Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Casa Pia AC vs Vitória SC, Primeira Liga 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Primeira Liga · 2025-26
Sun 28 Dec 2025 · 15:30 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
28 Dec Vitória SC H 0–0 D
21 Dec CD Tondela A 2–1 W
13 Dec Gil Vicente FC H 1–1 D
06 Dec CD Santa Clara A 0–1 L
29 Nov FC Alverca H 0–2 L
09 Nov Sport Lisboa e Benfica A 2–2 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
28 Dec Casa Pia AC A 0–0 D
23 Dec Sporting Clube de Portugal H 1–4 L
13 Dec Rio Ave FC A 1–0 W
08 Dec Gil Vicente FC H 0–0 D
28 Nov AVS H 4–0 W
08 Nov CD Tondela A 1–0 W

Season Stats

Casa Pia AC Vitória SC
#17 Position #14
4 Points 5
7 Played 7
1 / 1 / 5 W / D / L 1 / 2 / 4
3 Scored 5
16 Conceded 8
-13 GD -3
0.57 PPG 0.71
14% Win % 14%

Key Stats

11% Both Teams to Score
H2H (9 games)
0% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
14% Clean Sheets
Casa Pia AC this season
29% Clean Sheets
Vitória SC this season

Casa Pia AC are 17th (4 pts). Vitória SC are 14th (5 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Casa Pia AC
0-15
–/2
16-30
–/2
31-45
1/2
46-60
–/4
61-75
1/4
76+
1/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Vitória SC
0-15
1/1
16-30
–/1
31-45
–/1
46-60
–/3
61-75
3/–
76+
1/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Vitória SC
Samu 1 G
Gustavo Silva 1 G
Alioune Ndoye 1 G

Events

Match Events

Lineups

Casa Pia AC Lineups

Vitória SC Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
0.38 Casa Pia AC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.87 Vitória SC xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 86% + Under — clean sheet likely 80%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Casa Pia AC22% Draw38% Vitória SC40%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes20% 0% No80%
Avg goals/match: 1.25
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 69%
31%
± 1.5 36%
64%
± 2.5 14%
86%
± 3.5 4%
96%
± 4.5 1%
99%

Double Chance

Casa Pia AC or Draw
60%
Draw or Vitória SC
78%
Casa Pia AC or Vitória SC
62%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Casa Pia AC8% Draw67% Vitória SC25%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 0
Actual
0 – 1
23.5%
1 – 1
10.4%
0 – 2
10.1%
1 – 0
9.1%
1 – 2
4.4%
0 – 3
2.9%
2 – 1
1.8%
2 – 0
1.7%
1 – 3
1.4%
2 – 2
1%
0 – 4
0.6%

Asian Handicap — Casa Pia AC

Handicap Casa Pia AC covers Push Vitória SC covers
-2.5 0% — 100%
-2 0% 2% 98%
-1.5 2% — 98%
-1 2% 11% 87%
-0.5 13% — 87%
+0.5 56% — 44%
+1 56% 28% 16%
+1.5 84% — 16%
+2 84% 12% 4%
+2.5 96% — 4%

Clean Sheet

Casa Pia AC keeps clean sheet
43% ✗
Vitória SC keeps clean sheet
69% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.