Sunday , 16 August 2026

Derby County FC vs Oxford United FC, Championship 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Championship · 2024-25
Tue 11 Feb 2025 · 19:45 UTC Pride Park Stadium 25,999 HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Derby County FC vs Oxford United FCChampionship at Pride Park Stadium.

Match Details

  • Referee Stephen Martin (England)
  • Assistant 1 Carl Fitch-Jackson
  • Assistant 2 Sam Lewis (England)

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
11 Feb Oxford United FC H 0–0 D
08 Feb Norwich City FC A 1–1 D
01 Feb Sheffield United FC H 0–1 L
25 Jan Cardiff City FC A 1–2 L
21 Jan Sunderland AFC H 0–1 L
18 Jan Watford FC H 0–2 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
11 Feb Derby County FC A 0–0 D
04 Feb Burnley FC A 0–1 L
01 Feb Bristol City FC H 1–1 D
25 Jan Stoke City FC A 0–0 D
21 Jan Luton Town FC H 3–2 W
18 Jan Blackburn Rovers FC H 1–0 W

Season Stats

Derby County FC Oxford United FC
#23 Position #4
0 Points 47
0 Played 46
0 / 0 / 0 W / D / L 11 / 14 / 21
0 Scored 45
0 Conceded 59
+0 GD -14
PPG 1.02
Win % 24%

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (8 games)
38% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
0% Clean Sheets
Derby County FC this season

Derby County FC are 23rd (0 pts). Oxford United FC are 4th (47 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Derby County FC
0-15
/
16-30
1/
31-45
/
46-60
/
61-75
/1
76+
/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The ball is rolling at Pride Park Stadium. Derby County FC are looking to make home advantage count against Oxford United FC.
  • 5' Derby County FC is showing some good football. However, Derby County FC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 10' Derby County FC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 10.
  • 15' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 20' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 25' Derby County FC have won 452 goals from 385 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
  • 30' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Derby County FC side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
  • 35' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Derby County FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 40' It’s high time Gary Rowett made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 45' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 45 minutes.
  • 50' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 55' The energy levels are beginning to show. Gary Rowett might look to freshen things up shortly.
  • 59' The whistle greets Nathaniel Mendez-Laing as he departs to be replaced by Marcus Harness.
  • 64' Oxford United FC seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 65' It is a substitution in Oxford United FC team. Przemyslaw Placheta is replaced by Stanley Mills on 65 minute.
  • 70' Mark Harris needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 18 Yellow cards this season.
  • 75' It is a cagey affair so far. Derby County FC in their 3-5-2 trying to find a way past Oxford United FC's compact 4-2-3-1.
  • 76' A tactical swap from Derby County FCRyan Nyambe on, Nathaniel Phillips off on 76 minutes.
  • 79' Oxford United FC ring the changes. Siriki Dembele has done his job and it is now time for Tyler Goodrham to step up.
  • 84' Derby County FC are deployed in a 3-5-2 today, looking to exploit space against Oxford United FC's 4-2-3-1 shape.
  • 89' A change in the Oxford United FC ranks — Mark Harris exits the field as Matt Phillips enters on 89.
  • 90' It’s gonna be a card for Marcus Harness.
  • 90' A tactical swap from Derby County FCThomas Barkhuizen on, Kayden Jackson off on 90 minutes.
  • The final whistle. It looks like we are having a draw.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
0.38 Derby County FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.41 Oxford United FC xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 95% + Under — clean sheet likely 87%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Derby County FC26% Draw49% Oxford United FC25%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes13% 0% No87%
Avg goals/match: 0.79
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 51%
49%
± 1.5 20%
80%
± 2.5 5%
95%
± 3.5 1%
99%
± 4.5 0%
100%

Double Chance

Derby County FC or Draw
75%
Draw or Oxford United FC
74%
Derby County FC or Oxford United FC
51%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Derby County FC10% Draw79% Oxford United FC11%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 0
Actual
0 – 1
16.5%
1 – 0
14.9%
1 – 1
8.7%
0 – 2
3.2%
2 – 0
2.7%
1 – 2
1.8%
2 – 1
1.6%
2 – 2
0.5%
0 – 3
0.4%
3 – 0
0.3%
1 – 3
0.3%

Asian Handicap — Derby County FC

Handicap Derby County FC covers Push Oxford United FC covers
-2.5 0% 100%
-2 0% 3% 97%
-1.5 3% 97%
-1 3% 17% 80%
-0.5 20% 80%
+0.5 78% 22%
+1 78% 18% 4%
+1.5 96% 4%
+2 96% 3% 1%
+2.5 99% 1%

Clean Sheet

Derby County FC keeps clean sheet
66%
Oxford United FC keeps clean sheet
69%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.