Oxford United FC vs Derby County FC, Championship 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

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Championship · 2025-26

Oxford United FC

1 – 0

Full Time

Derby County FC

Sat 18 Oct 2025 · 11:30 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Oxford United FC vs Derby County FC — Championship .

Oxford United FC 46 games · 47 pts (2026/27)
Derby County FC 46 games · 69 pts (2026/27)

Match Details

Referee James Bell

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Coventry City FC	46	95
2	Ipswich Town FC	46	84
3	Millwall FC	46	83
4	Southampton FC	46	80
5	Middlesbrough FC	46	80
6	Hull City AFC	46	73
7	Wrexham AFC	46	71
8	Derby County FC	46	69
9	Norwich City FC	46	65
10	Birmingham City FC	46	64
11	Swansea City AFC	46	64
12	Bristol City FC	46	62
13	Sheffield United FC	46	60
14	Preston North End FC	46	60
15	Queens Park Rangers FC	46	58
16	Watford FC	46	57
17	Stoke City FC	46	55
18	Portsmouth FC	46	55
19	Charlton Athletic FC	46	53
20	Blackburn Rovers FC	46	52
21	West Bromwich Albion FC	46	51
22	Oxford United FC	46	47
23	Leicester City FC	46	46
24	Sheffield Wednesday FC	46	0

Head-to-Head

Oxford United FC 8 games · Avg 2.3 goals Derby County FC

Last 5 meetings

2025-10-18 Oxford United FC 1–0 Derby County FC 2025-02-11 Derby County FC 0–0 Oxford United FC 2024-10-22 Oxford United FC 1–1 Derby County FC 2023-12-29 Oxford United FC 2–3 Derby County FC 2023-08-15 Derby County FC 1–2 Oxford United FC

Recent Form

Oxford United FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
18 Oct	Derby County FC	H	1–0	W
04 Oct	Watford FC	A	1–2	L
01 Oct	Queens Park Rangers FC	A	0–0	D
27 Sep	Sheffield United FC	H	0–1	L
21 Sep	Bristol City FC	A	3–1	W
13 Sep	Leicester City FC	H	2–2	D

Derby County FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
18 Oct	Oxford United FC	A	0–1	L
04 Oct	Southampton FC	H	1–1	D
30 Sep	Charlton Athletic FC	H	1–1	D
27 Sep	Wrexham AFC	A	1–1	D
20 Sep	Preston North End FC	H	0–1	L
13 Sep	West Bromwich Albion FC	A	1–0	W

Season Stats

Oxford United FC		Derby County FC
#22	Position	#8
47	Points	69
46	Played	46
11 / 14 / 21	W / D / L	20 / 9 / 17
45	Scored	67
59	Conceded	59
-14	GD	+8
1.02	PPG	1.50
24%	Win %	43%

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (8 games)

38% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Oxford United FC are 22nd (47 pts). Derby County FC are 8th (69 pts).

Events

Match Events

0' Welcome to that hosts another battle between Oxford United FC and Derby County FC.
Full Time. Oxford United FC beats Derby County FC

Lineups

Oxford United FC Lineups

Derby County FC Lineups

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Mark Harris	2
Sam Long	2
Louie Sibley	2
Cameron Brannagan	2
Conor Hourihane	1
Craig Forsyth	1
Liam Thompson	1
James Collins	1

Head to Head

Oxford United FC Form

2025-10-18 Oxford United FC 1–0 Derby County FC W 2025-10-04 Watford FC 2–1 Oxford United FC L 2025-10-01 Queens Park Rangers FC 0–0 Oxford United FC D 2025-09-27 Oxford United FC 0–1 Sheffield United FC L 2025-09-21 Bristol City FC 1–3 Oxford United FC W 2025-09-13 Oxford United FC 2–2 Leicester City FC D

Derby County FC Form

2025-10-18 Oxford United FC 1–0 Derby County FC L 2025-10-04 Derby County FC 1–1 Southampton FC D 2025-09-30 Derby County FC 1–1 Charlton Athletic FC D 2025-09-27 Wrexham AFC 1–1 Derby County FC D 2025-09-20 Derby County FC 0–1 Preston North End FC L 2025-09-13 West Bromwich Albion FC 0–1 Derby County FC W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

3 / 4

1.07 Oxford United FC xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.09 Derby County FC xG

I would bet for: Oxford United FC or Derby County FC 70% + Under 2.5 goals 64%

Match Result

✓ Correct

Oxford United FC40% Draw30% Derby County FC30%

Actual: Oxford United FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes45% 0% No55%

Avg goals/match: 2.16

Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	86%	14%
± 1.5	64%	36%
± 2.5	36%	64%
± 3.5	18%	82%
± 4.5	7%	93%

Double Chance

Oxford United FC or Draw

69%

Draw or Derby County FC

60%

Oxford United FC or Derby County FC

70%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

Oxford United FC23% Draw53% Derby County FC24%

Actual: Oxford United FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

14.4%

0 – 0

13.9%

0 – 1

11.3%

1 – 0

Actual

1 – 2

7.1%

2 – 1

6.9%

0 – 2

6.6%

2 – 0

6.3%

2 – 2

3.9%

1 – 3

2.6%

3 – 1

2.5%

0 – 3

2.4%

Asian Handicap — Oxford United FC

Handicap	Oxford United FC covers	Push	Derby County FC covers
-2.5	4%	—	96%
-2	4%	9%	87%
-1.5	13%	—	87%
-1	13%	20%	67%
-0.5	33%	—	67%
+0.5	66%	—	34%
+1	66%	20%	14%
+1.5	86%	—	14%
+2	86%	10%	4%
+2.5	96%	—	4%

Clean Sheet

Oxford United FC keeps clean sheet

34% ✗

Derby County FC keeps clean sheet

35% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.