Thursday , 2 July 2026

Atalanta BC vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen, Europe 2023-24 FINAL

UEFA Europa League · 2023-24
Wed 22 May 2024 · 19:00 UTC Aviva Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Atalanta BC vs Bayer 04 LeverkusenEurope at Aviva Stadium.

Match Details

  • Referee Istvan Kovacs
16 games this season 🟨 2.9/game 11.3 goals/game 🟥 4 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
22 May Bayer 04 Leverkusen H 3–0 W
18 May US Lecce A 2–0 W
12 May AS Roma H 2–1 W
09 May Olympique de Marseille H 3–0 W
06 May US Salernitana 1919 A 2–1 W
02 May Olympique de Marseille A 1–1 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
22 May Atalanta BC A 0–3 L
18 May FC Augsburg H 2–1 W
12 May VfL Bochum 1848 A 5–0 W
09 May AS Roma H 2–2 D
05 May Eintracht Frankfurt A 5–1 W
02 May AS Roma A 2–0 W

Key Stats

33% Both Teams to Score
H2H (3 games)
67% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.75 Atalanta BC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.14 Bayer 04 Leverkusen xG
I would bet for: Both teams to score 56%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Atalanta BC53% Draw25% Bayer 04 Leverkusen22%
Actual: Atalanta BC win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes56% 0% No44%
Avg goals/match: 2.89
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 93%
7%
± 1.5 78%
22%
± 2.5 54%
46%
± 3.5 33%
67%
± 4.5 17%
83%

Double Chance

Atalanta BC or Draw
78%
Draw or Bayer 04 Leverkusen
47%
Atalanta BC or Bayer 04 Leverkusen
75%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Atalanta BC36% Draw44% Bayer 04 Leverkusen20%
Actual: Atalanta BC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12%
2 – 1
9.3%
1 – 0
8.9%
2 – 0
8.4%
0 – 0
7.4%
1 – 2
6.1%
3 – 1
5.5%
0 – 1
5.5%
2 – 2
5.3%
3 – 0
Actual
0 – 2
3.6%
3 – 2
3.2%

Asian Handicap — Atalanta BC

Handicap Atalanta BC covers Push Bayer 04 Leverkusen covers
-2.5 13% 87%
-2 13% 16% 72%
-1.5 28% 72%
-1 28% 22% 50%
-0.5 50% 50%
+0.5 76% 24%
+1 76% 14% 10%
+1.5 90% 10%
+2 90% 7% 3%
+2.5 97% 3%

Clean Sheet

Atalanta BC keeps clean sheet
33%
Bayer 04 Leverkusen keeps clean sheet
18%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.