Thursday , 2 July 2026

Derby County FC vs Wrexham AFC, Championship 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Championship · 2025-26
Derby County FC
1 – 2
Full Time
Wrexham AFC
Sun 4 Jan 2026 · 15:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Derby County FC vs Wrexham AFC — Championship .

Match Details

  • Referee Matthew Corlett (England)
3 games this season 🟨 0.0/game ⚽ 3.0 goals/game

Standings

# Team P Pts
1 Coventry City FC 46 95
2 Ipswich Town FC 46 84
3 Millwall FC 46 83
4 Southampton FC 46 80
5 Middlesbrough FC 46 80
6 Hull City AFC 46 73
7 Wrexham AFC 46 71
8 Derby County FC 46 69
9 Norwich City FC 46 65
10 Birmingham City FC 46 64
11 Swansea City AFC 46 64
12 Bristol City FC 46 62
13 Sheffield United FC 46 60
14 Preston North End FC 46 60
15 Queens Park Rangers FC 46 58
16 Watford FC 46 57
17 Stoke City FC 46 55
18 Portsmouth FC 46 55
19 Charlton Athletic FC 46 53
20 Blackburn Rovers FC 46 52
21 West Bromwich Albion FC 46 51
22 Oxford United FC 46 47
23 Leicester City FC 46 46
24 Sheffield Wednesday FC 46 0

Head-to-Head

1
1
Derby County FC 2 games · Avg 2.5 goals Wrexham AFC
Last 5 meetings
2026-01-04 Derby County FC 1–2 Wrexham AFC 2025-09-27 Wrexham AFC 1–1 Derby County FC

Recent Form

Derby County FC
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
04 Jan Wrexham AFC H 1–2 L
01 Jan Middlesbrough FC H 1–0 W
29 Dec Leicester City FC A 1–2 L
26 Dec Birmingham City FC A 1–1 D
20 Dec Portsmouth FC H 1–1 D
15 Dec Sheffield Wednesday FC A 3–0 W
Wrexham AFC
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
04 Jan Derby County FC A 2–1 W
01 Jan Blackburn Rovers FC A 2–0 W
29 Dec Preston North End FC H 2–1 W
26 Dec Sheffield United FC H 5–3 W
19 Dec Swansea City AFC A 1–2 L
13 Dec Watford FC H 2–2 D

Season Stats

Derby County FC Wrexham AFC
#8 Position #7
69 Points 71
46 Played 46
20 / 9 / 17 W / D / L 19 / 14 / 13
67 Scored 69
59 Conceded 65
+8 GD +4
1.50 PPG 1.54
43% Win % 41%

Key Stats

100% Both Teams to Score
H2H (2 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Derby County FC are 8th (69 pts). Wrexham AFC are 7th (71 pts).

Events

Match Events

Lineups

Derby County FC Lineups

Wrexham AFC Lineups

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.41 Derby County FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.46 Wrexham AFC xG
I would bet for: Derby County FC or Wrexham AFC 72% + Both teams to score 58%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Derby County FC35% Draw28% Wrexham AFC37%
Actual: Wrexham AFC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes58% 0% No42%
Avg goals/match: 2.87
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 92%
8%
± 1.5 78%
22%
± 2.5 54%
46%
± 3.5 32%
68%
± 4.5 17%
83%

Double Chance

Derby County FC or Draw
63%
Draw or Wrexham AFC
65%
Derby County FC or Wrexham AFC
72%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Derby County FC27% Draw45% Wrexham AFC28%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.6%
1 – 2
Actual
2 – 1
7.9%
0 – 0
7.5%
0 – 1
7.4%
1 – 0
7.1%
0 – 2
6%
2 – 2
5.8%
2 – 0
5.5%
1 – 3
4%
3 – 1
3.7%
2 – 3
2.9%

Asian Handicap — Derby County FC

Handicap Derby County FC covers Push Wrexham AFC covers
-2.5 6% — 94%
-2 6% 10% 83%
-1.5 17% — 83%
-1 17% 18% 65%
-0.5 35% — 65%
+0.5 63% — 37%
+1 63% 19% 18%
+1.5 82% — 18%
+2 82% 11% 7%
+2.5 93% — 7%

Clean Sheet

Derby County FC keeps clean sheet
24% ✓
Wrexham AFC keeps clean sheet
25% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.