Oxford United FC vs Derby County FC, Championship 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Oxford United FC vs Derby County FC — Championship .
- Oxford United FC 46 games · 47 pts (2026/27)
- Derby County FC 15 games · 10 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee James Bell
5 games this season
🟨 4.0/game
⚽ 8.2 goals/game
🟥 1 total
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Birmingham City FC | 15 | 29 |
| 2 | Middlesbrough FC | 15 | 29 |
| 3 | Stoke City FC | 15 | 29 |
| 4 | Wolverhampton Wanderers FC | 15 | 28 |
| 5 | West Bromwich Albion FC | 15 | 28 |
| 6 | Swansea City AFC | 15 | 26 |
| 7 | Southampton FC | 15 | 24 |
| 8 | Queens Park Rangers FC | 15 | 24 |
| 9 | West Ham United FC | 15 | 23 |
| 10 | Sheffield United FC | 15 | 22 |
| 11 | Portsmouth FC | 15 | 22 |
| 12 | Norwich City FC | 15 | 21 |
| 13 | Blackburn Rovers FC | 15 | 21 |
| 14 | Cardiff City FC | 15 | 18 |
| 15 | Wrexham AFC | 15 | 18 |
| 16 | Millwall FC | 15 | 18 |
| 17 | Bristol City FC | 15 | 18 |
| 18 | Bolton Wanderers FC | 15 | 17 |
| 19 | Charlton Athletic FC | 15 | 17 |
| 20 | Watford FC | 15 | 15 |
| 21 | Lincoln City FC | 15 | 15 |
| 22 | Burnley FC | 15 | 10 |
| 23 | Derby County FC | 15 | 10 |
| 24 | Preston North End FC | 15 | 8 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct | Derby County FC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 04 Oct | Watford FC | A | 1–2 | L |
| 01 Oct | Queens Park Rangers FC | A | 0–0 | D |
| 27 Sep | Sheffield United FC | H | 0–1 | L |
| 21 Sep | Bristol City FC | A | 3–1 | W |
| 13 Sep | Leicester City FC | H | 2–2 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct | Oxford United FC | A | 0–1 | L |
| 04 Oct | Southampton FC | H | 1–1 | D |
| 30 Sep | Charlton Athletic FC | H | 1–1 | D |
| 27 Sep | Wrexham AFC | A | 1–1 | D |
| 20 Sep | Preston North End FC | H | 0–1 | L |
| 13 Sep | West Bromwich Albion FC | A | 1–0 | W |
Key Stats
50%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (8 games)
H2H (8 games)
38%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
7%
Clean Sheets
Derby County FC this season
Derby County FC this season
Goal Timing (This Season)
Derby County FC
0-15
1/5
16-30
3/6
31-45
2/7
46-60
3/1
61-75
1/4
76+
4/7
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Derby County FC
| Bobby Clark | 3 G | 2 A |
| Samuel Szmodics | 3 G | 1 A |
| Carlton Morris | 1 G | 1 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' The referee blows the starting whistle. The fans are roaring. The teams are ready for the match. Oxford United FC is hosting Derby County FC for another epic battle.
- The points are shared — Oxford United FC 1-0 Derby County FC. Honours even.
Lineups
Oxford United FC Lineups
Derby County FC Lineups
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Sam Long | 2 |
| Louie Sibley | 2 |
| Cameron Brannagan | 2 |
| Mark Harris | 2 |
| Conor Hourihane | 1 |
| Craig Forsyth | 1 |
| Liam Thompson | 1 |
| James Collins | 1 |
Head to Head
Oxford United FC Form
2025-10-18
Oxford United FC
1–0
Derby County FC
W
2025-10-04
Watford FC
2–1
Oxford United FC
L
2025-10-01
Queens Park Rangers FC
0–0
Oxford United FC
D
2025-09-27
Oxford United FC
0–1
Sheffield United FC
L
2025-09-21
Bristol City FC
1–3
Oxford United FC
W
2025-09-13
Oxford United FC
2–2
Leicester City FC
D
Derby County FC Form
2025-10-18
Oxford United FC
1–0
Derby County FC
L
2025-10-04
Derby County FC
1–1
Southampton FC
D
2025-09-30
Derby County FC
1–1
Charlton Athletic FC
D
2025-09-27
Wrexham AFC
1–1
Derby County FC
D
2025-09-20
Derby County FC
0–1
Preston North End FC
L
2025-09-13
West Bromwich Albion FC
0–1
Derby County FC
W
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.16
Oxford United FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.93
Derby County FC xG
I would bet for:
Oxford United FC or Draw 74% + Under 2.5 goals 65%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Oxford United FC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.09
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 85% |
|
15% |
| ± 1.5 | 62% |
|
38% |
| ± 2.5 | 35% |
|
65% |
| ± 3.5 | 17% |
|
83% |
| ± 4.5 | 7% |
|
93% |
Double Chance
Oxford United FC or Draw
74%
Draw or Derby County FC
56%
Oxford United FC or Derby County FC
70%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Oxford United FC win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
0 – 0
14.7%
1 – 1
14.3%
1 – 0
Actual
0 – 1
10.2%
2 – 0
8%
2 – 1
7.5%
1 – 2
6%
0 – 2
5.1%
2 – 2
3.6%
3 – 0
3%
3 – 1
3%
1 – 3
1.9%
Asian Handicap — Oxford United FC
| Handicap | Oxford United FC covers | Push | Derby County FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 6% | — | 94% |
| -2 | 6% | 11% | 83% |
| -1.5 | 17% | — | 83% |
| -1 | 17% | 22% | 61% |
| -0.5 | 39% | — | 61% |
| +0.5 | 72% | — | 28% |
| +1 | 72% | 18% | 10% |
| +1.5 | 90% | — | 10% |
| +2 | 90% | 7% | 3% |
| +2.5 | 97% | — | 3% |
Clean Sheet
Oxford United FC keeps clean sheet
40%
✗
Derby County FC keeps clean sheet
32%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.