Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Oxford United FC vs Derby County FC, League One 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

League One · 2023-24
Fri 29 Dec 2023 · 19:45 UTC Kassam Stadium 11,219 HT 45' · FT 45'
Cameron Brannagan pen 2' 1–0
Cameron Brannagan 13' 2–0
2–1 45+3' Craig Forsyth
2–2 81' Liam Thompson
2–3 86' Eiran Cashin

Overview

Match Preview

Oxford United FC vs Derby County FC — League One at Kassam Stadium.

Match Details

  • Referee Will Finnie
  • Assistant 1 Samuel Ogles
  • Assistant 2 Kevin Morris
5 games this season 🟨 2.0/game ⚽ 12.4 goals/game 🟥 2 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
29 Dec Derby County FC H 2–3 L
26 Dec Cambridge United FC H 2–1 W
23 Dec Northampton Town FC A 1–2 L
16 Dec Burton Albion FC H 3–0 W
12 Dec Reading FC A 1–1 D
09 Dec Peterborough United FC A 0–3 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
29 Dec Oxford United FC A 3–2 W
26 Dec Wigan Athletic FC A 1–0 W
21 Dec Lincoln City FC H 3–1 W
16 Dec Wycombe Wanderers FC H 1–1 D
09 Dec Leyton Orient FC A 3–0 W
28 Nov Port Vale FC A 1–0 W

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (8 games)
38% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
33% Clean Sheets
Oxford United FC this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Oxford United FC
0-15
2/–
16-30
1/1
31-45
–/1
46-60
2/2
61-75
2/1
76+
6/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Oxford United FC
Mark Harris 3 G 1 A
Gatlin O'Donkor 3 G 1 A
Ciaron Brown 1 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The referee blows the starting whistle. The fans are roaring. The teams are ready for the match. Oxford United FC is hosting Derby County FC for another epic battle.
  • 2' Cameron Brannagan makes no mistake. The score reads 1-0 and Oxford United FC are in front.
  • 2' Derby County FC player sees a card in front of him.
  • 7' Oxford United FC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 12' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
  • 13' GOAL! Cameron Brannagan scores on 13.
  • 18' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 23' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Oxford United FC and Derby County FC are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
  • 24' The referee has no hesitation. Max Bird is booked for Derby County FC — card on 24.
  • 29' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Oxford United FC side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
  • 34' Supporters expect more eagerness from Mark Harris, as he is very good at scoring at Kassam Stadium with 10 goals in the last 9 games.
  • 39' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • 44' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 46' Another change for Oxford United FC made on 46 minute. Tyler Goodrham leaves to be changed by James Henry.
  • 48' Assisted by James Collins with the perfectly-timed delivery and Craig Forsyth makes no mistake. 2-1!
  • 53' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 58' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for James Beadle suffering a number of foals already.
  • 59' Derby County FC receives a card for a hard tackle on 59.
  • 59' Oxford United FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Josh McEachran is hanging Stanley Mills on the field on 59 minute.
  • 61' Fresh legs for Derby County FC! Tyreece John-Jules comes on to replace James Collins.
  • 66' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Derby County FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 67' It’s a booking for Oxford United FC player. James Beadle gets a card.
  • 70' The crowd applauds Mark Harris as he leaves the pitch. Jordan Thorniley steps in for Oxford United FC.
  • 71' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Tyreece John-Jules.
  • 75' Sonny Bradley is ready to make an impact after coming on for Craig Forsyth at the 75 minute mark.
  • 80' The 30-year-old Joe Wildsmith has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
  • 81' Against the run of play, Liam Thompson has scored! This game has turned on its head.
  • 81' The supporters are chanting for Liam Thompson. He replaces Thomas Barkhuizen on 81 minute.
  • 86' What a strike from Eiran Cashin! The score is 2-3.
  • 87' Oxford United FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Gatlin O'Donkor is hanging Marcus McGuane on the field on 87 minute.
  • Derby County FC celebrates a vital win. Three points that could prove pivotal come season's end.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.42 Oxford United FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.51 Derby County FC xG
I would bet for: Oxford United FC or Derby County FC 73% + Both teams to score 59%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Oxford United FC33% Draw27% Derby County FC40%
Actual: Derby County FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes59% 0% No41%
Avg goals/match: 2.93
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 93%
7%
± 1.5 79%
21%
± 2.5 55%
45%
± 3.5 34%
66%
± 4.5 18%
82%

Double Chance

Oxford United FC or Draw
60%
Draw or Derby County FC
67%
Oxford United FC or Derby County FC
73%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Oxford United FC26% Draw45% Derby County FC29%
Actual: Oxford United FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.4%
1 – 2
8.3%
2 – 1
7.8%
0 – 1
7.2%
0 – 0
7.2%
1 – 0
6.7%
0 – 2
6%
2 – 2
5.9%
2 – 0
5.3%
1 – 3
4.2%
3 – 1
3.7%
2 – 3
Actual

Asian Handicap — Oxford United FC

Handicap Oxford United FC covers Push Derby County FC covers
-2.5 6% — 94%
-2 6% 10% 84%
-1.5 16% — 84%
-1 16% 18% 66%
-0.5 34% — 66%
+0.5 62% — 38%
+1 62% 19% 19%
+1.5 81% — 19%
+2 81% 12% 8%
+2.5 92% — 8%

Clean Sheet

Oxford United FC keeps clean sheet
23% ✓
Derby County FC keeps clean sheet
25% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.