Sunday , 16 August 2026

Oxford United FC vs Derby County FC, League One 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

League One · 2023-24
Fri 29 Dec 2023 · 19:45 UTC Kassam Stadium 11,219 HT 45' · FT 45'
Cameron Brannagan pen 2' 1–0
Cameron Brannagan 13' 2–0
2–1 45+3' Craig Forsyth
2–2 81' Liam Thompson
2–3 86' Eiran Cashin

Overview

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
29 Dec Derby County FC H 2–3 L
26 Dec Cambridge United FC H 2–1 W
23 Dec Northampton Town FC A 1–2 L
16 Dec Burton Albion FC H 3–0 W
12 Dec Reading FC A 1–1 D
09 Dec Peterborough United FC A 0–3 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
29 Dec Oxford United FC A 3–2 W
26 Dec Wigan Athletic FC A 1–0 W
21 Dec Lincoln City FC H 3–1 W
16 Dec Wycombe Wanderers FC H 1–1 D
09 Dec Leyton Orient FC A 3–0 W
28 Nov Port Vale FC A 1–0 W

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (8 games)
38% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
0% Clean Sheets
Oxford United FC this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Oxford United FC
0-15
/
16-30
1/1
31-45
/1
46-60
/
61-75
/
76+
1/
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

  • 0' It’s Showtime! The match between Oxford United FC and Derby County FC is underway.
  • 2' Cameron Brannagan makes no mistake. The score reads 1-0 and Oxford United FC are in front.
  • 2' The referee shows Derby County FC player a card on 2.
  • 7' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
  • 12' Derby County FC seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 13' Magnificent from Cameron Brannagan! That is 52 goals in 366 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
  • 18' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • 23' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 24' Controversy at the stadium! Max Bird argues furiously but the card stands.
  • 29' The home supporters are growing impatient. Oxford United FC must find a spark to ignite this game.
  • 34' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
  • 39' A quiet spell here at Kassam Stadium. Derby County FC seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
  • 44' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 44 minutes.
  • 46' The Oxford United FC manager makes a substitution. Tyler Goodrham departs to be replaced by James Henry.
  • 48' A stunning finish from Craig Forsyth — that came from absolutely nowhere!
  • 53' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 58' Both keepers have barely been tested. Oxford United FC and Derby County FC are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
  • 59' Derby County FC receives a card for a hard tackle on 59.
  • 59' A change in the Oxford United FC ranks — Stanley Mills exits the field as Josh McEachran enters on 59.
  • 61' The crowd applauds James Collins as he leaves the pitch. Tyreece John-Jules steps in for Derby County FC.
  • 66' Supporters expect more eagerness from Louie Sibley, as he is very good at scoring at Kassam Stadium with 2 goals in the last 1 games.
  • 67' James Beadle has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 67.
  • 70' Fresh legs for Oxford United FC! Jordan Thorniley comes on to replace Mark Harris.
  • 71' Tyreece John-Jules catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 71.
  • 75' Craig Forsyth makes way for Sonny Bradley at the 75 minute mark. A tactical switch from Derby County FC.
  • 80' With 0 assists to his name this season, Kane Wilson is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Derby County FC.
  • 81' Against the run of play, Liam Thompson has scored! This game has turned on its head.
  • 81' Liam Thompson is ready to make an impact after coming on for Thomas Barkhuizen at the 81 minute mark.
  • 86' Eiran Cashin does the damage! The net is bulging and Derby County FC surge ahead!
  • 87' The Oxford United FC bench stirs into life. Marcus McGuane is withdrawn and Gatlin O'Donkor gets his opportunity.
  • Time to leave. No sensation happened. Another win for Derby County FC players.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.42 Oxford United FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.51 Derby County FC xG
I would bet for: Oxford United FC or Derby County FC 73% + Both teams to score 59%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Oxford United FC33% Draw27% Derby County FC40%
Actual: Derby County FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes59% 0% No41%
Avg goals/match: 2.93
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 93%
7%
± 1.5 79%
21%
± 2.5 55%
45%
± 3.5 34%
66%
± 4.5 18%
82%

Double Chance

Oxford United FC or Draw
60%
Draw or Derby County FC
67%
Oxford United FC or Derby County FC
73%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Oxford United FC26% Draw45% Derby County FC29%
Actual: Oxford United FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.4%
1 – 2
8.3%
2 – 1
7.8%
0 – 1
7.2%
0 – 0
7.2%
1 – 0
6.7%
0 – 2
6%
2 – 2
5.9%
2 – 0
5.3%
1 – 3
4.2%
3 – 1
3.7%
2 – 3
Actual

Asian Handicap — Oxford United FC

Handicap Oxford United FC covers Push Derby County FC covers
-2.5 6% 94%
-2 6% 10% 84%
-1.5 16% 84%
-1 16% 18% 66%
-0.5 34% 66%
+0.5 62% 38%
+1 62% 19% 19%
+1.5 81% 19%
+2 81% 12% 8%
+2.5 92% 8%

Clean Sheet

Oxford United FC keeps clean sheet
23%
Derby County FC keeps clean sheet
25%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.