Wrexham AFC vs Derby County FC, Championship 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Wrexham AFC vs Derby County FC — Championship .
- Wrexham AFC 15 games · 18 pts (2026/27)
- Derby County FC 15 games · 10 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Tom Nield
6 games this season
🟨 2.5/game
⚽ 4.5 goals/game
🟥 1 total
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Birmingham City FC | 15 | 29 |
| 2 | Middlesbrough FC | 15 | 29 |
| 3 | Stoke City FC | 15 | 29 |
| 4 | Wolverhampton Wanderers FC | 15 | 28 |
| 5 | West Bromwich Albion FC | 15 | 28 |
| 6 | Swansea City AFC | 15 | 26 |
| 7 | Southampton FC | 15 | 24 |
| 8 | Queens Park Rangers FC | 15 | 24 |
| 9 | West Ham United FC | 15 | 23 |
| 10 | Sheffield United FC | 15 | 22 |
| 11 | Portsmouth FC | 15 | 22 |
| 12 | Norwich City FC | 15 | 21 |
| 13 | Blackburn Rovers FC | 15 | 21 |
| 14 | Cardiff City FC | 15 | 18 |
| 15 | Wrexham AFC | 15 | 18 |
| 16 | Millwall FC | 15 | 18 |
| 17 | Bristol City FC | 15 | 18 |
| 18 | Bolton Wanderers FC | 15 | 17 |
| 19 | Charlton Athletic FC | 15 | 17 |
| 20 | Watford FC | 15 | 15 |
| 21 | Lincoln City FC | 15 | 15 |
| 22 | Burnley FC | 15 | 10 |
| 23 | Derby County FC | 15 | 10 |
| 24 | Preston North End FC | 15 | 8 |
Head-to-Head
Last 5 meetings
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep | Derby County FC | H | 1–1 | D |
| 20 Sep | Norwich City FC | A | 3–2 | W |
| 13 Sep | Queens Park Rangers FC | H | 1–3 | L |
| 30 Aug | Millwall FC | A | 2–0 | W |
| 23 Aug | Sheffield Wednesday FC | H | 2–2 | D |
| 16 Aug | West Bromwich Albion FC | H | 2–3 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep | Wrexham AFC | A | 1–1 | D |
| 20 Sep | Preston North End FC | H | 0–1 | L |
| 13 Sep | West Bromwich Albion FC | A | 1–0 | W |
| 30 Aug | Ipswich Town FC | A | 2–2 | D |
| 22 Aug | Bristol City FC | H | 1–1 | D |
| 16 Aug | Coventry City FC | H | 3–5 | L |
Season Stats
| Wrexham AFC | Derby County FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #15 | Position | #23 |
| 18 | Points | 10 |
| 15 | Played | 15 |
| 4 / 6 / 5 | W / D / L | 2 / 4 / 9 |
| 18 | Scored | 14 |
| 20 | Conceded | 30 |
| -2 | GD | -16 |
| 1.20 | PPG | 0.67 |
| 27% | Win % | 13% |
Key Stats
100%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (3 games)
H2H (3 games)
33%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
20%
Clean Sheets
Wrexham AFC this season
Wrexham AFC this season
7%
Clean Sheets
Derby County FC this season
Derby County FC this season
Wrexham AFC are 15th (18 pts). Derby County FC are 23rd (10 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Wrexham AFC
0-15
1/3
16-30
2/4
31-45
3/3
46-60
4/2
61-75
4/2
76+
2/6
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Derby County FC
0-15
1/5
16-30
3/6
31-45
2/7
46-60
3/1
61-75
1/4
76+
4/7
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Wrexham AFC
| Kieffer Moore | 5 G | 2 A |
| Jacques Ekomie | 2 G | |
| Danny Imray | 1 G | 1 A |
Derby County FC
| Bobby Clark | 3 G | 2 A |
| Samuel Szmodics | 3 G | 1 A |
| Carlton Morris | 1 G | 1 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' Both captains have shaken hands and the referee is ready. We are underway at !
- The final whistle. It looks like we are having a draw.
Lineups
Wrexham AFC Lineups
Derby County FC Lineups
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Samuel Szmodics | 1 |
| Oliver Rathbone | 1 |
Head to Head
Wrexham AFC Form
Derby County FC Form
2025-09-27
Wrexham AFC
1–1
Derby County FC
D
2025-09-20
Derby County FC
0–1
Preston North End FC
L
2025-09-13
West Bromwich Albion FC
0–1
Derby County FC
W
2025-08-30
Ipswich Town FC
2–2
Derby County FC
D
2025-08-22
Derby County FC
1–1
Bristol City FC
D
2025-08-16
Derby County FC
3–5
Coventry City FC
L
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.51
Wrexham AFC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.14
Derby County FC xG
I would bet for:
Wrexham AFC or Draw 72%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.65
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 91% |
|
9% |
| ± 1.5 | 74% |
|
26% |
| ± 2.5 | 49% |
|
51% |
| ± 3.5 | 28% |
|
72% |
| ± 4.5 | 14% |
|
86% |
Double Chance
Wrexham AFC or Draw
72%
Draw or Derby County FC
55%
Wrexham AFC or Derby County FC
72%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
Actual
1 – 0
9.7%
0 – 0
9.1%
2 – 1
8.8%
2 – 0
7.9%
0 – 1
7.1%
1 – 2
6.7%
2 – 2
5.1%
0 – 2
4.5%
3 – 1
4.5%
3 – 0
3.9%
3 – 2
2.6%
Asian Handicap — Wrexham AFC
| Handicap | Wrexham AFC covers | Push | Derby County FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 9% | — | 91% |
| -2 | 9% | 14% | 77% |
| -1.5 | 23% | — | 77% |
| -1 | 23% | 22% | 56% |
| -0.5 | 44% | — | 56% |
| +0.5 | 73% | — | 27% |
| +1 | 73% | 16% | 11% |
| +1.5 | 89% | — | 11% |
| +2 | 89% | 8% | 4% |
| +2.5 | 96% | — | 4% |
Clean Sheet
Wrexham AFC keeps clean sheet
33%
✓
Derby County FC keeps clean sheet
23%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

