Thursday , 2 July 2026

Derby County FC vs Birmingham City FC, Championship 2018-19 REGULAR SEASON

Championship · 2018-19
Sat 3 Nov 2018 · 15:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Derby County FC vs Birmingham City FCChampionship .

Match Details

  • Referee Graham Salisbury
  • Referee Dan Cook
  • Referee Chris Kavanagh
  • Referee

Head-to-Head

5
3
2
Derby County FC 10 games · Avg 3.3 goals Birmingham City FC

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
03 Nov Birmingham City FC H 3–1 W
27 Oct Middlesbrough FC A 1–1 D
24 Oct West Bromwich Albion FC A 4–1 W
20 Oct Sheffield United FC H 2–1 W
06 Oct Queens Park Rangers FC A 1–1 D
03 Oct Norwich City FC H 1–1 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
03 Nov Derby County FC A 1–3 L
27 Oct Sheffield Wednesday FC H 3–1 W
23 Oct Reading FC H 2–1 W
20 Oct Stoke City FC A 1–0 W
06 Oct Rotherham United FC H 3–1 W
02 Oct Brentford FC A 1–1 D

Season Stats

Derby County FC Birmingham City FC
#8 Position #10
69 Points 64
46 Played 46
20 / 9 / 17 W / D / L 17 / 13 / 16
67 Scored 57
59 Conceded 56
+8 GD +1
1.50 PPG 1.39
43% Win % 37%

Key Stats

70% Both Teams to Score
H2H (10 games)
70% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Derby County FC are 8th (69 pts). Birmingham City FC are 10th (64 pts).

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The match kicks off with home fans waiting with anticipation for Derby County FC to score. At the same time, Birmingham City FC does not seem to pull back! Let’s get it on!
  • 5' Birmingham City FC seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 10' GOAL! Lukas Jutkiewicz scores on 10.
  • 15' The supporters are chanting for Mason Bennett. He replaces Martyn Waghorn on 15 minute.
  • 20' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
  • 25' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Derby County FC and Birmingham City FC are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
  • 30' Che Adams has been relatively quiet despite scoring 83 goals in his last 383 appearances.
  • 35' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 40' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 45' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 50' The 29-year-old Wes Harding has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
  • 51' Birmingham City FC player sees a Yellow card in front of him.
  • 53' Mason Bennett makes no mistake. The score reads 1-1 and Derby County FC are in front.
  • 55' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Harry Wilson makes it 2-1.
  • 60' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 65' A meaty challenge results in booking for Gary Gardner on 65.
  • 70' Birmingham City FC are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
  • 73' Brilliant from the ! Jack Marriott makes it 3-1 with a superb finish on 73.
  • 74' The Birmingham City FC bench stirs into life. Gary Gardner is withdrawn and Wes Harding gets his opportunity.
  • 79' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 82' Michael Morrison is having his name booked by the referee on 82.
  • 87' Richard Keogh has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 1 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 90' The Derby County FC manager makes a substitution. Duane Holmes departs to be replaced by Bradley Johnson.
  • The points are shared — Derby County FC 3-1 Birmingham City FC. Honours even.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
2.01 Derby County FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.11 Birmingham City FC xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 59% + Both teams to score 58%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Derby County FC56% Draw23% Birmingham City FC21%
Actual: Derby County FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes58% 0% No42%
Avg goals/match: 3.12
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 94%
6%
± 1.5 81%
19%
± 2.5 59%
41%
± 3.5 38%
62%
± 4.5 21%
79%

Double Chance

Derby County FC or Draw
79%
Draw or Birmingham City FC
44%
Derby County FC or Birmingham City FC
77%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Derby County FC41% Draw42% Birmingham City FC17%
Actual: Birmingham City FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
10.7%
2 – 1
9.5%
2 – 0
8.9%
1 – 0
8.3%
3 – 1
Actual
0 – 0
6.1%
3 – 0
5.8%
1 – 2
5.3%
2 – 2
5.3%
0 – 1
4.2%
3 – 2
3.6%
4 – 1
3.3%

Asian Handicap — Derby County FC

Handicap Derby County FC covers Push Birmingham City FC covers
-2.5 17% 83%
-2 17% 17% 65%
-1.5 35% 65%
-1 35% 22% 43%
-0.5 57% 43%
+0.5 80% 20%
+1 80% 12% 8%
+1.5 92% 8%
+2 92% 5% 2%
+2.5 98% 2%

Clean Sheet

Derby County FC keeps clean sheet
34%
Birmingham City FC keeps clean sheet
14%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.