Sunday , 16 August 2026

Borussia Dortmund vs VfL Wolfsburg, Bundesliga 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Bundesliga · 2024-25
Sat 3 May 2025 · 16:30 UTC Signal Iduna Park 81,365 HT 45' · FT 45'
Sehrou Guirassy 3' 1–0
Sehrou Guirassy 59' 2–0
Karim Adeyemi 69' 3–0
Karim Adeyemi 73' 4–0

Overview

Match Preview

Borussia Dortmund vs VfL WolfsburgBundesliga at Signal Iduna Park.

Match Details

  • Referee Felix Brych
  • Assistant 1 Mark Borsch
  • Assistant 2 Mitja Stegemann

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
03 May VfL Wolfsburg H 4–0 W
26 Apr TSG 1899 Hoffenheim A 3–2 W
20 Apr Borussia Mönchengladbach H 3–2 W
15 Apr FC Barcelona H 3–1 W
12 Apr FC Bayern München A 2–2 D
09 Apr FC Barcelona A 0–4 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
03 May Borussia Dortmund A 0–4 L
26 Apr SC Freiburg H 0–1 L
19 Apr 1. FSV Mainz 05 A 2–2 D
11 Apr RB Leipzig H 2–3 L
06 Apr 1. FC Union Berlin A 0–1 L
29 Mar 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 H 0–1 L

Season Stats

Borussia Dortmund VfL Wolfsburg
#8 Position #1
0 Points 29
0 Played 34
0 / 0 / 0 W / D / L 7 / 8 / 19
0 Scored 45
0 Conceded 69
+0 GD -24
PPG 0.85
Win % 21%

Key Stats

29% Both Teams to Score
H2H (17 games)
41% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Borussia Dortmund are 8th (0 pts). VfL Wolfsburg are 1st (29 pts).

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Both captains have shaken hands and the referee is ready. We are underway at Signal Iduna Park!
  • 3' GOAL! Sehrou Guirassy scores on 3. Assisted by Julian Brandt
  • 8' The home supporters are growing impatient. Borussia Dortmund must find a spark to ignite this game.
  • 13' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 18' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 18 minutes.
  • 23' Borussia Dortmund are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
  • 28' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 33' VfL Wolfsburg started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 33.
  • 38' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Borussia Dortmund that had 521 games and scored 798 goals.
  • 43' Borussia Dortmund are deployed in a 3-4-2-1 today, looking to exploit space against VfL Wolfsburg's 3-5-2 shape.
  • 48' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Borussia Dortmund and VfL Wolfsburg are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
  • 53' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 56' It’s gonna be a card for Kilian Fischer.
  • 59' GOAL! Sehrou Guirassy fires home to make it 2-0!
  • 64' It looks surprising Borussia Dortmund does not make any changes. Niklas Sule has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 67' Borussia Dortmund make a change. Jamie Bynoe-Gittens trudges off to be replaced by Karim Adeyemi on 67 minutes.
  • 69' Magnificent from Karim Adeyemi! That is 32 goals in 222 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
  • 70' Time for substitution for VfL Wolfsburg. Lukas Nmecha is replaced by Jonas Wind.
  • 73' Against the run of play, Karim Adeyemi has scored! This game has turned on its head.
  • 76' Julian Brandt makes way for Julien Duranville at the 76 minute mark. A tactical switch from Borussia Dortmund.
  • 81' With 0 assists to his name this season, Tiago Tomas is clearly more than just a goal scorer for VfL Wolfsburg.
  • 82' Borussia Dortmund make a change. Sehrou Guirassy trudges off to be replaced by Carney Chukwuemeka on 82 minutes.
  • 87' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • Full Time. Borussia Dortmund beats VfL Wolfsburg

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.33 Borussia Dortmund xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.37 VfL Wolfsburg xG
I would bet for: Under — clean sheet likely 76% + Under 2.5 goals 76%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Borussia Dortmund62% Draw28% VfL Wolfsburg10%
Actual: Borussia Dortmund win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes24% 0% No76%
Avg goals/match: 1.7
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 79%
21%
± 1.5 50%
50%
± 2.5 24%
76%
± 3.5 10%
90%
± 4.5 4%
96%

Double Chance

Borussia Dortmund or Draw
90%
Draw or VfL Wolfsburg
38%
Borussia Dortmund or VfL Wolfsburg
72%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Borussia Dortmund38% Draw56% VfL Wolfsburg6%
Actual: Borussia Dortmund win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 0
23.5%
0 – 0
20.7%
2 – 0
15.5%
1 – 1
9.5%
3 – 0
6.7%
2 – 1
6%
0 – 1
5.5%
3 – 1
2.8%
4 – 0
Actual
1 – 2
1.5%
2 – 2
1.2%
0 – 2
1%

Asian Handicap — Borussia Dortmund

Handicap Borussia Dortmund covers Push VfL Wolfsburg covers
-2.5 11% 89%
-2 11% 19% 70%
-1.5 30% 70%
-1 30% 30% 40%
-0.5 60% 40%
+0.5 91% 9%
+1 91% 7% 1%
+1.5 99% 1%
+2 99% 1% 0%
+2.5 100% 0%

Clean Sheet

Borussia Dortmund keeps clean sheet
69%
VfL Wolfsburg keeps clean sheet
27%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.