Saturday , 14 November 2026

Vitória SC vs Casa Pia AC, Primeira Liga 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Primeira Liga · 2024-25
Sat 1 Mar 2025 · 20:30 UTC Estadio Dom Afonso Henriques 14,798 HT 45' · FT 45'
Umaro Embalo 79' 1–0

Overview

Match Preview

Vitória SC vs Casa Pia AC — Primeira Liga at Estadio Dom Afonso Henriques.

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
01 Mar Casa Pia AC H 1–0 W
24 Feb FC Porto A 1–1 D
16 Feb Sporting Clube de Braga H 0–0 D
08 Feb FC Famalicão A 0–0 D
01 Feb AVS H 2–0 W
26 Jan GD Estoril Praia A 0–1 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
01 Mar Vitória SC A 0–1 L
22 Feb Gil Vicente FC H 1–0 W
15 Feb Moreirense FC A 2–3 L
09 Feb CF Estrela da Amadora H 1–0 W
01 Feb CD Santa Clara A 1–2 L
25 Jan Sport Lisboa e Benfica H 3–1 W

Season Stats

Vitória SC Casa Pia AC
#14 Position #16
9 Points 8
11 Played 11
2 / 3 / 6 W / D / L 2 / 2 / 7
11 Scored 6
12 Conceded 20
-1 GD -14
0.82 PPG 0.73
18% Win % 18%

Key Stats

11% Both Teams to Score
H2H (9 games)
0% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
36% Clean Sheets
Vitória SC this season
18% Clean Sheets
Casa Pia AC this season

Vitória SC are 14th (9 pts). Casa Pia AC are 16th (8 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Vitória SC
0-15
1/1
16-30
–/2
31-45
1/2
46-60
1/3
61-75
3/1
76+
4/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Casa Pia AC
0-15
–/3
16-30
–/2
31-45
3/2
46-60
–/4
61-75
1/5
76+
2/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Vitória SC
Arnel Jakupovic 2 G
Samu 1 G 1 A
Gustavo Silva 1 G
Alioune Ndoye 1 G
Casa Pia AC
Silvi 2 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Packed stands, loud atmosphere — Vitoria SC and Casa Pia AC get this one started.
  • 5' Casa Pia AC fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
  • 10' Casa Pia AC looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 1 matches with its main striker scoring 0 goals.
  • 15' Vitoria SC currently sit 8 in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 20' A quiet spell here at Estadio Dom Afonso Henriques. Casa Pia AC seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
  • 22' Vitoria SC player sees a card in front of him.
  • 27' It’s gonna be a card for Adrian Kraev.
  • 32' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 35' It’s gonna be a card for Mikel Villanueva.
  • 36' Vando Felix picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
  • 41' Casa Pia AC are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
  • 46' Time for substitution for Vitoria SC. Telmo Arcanjo is replaced by Nuno Santos.
  • 51' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 52' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Max Svensson on 52 minutes.
  • 57' Vitoria SC have won 378 goals from 404 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
  • 60' A meaty challenge results in booking for Duplexe Tchamba on 60.
  • 61' Another change for Casa Pia AC made on 61 minute. Max Svensson leaves to be changed by Caue.
  • 62' Pablo Barbosa makes way for Rafael Brito at the 62 minute mark. A tactical switch from Casa Pia AC.
  • 67' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 69' Vitoria SC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Samu is hanging Tiago Silva on the field on 69 minute.
  • 73' The referee has no hesitation. Joao Goulart is booked for Casa Pia AC — card on 73.
  • 75' Time for substitution for Casa Pia AC. Jeremy Livolant is replaced by Korede Osundina.
  • 77' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Joao Mendes on 77 minutes.
  • 79' GOAL! Umaro Embalo scores on 79.
  • 79' That is a card for Casa Pia AC. Patrick Sequeira will be fuming at that decision.
  • 84' Vitoria SC are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
  • 89' The whistle greets Joao Mendes as he departs to be replaced by Filipe Relvas.
  • 90' The referee calls foul for Jose Fonte. He receives a card.
  • 90' The supporters are chanting for Iyad Mohamed. He replaces Joao Goulart on 90 minute.
  • Both sets of fans can go home satisfied — a 1-0 draw is a fair result on the day.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.32 Vitória SC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.48 Casa Pia AC xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 73% + Under — clean sheet likely 71%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Vitória SC56% Draw29% Casa Pia AC15%
Actual: Vitória SC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes29% 0% No71%
Avg goals/match: 1.8
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 81%
19%
± 1.5 54%
46%
± 2.5 27%
73%
± 3.5 12%
88%
± 4.5 4%
96%

Double Chance

Vitória SC or Draw
85%
Draw or Casa Pia AC
44%
Vitória SC or Casa Pia AC
71%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Vitória SC36% Draw55% Casa Pia AC9%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 0
Actual
0 – 0
18.8%
2 – 0
13.8%
1 – 1
11.1%
2 – 1
6.9%
0 – 1
6.6%
3 – 0
6%
3 – 1
3.2%
1 – 2
2.4%
4 – 0
2%
2 – 2
1.7%
0 – 2
1.7%

Asian Handicap — Vitória SC

Handicap Vitória SC covers Push Casa Pia AC covers
-2.5 10% — 90%
-2 10% 17% 72%
-1.5 28% — 72%
-1 28% 29% 44%
-0.5 56% — 44%
+0.5 88% — 12%
+1 88% 9% 2%
+1.5 98% — 2%
+2 98% 2% 0%
+2.5 100% — 0%

Clean Sheet

Vitória SC keeps clean sheet
62% ✓
Casa Pia AC keeps clean sheet
27% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.