim maximum points.

Lineups

Wrexham AFC Lineups

Derby County FC Lineups

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.35 Wrexham AFC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.17 Derby County FC xG
I would bet for: Wrexham AFC or Derby County FC 71%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Wrexham AFC41% Draw29% Derby County FC30%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes52% 0% No48%
Avg goals/match: 2.52
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 90%
10%
± 1.5 72%
28%
± 2.5 46%
54%
± 3.5 25%
75%
± 4.5 12%
88%

Double Chance

Wrexham AFC or Draw
70%
Draw or Derby County FC
59%
Wrexham AFC or Derby County FC
71%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Wrexham AFC28% Draw49% Derby County FC23%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
Actual
0 – 0
10.2%
1 – 0
9.8%
0 – 1
8.3%
2 – 1
8.3%
2 – 0
7.2%
1 – 2
7.1%
0 – 2
5.3%
2 – 2
4.9%
3 – 1
3.8%
3 – 0
3.2%
1 – 3
2.8%

Asian Handicap — Wrexham AFC

Handicap Wrexham AFC covers Push Derby County FC covers
-2.5 7% — 93%
-2 7% 12% 81%
-1.5 19% — 81%
-1 19% 21% 61%
-0.5 39% — 61%
+0.5 69% — 31%
+1 69% 18% 13%
+1.5 87% — 13%
+2 87% 9% 4%
+2.5 96% — 4%

Clean Sheet

Wrexham AFC keeps clean sheet
32% ✓
Derby County FC keeps clean sheet
27% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.