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Borussia Dortmund vs VfL Wolfsburg, Bundesliga 2018-19 REGULAR SEASON

Bundesliga · 2018-19
Sat 30 Mar 2019 · 14:30 UTC Signal Iduna Park HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Borussia Dortmund vs VfL WolfsburgBundesliga at Signal Iduna Park.

Match Details

  • Referee Mark Borsch
  • Referee Robert Kampka
  • Referee Frederick Assmuth
  • Referee Christof Gunsch
  • Referee Markus Schmidt

Head-to-Head

14
1
2
Borussia Dortmund 17 games · Avg 2.8 goals VfL Wolfsburg

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
30 Mar VfL Wolfsburg H 2–0 W
16 Mar Hertha BSC A 3–2 W
09 Mar VfB Stuttgart H 3–1 W
05 Mar Tottenham Hotspur FC H 0–1 L
01 Mar FC Augsburg A 1–2 L
24 Feb Bayer 04 Leverkusen H 3–2 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
30 Mar Borussia Dortmund A 0–2 L
16 Mar TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf H 5–2 W
09 Mar FC Bayern München A 0–6 L
03 Mar SV Werder Bremen H 1–1 D
23 Feb Borussia Mönchengladbach A 3–0 W
16 Feb 1. FSV Mainz 05 H 3–0 W

Season Stats

Borussia Dortmund VfL Wolfsburg
#8 Position #1
0 Points 29
0 Played 34
0 / 0 / 0 W / D / L 7 / 8 / 19
0 Scored 45
0 Conceded 69
+0 GD -24
PPG 0.85
Win % 21%

Key Stats

29% Both Teams to Score
H2H (17 games)
41% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Borussia Dortmund are 8th (0 pts). VfL Wolfsburg are 1st (29 pts).

Events

Match Events

  • 0' In just a few seconds Signal Iduna Park will turn into a battlefield for Borussia Dortmund and VfL Wolfsburg.
  • 5' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 7' That is a Yellow card for VfL Wolfsburg. John Brooks will be fuming at that decision.
  • 12' Maximilian Arnold has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
  • 17' The referee does not hesitate — a Yellow card for Maximilian Arnold on 17 minutes.
  • 22' VfL Wolfsburg are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
  • 27' Daniel Ginczek needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
  • 32' The 31-year-old Manuel Akanji has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
  • 37' The energy levels are beginning to show. Bruno Labbadia might look to freshen things up shortly.
  • 42' Both keepers have barely been tested. Borussia Dortmund and VfL Wolfsburg are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
  • 47' VfL Wolfsburg come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
  • 49' BV Borussia 09 Dortmund manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Achraf Hakimi is hanging Abdou Diallo on the field on 49 minute.
  • 54' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 59' Borussia Dortmund are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined VfL Wolfsburg backline.
  • 64' Koen Casteels, a Belgium , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
  • 68' Renato Steffen is ready to make an impact after coming on for Felix Klaus at the 68 minute mark.
  • 73' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Borussia Dortmund and VfL Wolfsburg are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
  • 74' Jacob Bruun Larsen gets the nod from BV Borussia 09 Dortmund. He replaces Achraf Hakimi and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 79' It looks like no one’s ball. Borussia Dortmund is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 81' The BV Borussia 09 Dortmund bench stirs into life. Mario Gotze is withdrawn and Mahmoud Dahoud gets his opportunity.
  • 86' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Mario Gotze suffering a number of foals already.
  • 90' Paco Alcacer puts BV Borussia 09 Dortmund on the lead.
  • 90' The referee shows VfL Wolfsburg player a Yellow card on 90.
  • Time to leave. No sensation happened. Another win for Borussia Dortmund players.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.07 Borussia Dortmund xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.3 VfL Wolfsburg xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 83% + Under — clean sheet likely 81%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Borussia Dortmund55% Draw33% VfL Wolfsburg12%
Actual: Borussia Dortmund win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes19% 0% No81%
Avg goals/match: 1.37
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 72%
28%
± 1.5 40%
60%
± 2.5 17%
83%
± 3.5 6%
94%
± 4.5 2%
98%

Double Chance

Borussia Dortmund or Draw
88%
Draw or VfL Wolfsburg
45%
Borussia Dortmund or VfL Wolfsburg
67%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Borussia Dortmund32% Draw63% VfL Wolfsburg5%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 0
28%
1 – 0
26%
2 – 0
Actual
1 – 1
8.8%
0 – 1
6.1%
3 – 0
4.8%
2 – 1
4.7%
3 – 1
1.8%
4 – 0
1.3%
1 – 2
1.2%
0 – 2
0.9%
2 – 2
0.8%

Asian Handicap — Borussia Dortmund

Handicap Borussia Dortmund covers Push VfL Wolfsburg covers
-2.5 7% 93%
-2 7% 16% 77%
-1.5 23% 77%
-1 23% 31% 46%
-0.5 54% 46%
+0.5 91% 9%
+1 91% 7% 1%
+1.5 99% 1%
+2 99% 1% 0%
+2.5 100% 0%

Clean Sheet

Borussia Dortmund keeps clean sheet
74%
VfL Wolfsburg keeps clean sheet
35%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.