Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Derby County FC vs Oxford United FC, Championship 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Championship · 2024-25
Tue 11 Feb 2025 · 19:45 UTC Pride Park Stadium 25,999 HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Derby County FC vs Oxford United FC — Championship at Pride Park Stadium.

Match Details

  • Referee Stephen Martin (England)
  • Assistant 1 Carl Fitch-Jackson
  • Assistant 2 Sam Lewis (England)
4 games this season 🟨 4.0/game ⚽ 13.3 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
11 Feb Oxford United FC H 0–0 D
08 Feb Norwich City FC A 1–1 D
01 Feb Sheffield United FC H 0–1 L
25 Jan Cardiff City FC A 1–2 L
21 Jan Sunderland AFC H 0–1 L
18 Jan Watford FC H 0–2 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
11 Feb Derby County FC A 0–0 D
04 Feb Burnley FC A 0–1 L
01 Feb Bristol City FC H 1–1 D
25 Jan Stoke City FC A 0–0 D
21 Jan Luton Town FC H 3–2 W
18 Jan Blackburn Rovers FC H 1–0 W

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (8 games)
38% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
13% Clean Sheets
Derby County FC this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Derby County FC
0-15
–/2
16-30
3/2
31-45
1/4
46-60
1/–
61-75
1/2
76+
1/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Derby County FC
Bobby Clark 2 G 2 A
Samuel Szmodics 2 G 1 A
Carlton Morris 1 G 1 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The referee blows the starting whistle. The fans are roaring. The teams are ready for the match. Derby County FC is hosting Oxford United FC for another epic battle.
  • 5' Supporters expect more eagerness from David Ozoh, as he is very good at scoring at Pride Park Stadium with 1 goals in the last 1 games.
  • 10' It looks like no one’s ball. Derby County FC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 15' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 20' Derby County FC are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
  • 25' The travelling Oxford United FC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 30' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Derby County FC side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
  • 35' Ruben Rodrigues is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Oxford United FC so far.
  • 40' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 45' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 50' It’s high time Paul Warne made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 55' Oxford United FC is showing some good football. However, Oxford United FC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 59' The Derby County FC manager makes a substitution. Nathaniel Mendez-Laing departs to be replaced by Marcus Harness.
  • 64' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 65' The Oxford United FC bench stirs into life. Przemyslaw Placheta is withdrawn and Stanley Mills gets his opportunity.
  • 70' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Derby County FC and Oxford United FC are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
  • 75' A quiet spell here at Pride Park Stadium. Oxford United FC seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
  • 76' It is a substitution in Derby County FC team. Nathaniel Phillips is replaced by Ryan Nyambe on 76 minute.
  • 79' Tyler Goodrham is replacing Siriki Dembele for the Oxford United FC side.
  • 84' With 0 assists to his name this season, Nathaniel Phillips is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Derby County FC.
  • 89' Another change for Oxford United FC made on 89 minute. Mark Harris leaves to be changed by Matt Phillips.
  • 90' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Marcus Harness.
  • 90' The supporters are chanting for Thomas Barkhuizen. He replaces Kayden Jackson on 90 minute.
  • 0-0 the final result. will be bitterly disappointed.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.02 Derby County FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.94 Oxford United FC xG
I would bet for: Derby County FC or Draw 69% + Under 2.5 goals 69%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Derby County FC37% Draw33% Oxford United FC30%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes40% 0% No60%
Avg goals/match: 1.96
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 83%
17%
± 1.5 59%
41%
± 2.5 31%
69%
± 3.5 14%
86%
± 4.5 6%
94%

Double Chance

Derby County FC or Draw
69%
Draw or Oxford United FC
63%
Derby County FC or Oxford United FC
67%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Derby County FC24% Draw55% Oxford United FC21%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 0
Actual
1 – 1
14.5%
1 – 0
13%
0 – 1
11.8%
2 – 0
7%
2 – 1
6.7%
1 – 2
6.2%
0 – 2
5.9%
2 – 2
3.3%
3 – 0
2.4%
3 – 1
2.3%
1 – 3
2%

Asian Handicap — Derby County FC

Handicap Derby County FC covers Push Oxford United FC covers
-2.5 4% — 96%
-2 4% 10% 86%
-1.5 14% — 86%
-1 14% 21% 65%
-0.5 35% — 65%
+0.5 70% — 30%
+1 70% 19% 11%
+1.5 89% — 11%
+2 89% 8% 3%
+2.5 97% — 3%

Clean Sheet

Derby County FC keeps clean sheet
40% ✗
Oxford United FC keeps clean sheet
37% ✗

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.