Sunday , 16 August 2026

Derby County FC vs Oxford United FC, Championship 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Championship · 2025-26
Sat 18 Apr 2026 · 11:30 UTC Pride Park Stadium 29,281 HT 45' · FT 45'
Jaydon Banel 22' 1–0

Overview

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
18 Apr Oxford United FC H 1–0 W
11 Apr Southampton FC A 1–2 L
06 Apr Stoke City FC H 2–0 W
03 Apr Coventry City FC A 2–3 L
21 Mar Birmingham City FC H 1–0 W
16 Mar Portsmouth FC A 1–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
18 Apr Derby County FC A 0–1 L
11 Apr Watford FC H 2–0 W
06 Apr Portsmouth FC A 2–2 D
03 Apr Hull City AFC H 1–1 D
21 Mar Southampton FC A 0–2 L
14 Mar Charlton Athletic FC H 1–1 D

Season Stats

Derby County FC Oxford United FC
#23 Position #4
0 Points 47
0 Played 46
0 / 0 / 0 W / D / L 11 / 14 / 21
0 Scored 45
0 Conceded 59
+0 GD -14
PPG 1.02
Win % 24%

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (8 games)
38% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
0% Clean Sheets
Derby County FC this season

Derby County FC are 23rd (0 pts). Oxford United FC are 4th (47 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Derby County FC
0-15
/
16-30
1/
31-45
/
46-60
/
61-75
/1
76+
/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
0.66 Derby County FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.3 Oxford United FC xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 92% + Derby County FC or Draw 85%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Derby County FC43% Draw42% Oxford United FC15%
Actual: Derby County FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes15% 0% No85%
Avg goals/match: 0.96
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 59%
41%
± 1.5 26%
74%
± 2.5 8%
92%
± 3.5 2%
98%
± 4.5 1%
99%

Double Chance

Derby County FC or Draw
85%
Draw or Oxford United FC
57%
Derby County FC or Oxford United FC
58%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Derby County FC20% Draw74% Oxford United FC6%
Actual: Derby County FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 0
41%
1 – 0
Actual
0 – 1
9.4%
1 – 1
8.8%
2 – 0
7.6%
2 – 1
3%
3 – 0
1.6%
0 – 2
1.4%
1 – 2
1.2%
3 – 1
0.7%
2 – 2
0.6%
4 – 0
0.3%

Asian Handicap — Derby County FC

Handicap Derby County FC covers Push Oxford United FC covers
-2.5 2% 98%
-2 2% 8% 90%
-1.5 10% 90%
-1 10% 27% 63%
-0.5 37% 63%
+0.5 88% 12%
+1 88% 11% 2%
+1.5 98% 2%
+2 98% 1% 0%
+2.5 100% 0%

Clean Sheet

Derby County FC keeps clean sheet
74%
Oxford United FC keeps clean sheet
52%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.