Saturday , 14 November 2026

Borussia Dortmund vs Holstein Kiel, Bundesliga 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Bundesliga · 2024-25
Sat 17 May 2025 · 13:30 UTC Signal Iduna Park 81,365 HT 45' · FT 45'
Sehrou Guirassy pen 3' 1–0
Marcel Sabitzer 47' 2–0
Felix Kalu Nmecha 73' 3–0

Overview

Match Preview

Borussia Dortmund vs Holstein Kiel — Bundesliga at Signal Iduna Park.

Match Details

  • Referee Harm Osmers
  • Assistant 1 Dominik Schaal
  • Assistant 2 Guido Kleve
10 games this season 🟨 3.9/game ⚽ 11.5 goals/game 🟥 2 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
17 May Holstein Kiel H 3–0 W
11 May Bayer 04 Leverkusen A 4–2 W
03 May VfL Wolfsburg H 4–0 W
26 Apr TSG 1899 Hoffenheim A 3–2 W
20 Apr Borussia Mönchengladbach H 3–2 W
15 Apr FC Barcelona H 3–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
17 May Borussia Dortmund A 0–3 L
10 May SC Freiburg H 1–2 L
04 May FC Augsburg A 3–1 W
26 Apr Borussia Mönchengladbach H 4–3 W
19 Apr RB Leipzig A 1–1 D
12 Apr FC St. Pauli 1910 H 1–2 L

Key Stats

33% Both Teams to Score
H2H (3 games)
100% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
56% Clean Sheets
Borussia Dortmund this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Borussia Dortmund
0-15
2/–
16-30
–/–
31-45
1/2
46-60
2/1
61-75
4/1
76+
6/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Borussia Dortmund
Felix Kalu Nmecha 4 G
Sehrou Guirassy 3 G 2 A
Fabio Silva 3 G 2 A
Maximilian Beier 2 G 2 A
Ioannis Konstantelias 1 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' It’s Showtime! The match between borussia dortmund and holstein kiel is underway.
  • 3' Sehrou Guirassy does the damage! The net is bulging and Borussia Dortmund surge ahead!
  • 8' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
  • 9' That is a card for Holstein Kiel. Carl Johansson will be fuming at that decision.
  • 14' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 19' named a 3-4-2-1 earlier, and opted for a 3-4-1-2 in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
  • 24' borussia dortmund currently sit 5 in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 29' Marcel Sabitzer needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 1 Red cards this season.
  • 34' holstein kiel come into this ranked 17 in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
  • 39' borussia dortmund are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
  • 44' With 0 assists to his name this season, John Tolkin is clearly more than just a goal scorer for borussia dortmund.
  • 46' Magnus Knudsen is replacing Lewis Holtby for the Holstein Kiel side.
  • 47' Marcel Sabitzer is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 3 goals this season for the .
  • 52' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 56' Karim Adeyemi is having his name booked by the referee on 56.
  • 61' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 66' borussia dortmund is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 69' Finn Porath is replacing Shuto Machino for the Holstein Kiel side.
  • 71' The whistle greets Karim Adeyemi as he departs to be replaced by Carney Chukwuemeka.
  • 73' Magnificent from Felix Kalu Nmecha! That is 15 goals in 449 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
  • 78' Phil Harres gets the nod from Holstein Kiel. He replaces Alexander Bernhardsson and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 79' Borussia Dortmund ring the changes. Niklas Sule has done his job and it is now time for Emre Can to step up.
  • 84' borussia dortmund are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined holstein kiel backline.
  • 85' The whistle greets Julian Brandt as he departs to be replaced by Jamie Bynoe-Gittens.
  • 87' The referee calls foul for Jamie Bynoe-Gittens. He receives a card.
  • 87' Time for substitution for Holstein Kiel. Timo Becker is replaced by Marko Ivezic.
  • 90' Marcel Sabitzer picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
  • What a match! Full time at {STADIUM} — borussia dortmund 3-0 holstein kiel.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
2.14 Borussia Dortmund xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.08 Holstein Kiel xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 61% + Borussia Dortmund to win 61%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Borussia Dortmund61% Draw22% Holstein Kiel17%
Actual: Borussia Dortmund win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes58% 0% No42%
Avg goals/match: 3.22
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 94%
6%
± 1.5 83%
17%
± 2.5 61%
39%
± 3.5 40%
60%
± 4.5 23%
77%

Double Chance

Borussia Dortmund or Draw
83%
Draw or Holstein Kiel
39%
Borussia Dortmund or Holstein Kiel
78%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Borussia Dortmund44% Draw41% Holstein Kiel15%
Actual: Borussia Dortmund win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
10.1%
2 – 1
9.5%
2 – 0
9.1%
1 – 0
8%
3 – 1
6.8%
3 – 0
Actual
0 – 0
5.5%
2 – 2
5.1%
1 – 2
4.8%
3 – 2
3.7%
4 – 1
3.7%
0 – 1
3.7%

Asian Handicap — Borussia Dortmund

Handicap Borussia Dortmund covers Push Holstein Kiel covers
-2.5 20% — 80%
-2 20% 18% 62%
-1.5 38% — 62%
-1 38% 22% 40%
-0.5 60% — 40%
+0.5 83% — 17%
+1 83% 11% 7%
+1.5 93% — 7%
+2 93% 5% 2%
+2.5 98% — 2%

Clean Sheet

Borussia Dortmund keeps clean sheet
35% ✗
Holstein Kiel keeps clean sheet
13% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.