Saturday , 14 November 2026

Borussia Dortmund vs VfL Wolfsburg, Bundesliga 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Bundesliga · 2024-25
Sat 3 May 2025 · 16:30 UTC Signal Iduna Park 81,365 HT 45' · FT 45'
Sehrou Guirassy 3' 1–0
Sehrou Guirassy 59' 2–0
Karim Adeyemi 69' 3–0
Karim Adeyemi 73' 4–0

Overview

Match Preview

Borussia Dortmund vs VfL Wolfsburg — Bundesliga at Signal Iduna Park.

Match Details

  • Referee Felix Brych
  • Assistant 1 Mark Borsch
  • Assistant 2 Mitja Stegemann

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
03 May VfL Wolfsburg H 4–0 W
26 Apr TSG 1899 Hoffenheim A 3–2 W
20 Apr Borussia Mönchengladbach H 3–2 W
15 Apr FC Barcelona H 3–1 W
12 Apr FC Bayern München A 2–2 D
09 Apr FC Barcelona A 0–4 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
03 May Borussia Dortmund A 0–4 L
26 Apr SC Freiburg H 0–1 L
19 Apr 1. FSV Mainz 05 A 2–2 D
11 Apr RB Leipzig H 2–3 L
06 Apr 1. FC Union Berlin A 0–1 L
29 Mar 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 H 0–1 L

Key Stats

29% Both Teams to Score
H2H (17 games)
41% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
56% Clean Sheets
Borussia Dortmund this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Borussia Dortmund
0-15
2/–
16-30
–/–
31-45
1/2
46-60
2/1
61-75
4/1
76+
6/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Borussia Dortmund
Felix Kalu Nmecha 4 G
Sehrou Guirassy 3 G 2 A
Fabio Silva 3 G 2 A
Maximilian Beier 2 G 2 A
Ioannis Konstantelias 1 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The referee blows the starting whistle. The fans are roaring. The teams are ready for the match. Borussia Dortmund is hosting VfL Wolfsburg for another epic battle.
  • 3' Goal! Sehrou Guirassy scores his 135 goal in 408 matches.
  • 8' Borussia Dortmund are deployed in a 3-4-2-1 today, looking to exploit space against VfL Wolfsburg's 3-5-2 shape.
  • 13' It is a cagey affair so far. Borussia Dortmund in their 3-4-2-1 trying to find a way past VfL Wolfsburg's compact 3-5-2.
  • 18' The travelling VfL Wolfsburg supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 23' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Aster Vranckx made 233 appearances and scored 7 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 28' Lukas Nmecha is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for VfL Wolfsburg so far.
  • 33' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 38' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 43' Lovro Majer has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 1 goals to his name this season.
  • 48' VfL Wolfsburg are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
  • 53' The home supporters are growing impatient. Borussia Dortmund must find a spark to ignite this game.
  • 56' A moment of madness from Kilian Fischer on 56 minutes earns him a card. VfL Wolfsburg will be frustrated.
  • 59' Sehrou Guirassy does the damage! The net is bulging and Borussia Dortmund surge ahead!
  • 64' It looks like no one’s ball. VfL Wolfsburg is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 67' Time for substitution for Borussia Dortmund. Jamie Bynoe-Gittens is replaced by Karim Adeyemi.
  • 69' What composure from Karim Adeyemi! The Germany international strokes it home. 3-0.
  • 70' The whistle greets Lukas Nmecha as he departs to be replaced by Jonas Wind.
  • 73' What a strike from Karim Adeyemi! The score is 4-0.
  • 76' The Borussia Dortmund manager makes a substitution. Julian Brandt departs to be replaced by Julien Duranville.
  • 81' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
  • 82' Borussia Dortmund make a change. Sehrou Guirassy trudges off to be replaced by Carney Chukwuemeka on 82 minutes.
  • 87' VfL Wolfsburg come into this ranked 12 in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
  • The referee brings this contest to a close. Borussia Dortmund take all three points.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.98 Borussia Dortmund xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.89 VfL Wolfsburg xG
I would bet for: Borussia Dortmund to win 63%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Borussia Dortmund63% Draw22% VfL Wolfsburg15%
Actual: Borussia Dortmund win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes51% 0% No49%
Avg goals/match: 2.87
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 93%
7%
± 1.5 78%
22%
± 2.5 54%
46%
± 3.5 32%
68%
± 4.5 17%
83%

Double Chance

Borussia Dortmund or Draw
85%
Draw or VfL Wolfsburg
37%
Borussia Dortmund or VfL Wolfsburg
78%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Borussia Dortmund43% Draw43% VfL Wolfsburg14%
Actual: Borussia Dortmund win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
2 – 0
10.9%
1 – 1
10.8%
1 – 0
10.6%
2 – 1
9.5%
0 – 0
7.4%
3 – 0
7%
3 – 1
6.3%
1 – 2
4.3%
2 – 2
4.3%
0 – 1
4.3%
4 – 0
Actual
4 – 1
3.2%

Asian Handicap — Borussia Dortmund

Handicap Borussia Dortmund covers Push VfL Wolfsburg covers
-2.5 19% — 81%
-2 19% 19% 62%
-1.5 38% — 62%
-1 38% 24% 39%
-0.5 61% — 39%
+0.5 85% — 15%
+1 85% 10% 5%
+1.5 95% — 5%
+2 95% 4% 1%
+2.5 99% — 1%

Clean Sheet

Borussia Dortmund keeps clean sheet
41% ✗
VfL Wolfsburg keeps clean sheet
15% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.