Sunday , 16 August 2026

CA Mineiro vs Mirassol FC, Serie A 2026 REGULAR SEASON

3 1
Full Time
Sat 16 May 2026 · 21:30 UTC ARENA MRV HT 45' · FT 45'
Alan Minda 17' 1–0
1–1 40' Willian Machado
Maycon pen 61' 2–1
Mamady Cisse 82' 3–1
Y 87' Reinaldo

Overview

Match Preview

CA Mineiro vs Mirassol FCSerie A at ARENA MRV.

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
16 May Mirassol FC H 3–1 W
10 May Botafogo FR H 1–1 D
03 May Cruzeiro EC A 3–1 W
26 Apr CR Flamengo H 0–4 L
19 Apr Coritiba FBC A 0–2 L
11 Apr Santos FC A 0–1 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
16 May CA Mineiro A 1–3 L
10 May Chapecoense AF H 1–1 D
03 May SC Corinthians Paulista H 1–0 W
26 Apr Sao Paulo FC A 0–1 L
19 Apr SC Internacional A 2–1 W
11 Apr EC Bahia H 1–2 L

Season Stats

CA Mineiro Mirassol FC
#11 Position #16
29 Points 23
21 Played 21
8 / 5 / 8 W / D / L 6 / 5 / 10
27 Scored 24
27 Conceded 30
+0 GD -6
1.38 PPG 1.10
38% Win % 29%

Key Stats

67% Both Teams to Score
H2H (3 games)
67% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
19% Clean Sheets
CA Mineiro this season
14% Clean Sheets
Mirassol FC this season

CA Mineiro are 11th (29 pts). Mirassol FC are 16th (23 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

CA Mineiro
0-15
2/3
16-30
4/
31-45
5/3
46-60
1/2
61-75
2/3
76+
4/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Mirassol FC
0-15
/2
16-30
6/1
31-45
4/2
46-60
1/1
61-75
1/3
76+
1/8
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

CA Mineiro
Victor Hugo Gomes 4 G 1 A
Mirassol FC
Igor Formiga 4 G 1 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' That's the starting whistle at ARENA MRV. Ninety minutes of football awaits between CA Mineiro and Mirassol FC.
  • 5' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Eduardo Domínguez will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 10' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 15' The home supporters are growing impatient. CA Mineiro must find a spark to ignite this game.
  • 17' Alan Minda does the damage! The net is bulging and CA Mineiro surge ahead!
  • 22' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Mateo Cassierra made 307 appearances and scored 64 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 27' Over 27 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
  • 32' Mirassol FC are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
  • 37' CA Mineiro have won 472 goals from 473 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
  • 40' Willian Machado makes no mistake. The score reads 1-1 and Mirassol FC are in front.
  • 45' It’s high time Rafael Guanaes made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 50' CA Mineiro started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 50.
  • 55' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 60' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 61' Maycon makes no mistake. The score reads 2-1 and CA Mineiro are in front.
  • 66' Supporters expect more eagerness from Junior Alonso, as he is very good at scoring at ARENA MRV with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
  • 71' Walter is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Mirassol FC so far.
  • 76' Ruan has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 19 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 81' Everson, a Brazil , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
  • 82' Goal! Mamady Cisse scores his 1 goal in 473 matches.
  • 87' It’s a booking for Mirassol FC player. Reinaldo gets a card.
  • The final whistle goes. A composed, disciplined performance from CA Mineiro to claim maximum points.

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.77 CA Mineiro xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.18 Mirassol FC xG
I would bet for: Both teams to score 58% + Over 2.5 goals 56%

Match Result

✓ Correct
CA Mineiro52% Draw25% Mirassol FC23%
Actual: CA Mineiro win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes58% 0% No42%
Avg goals/match: 2.95
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 93%
7%
± 1.5 79%
21%
± 2.5 56%
44%
± 3.5 34%
66%
± 4.5 18%
82%

Double Chance

CA Mineiro or Draw
77%
Draw or Mirassol FC
48%
CA Mineiro or Mirassol FC
75%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
CA Mineiro36% Draw44% Mirassol FC20%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
11.8%
2 – 1
9.3%
1 – 0
8.4%
2 – 0
8.1%
0 – 0
6.9%
1 – 2
6.2%
2 – 2
5.5%
3 – 1
Actual
0 – 1
5.3%
3 – 0
4.7%
0 – 2
3.6%
3 – 2
3.3%

Asian Handicap — CA Mineiro

Handicap CA Mineiro covers Push Mirassol FC covers
-2.5 13% 87%
-2 13% 15% 72%
-1.5 28% 72%
-1 28% 22% 50%
-0.5 50% 50%
+0.5 76% 24%
+1 76% 14% 10%
+1.5 90% 10%
+2 90% 7% 3%
+2.5 97% 3%

Clean Sheet

CA Mineiro keeps clean sheet
31%
Mirassol FC keeps clean sheet
18%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.