Vitória SC vs Casa Pia AC, Primeira Liga 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Vitória SC vs Casa Pia AC — Primeira Liga at Estadio Dom Afonso Henriques.
- Vitória SC 11 games · 9 pts (2026/27)
- Casa Pia AC 11 games · 8 pts (2026/27)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Porto | 11 | 33 |
| 2 | Sport Lisboa e Benfica | 11 | 28 |
| 3 | Sporting Clube de Portugal | 11 | 24 |
| 4 | CD Santa Clara | 11 | 21 |
| 5 | FC Arouca | 11 | 20 |
| 6 | Académico de Viseu FC | 11 | 20 |
| 7 | Gil Vicente FC | 11 | 18 |
| 8 | Sporting Clube de Braga | 11 | 17 |
| 9 | Moreirense FC | 11 | 14 |
| 10 | FC Famalicão | 11 | 13 |
| 11 | FC Alverca | 11 | 12 |
| 12 | CF Estrela da Amadora | 11 | 10 |
| 13 | CD Nacional | 11 | 10 |
| 14 | Vitória SC | 11 | 9 |
| 15 | CS Marítimo | 10 | 8 |
| 16 | Casa Pia AC | 11 | 8 |
| 17 | Rio Ave FC | 11 | 7 |
| 18 | GD Estoril Praia | 10 | 2 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar | Casa Pia AC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 24 Feb | FC Porto | A | 1–1 | D |
| 16 Feb | Sporting Clube de Braga | H | 0–0 | D |
| 08 Feb | FC Famalicão | A | 0–0 | D |
| 01 Feb | AVS | H | 2–0 | W |
| 26 Jan | GD Estoril Praia | A | 0–1 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar | Vitória SC | A | 0–1 | L |
| 22 Feb | Gil Vicente FC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 15 Feb | Moreirense FC | A | 2–3 | L |
| 09 Feb | CF Estrela da Amadora | H | 1–0 | W |
| 01 Feb | CD Santa Clara | A | 1–2 | L |
| 25 Jan | Sport Lisboa e Benfica | H | 3–1 | W |
Season Stats
| Vitória SC | Casa Pia AC | |
|---|---|---|
| #14 | Position | #16 |
| 9 | Points | 8 |
| 11 | Played | 11 |
| 2 / 3 / 6 | W / D / L | 2 / 2 / 7 |
| 11 | Scored | 6 |
| 12 | Conceded | 20 |
| -1 | GD | -14 |
| 0.82 | PPG | 0.73 |
| 18% | Win % | 18% |
Key Stats
11%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (9 games)
H2H (9 games)
0%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
36%
Clean Sheets
Vitória SC this season
Vitória SC this season
18%
Clean Sheets
Casa Pia AC this season
Casa Pia AC this season
Vitória SC are 14th (9 pts). Casa Pia AC are 16th (8 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Vitória SC
0-15
1/1
16-30
–/2
31-45
1/2
46-60
1/3
61-75
3/1
76+
4/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Casa Pia AC
0-15
–/3
16-30
–/2
31-45
3/2
46-60
–/4
61-75
1/5
76+
2/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Vitória SC
| Arnel Jakupovic | 2 G | |
| Samu | 1 G | 1 A |
| Gustavo Silva | 1 G | |
| Alioune Ndoye | 1 G |
Casa Pia AC
| Silvi | 2 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' Packed stands, loud atmosphere — Vitoria SC and Casa Pia AC get this one started.
- 5' Casa Pia AC fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
- 10' Casa Pia AC looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 1 matches with its main striker scoring 0 goals.
- 15' Vitoria SC currently sit 8 in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
- 20' A quiet spell here at Estadio Dom Afonso Henriques. Casa Pia AC seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
- 22' Vitoria SC player sees a card in front of him.
- 27' It’s gonna be a card for Adrian Kraev.
- 32' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
- 35' It’s gonna be a card for Mikel Villanueva.
- 36' Vando Felix picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
- 41' Casa Pia AC are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
- 46' Time for substitution for Vitoria SC. Telmo Arcanjo is replaced by Nuno Santos.
- 51' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
- 52' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Max Svensson on 52 minutes.
- 57' Vitoria SC have won 378 goals from 404 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
- 60' A meaty challenge results in booking for Duplexe Tchamba on 60.
- 61' Another change for Casa Pia AC made on 61 minute. Max Svensson leaves to be changed by Caue.
- 62' Pablo Barbosa makes way for Rafael Brito at the 62 minute mark. A tactical switch from Casa Pia AC.
- 67' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
- 69' Vitoria SC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Samu is hanging Tiago Silva on the field on 69 minute.
- 73' The referee has no hesitation. Joao Goulart is booked for Casa Pia AC — card on 73.
- 75' Time for substitution for Casa Pia AC. Jeremy Livolant is replaced by Korede Osundina.
- 77' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Joao Mendes on 77 minutes.
- 79' GOAL! Umaro Embalo scores on 79.
- 79' That is a card for Casa Pia AC. Patrick Sequeira will be fuming at that decision.
- 84' Vitoria SC are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
- 89' The whistle greets Joao Mendes as he departs to be replaced by Filipe Relvas.
- 90' The referee calls foul for Jose Fonte. He receives a card.
- 90' The supporters are chanting for Iyad Mohamed. He replaces Joao Goulart on 90 minute.
- Both sets of fans can go home satisfied — a 1-0 draw is a fair result on the day.
Lineups
Vitória SC Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 7
- 17
- 24
- 3
- 14
- 10
- 18
- 8
- 2
- 13
- 21
Bench
- 20
- 27
- 77
- 4
- 11
- 16
- 22
- 15
- 86
Coach
Luis Freire
Casa Pia AC Lineups
3-4-3Starting XI
- 2
- 6
- 29
- 72
-
9
Max Svensson ↓ Caue 61'
- 1
-
80
Pablo Barbosa ↓ Rafael Brito 62'
-
4
Joao Goulart ↓ Iyad Mohamed 90'
- 5
-
52
Henrique Pereira ↓ Miguel Sousa 61'
- 89
Bench
- 18
-
14
Miguel Sousa ↑ 61'
-
88
Caue ↑ 61'
- 3
-
24
Iyad Mohamed ↑ 90'
-
17
Rafael Brito ↑ 62'
- 11
- 22
-
13
Korede Osundina ↑ 75'
Coach
Alexandre Santana
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Takahiro Kunimoto | 1 |
| Pablo Barbosa | 1 |
| Clayton | 1 |
| Cassiano | 1 |
| Umaro Embalo | 1 |
| Larra | 1 |
Head to Head
Vitória SC Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.32
Vitória SC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.48
Casa Pia AC xG
I would bet for:
Under 2.5 goals 73% + Under — clean sheet likely 71%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Vitória SC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 1.8
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 81% |
|
19% |
| ± 1.5 | 54% |
|
46% |
| ± 2.5 | 27% |
|
73% |
| ± 3.5 | 12% |
|
88% |
| ± 4.5 | 4% |
|
96% |
Double Chance
Vitória SC or Draw
85%
Draw or Casa Pia AC
44%
Vitória SC or Casa Pia AC
71%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 0
Actual
0 – 0
18.8%
2 – 0
13.8%
1 – 1
11.1%
2 – 1
6.9%
0 – 1
6.6%
3 – 0
6%
3 – 1
3.2%
1 – 2
2.4%
4 – 0
2%
2 – 2
1.7%
0 – 2
1.7%
Asian Handicap — Vitória SC
| Handicap | Vitória SC covers | Push | Casa Pia AC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 10% | — | 90% |
| -2 | 10% | 17% | 72% |
| -1.5 | 28% | — | 72% |
| -1 | 28% | 29% | 44% |
| -0.5 | 56% | — | 44% |
| +0.5 | 88% | — | 12% |
| +1 | 88% | 9% | 2% |
| +1.5 | 98% | — | 2% |
| +2 | 98% | 2% | 0% |
| +2.5 | 100% | — | 0% |
Clean Sheet
Vitória SC keeps clean sheet
62%
✓
Casa Pia AC keeps clean sheet
27%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

