CA Mineiro vs EC Bahia, Serie A 2026 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
CA Mineiro vs EC Bahia — Serie A at ARENA MRV.
- CA Mineiro 24 games · 36 pts (2026/26)
- EC Bahia 25 games · 40 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SE Palmeiras | 25 | 52 |
| 2 | CR Flamengo | 24 | 48 |
| 3 | CA Paranaense | 25 | 45 |
| 4 | Fluminense FC | 25 | 42 |
| 5 | EC Bahia | 25 | 40 |
| 6 | Cruzeiro EC | 25 | 39 |
| 7 | CA Mineiro | 24 | 36 |
| 8 | RB Bragantino | 24 | 35 |
| 9 | Coritiba FBC | 24 | 34 |
| 10 | SC Corinthians Paulista | 25 | 32 |
| 11 | Sao Paulo FC | 24 | 30 |
| 12 | Botafogo FR | 24 | 30 |
| 13 | Santos FC | 24 | 29 |
| 14 | EC Vitoria | 25 | 29 |
| 15 | Gremio FBPA | 24 | 28 |
| 16 | SC Internacional | 25 | 25 |
| 17 | Mirassol FC | 24 | 25 |
| 18 | CR Vasco da Gama | 24 | 25 |
| 19 | Clube do Remo | 24 | 23 |
| 20 | Chapecoense AF | 24 | 14 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jul | EC Bahia | H | 1–1 | D |
| 31 May | CR Vasco da Gama | A | 0–0 | D |
| 24 May | SC Corinthians Paulista | A | 0–1 | L |
| 16 May | Mirassol FC | H | 3–1 | W |
| 10 May | Botafogo FR | H | 1–1 | D |
| 03 May | Cruzeiro EC | A | 3–1 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jul | CA Mineiro | A | 1–1 | D |
| 17 Jul | Chapecoense AF | H | 2–0 | W |
| 30 May | Botafogo FR | H | 0–0 | D |
| 25 May | Coritiba FBC | A | 1–0 | W |
| 17 May | Gremio FBPA | H | 1–1 | D |
| 10 May | Cruzeiro EC | H | 1–2 | L |
Season Stats
| CA Mineiro | EC Bahia | |
|---|---|---|
| #7 | Position | #5 |
| 36 | Points | 40 |
| 24 | Played | 25 |
| 10 / 6 / 8 | W / D / L | 10 / 10 / 5 |
| 32 | Scored | 37 |
| 28 | Conceded | 30 |
| +4 | GD | +7 |
| 1.50 | PPG | 1.60 |
| 42% | Win % | 40% |
Key Stats
59%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (17 games)
H2H (17 games)
53%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
25%
Clean Sheets
CA Mineiro this season
CA Mineiro this season
40%
Clean Sheets
EC Bahia this season
EC Bahia this season
CA Mineiro are 7th (36 pts). EC Bahia are 5th (40 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
CA Mineiro
0-15
2/3
16-30
6/–
31-45
5/3
46-60
1/2
61-75
5/3
76+
4/6
■ Scored ■ Conceded
EC Bahia
0-15
3/1
16-30
2/5
31-45
5/4
46-60
2/2
61-75
5/3
76+
6/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
CA Mineiro
| Tomas Cuello | 4 G | 1 A |
| Victor Hugo Gomes | 4 G | 1 A |
EC Bahia
| Luciano Juba | 7 G | 1 A |
| Everaldo | 4 G | |
| Jean Lucas | 3 G | 3 A |
| Willian Jose | 3 G | 1 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' Three points are at stake. CA Mineiro host EC Bahia — let the battle begin!
- 5' CA Mineiro is showing some good football. However, CA Mineiro are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
- 10' It is a cagey affair so far. CA Mineiro in their 4-3-3 trying to find a way past EC Bahia's compact 4-3-3.
- 15' Maycon has been relatively quiet despite scoring 9 goals in his last 203 appearances.
- 20' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
- 25' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
- 30' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
- 35' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
- 40' The home supporters are growing impatient. CA Mineiro must find a spark to ignite this game.
- 45' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Eduardo Domínguez will be considering his options from the bench.
- 46' EC Bahia ring the changes. Santiago Ramos has done his job and it is now time for Marcos Victor to step up.
- 46' GOAL! Ruan fires home to make it 1-0!
- 51' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
- 56' Natanael is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for CA Mineiro tonight.
- 57' Ademir Santos has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 57 minutes.
- 62' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His CA Mineiro side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
- 67' Mamady Cisse is ready to make an impact after coming on for Maycon at the 67 minute mark.
- 72' Over 72 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
- 73' A change in the EC Bahia ranks — Ademir Santos exits the field as Everton Ribeiro enters on 73.
- 77' EC Bahia player sees a card in front of him.
- 80' The supporters are chanting for Iago Borduchi. He replaces Jose Guilherme on 80 minute.
- 85' EC Bahia come into this ranked 6 in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
- 86' It is a substitution in CA Mineiro team. Bernard is replaced by Reinier on 86 minute.
- 87' Erick picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
- The points are shared — CA Mineiro 1-1 EC Bahia. Honours even.
Lineups
CA Mineiro Lineups
4-3-3Starting XI
- 22
- 6
- 11
- 9
- 13
-
8
Maycon ↓ Mamady Cisse 67'
- 28
- 4
- 2
-
30
Victor Hugo Gomes ↓ Dudu 67'
- 25
Bench
- 17
-
92
Dudu ↑ 67'
- 14
-
19
Reinier ↑ 86'
- 1
- 5
- 36
-
39
Mamady Cisse ↑ 67'
- 29
Coach
Eduardo Domínguez
EC Bahia Lineups
4-3-3Starting XI
- 1
-
7
Ademir Santos ↓ Everton Ribeiro 73'
-
12
Willian Jose ↓ Ruan Pablo 73'
- 14
- 11
- 33
-
21
Santiago Ramos ↓ Marcos Victor 46'
- 5
-
66
Jose Guilherme ↓ Iago Borduchi 80'
-
16
Erick ↓ Kaue Junior 86'
- 31
Bench
- 6
-
10
Everton Ribeiro ↑ 73'
- 4
-
25
Iago Borduchi ↑ 80'
- 17
- 27
- 15
-
44
Marcos Victor ↑ 46'
- 23
- 63
-
57
Kaue Junior ↑ 86'
-
77
Ruan Pablo ↑ 73'
Coach
Rogério Ceni
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Hulk | 6 |
| Gilberto | 4 |
| Ademir Santos | 3 |
| Keno | 2 |
| Juan Cazares | 2 |
| Paulinho | 2 |
| Luciano Juba | 2 |
| Ricardo Oliveira | 1 |
Head to Head
CA Mineiro Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.29
CA Mineiro xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.23
EC Bahia xG
I would bet for:
CA Mineiro or EC Bahia 71%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.52
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 90% |
|
10% |
| ± 1.5 | 72% |
|
28% |
| ± 2.5 | 46% |
|
54% |
| ± 3.5 | 25% |
|
75% |
| ± 4.5 | 12% |
|
88% |
Double Chance
CA Mineiro or Draw
68%
Draw or EC Bahia
61%
CA Mineiro or EC Bahia
71%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: CA Mineiro win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
Actual
0 – 0
10.1%
1 – 0
9.3%
0 – 1
8.8%
2 – 1
7.9%
1 – 2
7.6%
2 – 0
6.5%
0 – 2
5.9%
2 – 2
5%
3 – 1
3.4%
1 – 3
3.1%
3 – 0
2.8%
Asian Handicap — CA Mineiro
| Handicap | CA Mineiro covers | Push | EC Bahia covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 6% | — | 94% |
| -2 | 6% | 11% | 83% |
| -1.5 | 17% | — | 83% |
| -1 | 17% | 20% | 63% |
| -0.5 | 37% | — | 63% |
| +0.5 | 66% | — | 34% |
| +1 | 66% | 19% | 15% |
| +1.5 | 85% | — | 15% |
| +2 | 85% | 10% | 5% |
| +2.5 | 95% | — | 5% |
Clean Sheet
CA Mineiro keeps clean sheet
30%
✓
EC Bahia keeps clean sheet
28%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.