Oxford United FC vs Derby County FC, League One 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Oxford United FC vs Derby County FC — League One at Kassam Stadium.
- Oxford United FC 13 games · 26 pts (2026/27)
- Derby County FC 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Will Finnie
- Assistant 1 Samuel Ogles
- Assistant 2 Kevin Morris
5 games this season
🟨 3.0/game
⚽ 12.0 goals/game
🟥 2 total
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Huddersfield Town AFC | 14 | 29 |
| 2 | Stockport County FC | 15 | 29 |
| 3 | Oxford United FC | 13 | 26 |
| 4 | Luton Town FC | 14 | 24 |
| 5 | Sheffield Wednesday FC | 14 | 23 |
| 6 | Plymouth Argyle FC | 15 | 23 |
| 7 | Reading FC | 15 | 22 |
| 8 | Bradford City AFC | 13 | 22 |
| 9 | Milton Keynes Dons FC | 14 | 21 |
| 10 | Cambridge United FC | 14 | 21 |
| 11 | Leicester City FC | 13 | 19 |
| 12 | Mansfield Town FC | 13 | 19 |
| 13 | Wycombe Wanderers FC | 13 | 18 |
| 14 | Leyton Orient FC | 13 | 17 |
| 15 | Burton Albion FC | 15 | 17 |
| 16 | Stevenage FC | 12 | 16 |
| 17 | AFC Wimbledon | 14 | 16 |
| 18 | Notts County FC | 12 | 14 |
| 19 | Wigan Athletic FC | 15 | 14 |
| 20 | Blackpool FC | 13 | 12 |
| 21 | Doncaster Rovers FC | 13 | 12 |
| 22 | Peterborough United FC | 13 | 10 |
| 23 | Barnsley FC | 13 | 9 |
| 24 | Bromley FC | 13 | 9 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Dec | Derby County FC | H | 2–3 | L |
| 26 Dec | Cambridge United FC | H | 2–1 | W |
| 23 Dec | Northampton Town FC | A | 1–2 | L |
| 16 Dec | Burton Albion FC | H | 3–0 | W |
| 12 Dec | Reading FC | A | 1–1 | D |
| 09 Dec | Peterborough United FC | A | 0–3 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Dec | Oxford United FC | A | 3–2 | W |
| 26 Dec | Wigan Athletic FC | A | 1–0 | W |
| 21 Dec | Lincoln City FC | H | 3–1 | W |
| 16 Dec | Wycombe Wanderers FC | H | 1–1 | D |
| 09 Dec | Leyton Orient FC | A | 3–0 | W |
| 28 Nov | Port Vale FC | A | 1–0 | W |
Key Stats
50%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (8 games)
H2H (8 games)
38%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
38%
Clean Sheets
Oxford United FC this season
Oxford United FC this season
Goal Timing (This Season)
Oxford United FC
0-15
2/–
16-30
2/1
31-45
3/2
46-60
3/2
61-75
3/2
76+
9/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Oxford United FC
| Mark Harris | 6 G | 1 A |
| Gatlin O'Donkor | 4 G | 2 A |
| Cameron Brannagan | 2 G | |
| Ciaron Brown | 1 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' Three points are at stake. Oxford United FC host Derby County FC — let the battle begin!
- 2' What a moment for Cameron Brannagan! That strike on 2 puts his side firmly in control.
- 2' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Joe Wildsmith.
- 7' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
- 12' Craig Forsyth is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Oxford United FC tonight.
- 13' What a strike from Cameron Brannagan! The score is 2-0.
- 18' Joe Ward has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 13 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
- 23' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Oxford United FC and Derby County FC are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
- 24' Derby County FC player sees a card in front of him.
- 29' Tyler Goodrham is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Oxford United FC so far.
- 34' Elliott Moore has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
- 39' The 27-year-old Mark Harris has been sensational this season — 6 goals and 1 assists is a remarkable return.
- 44' A quiet spell here at Kassam Stadium. Oxford United FC seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
- 46' James Henry gets the nod from Oxford United FC. He replaces Tyler Goodrham and will look to change the dynamic.
- 48' What a moment for Craig Forsyth! That strike on 45 puts his side firmly in control.
- 53' Oxford United FC seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
- 58' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Derby County FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
- 59' Thomas Barkhuizen is having his name booked by the referee on 59.
- 59' Another substitution for Oxford United FC to replace Stanley Mills by Josh McEachran on 59 minute.
- 61' Derby County FC make a change. James Collins trudges off to be replaced by Tyreece John-Jules on 61 minutes.
- 66' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Derby County FC that had 399 games and scored 463 goals.
- 67' James Beadle was booked on 67.
- 70' Jordan Thorniley has so much to prove this time. He replaces Mark Harris on 70 minute.
- 71' Tyreece John-Jules was booked on 71.
- 75' Time for substitution for Derby County FC. Craig Forsyth is replaced by Sonny Bradley.
- 80' Both keepers have barely been tested. Oxford United FC and Derby County FC are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
- 81' Liam Thompson adds to his 0 season tally! Derby County FC lead 2-2 — and this changes everything.
- 81' Liam Thompson has so much to prove this time. He replaces Thomas Barkhuizen on 81 minute.
- 86' Against the run of play, Eiran Cashin has scored! This game has turned on its head.
- 87' Another substitution for Oxford United FC to replace Marcus McGuane by Gatlin O'Donkor on 87 minute.
- Hope, you loved the show. Another epic battle is over with the score 2-3.
Lineups
Oxford United FC Lineups
Starting XI
-
9
Mark Harris ↓ Jordan Thorniley 70'
- 12
- 3
- 8
- 18
- 5
- 20
-
19
Tyler Goodrham ↓ James Henry 46'
-
7
Stanley Mills ↓ Josh McEachran 59'
- 1
- 15
Bench
-
4
Jordan Thorniley ↑ 70'
-
6
Josh McEachran ↑ 59'
- 13
-
17
James Henry ↑ 46'
- 25
-
39
Gatlin O'Donkor ↑ 87'
- 14
Coach
Des Buckingham
Derby County FC Lineups
Starting XI
-
3
Craig Forsyth ↓ Sonny Bradley 75'
- 8
- 11
- 4
-
2
Kane Wilson ↓ Joe Ward 81'
-
24
Ryan Nyambe ↓ Louie Sibley 75'
- 35
- 9
- 6
- 7
- 1
Bench
-
23
Joe Ward ↑ 81'
- 31
-
5
Sonny Bradley ↑ 75'
- 20
-
19
Tyreece John-Jules ↑ 61'
-
17
Louie Sibley ↑ 75'
-
16
Liam Thompson ↑ 81'
Coach
Paul Warne
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Sam Long | 2 |
| Louie Sibley | 2 |
| Cameron Brannagan | 2 |
| Mark Harris | 2 |
| Conor Hourihane | 1 |
| Craig Forsyth | 1 |
| Liam Thompson | 1 |
| James Collins | 1 |
Head to Head
Oxford United FC Form
2023-12-29
Oxford United FC
2–3
Derby County FC
L
2023-12-26
Oxford United FC
2–1
Cambridge United FC
W
2023-12-23
Northampton Town FC
2–1
Oxford United FC
L
2023-12-16
Oxford United FC
3–0
Burton Albion FC
W
2023-12-12
Reading FC
1–1
Oxford United FC
D
2023-12-09
Peterborough United FC
3–0
Oxford United FC
L
Derby County FC Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.42
Oxford United FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.51
Derby County FC xG
I would bet for:
Oxford United FC or Derby County FC 73% + Both teams to score 59%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Derby County FC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.93
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 93% |
|
7% |
| ± 1.5 | 79% |
|
21% |
| ± 2.5 | 55% |
|
45% |
| ± 3.5 | 34% |
|
66% |
| ± 4.5 | 18% |
|
82% |
Double Chance
Oxford United FC or Draw
60%
Draw or Derby County FC
67%
Oxford United FC or Derby County FC
73%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Oxford United FC win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.4%
1 – 2
8.3%
2 – 1
7.8%
0 – 1
7.2%
0 – 0
7.2%
1 – 0
6.7%
0 – 2
6%
2 – 2
5.9%
2 – 0
5.3%
1 – 3
4.2%
3 – 1
3.7%
2 – 3
Actual
Asian Handicap — Oxford United FC
| Handicap | Oxford United FC covers | Push | Derby County FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 6% | — | 94% |
| -2 | 6% | 10% | 84% |
| -1.5 | 16% | — | 84% |
| -1 | 16% | 18% | 66% |
| -0.5 | 34% | — | 66% |
| +0.5 | 62% | — | 38% |
| +1 | 62% | 19% | 19% |
| +1.5 | 81% | — | 19% |
| +2 | 81% | 12% | 8% |
| +2.5 | 92% | — | 8% |
Clean Sheet
Oxford United FC keeps clean sheet
23%
✓
Derby County FC keeps clean sheet
25%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.