Thursday , 2 July 2026

Vitória SC vs Casa Pia AC, Primeira Liga 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Primeira Liga · 2024-25
Sat 1 Mar 2025 · 20:30 UTC Estadio Dom Afonso Henriques 14,798 HT 45' · FT 45'
Umaro Embalo 79' 1–0

Overview

Match Preview

Vitória SC vs Casa Pia ACPrimeira Liga at Estadio Dom Afonso Henriques.

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
01 Mar Casa Pia AC H 1–0 W
24 Feb FC Porto A 1–1 D
16 Feb Sporting Clube de Braga H 0–0 D
08 Feb FC Famalicão A 0–0 D
01 Feb AVS H 2–0 W
26 Jan GD Estoril Praia A 0–1 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
01 Mar Vitória SC A 0–1 L
22 Feb Gil Vicente FC H 1–0 W
15 Feb Moreirense FC A 2–3 L
09 Feb CF Estrela da Amadora H 1–0 W
01 Feb CD Santa Clara A 1–2 L
25 Jan Sport Lisboa e Benfica H 3–1 W

Season Stats

Vitória SC Casa Pia AC
#9 Position #16
42 Points 30
34 Played 34
12 / 6 / 16 W / D / L 6 / 12 / 16
39 Scored 31
51 Conceded 57
-12 GD -26
1.24 PPG 0.88
35% Win % 18%

Key Stats

13% Both Teams to Score
H2H (8 games)
0% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
29% Clean Sheets
Vitória SC this season
21% Clean Sheets
Casa Pia AC this season

Vitória SC are 9th (42 pts). Casa Pia AC are 16th (30 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Vitória SC
0-15
1/1
16-30
2/2
31-45
/1
46-60
2/
61-75
3/3
76+
1/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Casa Pia AC
0-15
1/
16-30
/
31-45
2/2
46-60
/2
61-75
/4
76+
2/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Welcome to Estadio Dom Afonso Henriques that hosts another battle between Vitória SC and Casa Pia AC.
  • 5' Casa Pia AC has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 1 of the last 2 meetings.
  • 10' Vitória SC are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Casa Pia AC backline.
  • 15' A quiet spell here at Estadio Dom Afonso Henriques. Vitória SC seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
  • 20' Casa Pia AC looks like a favorite considering 1 games won in last 2 matches with its main striker Larra scoring 1 goals.
  • 22' Vitoria SC receives a card for a hard tackle on 22.
  • 27' A moment of madness from Adrian Kraev on 27 minutes earns him a card. Casa Pia AC will be frustrated.
  • 32' Casa Pia AC is showing some good football. However, Casa Pia AC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 35' That is a card for Vitoria SC. Mikel Villanueva will be fuming at that decision.
  • 36' It’s a booking for Vitoria SC player. Vando Felix gets a card.
  • 41' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
  • 46' The supporters are chanting for Nuno Santos. He replaces Telmo Arcanjo on 46 minute.
  • 51' Miguel Magalhaes has been relatively quiet despite scoring 0 goals in his last 394 appearances.
  • 52' Casa Pia AC player sees a card in front of him.
  • 57' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Jose Fonte suffering a number of foals already.
  • 60' Casa Pia AC player sees a card in front of him.
  • 61' Casa Pia AC make a change. Max Svensson trudges off to be replaced by Caue on 61 minutes.
  • 62' The Casa Pia AC bench stirs into life. Pablo Barbosa is withdrawn and Rafael Brito gets his opportunity.
  • 67' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Korede Osundina made 136 appearances and scored 0 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 69' Fresh legs for Vitoria SC! Samu comes on to replace Tiago Silva.
  • 73' The referee has no hesitation. Joao Goulart is booked for Casa Pia AC — card on 73.
  • 75' Korede Osundina is ready to make an impact after coming on for Jeremy Livolant at the 75 minute mark.
  • 77' The referee shows Vitoria SC player a card on 77.
  • 79' Goal! Umaro Embalo scores his 7 goal in 265 matches.
  • 79' Patrick Sequeira has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 79.
  • 84' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 89' Filipe Relvas gets the nod from Vitoria SC. He replaces Joao Mendes and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 90' Jose Fonte was booked on 90.
  • 90' The Casa Pia AC bench stirs into life. Joao Goulart is withdrawn and Iyad Mohamed gets his opportunity.
  • The final whistle goes. A composed, disciplined performance from Vitória SC to claim maximum points.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.35 Vitória SC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.75 Casa Pia AC xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 65% + Under — clean sheet likely 60%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Vitória SC51% Draw29% Casa Pia AC20%
Actual: Vitória SC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes40% 0% No60%
Avg goals/match: 2.1
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 86%
14%
± 1.5 62%
38%
± 2.5 35%
65%
± 3.5 17%
83%
± 4.5 7%
93%

Double Chance

Vitória SC or Draw
80%
Draw or Casa Pia AC
49%
Vitória SC or Casa Pia AC
71%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Vitória SC33% Draw52% Casa Pia AC15%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 0
Actual
0 – 0
14.5%
1 – 1
13.2%
2 – 0
10.7%
2 – 1
8.2%
0 – 1
7.9%
3 – 0
4.8%
1 – 2
4.5%
3 – 1
3.8%
0 – 2
3.2%
2 – 2
3.2%
4 – 0
1.6%

Asian Handicap — Vitória SC

Handicap Vitória SC covers Push Casa Pia AC covers
-2.5 9% 91%
-2 9% 15% 76%
-1.5 24% 76%
-1 24% 25% 51%
-0.5 49% 51%
+0.5 81% 19%
+1 81% 13% 6%
+1.5 94% 6%
+2 94% 5% 1%
+2.5 99% 1%

Clean Sheet

Vitória SC keeps clean sheet
48%
Casa Pia AC keeps clean sheet
27%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.