Sunday , 15 November 2026

Derby County FC vs Wrexham AFC, Championship 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Championship · 2025-26
Sun 4 Jan 2026 · 15:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Derby County FC vs Wrexham AFC — Championship .

Match Details

  • Referee Matthew Corlett (England)
4 games this season 🟨 3.5/game ⚽ 11.3 goals/game

Head-to-Head

2
1
Derby County FC 3 games · Avg 2.3 goals Wrexham AFC

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
04 Jan Wrexham AFC H 1–2 L
01 Jan Middlesbrough FC H 1–0 W
29 Dec Leicester City FC A 1–2 L
26 Dec Birmingham City FC A 1–1 D
20 Dec Portsmouth FC H 1–1 D
15 Dec Sheffield Wednesday FC A 3–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
04 Jan Derby County FC A 2–1 W
01 Jan Blackburn Rovers FC A 2–0 W
29 Dec Preston North End FC H 2–1 W
26 Dec Sheffield United FC H 5–3 W
19 Dec Swansea City AFC A 1–2 L
13 Dec Watford FC H 2–2 D

Season Stats

Derby County FC Wrexham AFC
#23 Position #15
10 Points 18
15 Played 15
2 / 4 / 9 W / D / L 4 / 6 / 5
14 Scored 18
30 Conceded 20
-16 GD -2
0.67 PPG 1.20
13% Win % 27%

Key Stats

100% Both Teams to Score
H2H (3 games)
33% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
7% Clean Sheets
Derby County FC this season
20% Clean Sheets
Wrexham AFC this season

Derby County FC are 23rd (10 pts). Wrexham AFC are 15th (18 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Derby County FC
0-15
1/5
16-30
3/6
31-45
2/7
46-60
3/1
61-75
1/4
76+
4/7
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Wrexham AFC
0-15
1/3
16-30
2/4
31-45
3/3
46-60
4/2
61-75
4/2
76+
2/6
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Derby County FC
Bobby Clark 3 G 2 A
Samuel Szmodics 3 G 1 A
Carlton Morris 1 G 1 A
Wrexham AFC
Kieffer Moore 5 G 2 A
Jacques Ekomie 2 G
Danny Imray 1 G 1 A

Events

Match Events

Lineups

Derby County FC Lineups

Wrexham AFC Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
0.98 Derby County FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.53 Wrexham AFC xG
I would bet for: Wrexham AFC or Draw 74%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Derby County FC26% Draw29% Wrexham AFC45%
Actual: Wrexham AFC win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes50% 0% No50%
Avg goals/match: 2.51
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 90%
10%
± 1.5 72%
28%
± 2.5 46%
54%
± 3.5 25%
75%
± 4.5 12%
88%

Double Chance

Derby County FC or Draw
55%
Draw or Wrexham AFC
74%
Derby County FC or Wrexham AFC
71%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Derby County FC18% Draw48% Wrexham AFC34%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.1%
0 – 1
11.4%
0 – 0
10.1%
0 – 2
9.2%
1 – 2
Actual
1 – 0
6.9%
2 – 1
5.8%
1 – 3
4.6%
0 – 3
4.6%
2 – 2
4.5%
2 – 0
3.8%
2 – 3
2.4%

Asian Handicap — Derby County FC

Handicap Derby County FC covers Push Wrexham AFC covers
-2.5 2% — 98%
-2 2% 6% 91%
-1.5 9% — 91%
-1 9% 14% 77%
-0.5 23% — 77%
+0.5 52% — 48%
+1 52% 23% 25%
+1.5 75% — 25%
+2 75% 15% 10%
+2.5 90% — 10%

Clean Sheet

Derby County FC keeps clean sheet
22% ✓
Wrexham AFC keeps clean sheet
38% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.