Saturday , 14 November 2026

Derby County FC vs Oxford United FC, Championship 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Championship · 2024-25
Tue 11 Feb 2025 · 19:45 UTC Pride Park Stadium 25,999 HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Derby County FC vs Oxford United FC — Championship at Pride Park Stadium.

Match Details

  • Referee Stephen Martin (England)
  • Assistant 1 Carl Fitch-Jackson
  • Assistant 2 Sam Lewis (England)
4 games this season 🟨 5.0/game ⚽ 11.5 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
11 Feb Oxford United FC H 0–0 D
08 Feb Norwich City FC A 1–1 D
01 Feb Sheffield United FC H 0–1 L
25 Jan Cardiff City FC A 1–2 L
21 Jan Sunderland AFC H 0–1 L
18 Jan Watford FC H 0–2 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
11 Feb Derby County FC A 0–0 D
04 Feb Burnley FC A 0–1 L
01 Feb Bristol City FC H 1–1 D
25 Jan Stoke City FC A 0–0 D
21 Jan Luton Town FC H 3–2 W
18 Jan Blackburn Rovers FC H 1–0 W

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (8 games)
38% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
7% Clean Sheets
Derby County FC this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Derby County FC
0-15
1/5
16-30
3/6
31-45
2/7
46-60
3/1
61-75
1/4
76+
4/7
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Derby County FC
Bobby Clark 3 G 2 A
Samuel Szmodics 3 G 1 A
Carlton Morris 1 G 1 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Derby County FC have kicked off against Oxford United FC. Both sides are eager to make an early statement.
  • 5' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Derby County FC side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
  • 10' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Matt Phillips made 392 appearances and scored 29 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 15' Kenzo Goudmijn, a Netherlands midfielder, has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
  • 20' Derby County FC are deployed in a 3-5-2 today, looking to exploit space against Oxford United FC's 4-2-3-1 shape.
  • 25' Derby County FC are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Oxford United FC backline.
  • 30' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
  • 35' Derby County FC seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 40' Oxford United FC come into this ranked 17 in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
  • 45' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 50' It’s high time Paul Warne made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 55' With 0 assists to his name this season, Will Vaulks is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Oxford United FC.
  • 59' The Derby County FC manager makes a substitution. Nathaniel Mendez-Laing departs to be replaced by Marcus Harness.
  • 64' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Oxford United FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 65' A tactical swap from Oxford United FC — Stanley Mills on, Przemyslaw Placheta off on 65 minutes.
  • 70' Tyler Goodrham is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Oxford United FC so far.
  • 75' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • 76' A change in the Derby County FC ranks — Nathaniel Phillips exits the field as Ryan Nyambe enters on 76.
  • 79' Tyler Goodrham is replacing Siriki Dembele for the Oxford United FC side.
  • 84' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
  • 89' Matt Phillips is replacing Mark Harris for the Oxford United FC side.
  • 90' A meaty challenge results in booking for Marcus Harness on 90.
  • 90' Another substitution for Derby County FC to replace Kayden Jackson by Thomas Barkhuizen on 90 minute.
  • The final whistle goes. A composed, disciplined performance from to claim maximum points.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.02 Derby County FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.94 Oxford United FC xG
I would bet for: Derby County FC or Draw 69% + Under 2.5 goals 69%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Derby County FC37% Draw33% Oxford United FC30%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes40% 0% No60%
Avg goals/match: 1.96
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 83%
17%
± 1.5 59%
41%
± 2.5 31%
69%
± 3.5 14%
86%
± 4.5 6%
94%

Double Chance

Derby County FC or Draw
69%
Draw or Oxford United FC
63%
Derby County FC or Oxford United FC
67%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Derby County FC24% Draw55% Oxford United FC21%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 0
Actual
1 – 1
14.5%
1 – 0
13%
0 – 1
11.8%
2 – 0
7%
2 – 1
6.7%
1 – 2
6.2%
0 – 2
5.9%
2 – 2
3.3%
3 – 0
2.4%
3 – 1
2.3%
1 – 3
2%

Asian Handicap — Derby County FC

Handicap Derby County FC covers Push Oxford United FC covers
-2.5 4% — 96%
-2 4% 10% 86%
-1.5 14% — 86%
-1 14% 21% 65%
-0.5 35% — 65%
+0.5 70% — 30%
+1 70% 19% 11%
+1.5 89% — 11%
+2 89% 8% 3%
+2.5 97% — 3%

Clean Sheet

Derby County FC keeps clean sheet
40% ✗
Oxford United FC keeps clean sheet
37% ✗

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.