Vitória SC vs Casa Pia AC, Primeira Liga 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Vitória SC vs Casa Pia AC — Primeira Liga at Estadio Dom Afonso Henriques.
- Vitória SC 34 games · 42 pts (2025/26)
- Casa Pia AC 34 games · 30 pts (2025/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Porto | 34 | 88 |
| 2 | Sporting Clube de Portugal | 34 | 82 |
| 3 | Sport Lisboa e Benfica | 34 | 80 |
| 4 | Sporting Clube de Braga | 34 | 59 |
| 5 | FC Famalicão | 34 | 56 |
| 6 | Gil Vicente FC | 34 | 50 |
| 7 | Moreirense FC | 34 | 43 |
| 8 | FC Arouca | 34 | 42 |
| 9 | Vitória SC | 34 | 42 |
| 10 | GD Estoril Praia | 34 | 39 |
| 11 | FC Alverca | 34 | 39 |
| 12 | Rio Ave FC | 34 | 36 |
| 13 | CD Santa Clara | 34 | 36 |
| 14 | CD Nacional | 34 | 34 |
| 15 | CF Estrela da Amadora | 34 | 30 |
| 16 | Casa Pia AC | 34 | 30 |
| 17 | CD Tondela | 34 | 28 |
| 18 | AVS | 34 | 21 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar | Casa Pia AC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 24 Feb | FC Porto | A | 1–1 | D |
| 16 Feb | Sporting Clube de Braga | H | 0–0 | D |
| 08 Feb | FC Famalicão | A | 0–0 | D |
| 01 Feb | AVS | H | 2–0 | W |
| 26 Jan | GD Estoril Praia | A | 0–1 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar | Vitória SC | A | 0–1 | L |
| 22 Feb | Gil Vicente FC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 15 Feb | Moreirense FC | A | 2–3 | L |
| 09 Feb | CF Estrela da Amadora | H | 1–0 | W |
| 01 Feb | CD Santa Clara | A | 1–2 | L |
| 25 Jan | Sport Lisboa e Benfica | H | 3–1 | W |
Season Stats
| Vitória SC | Casa Pia AC | |
|---|---|---|
| #9 | Position | #16 |
| 42 | Points | 30 |
| 34 | Played | 34 |
| 12 / 6 / 16 | W / D / L | 6 / 12 / 16 |
| 39 | Scored | 31 |
| 51 | Conceded | 57 |
| -12 | GD | -26 |
| 1.24 | PPG | 0.88 |
| 35% | Win % | 18% |
Key Stats
13%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (8 games)
H2H (8 games)
0%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
29%
Clean Sheets
Vitória SC this season
Vitória SC this season
21%
Clean Sheets
Casa Pia AC this season
Casa Pia AC this season
Vitória SC are 9th (42 pts). Casa Pia AC are 16th (30 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Vitória SC
0-15
1/1
16-30
2/2
31-45
–/1
46-60
2/–
61-75
3/3
76+
1/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Casa Pia AC
0-15
1/–
16-30
–/–
31-45
2/2
46-60
–/2
61-75
–/4
76+
2/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Events
Match Events
- 0' Welcome to Estadio Dom Afonso Henriques that hosts another battle between Vitória SC and Casa Pia AC.
- 5' Casa Pia AC has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 1 of the last 2 meetings.
- 10' Vitória SC are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Casa Pia AC backline.
- 15' A quiet spell here at Estadio Dom Afonso Henriques. Vitória SC seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
- 20' Casa Pia AC looks like a favorite considering 1 games won in last 2 matches with its main striker Larra scoring 1 goals.
- 22' Vitoria SC receives a card for a hard tackle on 22.
- 27' A moment of madness from Adrian Kraev on 27 minutes earns him a card. Casa Pia AC will be frustrated.
- 32' Casa Pia AC is showing some good football. However, Casa Pia AC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
- 35' That is a card for Vitoria SC. Mikel Villanueva will be fuming at that decision.
- 36' It’s a booking for Vitoria SC player. Vando Felix gets a card.
- 41' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
- 46' The supporters are chanting for Nuno Santos. He replaces Telmo Arcanjo on 46 minute.
- 51' Miguel Magalhaes has been relatively quiet despite scoring 0 goals in his last 394 appearances.
- 52' Casa Pia AC player sees a card in front of him.
- 57' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Jose Fonte suffering a number of foals already.
- 60' Casa Pia AC player sees a card in front of him.
- 61' Casa Pia AC make a change. Max Svensson trudges off to be replaced by Caue on 61 minutes.
- 62' The Casa Pia AC bench stirs into life. Pablo Barbosa is withdrawn and Rafael Brito gets his opportunity.
- 67' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Korede Osundina made 136 appearances and scored 0 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 69' Fresh legs for Vitoria SC! Samu comes on to replace Tiago Silva.
- 73' The referee has no hesitation. Joao Goulart is booked for Casa Pia AC — card on 73.
- 75' Korede Osundina is ready to make an impact after coming on for Jeremy Livolant at the 75 minute mark.
- 77' The referee shows Vitoria SC player a card on 77.
- 79' Goal! Umaro Embalo scores his 7 goal in 265 matches.
- 79' Patrick Sequeira has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 79.
- 84' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
- 89' Filipe Relvas gets the nod from Vitoria SC. He replaces Joao Mendes and will look to change the dynamic.
- 90' Jose Fonte was booked on 90.
- 90' The Casa Pia AC bench stirs into life. Joao Goulart is withdrawn and Iyad Mohamed gets his opportunity.
- The final whistle goes. A composed, disciplined performance from Vitória SC to claim maximum points.
Lineups
Vitória SC Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 7
- 17
- 24
- 3
- 14
- 10
- 18
- 8
- 2
- 13
- 21
Bench
- 20
- 27
- 77
- 4
- 11
- 16
- 22
- 15
- 86
Coach
Luis Freire
Casa Pia AC Lineups
3-4-3Starting XI
- 2
- 6
- 29
- 72
-
9
Max Svensson ↓ Caue 61'
- 1
-
80
Pablo Barbosa ↓ Rafael Brito 62'
-
4
Joao Goulart ↓ Iyad Mohamed 90'
- 5
-
52
Henrique Pereira ↓ Miguel Sousa 61'
- 89
Bench
- 18
-
14
Miguel Sousa ↑ 61'
-
88
Caue ↑ 61'
- 3
-
24
Iyad Mohamed ↑ 90'
-
17
Rafael Brito ↑ 62'
- 11
- 22
-
13
Korede Osundina ↑ 75'
Coach
Alexandre Santana
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Takahiro Kunimoto | 1 |
| Pablo Barbosa | 1 |
| Clayton | 1 |
| Cassiano | 1 |
| Umaro Embalo | 1 |
| Larra | 1 |
Head to Head
Vitória SC Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.35
Vitória SC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.75
Casa Pia AC xG
I would bet for:
Under 2.5 goals 65% + Under — clean sheet likely 60%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Vitória SC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.1
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 86% |
|
14% |
| ± 1.5 | 62% |
|
38% |
| ± 2.5 | 35% |
|
65% |
| ± 3.5 | 17% |
|
83% |
| ± 4.5 | 7% |
|
93% |
Double Chance
Vitória SC or Draw
80%
Draw or Casa Pia AC
49%
Vitória SC or Casa Pia AC
71%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 0
Actual
0 – 0
14.5%
1 – 1
13.2%
2 – 0
10.7%
2 – 1
8.2%
0 – 1
7.9%
3 – 0
4.8%
1 – 2
4.5%
3 – 1
3.8%
0 – 2
3.2%
2 – 2
3.2%
4 – 0
1.6%
Asian Handicap — Vitória SC
| Handicap | Vitória SC covers | Push | Casa Pia AC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 9% | — | 91% |
| -2 | 9% | 15% | 76% |
| -1.5 | 24% | — | 76% |
| -1 | 24% | 25% | 51% |
| -0.5 | 49% | — | 51% |
| +0.5 | 81% | — | 19% |
| +1 | 81% | 13% | 6% |
| +1.5 | 94% | — | 6% |
| +2 | 94% | 5% | 1% |
| +2.5 | 99% | — | 1% |
Clean Sheet
Vitória SC keeps clean sheet
48%
✗
Casa Pia AC keeps clean sheet
27%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

