Thursday , 2 July 2026

Derby County FC vs Birmingham City FC, Championship 2019-20 REGULAR SEASON

Championship · 2019-20
Sat 28 Sep 2019 · 14:00 UTC HT 45+5' · FT 45+6'

Overview

Match Preview

Derby County FC vs Birmingham City FCChampionship .

Match Details

  • Referee Peter Wright
  • Referee Dan Cook
  • Referee Darren Cann
  • Referee Simon Hooper

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
28 Sep Birmingham City FC H 3–2 W
21 Sep Leeds United FC A 1–1 D
13 Sep Cardiff City FC H 1–1 D
31 Aug Brentford FC A 0–3 L
24 Aug West Bromwich Albion FC H 1–1 D
20 Aug Bristol City FC H 1–2 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
28 Sep Derby County FC A 2–3 L
21 Sep Preston North End FC H 0–1 L
14 Sep Charlton Athletic FC A 1–0 W
31 Aug Stoke City FC H 2–1 W
25 Aug Swansea City AFC A 0–3 L
20 Aug Barnsley FC H 2–0 W

Season Stats

Derby County FC Birmingham City FC
#8 Position #10
69 Points 64
46 Played 46
20 / 9 / 17 W / D / L 17 / 13 / 16
67 Scored 57
59 Conceded 56
+8 GD +1
1.50 PPG 1.39
43% Win % 37%

Key Stats

70% Both Teams to Score
H2H (10 games)
70% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Derby County FC are 8th (69 pts). Birmingham City FC are 10th (64 pts).

Events

Match Events

  • 0' In just a few seconds will turn into a battlefield for Derby County FC and Birmingham City FC.
  • 2' A stunning finish from Chris Martin — that came from absolutely nowhere!
  • 7' Duane Holmes has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
  • 12' Over 12 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
  • 17' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 22' Alvaro Gimenez was booked on 22.
  • 27' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • 32' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 37' Birmingham City FC fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
  • 42' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 44' The referee has no hesitation. Duane Holmes is booked for Derby County FC — Yellow card on 44.
  • 45' Poor challenge from Krystian Bielik. The referee spots it immediately and shows the Yellow card.
  • 50' What a strike from Martyn Waghorn! The score is 2-0.
  • 55' Birmingham City FC are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
  • 56' Against the run of play, Gary Gardner has scored! This game has turned on its head.
  • 59' with the perfectly-timed delivery and Ivan Sunjic makes no mistake. 2-2!
  • 64' Jason Knight has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
  • 69' Lukas Jutkiewicz, a England , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
  • 71' Another change for Derby County FC made on 71 minute. Chris Martin leaves to be changed by Jack Marriott.
  • 72' The supporters are chanting for Jayden Bogle. He replaces Florian Jozefzoon on 72 minute.
  • 74' What composure from Jamie Paterson! The England international strokes it home. 3-2.
  • 76' Time for substitution for Birmingham City FC. Jacques Maghoma is replaced by Fran Villalba.
  • 81' It’s high time Phillip Cocu made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 86' Kristian Pedersen has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 2 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 90' Derby County FC receives a Yellow card for a hard tackle on 90.
  • 90' Fresh legs for Derby County FC! Jason Knight comes on to replace Duane Holmes.
  • Both sets of fans can go home satisfied — a 3-2 draw is a fair result on the day.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.92 Derby County FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.36 Birmingham City FC xG
I would bet for: Both teams to score 63% + Over 2.5 goals 62%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Derby County FC51% Draw24% Birmingham City FC25%
Actual: Derby County FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes63% 0% No37%
Avg goals/match: 3.28
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 95%
5%
± 1.5 84%
16%
± 2.5 62%
38%
± 3.5 41%
59%
± 4.5 24%
76%

Double Chance

Derby County FC or Draw
75%
Draw or Birmingham City FC
49%
Derby County FC or Birmingham City FC
76%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Derby County FC37% Draw42% Birmingham City FC21%
Actual: Derby County FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
10.7%
2 – 1
9.1%
2 – 0
6.9%
1 – 0
6.6%
1 – 2
6.4%
2 – 2
6.1%
3 – 1
5.8%
0 – 0
5.3%
0 – 1
4.4%
3 – 0
4.3%
3 – 2
Actual
0 – 2
3.5%

Asian Handicap — Derby County FC

Handicap Derby County FC covers Push Birmingham City FC covers
-2.5 13% 87%
-2 13% 15% 71%
-1.5 29% 71%
-1 29% 21% 51%
-0.5 49% 51%
+0.5 74% 26%
+1 74% 14% 12%
+1.5 88% 12%
+2 88% 8% 4%
+2.5 96% 4%

Clean Sheet

Derby County FC keeps clean sheet
27%
Birmingham City FC keeps clean sheet
16%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.