Thursday , 2 July 2026

CA Peñarol vs CA Mineiro, 2025 GROUP STAGE

Copa Libertadores · 2025
2 0
Full Time
Tue 14 May 2024 · 22:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

CA Peñarol vs CA Mineiro — 0 .

Head-to-Head

1
1
CA Peñarol 2 games · Avg 3.5 goals CA Mineiro

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
14 May CA Mineiro H 2–0 W
07 May Caracas FC A 1–0 W
24 Apr CA Mineiro A 2–3 L
11 Apr Caracas FC H 5–0 W
04 Apr CA Rosario Central A 0–1 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
14 May CA Peñarol A 0–2 L
07 May CA Rosario Central A 1–0 W
04 May Fluminense FC A 2–2 D
27 Apr Cuiaba EC A 3–0 W
24 Apr CA Peñarol H 3–2 W
21 Apr Cruzeiro EC H 3–0 W

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (2 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

Lineups

CA Peñarol Lineups

CA Mineiro Lineups

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.73 CA Peñarol xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.04 CA Mineiro xG
I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✓ Correct
CA Peñarol51% Draw26% CA Mineiro23%
Actual: CA Peñarol win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes54% 0% No46%
Avg goals/match: 2.77
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 92%
8%
± 1.5 76%
24%
± 2.5 51%
49%
± 3.5 30%
70%
± 4.5 15%
85%

Double Chance

CA Peñarol or Draw
77%
Draw or CA Mineiro
49%
CA Peñarol or CA Mineiro
74%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
CA Peñarol37% Draw45% CA Mineiro18%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.2%
1 – 0
10%
2 – 1
9.4%
2 – 0
Actual
0 – 0
8.2%
1 – 2
5.6%
0 – 1
5.6%
3 – 1
5.4%
3 – 0
5.2%
2 – 2
4.9%
0 – 2
3.3%
3 – 2
2.9%

Asian Handicap — CA Peñarol

Handicap CA Peñarol covers Push CA Mineiro covers
-2.5 13% 87%
-2 13% 16% 71%
-1.5 29% 71%
-1 29% 23% 48%
-0.5 52% 48%
+0.5 78% 22%
+1 78% 13% 8%
+1.5 92% 8%
+2 92% 6% 2%
+2.5 98% 2%

Clean Sheet

CA Peñarol keeps clean sheet
36%
CA Mineiro keeps clean sheet
19%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.