Oxford United FC vs Derby County FC, Championship 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

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Championship · 2025-26

Oxford United FC

1 – 0

Full Time

Derby County FC

Sat 18 Oct 2025 · 11:30 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Oxford United FC vs Derby County FC — Championship .

Oxford United FC 46 games · 47 pts (2026/27)
Derby County FC 7 games · 4 pts (2026/27)

Match Details

Referee James Bell

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	West Ham United FC	7	14
2	Swansea City AFC	7	14
3	West Bromwich Albion FC	7	14
4	Middlesbrough FC	6	13
5	Queens Park Rangers FC	7	12
6	Charlton Athletic FC	7	12
7	Southampton FC	7	10
8	Birmingham City FC	7	10
9	Stoke City FC	7	10
10	Bristol City FC	6	10
11	Norwich City FC	7	9
12	Millwall FC	6	9
13	Sheffield United FC	6	9
14	Wolverhampton Wanderers FC	5	8
15	Blackburn Rovers FC	7	8
16	Lincoln City FC	6	8
17	Watford FC	7	8
18	Portsmouth FC	6	7
19	Wrexham AFC	7	7
20	Bolton Wanderers FC	7	7
21	Cardiff City FC	7	4
22	Derby County FC	7	4
23	Preston North End FC	7	3
24	Burnley FC	7	3

Head-to-Head

Oxford United FC 8 games · Avg 2.3 goals Derby County FC

Last 5 meetings

2025-10-18 Oxford United FC 1–0 Derby County FC 2025-02-11 Derby County FC 0–0 Oxford United FC 2024-10-22 Oxford United FC 1–1 Derby County FC 2023-12-29 Oxford United FC 2–3 Derby County FC 2023-08-15 Derby County FC 1–2 Oxford United FC

Recent Form

Oxford United FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
18 Oct	Derby County FC	H	1–0	W
04 Oct	Watford FC	A	1–2	L
01 Oct	Queens Park Rangers FC	A	0–0	D
27 Sep	Sheffield United FC	H	0–1	L
21 Sep	Bristol City FC	A	3–1	W
13 Sep	Leicester City FC	H	2–2	D

Derby County FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
18 Oct	Oxford United FC	A	0–1	L
04 Oct	Southampton FC	H	1–1	D
30 Sep	Charlton Athletic FC	H	1–1	D
27 Sep	Wrexham AFC	A	1–1	D
20 Sep	Preston North End FC	H	0–1	L
13 Sep	West Bromwich Albion FC	A	1–0	W

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (8 games)

38% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

14% Clean Sheets
Derby County FC this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Derby County FC

0-15

–/2

16-30

3/2

31-45

1/3

46-60

1/–

61-75

1/2

76+

–/4

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Derby County FC

Samuel Szmodics	2 G
Carlton Morris	1 G	1 A
Bobby Clark	1 G	1 A

Events

Match Events

0' What a night it is going to be! Oxford United FC welcome Derby County FC for this crunch clash at .
The final score is 1-0.

Lineups

Oxford United FC Lineups

Derby County FC Lineups

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Sam Long	2
Louie Sibley	2
Cameron Brannagan	2
Mark Harris	2
Conor Hourihane	1
Craig Forsyth	1
Liam Thompson	1
James Collins	1

Head to Head

Oxford United FC Form

2025-10-18 Oxford United FC 1–0 Derby County FC W 2025-10-04 Watford FC 2–1 Oxford United FC L 2025-10-01 Queens Park Rangers FC 0–0 Oxford United FC D 2025-09-27 Oxford United FC 0–1 Sheffield United FC L 2025-09-21 Bristol City FC 1–3 Oxford United FC W 2025-09-13 Oxford United FC 2–2 Leicester City FC D

Derby County FC Form

2025-10-18 Oxford United FC 1–0 Derby County FC L 2025-10-04 Derby County FC 1–1 Southampton FC D 2025-09-30 Derby County FC 1–1 Charlton Athletic FC D 2025-09-27 Wrexham AFC 1–1 Derby County FC D 2025-09-20 Derby County FC 0–1 Preston North End FC L 2025-09-13 West Bromwich Albion FC 0–1 Derby County FC W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

3 / 4

1.16 Oxford United FC xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

0.93 Derby County FC xG

I would bet for: Oxford United FC or Draw 74% + Under 2.5 goals 65%

Match Result

✓ Correct

Oxford United FC44% Draw30% Derby County FC26%

Actual: Oxford United FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes43% 0% No57%

Avg goals/match: 2.09

Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	85%	15%
± 1.5	62%	38%
± 2.5	35%	65%
± 3.5	17%	83%
± 4.5	7%	93%

Double Chance

Oxford United FC or Draw

74%

Draw or Derby County FC

56%

Oxford United FC or Derby County FC

70%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

Oxford United FC27% Draw53% Derby County FC20%

Actual: Oxford United FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

0 – 0

14.7%

1 – 1

14.3%

1 – 0

Actual

0 – 1

10.2%

2 – 0

2 – 1

7.5%

1 – 2

0 – 2

5.1%

2 – 2

3.6%

3 – 0

3 – 1

1 – 3

1.9%

Asian Handicap — Oxford United FC

Handicap	Oxford United FC covers	Push	Derby County FC covers
-2.5	6%	—	94%
-2	6%	11%	83%
-1.5	17%	—	83%
-1	17%	22%	61%
-0.5	39%	—	61%
+0.5	72%	—	28%
+1	72%	18%	10%
+1.5	90%	—	10%
+2	90%	7%	3%
+2.5	97%	—	3%

Clean Sheet

Oxford United FC keeps clean sheet

40% ✗

Derby County FC keeps clean sheet

32% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.