Derby County FC vs Oxford United FC, Championship 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Derby County FC vs Oxford United FC — Championship at Pride Park Stadium.
- Derby County FC 15 games · 10 pts (2026/27)
- Oxford United FC 46 games · 47 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Stephen Martin (England)
- Assistant 1 Carl Fitch-Jackson
- Assistant 2 Sam Lewis (England)
4 games this season
🟨 5.0/game
⚽ 11.5 goals/game
🟥 1 total
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Birmingham City FC | 15 | 29 |
| 2 | Middlesbrough FC | 15 | 29 |
| 3 | Stoke City FC | 15 | 29 |
| 4 | Wolverhampton Wanderers FC | 15 | 28 |
| 5 | West Bromwich Albion FC | 15 | 28 |
| 6 | Swansea City AFC | 15 | 26 |
| 7 | Southampton FC | 15 | 24 |
| 8 | Queens Park Rangers FC | 15 | 24 |
| 9 | West Ham United FC | 15 | 23 |
| 10 | Sheffield United FC | 15 | 22 |
| 11 | Portsmouth FC | 15 | 22 |
| 12 | Norwich City FC | 15 | 21 |
| 13 | Blackburn Rovers FC | 15 | 21 |
| 14 | Cardiff City FC | 15 | 18 |
| 15 | Wrexham AFC | 15 | 18 |
| 16 | Millwall FC | 15 | 18 |
| 17 | Bristol City FC | 15 | 18 |
| 18 | Bolton Wanderers FC | 15 | 17 |
| 19 | Charlton Athletic FC | 15 | 17 |
| 20 | Watford FC | 15 | 15 |
| 21 | Lincoln City FC | 15 | 15 |
| 22 | Burnley FC | 15 | 10 |
| 23 | Derby County FC | 15 | 10 |
| 24 | Preston North End FC | 15 | 8 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb | Oxford United FC | H | 0–0 | D |
| 08 Feb | Norwich City FC | A | 1–1 | D |
| 01 Feb | Sheffield United FC | H | 0–1 | L |
| 25 Jan | Cardiff City FC | A | 1–2 | L |
| 21 Jan | Sunderland AFC | H | 0–1 | L |
| 18 Jan | Watford FC | H | 0–2 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb | Derby County FC | A | 0–0 | D |
| 04 Feb | Burnley FC | A | 0–1 | L |
| 01 Feb | Bristol City FC | H | 1–1 | D |
| 25 Jan | Stoke City FC | A | 0–0 | D |
| 21 Jan | Luton Town FC | H | 3–2 | W |
| 18 Jan | Blackburn Rovers FC | H | 1–0 | W |
Key Stats
50%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (8 games)
H2H (8 games)
38%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
7%
Clean Sheets
Derby County FC this season
Derby County FC this season
Goal Timing (This Season)
Derby County FC
0-15
1/5
16-30
3/6
31-45
2/7
46-60
3/1
61-75
1/4
76+
4/7
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Derby County FC
| Bobby Clark | 3 G | 2 A |
| Samuel Szmodics | 3 G | 1 A |
| Carlton Morris | 1 G | 1 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' Derby County FC have kicked off against Oxford United FC. Both sides are eager to make an early statement.
- 5' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Derby County FC side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
- 10' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Matt Phillips made 392 appearances and scored 29 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 15' Kenzo Goudmijn, a Netherlands midfielder, has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
- 20' Derby County FC are deployed in a 3-5-2 today, looking to exploit space against Oxford United FC's 4-2-3-1 shape.
- 25' Derby County FC are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Oxford United FC backline.
- 30' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
- 35' Derby County FC seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
- 40' Oxford United FC come into this ranked 17 in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
- 45' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
- 50' It’s high time Paul Warne made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
- 55' With 0 assists to his name this season, Will Vaulks is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Oxford United FC.
- 59' The Derby County FC manager makes a substitution. Nathaniel Mendez-Laing departs to be replaced by Marcus Harness.
- 64' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Oxford United FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
- 65' A tactical swap from Oxford United FC — Stanley Mills on, Przemyslaw Placheta off on 65 minutes.
- 70' Tyler Goodrham is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Oxford United FC so far.
- 75' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
- 76' A change in the Derby County FC ranks — Nathaniel Phillips exits the field as Ryan Nyambe enters on 76.
- 79' Tyler Goodrham is replacing Siriki Dembele for the Oxford United FC side.
- 84' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
- 89' Matt Phillips is replacing Mark Harris for the Oxford United FC side.
- 90' A meaty challenge results in booking for Marcus Harness on 90.
- 90' Another substitution for Derby County FC to replace Kayden Jackson by Thomas Barkhuizen on 90 minute.
- The final whistle goes. A composed, disciplined performance from to claim maximum points.
Lineups
Derby County FC Lineups
3-5-2Starting XI
- 25
-
17
Kenzo Goudmijn ↓ Jerry Yates 59'
- 11
- 19
- 32
- 20
- 15
- 12
- 1
-
4
David Ozoh ↓ Harrison Armstrong 76'
- 6
Bench
- 8
- 3
-
18
Marcus Harness ↑ 59'
-
24
Ryan Nyambe ↑ 76'
- 31
-
10
Jerry Yates ↑ 59'
- 16
-
7
Thomas Barkhuizen ↑ 90'
-
28
Harrison Armstrong ↑ 76'
Coach
Paul Warne
Oxford United FC Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
-
9
Mark Harris ↓ Matt Phillips 89'
- 3
- 4
- 8
-
23
Siriki Dembele ↓ Tyler Goodrham 79'
- 1
- 47
- 7
- 30
- 22
-
18
Alex Matos ↓ Ruben Rodrigues 65'
Bench
-
10
Matt Phillips ↑ 89'
- 21
- 2
- 24
- 15
- 11
-
20
Ruben Rodrigues ↑ 65'
-
19
Tyler Goodrham ↑ 79'
-
–
Stanley Mills ↑ 65'
Coach
Gary Rowett
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Mark Harris | 2 |
| Sam Long | 2 |
| Louie Sibley | 2 |
| Cameron Brannagan | 2 |
| Martyn Waghorn | 1 |
| Conor Hourihane | 1 |
| Craig Forsyth | 1 |
| Liam Thompson | 1 |
Head to Head
Derby County FC Form
Oxford United FC Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.02
Derby County FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.94
Oxford United FC xG
I would bet for:
Derby County FC or Draw 69% + Under 2.5 goals 69%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 1.96
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 83% |
|
17% |
| ± 1.5 | 59% |
|
41% |
| ± 2.5 | 31% |
|
69% |
| ± 3.5 | 14% |
|
86% |
| ± 4.5 | 6% |
|
94% |
Double Chance
Derby County FC or Draw
69%
Draw or Oxford United FC
63%
Derby County FC or Oxford United FC
67%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
0 – 0
Actual
1 – 1
14.5%
1 – 0
13%
0 – 1
11.8%
2 – 0
7%
2 – 1
6.7%
1 – 2
6.2%
0 – 2
5.9%
2 – 2
3.3%
3 – 0
2.4%
3 – 1
2.3%
1 – 3
2%
Asian Handicap — Derby County FC
| Handicap | Derby County FC covers | Push | Oxford United FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 4% | — | 96% |
| -2 | 4% | 10% | 86% |
| -1.5 | 14% | — | 86% |
| -1 | 14% | 21% | 65% |
| -0.5 | 35% | — | 65% |
| +0.5 | 70% | — | 30% |
| +1 | 70% | 19% | 11% |
| +1.5 | 89% | — | 11% |
| +2 | 89% | 8% | 3% |
| +2.5 | 97% | — | 3% |
Clean Sheet
Derby County FC keeps clean sheet
40%
✗
Oxford United FC keeps clean sheet
37%
✗
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

