Thursday , 2 July 2026

Oxford United FC vs Derby County FC, League One 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

League One · 2023-24
Fri 29 Dec 2023 · 19:45 UTC Kassam Stadium 11,219 HT 45' · FT 45'
Cameron Brannagan pen 2' 1–0
Cameron Brannagan 13' 2–0
2–1 45+3' Craig Forsyth
2–2 81' Liam Thompson
2–3 86' Eiran Cashin

Overview

Match Preview

Oxford United FC vs Derby County FCLeague One at Kassam Stadium.

Match Details

  • Referee Will Finnie
  • Assistant 1 Samuel Ogles
  • Assistant 2 Kevin Morris

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
29 Dec Derby County FC H 2–3 L
26 Dec Cambridge United FC H 2–1 W
23 Dec Northampton Town FC A 1–2 L
16 Dec Burton Albion FC H 3–0 W
12 Dec Reading FC A 1–1 D
09 Dec Peterborough United FC A 0–3 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
29 Dec Oxford United FC A 3–2 W
26 Dec Wigan Athletic FC A 1–0 W
21 Dec Lincoln City FC H 3–1 W
16 Dec Wycombe Wanderers FC H 1–1 D
09 Dec Leyton Orient FC A 3–0 W
28 Nov Port Vale FC A 1–0 W

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (8 games)
38% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Temperatures are rising at Kassam Stadium as Oxford United FC face off against Derby County FC in what promises to be a fascinating contest.
  • 2' What a strike from Cameron Brannagan! The score is 1-0.
  • 2' That looks like a foul for a card for Joe Wildsmith.
  • 7' named a earlier, and opted for a in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
  • 12' It looks like no one’s ball. Derby County FC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 13' The England Cameron Brannagan breaks the deadlock on 13 minutes. 2-0!
  • 18' It looks surprising Oxford United FC does not make any changes. Joe Ward has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 23' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 24' The referee shows Derby County FC player a card on 24.
  • 29' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 34' Louie Sibley has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 1 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 39' The 32-year-old Thomas Barkhuizen has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
  • 44' Curtis Nelson has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
  • 46' Tyler Goodrham makes way for James Henry at the 46 minute mark. A tactical switch from Oxford United FC.
  • 48' A goal from the Scotland international Craig Forsyth! He fires home on 45 to make it 2-1!
  • 53' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 58' England international Tyler Goodrham has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
  • 59' The referee shows Derby County FC player a card on 59.
  • 59' Fresh legs for Oxford United FC! Josh McEachran comes on to replace Stanley Mills.
  • 61' A change in the Derby County FC ranks — James Collins exits the field as Tyreece John-Jules enters on 61.
  • 66' Over 66 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
  • 67' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for James Beadle.
  • 70' The crowd applauds Mark Harris as he leaves the pitch. Jordan Thorniley steps in for Oxford United FC.
  • 71' Tyreece John-Jules is having his name booked by the referee on 71.
  • 75' A change in the Derby County FC ranks — Craig Forsyth exits the field as Sonny Bradley enters on 75.
  • 80' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 80 minutes.
  • 81' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Liam Thompson makes it 2-2.
  • 81' Liam Thompson gets the nod from Derby County FC. He replaces Thomas Barkhuizen and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 86' Eiran Cashin has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 86 minutes.
  • 87' Oxford United FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Gatlin O'Donkor is hanging Marcus McGuane on the field on 87 minute.
  • What a match! Full time at {STADIUM} — Oxford United FC 2-3 Derby County FC.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.42 Oxford United FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.51 Derby County FC xG
I would bet for: Oxford United FC or Derby County FC 73% + Both teams to score 59%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Oxford United FC33% Draw27% Derby County FC40%
Actual: Derby County FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes59% 0% No41%
Avg goals/match: 2.93
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 93%
7%
± 1.5 79%
21%
± 2.5 55%
45%
± 3.5 34%
66%
± 4.5 18%
82%

Double Chance

Oxford United FC or Draw
60%
Draw or Derby County FC
67%
Oxford United FC or Derby County FC
73%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Oxford United FC26% Draw45% Derby County FC29%
Actual: Oxford United FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.4%
1 – 2
8.3%
2 – 1
7.8%
0 – 1
7.2%
0 – 0
7.2%
1 – 0
6.7%
0 – 2
6%
2 – 2
5.9%
2 – 0
5.3%
1 – 3
4.2%
3 – 1
3.7%
2 – 3
Actual

Asian Handicap — Oxford United FC

Handicap Oxford United FC covers Push Derby County FC covers
-2.5 6% 94%
-2 6% 10% 84%
-1.5 16% 84%
-1 16% 18% 66%
-0.5 34% 66%
+0.5 62% 38%
+1 62% 19% 19%
+1.5 81% 19%
+2 81% 12% 8%
+2.5 92% 8%

Clean Sheet

Oxford United FC keeps clean sheet
23%
Derby County FC keeps clean sheet
25%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.