CA Mineiro vs EC Bahia, Serie A 2026 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
CA Mineiro vs EC Bahia — Serie A at ARENA MRV.
- CA Mineiro 30 games · 47 pts (2026/26)
- EC Bahia 30 games · 49 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CR Flamengo | 30 | 64 |
| 2 | SE Palmeiras | 30 | 63 |
| 3 | CA Paranaense | 30 | 53 |
| 4 | Fluminense FC | 30 | 51 |
| 5 | EC Bahia | 30 | 49 |
| 6 | Cruzeiro EC | 30 | 48 |
| 7 | CA Mineiro | 30 | 47 |
| 8 | Santos FC | 30 | 42 |
| 9 | RB Bragantino | 30 | 40 |
| 10 | Sao Paulo FC | 30 | 39 |
| 11 | Coritiba FBC | 30 | 39 |
| 12 | Botafogo FR | 30 | 36 |
| 13 | EC Vitoria | 30 | 36 |
| 14 | CR Vasco da Gama | 29 | 35 |
| 15 | Mirassol FC | 30 | 33 |
| 16 | SC Internacional | 30 | 32 |
| 17 | SC Corinthians Paulista | 30 | 32 |
| 18 | Gremio FBPA | 30 | 31 |
| 19 | Clube do Remo | 30 | 25 |
| 20 | Chapecoense AF | 29 | 18 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jul | EC Bahia | H | 1–1 | D |
| 31 May | CR Vasco da Gama | A | 0–0 | D |
| 24 May | SC Corinthians Paulista | A | 0–1 | L |
| 16 May | Mirassol FC | H | 3–1 | W |
| 10 May | Botafogo FR | H | 1–1 | D |
| 03 May | Cruzeiro EC | A | 3–1 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jul | CA Mineiro | A | 1–1 | D |
| 17 Jul | Chapecoense AF | H | 2–0 | W |
| 30 May | Botafogo FR | H | 0–0 | D |
| 25 May | Coritiba FBC | A | 1–0 | W |
| 17 May | Gremio FBPA | H | 1–1 | D |
| 10 May | Cruzeiro EC | H | 1–2 | L |
Season Stats
| CA Mineiro | EC Bahia | |
|---|---|---|
| #7 | Position | #5 |
| 47 | Points | 49 |
| 30 | Played | 30 |
| 13 / 8 / 9 | W / D / L | 13 / 10 / 7 |
| 41 | Scored | 44 |
| 35 | Conceded | 36 |
| +6 | GD | +8 |
| 1.57 | PPG | 1.63 |
| 43% | Win % | 43% |
Key Stats
59%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (17 games)
H2H (17 games)
53%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
23%
Clean Sheets
CA Mineiro this season
CA Mineiro this season
37%
Clean Sheets
EC Bahia this season
EC Bahia this season
CA Mineiro are 7th (47 pts). EC Bahia are 5th (49 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
CA Mineiro
0-15
2/4
16-30
8/–
31-45
5/4
46-60
1/2
61-75
8/5
76+
8/9
■ Scored ■ Conceded
EC Bahia
0-15
3/3
16-30
4/6
31-45
8/4
46-60
3/2
61-75
5/4
76+
7/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
CA Mineiro
| Tomas Cuello | 5 G | 2 A |
| Victor Hugo Gomes | 4 G | 1 A |
EC Bahia
| Luciano Juba | 10 G | 1 A |
| Jean Lucas | 4 G | 3 A |
| Erick | 4 G | |
| Everaldo | 4 G | |
| Willian Jose | 3 G | 1 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' Here we go! The referee blows the whistle and CA Mineiro launch into their encounter with EC Bahia.
- 5' EC Bahia seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
- 10' Marcos Victor has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
- 15' The energy levels are beginning to show. Rogério Ceni might look to freshen things up shortly.
- 20' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
- 25' EC Bahia is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- 30' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
- 35' With 2 assists to his name this season, Tomas Cuello is clearly more than just a goal scorer for EC Bahia.
- 40' It looks surprising CA Mineiro does not make any changes. Santiago Ramos has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
- 45' EC Bahia fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
- 46' EC Bahia ring the changes. Santiago Ramos has done his job and it is now time for Marcos Victor to step up.
- 46' A stunning finish from Ruan — that came from absolutely nowhere!
- 51' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. EC Bahia needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
- 56' The travelling EC Bahia supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
- 57' What a moment for Ademir Santos! That strike on 57 puts his side firmly in control.
- 62' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering CA Mineiro that had 482 games and scored 486 goals.
- 67' The crowd applauds Maycon as he leaves the pitch. Mamady Cisse steps in for CA Mineiro.
- 72' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Mateo Cassierra made 314 appearances and scored 65 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 73' A change in the EC Bahia ranks — Ademir Santos exits the field as Everton Ribeiro enters on 73.
- 77' It’s gonna be a card for Jose Guilherme.
- 80' Another change for EC Bahia made on 80 minute. Jose Guilherme leaves to be changed by Iago Borduchi.
- 85' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
- 86' Another substitution for CA Mineiro to replace Bernard by Reinier on 86 minute.
- 87' Erick is having his name booked by the referee on 87.
- The final whistle. It looks like we are having a draw.
Lineups
CA Mineiro Lineups
4-3-3Starting XI
- 22
- 6
- 11
- 9
- 13
-
8
Maycon ↓ Mamady Cisse 67'
- 28
- 4
- 2
-
30
Victor Hugo Gomes ↓ Dudu 67'
- 25
Bench
- 17
-
92
Dudu ↑ 67'
- 14
-
19
Reinier ↑ 86'
- 1
- 5
- 36
-
39
Mamady Cisse ↑ 67'
- 29
Coach
Eduardo Domínguez
EC Bahia Lineups
4-3-3Starting XI
- 1
-
7
Ademir Santos ↓ Everton Ribeiro 73'
-
12
Willian Jose ↓ Ruan Pablo 73'
- 14
- 11
- 33
-
21
Santiago Ramos ↓ Marcos Victor 46'
- 5
-
66
Jose Guilherme ↓ Iago Borduchi 80'
-
16
Erick ↓ Kaue Junior 86'
- 31
Bench
- 6
-
10
Everton Ribeiro ↑ 73'
- 4
-
25
Iago Borduchi ↑ 80'
- 17
- 27
- 15
-
44
Marcos Victor ↑ 46'
- 23
- 63
-
57
Kaue Junior ↑ 86'
-
77
Ruan Pablo ↑ 73'
Coach
Rogério Ceni
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Hulk | 6 |
| Gilberto | 4 |
| Ademir Santos | 3 |
| Keno | 2 |
| Juan Cazares | 2 |
| Paulinho | 2 |
| Luciano Juba | 2 |
| Ricardo Oliveira | 1 |
Head to Head
CA Mineiro Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.3
CA Mineiro xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.21
EC Bahia xG
I would bet for:
CA Mineiro or EC Bahia 71%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.51
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 90% |
|
10% |
| ± 1.5 | 72% |
|
28% |
| ± 2.5 | 45% |
|
55% |
| ± 3.5 | 25% |
|
75% |
| ± 4.5 | 12% |
|
88% |
Double Chance
CA Mineiro or Draw
68%
Draw or EC Bahia
61%
CA Mineiro or EC Bahia
71%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: CA Mineiro win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
Actual
0 – 0
10.2%
1 – 0
9.4%
0 – 1
8.8%
2 – 1
8%
1 – 2
7.5%
2 – 0
6.6%
0 – 2
5.8%
2 – 2
4.9%
3 – 1
3.5%
1 – 3
3%
3 – 0
2.8%
Asian Handicap — CA Mineiro
| Handicap | CA Mineiro covers | Push | EC Bahia covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 6% | — | 94% |
| -2 | 6% | 11% | 83% |
| -1.5 | 17% | — | 83% |
| -1 | 17% | 20% | 63% |
| -0.5 | 37% | — | 63% |
| +0.5 | 67% | — | 33% |
| +1 | 67% | 19% | 14% |
| +1.5 | 86% | — | 14% |
| +2 | 86% | 10% | 5% |
| +2.5 | 95% | — | 5% |
Clean Sheet
CA Mineiro keeps clean sheet
30%
✓
EC Bahia keeps clean sheet
28%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.